PAGER - M 7.7 - PAKISTAN

Alert level does not include impacts from earthquake-related hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires or liquefaction.

Earthquake Shaking Alert Level: RED

Download Alert PDFWhat's this?Tuesday, September 24th, 2013 at 11:29:47 UTC (16:29:47 local)Location: 27° N, 65.5° EDepth: 15kmEvent Id: USB000JYIVAlert Version: 24Created: 11 weeks, 2 days after earthquake.
Global Location

Alert Information

Red alert level for shaking-related fatalities. High casualties are probable and the disaster is likely widespread. Past events with this alert level have required a national or international level response. Orange alert level for economic losses. Significant damage is likely. Estimated economic losses are less than 1% of GDP of Pakistan.
Estimated FatalitiesFatality Alert Level: RED
ESTIMATED FATALITY ALERT: RED
ESTIMATED FATALITIES (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 (GREEN)0
1 to 9 (YELLOW)1
10 to 99 (YELLOW)
 
7
100 to 999 (ORANGE)
 
24
1 to 10 thousand (RED)
 
35
10 to 100 thousand (RED)
 
24
100 thousand + (RED)
 
8
Estimated Economic LossesEconomic Alert Level: ORANGE
ESTIMATED ECONOMIC ALERT: ORANGE
ESTIMATED VALUE IN USD (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 to 1 million (GREEN)1
1 to 10 million (YELLOW)
 
6
10 to 100 million (YELLOW)
 
22
100 million to 1 billion (ORANGE)
 
35
1 to 10 billion (RED)
 
25
10 to 100 billion (RED)
 
8
100 billion + (RED)1

Detailed Information

Estimated Population Exposed to Earthquake Shaking
Estimated Modified Mercalli IntensityIII-IIIIVVVIVIIVIIIIXX
Est. Population Exposure---*---*20,691k*10,193k*550k75k71k6k0
Perceived ShakingNot FeltWeakLightModerateStrongVery StrongSevereViolentExtreme
Potential Structure DamageResistantnonenonenoneV. LightLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. Heavy
VulnerablenonenonenoneLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. HeavyV. Heavy
*Estimated exposure only includes population within calculated shake map area
Population Exposure
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan
Population Exposure Map

Structure Information Summary

Overall, the population in this region resides in structures that are highly vulnerable to earthquake shaking, though some resistant structures exist. The predominant vulnerable building types are unreinforced brick masonry and rubble/field stone masonry construction.

Historical Earthquakes (with MMI)

Date (UTC)Dist (km)MagMax MMI (#)Shaking Deaths
1975-10-033916.4IX (55)0
1990-06-17556.1VIII (735)6
1990-03-042326IX (156)11

Selected Cities Exposedfrom GeoNames Database of Cities with 1,000 or more residents.
MMICityPopulation
VIIIAwaran0
VIPanjgur0
VITurbat76k
VBela20k
VPasni33k
VOrmara13k
VLarkana364k
IVNawabshah230k
IVMalir Cantonment300k
IVHyderabad1,386k
IVKarachi11,624k

(k = x1,000)

Historical Events Map
Nearby Events in the EXPO-CAT Earthquake Catalog
#Date/TimeMagLat, Lon, DepthCountryMax MMI (Exposed)DeathsSecondary Effects
ShakingTotal
11974-10-04
22:24 UTC
5.926.32° N, 66.57° E
6km
PKVIII (80)00
21975-10-03
05:14 UTC
6.730.24° N, 66.29° E
1km
AFIX (901)00
31975-10-03
17:31 UTC
6.430.39° N, 66.35° E
1km
PKIX (55)00
41977-07-13
08:09 UTC
5.529.87° N, 67.33° E
9km
PKVII (967)00
51978-02-10
20:50 UTC
5.525.26° N, 62.33° E
24km
PKVII (17 k)00
61978-05-06
11:16 UTC
5.929.8° N, 66.13° E
16km
PKVIII (103)00
71981-12-12
20:26 UTC
4.629.91° N, 67.08° E
35km
PKV (486 k)66
81982-03-24
14:27 UTC
4.728.24° N, 69.24° E
33km
PKIV (117 k)00
91983-04-18
10:58 UTC
6.727.77° N, 62.05° E
64km
IRVII (89 k)00
101984-01-18
14:08 UTC
5.628.01° N, 65.75° E
10km
PKVIII (24)00
111990-03-04
19:46 UTC
628.9° N, 66.36° E
5km
PKIX (156)1111
121990-06-17
04:51 UTC
6.127.41° N, 65.7° E
12km
PKVIII (735)66
131990-07-26
06:53 UTC
5.927.35° N, 65.58° E
15km
PKVIII (48)00
141990-09-08
19:33 UTC
5.527.53° N, 66.1° E
34km
PKVII (17 k)00
151992-01-20
08:58 UTC
5.527.54° N, 66.09° E
20km
PKVII (5 k)00
161992-01-30
05:22 UTC
5.824.95° N, 63.16° E
27km
PKVII (466)00
171992-04-24
07:07 UTC
627.54° N, 66.1° E
20km
PKVIII (6 k)00
181992-08-28
00:50 UTC
5.529.21° N, 66.82° E
6km
PKVII (4 k)44
192000-06-04
17:52 UTC
628.72° N, 65.27° E
12km
PKVIII (445)00
202004-05-08
20:11 UTC
4.530.17° N, 67.07° E
35km
PKV (914 k)11
MMICityPopulation
VIIIAwaran0
VIPanjgur0
VITurbat76k
VBela20k
VPasni33k
VOrmara13k
VUthal16k
VSita Road28k
VJohi16k
VPhulji8k
VKharan31k
VKhairpur Nathan Shah30k
VKhuzdar0
VWarah19k
VSurab13k
VMehar30k
VDadu140k
VBhan17k
VRadhan17k
VNasirabad28k
VShahdadkot75k
VSehwan41k
VKambar77k
VGandava0
VNew Badah39k
VMoro77k
VGoth Garelo7k
VDaulatpur15k
VDokri15k
VChowki Jamali2k
VTharu Shah18k
VNaushahro Firoz18k
VMiro Khan11k
VGarhi Khairo14k
VDalbandin15k
VMehrabpur35k
VKandiaro27k
VBhiria12k
VLarkana364k
VUsta Muhammad44k
VRatodero48k
VPad Idan21k
VDarya Khan Marri9k
VSobhadero15k
VBandhi9k
VSann9k
VNaudero33k
VKaraundi9k
VHingorja22k
VDaur18k
VSetharja Old33k
VSakrand32k
VMadeji15k
IVGadani13k
IVNawabshah230k
IVKalat27k
IVDera Murad Jamali0
IVJhatpat0
IVBhag15k
IVJacobabad171k
IVMalir Cantonment300k
IVHala48k
IVBhit Shah19k
IVMirpur Sakro8k
IVKotri73k
IVMatiari19k
IVHyderabad1,386k
IVNushki28k
IVSibi64k
IVGharo20k
IVDaro Mehar11k
IVBulri5k
IVChuhar Jamali16k
IVMirpur Batoro9k
IVJamshoro0
IVDadhar15k
IVThatta44k
IVJati9k
IVKarachi11,624k

(k = x1,000)


PAGER content is automatically generated, and only considers losses due to structural damage. Limitations of input data, shaking estimates, and loss models may add uncertainty. PAGER results are generally available within 30 minutes of the earthquake’s occurrence. However, information on the extent of shaking will be uncertain in the minutes and hours following an earthquake and typically improves as additional sensor data and reported intensities are acquired and incorporated into models of the earthquake's source. Users of PAGER estimates should account for uncertainty and always seek the most current PAGER release for any earthquake.