PAGER - M 6.4 - NORTHWESTERN IRAN

Alert level does not include impacts from earthquake-related hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires or liquefaction.

Earthquake Shaking Alert Level: ORANGE

Download Alert PDFWhat's this?Saturday, August 11th, 2012 at 12:23:17 UTC (15:30:50 local)Location: 38.3° N, 46.9° EDepth: 9kmEvent Id: USB000BUPAAlert Version: 3Created: 1 hour, 31 minutes after earthquake.
Global Location

Alert Information

Orange alert level for shaking-related fatalities. Significant casualties are likely and the disaster is potentially widespread. Past events with this alert level have required a regional or national level response. Yellow alert level for economic losses. Some damage is possible. Estimated economic losses are less than 1% of GDP of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Estimated FatalitiesFatality Alert Level: ORANGE
ESTIMATED FATALITY ALERT: ORANGE
ESTIMATED FATALITIES (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 (GREEN)0
1 to 9 (YELLOW)
 
4
10 to 99 (YELLOW)
 
17
100 to 999 (ORANGE)
 
33
1 to 10 thousand (RED)
 
31
10 to 100 thousand (RED)
 
13
100 thousand + (RED)
 
2
Estimated Economic LossesEconomic Alert Level: YELLOW
ESTIMATED ECONOMIC ALERT: YELLOW
ESTIMATED VALUE IN USD (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 to 1 million (GREEN)
 
8
1 to 10 million (YELLOW)
 
23
10 to 100 million (YELLOW)
 
35
100 million to 1 billion (ORANGE)
 
25
1 to 10 billion (RED)
 
8
10 to 100 billion (RED)1
100 billion + (RED)0

Detailed Information

Estimated Population Exposed to Earthquake Shaking
Estimated Modified Mercalli IntensityIII-IIIIVVVIVIIVIIIIXX
Est. Population Exposure---*6,424k*10,929k3,385k941k186k6k00
Perceived ShakingNot FeltWeakLightModerateStrongVery StrongSevereViolentExtreme
Potential Structure DamageResistantnonenonenoneV. LightLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. Heavy
VulnerablenonenonenoneLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. HeavyV. Heavy
*Estimated exposure only includes population within calculated shake map area
Population Exposure
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan
Population Exposure Map

Structure Information Summary

Overall, the population in this region resides in structures that are highly vulnerable to earthquake shaking, though some resistant structures exist. The predominant vulnerable building types are adobe block and unreinforced brick with timber floor construction.

Historical Earthquakes (with MMI)

Date (UTC)Dist (km)MagMax MMI (#)Shaking Deaths
1990-07-062675.3VII (364)0
2002-06-223586.5VIII (4k)227
1990-06-202517.4IX (83k)45000

Recent earthquakes in this area have caused secondary hazards such as landslides that might have contributed to losses.

Selected Cities Exposedfrom GeoNames Database of Cities with 1,000 or more residents.
MMICityPopulation
VIIAhar94k
VTabriz1,425k
VMincivan6k
VMeghri5k
VIcari7k
VHashtrud17k
VKapan33k
VArdabil411k
IVAgcabadi35k
IVYeghegnadzor0
IVKalbacar0

(k = x1,000)

Historical Events Map
Nearby Events in the EXPO-CAT Earthquake Catalog
#Date/TimeMagLat, Lon, DepthCountryMax MMI (Exposed)DeathsSecondary Effects
ShakingTotal
11975-01-14
22:07 UTC
5.135.4° N, 44.81° E
15km
IQV (59 k)00
21976-04-02
16:58 UTC
4.639.8° N, 43.69° E
25km
TRVI (7 k)44
31976-11-24
12:22 UTC
739.08° N, 44.03° E
9km
TRIX (33 k)39003900
41977-05-26
01:35 UTC
5.638.9° N, 44.32° E
17km
IRVIII (158)33
51978-11-04
15:22 UTC
6.337.67° N, 48.91° E
26km
IRVIII (59 k)00
61980-05-04
18:35 UTC
6.538.05° N, 49.01° E
27km
IRIX (219)00
71980-07-22
05:17 UTC
5.537.32° N, 50.26° E
25km
IRVII (292 k)11
81980-12-18
14:31 UTC
4.835.79° N, 44.39° E
33km
IQIV (2 k)00
91980-12-19
13:42 UTC
4.935.62° N, 44.45° E
20km
IQV (167)00
101981-07-23
00:05 UTC
5.837.09° N, 45.2° E
34km
IRVIII (404)00
111983-07-22
02:41 UTC
5.636.94° N, 49.21° E
20km
IRVIII (63)33
121984-12-03
07:38 UTC
5.737.96° N, 43.1° E
10km
TRVIII (21)00
131986-08-18
09:49 UTC
4.935.87° N, 44.4° E
33km
IQIV (8 k)00
141988-12-07
07:41 UTC
6.740.92° N, 44.12° E
7km
AMIX (50 k)2500025000
151988-12-07
07:45 UTC
5.940.93° N, 44.21° E
16km
AMVIII (1 k)00
161990-06-20
21:00 UTC
7.437.01° N, 49.21° E
18km
IRIX (83 k)4500035000landslide
171990-06-21
09:02 UTC
5.736.63° N, 49.79° E
13km
IRVIII (99)2020
181990-07-06
19:34 UTC
5.336.86° N, 49.3° E
20km
IRVII (364)00landslide
191991-07-24
09:45 UTC
5.536.6° N, 44.06° E
20km
IQVII (2 k)2020
201991-11-28
17:19 UTC
5.636.83° N, 49.58° E
18km
IRVIII (121)11landslide
211993-04-08
09:48 UTC
4.737.9° N, 47.99° E
10km
IRVI (1 k)00
221997-02-28
12:57 UTC
6.138.1° N, 48.04° E
44km
IRVIII (7 k)11001100
231998-07-09
14:19 UTC
5.938.71° N, 48.52° E
30km
AZVII (414 k)11
241999-06-04
09:12 UTC
5.440.77° N, 47.48° E
14km
AZVII (3 k)00
252000-11-15
15:05 UTC
5.538.43° N, 42.97° E
32km
TRVII (1 k)00
262000-11-25
18:09 UTC
6.840.19° N, 49.92° E
50km
AZVIII (81 k)55
272000-11-25
18:10 UTC
6.540.16° N, 49.91° E
53km
AZVII (2,049 k)00
282002-06-22
02:58 UTC
6.535.59° N, 49.02° E
11km
IRVIII (4 k)227227
292002-06-26
18:18 UTC
4.635.55° N, 48.87° E
8km
IRVI (5 k)00
302004-07-01
22:30 UTC
5.139.74° N, 43.91° E
27km
TRVII (755)1818
312004-07-30
07:14 UTC
4.839.69° N, 43.94° E
20km
TRVI (2 k)11
322005-01-25
16:44 UTC
5.937.65° N, 43.68° E
38km
TRVII (25 k)22
332007-01-21
07:38 UTC
5.239.59° N, 42.86° E
3km
TRVII (109)00
MMICityPopulation
VIIAhar94k
VTabriz1,425k
VMincivan6k
VMeghri5k
VIcari7k
VHashtrud17k
VMarand124k
VAzar Shahr37k
VOrdubad10k
VAgarak5k
VKapan33k
VDzorastan1k
VQubadli7k
VCabrayil8k
VArdabil411k
IV`Ajab Shir30k
IVCulfa11k
IVHoradiz3k
IVBonab80k
IVShinuhayr2k
IVHadrut3k
IVYardimli4k
IVKhndzoresk2k
IVGoris20k
IVVerishen2k
IVTegh2k
IVBrrun1k
IVLerik7k
IVHats'avan15k
IVQirmizi Bazar1k
IVBrrnakot'2k
IVAngeghakot'2k
IVSusa19k
IVOrconikidze2k
IVShaghat1k
IVNaxcivan65k
IVHerowabad51k
IVXocavand5k
IVSahbuz3k
IVMiandoab133k
IVKijoba5k
IVKhvoy175k
IVGoytapa13k
IVHaftoni2k
IVCalilabad36k
IVBoradigah6k
IVParsabad102k
IVMasalli10k
IVAstara15k
IVQareh Zia' od Din32k
IVAstara39k
IVXocali6k
IVAsgaran2k
IVOrumiyeh577k
IVAgdam39k
IVHashtpar45k
IVSalmas82k
IVShahin Dezh41k
IVZarrit'ap'1k
IVBilasuvar18k
IVVayk'5k
IVImisli31k
IVAgcabadi35k
IVJermuk5k
IVMahabad162k
IVNaqadeh74k
IVMalishka4k
IVAgarakadzor1k
IVYeghegnadzor0
IVGladzor2k
IVBukan213k
IVVernashen1k
IVGetap'2k
IVAgdara10k
IVOshnaviyeh51k
IVKalbacar0
IVAreni2k
IVTakab52k
IVShatin2k
IVRrind1k
IVArtabuynk'1k
IVAghavnadzor2k
IVTel'mankend17k
IVZardab11k
IVAkunk'3k
IVTartar18k
IVZangakatun1k
IVVardenis11k
IVSalyan37k
IVXilli4k
IVBarda37k
IVMets Masrik3k
IVHasanabad4k
IVZanjan357k
IVTsovak3k
IVSabirabad28k
IVKarchaghbyur2k
IVSadarak2k
IVSemdinli19k
IVVardenik8k
IVArtsvanist3k
IVNeftcala19k
IVSaqqez151k
IVSurenavan2k
IVTsovinar4k
IVBanka7k
IVArmash2k
IVMadina1k
IVKaranlukh5k
IVAstghadzor4k
IVVaghashen3k
IVQaracala4k
IVNaftalan7k
IVYuksekova72k
IVVerin Getashen4k
IVMartuni11k
IVGeghamasar1k
IVBandar-e Anzali111k
IVNerk'in Getashen7k
IVYuxari Daskasan2k
IVT'azagyugh2k
IVLichk'4k
IVAli Bayramli70k
IVQizilhacili6k
IVDaskasan0
IVArarat29k
IVUcar16k
IVBaskale15k
IVYenikend2k
IVNoyakert2k
IVAvshar4k
IVDzoragyugh4k
IVVardadzor2k
IVYevlax54k
IVGoranboy7k
IVYeghegnavan1k
IVAygavan4k
IVYeranos4k
IVXanlar18k
IVAran7k
IVOzalp8k
IVVedi12k
IVMugan4k
IVVosketap'4k
IVSisavan2k
IVAralek2k
IVQazimammad23k
IVAgdas24k
IVLanjaghbyur2k
IVGadabay9k
IVRasht595k
IVSarukhan6k
IVShahumyan4k
IVAygezard3k
IVAygepat1k
IVGandzak4k
IVGoycay35k
IIIVostan3k
IIIMrgavan2k
IIIDalar3k
IIIArtashat21k
IIIVerin Artashat4k
IIINoratus5k
IIIGavarr22k
IIIGoght'2k
IIIGarrni7k
IIIBaneh105k
IIIBerkanush2k
IIIVerin Dvin2k
IIINorashen3k
IIIDvin3k
IIIAygestan2k
IIIBurastan2k
IIIMrganush1k
IIIGetazat2k
IIIByuravan1k
IIIArevshat2k
IIIAbovyan1k
IIIBartsrashen1k
IIINshavan2k
IIIDogubayazit70k
IIIJrashen2k
IIIDimitrov1k
IIIMrgavet2k
IIIVahan1k
IIIJrahovit1k
IIIHovtashen1k
IIIArevabuyr1k
IIIAgsu17k
IIIRawandoz23k
IIIZarr1k
IIINoramarg2k
IIIMarmarashen3k
IIILchap'1k
IIIDzoraghbyur2k
IIIChambarak6k
IIIKamaris2k
IIITsovazard2k
IIIMasis19k
IIIDrakhtik1k
IIIAramus3k
IIIAkunk'2k
IIIYerevan1,093k
IIISis1k
IIINor Gyugh1k
IIIMayakovski2k
IIISayat'-Nova2k
IIIZorak1k
IIIKotayk'2k
IIIBalahovit3k
IIIAbovyan36k
IIINorabats'2k
IIIDarakert2k
IIIDashtavan2k
IIINizami1k
IIIPtghni1k
IIIKaputan1k
IIIK'anak'erravan3k
IIIGhukasavan2k
IIIGeghanist2k
IIIArgavand2k
IIIQobustan13k
IIIHayanist2k
IIIByureghavan7k
IIIArzni2k
IIIArbat'2k
IIIArak's1k
IIIGay3k
IIIHaykashen1k
IIIHovtashat3k
IIISevan17k
IIIPtghunk'1k
IIINor Geghi5k
IIIMrgashen2k
IIIMetsamor9k
IIIMerdzavan3k
IIILerrnanist3k
IIILchashen4k
IIIFantan1k
IIIArevashat1k
IIIMusalerr2k
IIIAknashen1k
IIISamaxi29k
IIIPrroshyan4k
IIIArgel3k
IIIApaga2k
IIIBaghramyan2k
IIIVoskehat2k
IIIGriboyedov2k
IIIAygek1k
IIIAlvand75k
IIIMargara1k
IIIYeraskhahun1k
IIIVarser2k
IIISolak2k
IIINorakert2k
IIIHrazdan41k
IIIGeghamavan2k
IIIGagarin1k
IIIArtimet2k
IIIMaraza4k
IIIEjmiatsin50k
IIIYeghvard11k
IIITsovagyugh4k
IIITsaghkunk'1k
IIIZoravan1k
IIIKhoronk'2k
IIIBjni3k
IIIArazap1k
IIIYeghegnut2k
IIISamaghar2k
IIIHovtamej1k
IIITsiatsan1k
IIIDdmashen2k
IIIArzakan3k
IIIArshaluys4k
IIINor Yerznka1k
IIINor Sasunik2k
IIITaronik2k
IIIZovaber1k
IIITsaghkadzor1k
IIITandzut2k
IIIPshatavan2k
IIIDoghs1k
IIIAygeshat1k
IIIAygeshat2k
IIIAshtarak19k
IIIArgavand2k
IIIAghavnatun3k
IIIKhorram Darreh51k
IIIVoskevaz4k
IIIKarbi4k
IIIJanfida3k
IIIBuzhakan2k
IIIAknalich3k
IIIArevik2k
IIIAmberd1k
IIIUshi1k
IIISovetakan2k
IIIOshakan5k
IIIMrgashat5k
IIIArmavir3k
IIIAghavnadzor1k
IIIMetsamor1k
IIINalbandyan4k
IIIZhdanov2k
IIIAbhar70k
IIIShenavan2k
IIIHoktember5k
IIINor Armavir2k
IIIMeghradzor3k
IIIArmavir26k
IIIGetashen2k
IIIByurakan4k
IIIBambakashat3k
IIIKoi Sanjaq45k
IIILukashin2k
IIILenughi2k
IIIZovuni4k
IIIShenavan2k
IIIKosh3k
IIIKasakh4k
IIIPuta1k
IIIKorgoz2k
IIIAragats3k
IIIAgarak2k
IIIMyasnikyan3k
IIILokbatan31k
IIIGuzdak2k
IIIAparan6k
IIIQobu7k
IIIBadamdar11k
IIIAshnak1k
IIIXocasan5k
IIITsaghkahovit2k
IIIHaci Zeynalabdin19k
IIICeyranbatan6k
IIIBilacari42k
IIISumqayit265k
IIISaray10k
IIIBinaqadi14k
IIIBaku1,117k
IIIHnaberd2k
IIICorat9k
IIIArbil933k
IIIDigah3k
IIITakestan72k
IIIPokr Mantash2k
IIIMets Mant'ash2k
IIILerrnakert1k
IIIArevshat2k
IIISpandaryan1k
IIIPemzashen2k
IIIAnushavan2k
IIIMeghrashen1k

(k = x1,000)


PAGER content is automatically generated, and only considers losses due to structural damage. Limitations of input data, shaking estimates, and loss models may add uncertainty. PAGER results are generally available within 30 minutes of the earthquake’s occurrence. However, information on the extent of shaking will be uncertain in the minutes and hours following an earthquake and typically improves as additional sensor data and reported intensities are acquired and incorporated into models of the earthquake's source. Users of PAGER estimates should account for uncertainty and always seek the most current PAGER release for any earthquake.