PAGER - M 6.5 - SOUTHEASTERN IRAN

Alert level does not include impacts from earthquake-related hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires or liquefaction.

Earthquake Shaking Alert Level: ORANGE

Download Alert PDFWhat's this?Monday, December 20th, 2010 at 18:41:59 UTC (22:11:59 local)Location: 28.5° N, 59.1° EDepth: 11kmEvent Id: USC0000RAKAlert Version: 4Created: 5 hours, 17 minutes after earthquake.
Global Location

Alert Information

Orange alert level for shaking-related fatalities. Significant casualties are likely and the disaster is potentially widespread. Past events with this alert level have required a regional or national level response. Yellow alert level for economic losses. Some damage is possible. Estimated economic losses are less than 1% of GDP of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Estimated FatalitiesFatality Alert Level: ORANGE
ESTIMATED FATALITY ALERT: ORANGE
ESTIMATED FATALITIES (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 (GREEN)1
1 to 9 (YELLOW)
 
6
10 to 99 (YELLOW)
 
22
100 to 999 (ORANGE)
 
35
1 to 10 thousand (RED)
 
26
10 to 100 thousand (RED)
 
8
100 thousand + (RED)1
Estimated Economic LossesEconomic Alert Level: YELLOW
ESTIMATED ECONOMIC ALERT: YELLOW
ESTIMATED VALUE IN USD (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 to 1 million (GREEN)
 
12
1 to 10 million (YELLOW)
 
28
10 to 100 million (YELLOW)
 
35
100 million to 1 billion (ORANGE)
 
20
1 to 10 billion (RED)
 
5
10 to 100 billion (RED)1
100 billion + (RED)0

Detailed Information

Estimated Population Exposed to Earthquake Shaking
Estimated Modified Mercalli IntensityIII-IIIIVVVIVIIVIIIIXX
Est. Population Exposure---*---*4,082k*556k29k16k6k40
Perceived ShakingNot FeltWeakLightModerateStrongVery StrongSevereViolentExtreme
Potential Structure DamageResistantnonenonenoneV. LightLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. Heavy
VulnerablenonenonenoneLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. HeavyV. Heavy
*Estimated exposure only includes population within calculated shake map area
Population Exposure
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan
Population Exposure Map

Structure Information Summary

Overall, the population in this region resides in structures that are highly vulnerable to earthquake shaking, though some resistant structures exist. The predominant vulnerable building types are adobe block and unreinforced brick with concrete floor construction.

Historical Earthquakes (with MMI)

Date (UTC)Dist (km)MagMax MMI (#)Shaking Deaths
1975-03-073056.1VIII (558)7
1977-03-212886.7VIII (527)167
2003-12-26986.6IX (70k)26271

Recent earthquakes in this area have caused secondary hazards such as landslides that might have contributed to losses.

Selected Cities Exposedfrom GeoNames Database of Cities with 1,000 or more residents.
MMICityPopulation
VBam99k
IVKhash70k
IVIranshahr131k
IVZahedan552k
IVMinab71k
IVKerman578k
IVBardsir37k
IVBandar 'Abbas352k
IVQeshm95k
IVZarand59k
IVZabol122k

(k = x1,000)

Historical Events Map
Nearby Events in the EXPO-CAT Earthquake Catalog
#Date/TimeMagLat, Lon, DepthCountryMax MMI (Exposed)DeathsSecondary Effects
ShakingTotal
11975-03-07
07:04 UTC
6.127.48° N, 56.23° E
21km
IRVIII (558)77
21975-12-24
11:48 UTC
5.527.01° N, 55.47° E
8km
IRVII (192)00
31977-01-05
05:44 UTC
5.127.44° N, 56.22° E
20km
IRVI (4 k)00
41977-03-21
21:18 UTC
6.727.6° N, 56.36° E
32km
IRVIII (527)167167
51977-03-21
22:42 UTC
6.127.61° N, 56.47° E
27km
IRVIII (356)00
61977-03-22
11:57 UTC
5.927.6° N, 56.42° E
16km
IRVIII (107)00
71977-03-23
23:51 UTC
5.527.59° N, 56.56° E
9km
IRVII (149)00
81977-04-01
13:36 UTC
5.927.56° N, 56.29° E
5km
IRVIII (137)00
91977-09-17
05:25 UTC
5.630.88° N, 56.63° E
33km
IRVII (65 k)00
101977-12-10
05:46 UTC
5.627.69° N, 56.58° E
14km
IRVII (182)33
111977-12-19
23:34 UTC
5.930.91° N, 56.41° E
14km
IRVII (35 k)665665
121979-01-10
01:26 UTC
626.56° N, 60.91° E
6km
IRVIII (43)00
131979-01-10
15:05 UTC
6.126.5° N, 60.99° E
3km
IRIX (1)00
141980-11-28
21:15 UTC
5.427.61° N, 56.53° E
8km
IRVII (86)00
151981-06-11
07:24 UTC
6.629.86° N, 57.68° E
15km
IRIX (2 k)30003000
161981-07-28
17:22 UTC
7.229.99° N, 57.77° E
14km
IRIX (3 k)15001500
171982-12-19
19:40 UTC
5.930.51° N, 57.51° E
24km
IRVIII (2)00
181983-02-07
15:06 UTC
5.926.87° N, 57.57° E
23km
IRVIII (225)00
191983-04-18
10:58 UTC
6.727.77° N, 62.05° E
64km
IRVII (89 k)00
201983-07-12
11:34 UTC
627.61° N, 56.4° E
20km
IRVIII (304)00
211984-08-06
11:14 UTC
5.430.8° N, 57.17° E
5km
IRVII (1)00
221987-04-29
01:45 UTC
5.727.42° N, 56.11° E
9km
IRVII (2 k)00
231987-12-18
16:24 UTC
5.828.15° N, 56.66° E
21km
IRVIII (8)00
241989-11-20
04:19 UTC
5.929.9° N, 57.72° E
19km
IRVIII (2 k)33
251989-12-07
12:59 UTC
5.925.92° N, 58.97° E
12km
IRVIII (127)00
261990-11-06
18:45 UTC
6.628.23° N, 55.46° E
10km
IRIX (5 k)2222
271990-11-06
19:30 UTC
5.728.23° N, 55.35° E
40km
IRVIII (106)00
281992-05-19
12:24 UTC
5.628.28° N, 55.6° E
15km
IRVIII (5)00
291992-12-17
10:39 UTC
5.725.9° N, 61.44° E
39km
IRVII (3 k)00
301994-02-23
08:02 UTC
6.130.79° N, 60.53° E
12km
IRVII (508)66
311994-02-23
11:54 UTC
5.530.81° N, 60.54° E
9km
IRVI (2 k)00
321994-02-24
00:11 UTC
6.330.79° N, 60.51° E
10km
IRVIII (45)00
331994-02-26
02:31 UTC
630.8° N, 60.54° E
7km
IRVII (453)00
341994-02-28
11:13 UTC
5.630.91° N, 60.62° E
7km
IRVIII (2)00
351995-01-24
04:14 UTC
4.927.57° N, 55.68° E
15km
IRVI (183)00
361996-02-26
08:08 UTC
5.528.27° N, 57.03° E
30km
IRVII (4 k)00
371997-04-19
05:53 UTC
5.527.95° N, 56.86° E
23km
IRVII (3 k)00
381998-03-14
19:40 UTC
6.630.13° N, 57.58° E
18km
IRIX (3 k)55
391999-03-04
05:38 UTC
6.628.32° N, 57.21° E
23km
IRVIII (15 k)11
401999-03-04
05:47 UTC
5.628.3° N, 57.11° E
31km
IRVII (8 k)00
412003-08-21
04:02 UTC
5.929.01° N, 59.74° E
11km
IRVIII (16)00
422003-12-26
01:56 UTC
6.628.95° N, 58.26° E
14km
IRIX (70 k)2627126271landslide
432005-02-22
02:25 UTC
6.430.71° N, 56.77° E
7km
IRIX (156)612612
442005-11-27
10:22 UTC
5.926.84° N, 55.81° E
49km
IRVIII (5 k)1313
452005-11-27
16:30 UTC
5.526.87° N, 55.79° E
11km
IRVIII (176)00
462006-02-28
07:31 UTC
628.13° N, 56.82° E
18km
IRVIII (165)00
472006-03-25
07:28 UTC
5.927.56° N, 55.63° E
18km
IRVIII (63)11
482006-03-25
09:55 UTC
5.527.54° N, 55.78° E
10km
IRVII (46)00
492006-05-07
06:20 UTC
530.79° N, 56.7° E
14km
IRVI (59 k)00
502006-06-03
07:15 UTC
5.126.76° N, 55.84° E
12km
IRVII (3 k)22
512006-06-28
21:02 UTC
5.826.9° N, 55.83° E
11km
IRVIII (3 k)00
522007-08-25
04:24 UTC
528.15° N, 56.65° E
10km
IRVI (836)00

PAGER content is automatically generated, and only considers losses due to structural damage. Limitations of input data, shaking estimates, and loss models may add uncertainty. PAGER results are generally available within 30 minutes of the earthquake’s occurrence. However, information on the extent of shaking will be uncertain in the minutes and hours following an earthquake and typically improves as additional sensor data and reported intensities are acquired and incorporated into models of the earthquake's source. Users of PAGER estimates should account for uncertainty and always seek the most current PAGER release for any earthquake.