PAGER - M 6.1 - KYRGYZSTAN

Alert level does not include impacts from earthquake-related hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires or liquefaction.

Earthquake Shaking Alert Level: YELLOW

Download Alert PDFWhat's this?Tuesday, July 19th, 2011 at 19:35:43 UTC (01:35:43 local)Location: 40.2° N, 71.4° EDepth: 16kmEvent Id: USC00050LLAlert Version: 4Created: 21 hours, 59 minutes after earthquake.
Global Location

Alert Information

Yellow alert for shaking-related fatalities and economic losses. Some casualties and damage are possible and the impact should be relatively localized. Past yellow alerts have required a local or regional level response. Estimated economic losses are less than 1% of GDP of Kyrgyzstan.
Estimated FatalitiesFatality Alert Level: YELLOW
ESTIMATED FATALITY ALERT: YELLOW
ESTIMATED FATALITIES (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 (GREEN)
 
15
1 to 9 (YELLOW)
 
33
10 to 99 (YELLOW)
 
35
100 to 999 (ORANGE)
 
14
1 to 10 thousand (RED)
 
2
10 to 100 thousand (RED)0
100 thousand + (RED)0
Estimated Economic LossesEconomic Alert Level: YELLOW
ESTIMATED ECONOMIC ALERT: YELLOW
ESTIMATED VALUE IN USD (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 to 1 million (GREEN)
 
12
1 to 10 million (YELLOW)
 
28
10 to 100 million (YELLOW)
 
35
100 million to 1 billion (ORANGE)
 
20
1 to 10 billion (RED)
 
5
10 to 100 billion (RED)1
100 billion + (RED)0

Detailed Information

Estimated Population Exposed to Earthquake Shaking
Estimated Modified Mercalli IntensityIII-IIIIVVVIVIIVIIIIXX
Est. Population Exposure---*---*14,745k6,906k801k66k2k00
Perceived ShakingNot FeltWeakLightModerateStrongVery StrongSevereViolentExtreme
Potential Structure DamageResistantnonenonenoneV. LightLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. Heavy
VulnerablenonenonenoneLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. HeavyV. Heavy
*Estimated exposure only includes population within calculated shake map area
Population Exposure
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan
Population Exposure Map

Structure Information Summary

Overall, the population in this region resides in structures that are vulnerable to earthquake shaking, though some resistant structures exist. The predominant vulnerable building types are adobe block and precast tilt-up construction.

Historical Earthquakes (with MMI)

Date (UTC)Dist (km)MagMax MMI (#)Shaking Deaths
1983-12-161575.9VIII (60)12
1992-08-192847.2IX (2k)61
1997-01-092615.8VIII (2k)0

Recent earthquakes in this area have caused secondary hazards such as landslides and liquefaction that might have contributed to losses.

Selected Cities Exposedfrom GeoNames Database of Cities with 1,000 or more residents.
MMICityPopulation
VIOltiariq26k
VIHamza13k
VIKhaydarkan12k
VIKomsomol'skiy14k
VFarg`ona164k
VKirgili20k
VNamangan432k
VAndijon318k
IVJalal-Abad76k
IVTashkent1,978k
IVKhujand145k

(k = x1,000)

Historical Events Map
Nearby Events in the EXPO-CAT Earthquake Catalog
#Date/TimeMagLat, Lon, DepthCountryMax MMI (Exposed)DeathsSecondary Effects
ShakingTotal
11973-01-03
14:31 UTC
5.539.16° N, 71.92° E
43km
TJVI (404)00
21974-08-11
01:13 UTC
7.339.38° N, 73.8° E
3km
CNIX (735)00
31974-08-11
05:23 UTC
5.639.37° N, 73.77° E
10km
CNVIII (4)00
41974-08-11
20:05 UTC
5.839.46° N, 73.69° E
9km
KGVIII (10)00
51974-08-11
21:21 UTC
6.139.51° N, 73.63° E
5km
KGVIII (47)00
61974-08-27
12:56 UTC
5.939.56° N, 73.83° E
6km
KGVIII (20)00
71976-07-28
18:24 UTC
5.939.4° N, 72.76° E
29km
KGVIII (14)00
81977-01-31
14:26 UTC
640.09° N, 70.87° E
24km
KGVII (295 k)00
91978-10-08
14:20 UTC
5.939.43° N, 74.76° E
16km
CNVIII (234)00
101978-11-01
19:48 UTC
6.639.36° N, 72.59° E
23km
KGVIII (250)00
111978-11-08
00:57 UTC
5.239.34° N, 72.57° E
28km
TJVI (2 k)00
121982-05-06
15:42 UTC
5.740.15° N, 71.53° E
31km
KGVII (229 k)00
131983-02-13
01:40 UTC
6.240.01° N, 75.23° E
7km
CNIX (7)11
141983-04-05
06:50 UTC
5.839.96° N, 75.26° E
11km
CNVIII (32)00
151983-12-16
13:15 UTC
5.939.36° N, 72.94° E
10km
KGVIII (60)1212
161984-02-15
10:49 UTC
5.240.05° N, 67.65° E
17km
UZVII (16 k)00
171984-02-15
11:16 UTC
4.740.08° N, 67.57° E
17km
UZV (14 k)00
181984-10-26
20:22 UTC
6.139.16° N, 71.35° E
15km
TJVIII (2 k)00
191985-08-23
12:41 UTC
6.939.45° N, 75.24° E
20km
CNIX (773)6767
201985-09-11
20:45 UTC
6.139.36° N, 75.43° E
22km
CNIX (434)33
211985-10-13
15:59 UTC
5.840.35° N, 69.81° E
10km
TJVIII (17 k)2929landslide
221987-04-30
05:17 UTC
5.739.74° N, 74.54° E
9km
CNVIII (10)00
231988-07-20
06:20 UTC
5.537.02° N, 72.9° E
14km
AFVII (148)00
241988-08-12
18:58 UTC
5.439.63° N, 74.56° E
15km
CNVII (113)00
251988-09-25
20:52 UTC
5.537.17° N, 71.78° E
7km
TJVII (740)00
261989-01-22
23:02 UTC
5.338.48° N, 68.7° E
2km
TJVII (121 k)0274landslide
271990-03-05
20:47 UTC
6.136.89° N, 73.02° E
11km
AFVIII (470)00
281990-04-17
01:59 UTC
639.38° N, 74.95° E
3km
CNVII (465)00
291990-11-03
16:39 UTC
5.439.05° N, 71.4° E
9km
TJVII (40)00
301992-05-10
04:04 UTC
5.837.16° N, 72.91° E
39km
AFVIII (8)00
311992-05-15
08:08 UTC
6.241° N, 72.47° E
30km
UZVII (1,954 k)33landslide
321992-08-19
02:04 UTC
7.242.11° N, 73.61° E
13km
KGIX (2 k)6175landslide, liquefaction
331992-08-19
02:12 UTC
6.142.15° N, 73.52° E
2km
KGIX (7)00
341992-08-19
03:12 UTC
6.342.06° N, 73.29° E
18km
KGVIII (181)00
351992-08-19
03:20 UTC
6.642.05° N, 73.24° E
16km
KGIX (104)00
361992-11-23
23:11 UTC
5.638.55° N, 72.61° E
36km
TJVI (2 k)00
371993-11-30
20:37 UTC
5.639.33° N, 75.51° E
13km
CNVIII (1 k)22
381994-01-12
10:22 UTC
5.539.24° N, 75.36° E
37km
CNVII (951)00
391995-10-08
08:55 UTC
5.741° N, 72.1° E
16km
UZVIII (42 k)00
401997-01-09
13:43 UTC
5.841.04° N, 74.29° E
16km
KGVIII (2 k)00
411998-02-04
14:33 UTC
5.937.07° N, 70.04° E
31km
AFVIII (3 k)23232323landslide
421998-05-30
06:22 UTC
6.537.14° N, 70.1° E
34km
AFVII (715 k)40004000landslide
432001-09-02
16:58 UTC
5.538.76° N, 71.96° E
15km
TJVII (21)00
442002-01-09
06:45 UTC
5.238.64° N, 69.84° E
29km
TJVI (51 k)33
452002-02-03
20:59 UTC
4.938.66° N, 69.88° E
27km
TJVI (16 k)00
462002-09-05
11:03 UTC
5.439.72° N, 71.96° E
16km
KGVII (27)00
472002-12-25
12:57 UTC
5.639.56° N, 75.16° E
12km
CNVIII (27)00
482003-05-22
18:11 UTC
5.542.95° N, 72.76° E
35km
KZVII (27 k)33
492003-09-01
23:16 UTC
5.738.59° N, 75.3° E
7km
CNVIII (3)00
502004-11-17
20:58 UTC
5.839.19° N, 71.8° E
16km
TJVIII (4)00
512006-07-06
03:57 UTC
5.839.13° N, 71.82° E
24km
TJVII (14 k)00
522006-07-29
00:11 UTC
5.637.26° N, 68.83° E
34km
TJVII (296 k)33
532007-01-08
17:21 UTC
639.77° N, 70.3° E
16km
KGVIII (329)00
542007-07-21
22:44 UTC
5.238.94° N, 70.49° E
10km
TJVII (71)312landslide
MMICityPopulation
VIOltiariq26k
VIHamza13k
VIKhaydarkan12k
VIKomsomol'skiy14k
VFarg`ona164k
VKirgili20k
VMarg`ilon133k
VShohimardon5k
VToshloq27k
VYaypan20k
VQuvasoy32k
VQo`qon187k
VBatken10k
VIsfara38k
VQuva33k
VKyzyl-Kiya32k
VBeshariq22k
VKaravan1k
VPop22k
VMarhamat15k
VToshbuloq29k
VNefteobod5k
VShurob4k
VVorukh4k
VNamangan432k
VKim2k
VKonibodom50k
VAsaka57k
VHaqqulobod26k
VChortoq50k
VAndijon318k
VTuragurghon28k
VKhujaobod17k
VChust65k
VYangiqurghon28k
IVUchqurghon33k
IVKarakenja3k
IVUychi30k
IVAsht12k
IVQurghontepa26k
IVKara-Su18k
IVChkalovsk22k
IVBazar-Kurgan28k
IVKosonsoy44k
IVJalal-Abad76k
IVAdrasmon13k
IVProletarsk16k
IVOsh200k
IVNovobod5k
IVPalas3k
IVOhangaron36k
IVTashkent1,978k
IVOlmaliq121k
IVAngren127k
IVTash-Kumyr24k
IVKaindisoy5k
IVGharm11k
IVKhujand145k
IVBuston13k
IVBekobod86k
IVTaboshar12k
IVSuluktu15k
IVPiskent28k
IVIsfana17k
IVOltintopkan5k
IVBuka20k
IVBektemir26k
IVOzgon40k
IVSalor26k
IVNov14k
IVIskandar28k
IVChirchiq168k
IVQuruqsoy3k
IVQibray28k
IVYangiyer33k
IVUrtaowul14k
IVPakhtakoron8k
IVGuliston53k
IVKomsomolobod1k
IVZafar25k
IVParkent36k
IVKyzyldzhar3k
IVSaryagash25k
IVRoghun8k
IVChinoz25k
IVKazygurt15k
IVSirdaryo27k
IVDashtobod20k
IVMyrzakent10k
IVIstaravshan53k
IVIl'ich13k
IVObigarm10k
IVKofarnihon43k
IVToktogul19k
IVShymkent414k
IVSovety9k
IVAksu26k
IVDushanbe543k
IVDanghara23k
IVHisor24k
IVLenger21k
IVTagob3k
IVLeningrad12k
IVAyny2k
IVNorak18k
IVVarzob2k
IVKuybishevsk10k
IVArys'36k
IVYovan17k
IVKulob79k
IVKhodzha-Maston10k
IVBoshkengash24k
IVMurghob11k

(k = x1,000)


PAGER content is automatically generated, and only considers losses due to structural damage. Limitations of input data, shaking estimates, and loss models may add uncertainty. PAGER results are generally available within 30 minutes of the earthquake’s occurrence. However, information on the extent of shaking will be uncertain in the minutes and hours following an earthquake and typically improves as additional sensor data and reported intensities are acquired and incorporated into models of the earthquake's source. Users of PAGER estimates should account for uncertainty and always seek the most current PAGER release for any earthquake.