PAGER - M 6.1 - EASTERN TURKEY

Alert level does not include impacts from earthquake-related hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires or liquefaction.

Earthquake Shaking Alert Level: YELLOW

Download Alert PDFWhat's this?Monday, March 8th, 2010 at 02:32:34 UTC (05:32:34 local)Location: 38.9° N, 40° EDepth: 12kmEvent Id: US2010TPACAlert Version: 1Created: 28 weeks, 4 days after earthquake.
Global Location

Alert Information

Yellow alert for shaking-related fatalities and economic losses. Some casualties and damage are possible and the impact should be relatively localized. Past yellow alerts have required a local or regional level response. Estimated economic losses are less than 1% of GDP of Turkey.
Estimated FatalitiesFatality Alert Level: YELLOW
ESTIMATED FATALITY ALERT: YELLOW
ESTIMATED FATALITIES (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 (GREEN)
 
3
1 to 9 (YELLOW)
 
36
10 to 99 (YELLOW)
 
52
100 to 999 (ORANGE)
 
9
1 to 10 thousand (RED)0
10 to 100 thousand (RED)0
100 thousand + (RED)0
Estimated Economic LossesEconomic Alert Level: YELLOW
ESTIMATED ECONOMIC ALERT: YELLOW
ESTIMATED VALUE IN USD (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 to 1 million (GREEN)1
1 to 10 million (YELLOW)
 
11
10 to 100 million (YELLOW)
 
43
100 million to 1 billion (ORANGE)
 
38
1 to 10 billion (RED)
 
7
10 to 100 billion (RED)0
100 billion + (RED)0

Detailed Information

Estimated Population Exposed to Earthquake Shaking
Estimated Modified Mercalli IntensityIII-IIIIVVVIVIIVIIIIXX
Est. Population Exposure---*---*4,362k*2,002k84k42k13k00
Perceived ShakingNot FeltWeakLightModerateStrongVery StrongSevereViolentExtreme
Potential Structure DamageResistantnonenonenoneV. LightLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. Heavy
VulnerablenonenonenoneLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. HeavyV. Heavy
*Estimated exposure only includes population within calculated shake map area
Population Exposure
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan
Population Exposure Map

Structure Information Summary

Overall, the population in this region resides in structures that are a mix of vulnerable and earthquake resistant construction. The predominant vulnerable building types are adobe block and unreinforced brick masonry construction.

Historical Earthquakes (with MMI)

Date (UTC)Dist (km)MagMax MMI (#)Shaking Deaths
1975-09-06786.7VIII (1k)2370
1976-11-243507IX (33k)3900
1986-05-052166VIII (3k)15

Recent earthquakes in this area have caused secondary hazards such as landslides that might have contributed to losses.

Selected Cities Exposedfrom GeoNames Database of Cities with 1,000 or more residents.
MMICityPopulation
VIIIKarakocan30k
VIKovancilar23k
VIPalu11k
VINazimiye3k
VElazig298k
VAricak5k
VDiyarbakir645k
IVBatman302k
IVMalatya442k
IVErzurum421k
IVSiirt114k

(k = x1,000)

Historical Events Map
Nearby Events in the EXPO-CAT Earthquake Catalog
#Date/TimeMagLat, Lon, DepthCountryMax MMI (Exposed)DeathsSecondary Effects
ShakingTotal
11975-01-12
04:39 UTC
540.59° N, 41.96° E
35km
TRVI (19 k)00
21975-09-06
09:20 UTC
6.738.51° N, 40.76° E
39km
TRVIII (1 k)23702370
31975-11-14
12:32 UTC
4.738.61° N, 40.7° E
41km
TRV (70 k)00
41975-12-30
14:36 UTC
4.638.6° N, 40.53° E
32km
TRV (149 k)33
51976-03-25
11:55 UTC
4.840.94° N, 42.95° E
35km
TRVI (1 k)11
61976-04-02
16:58 UTC
4.639.8° N, 43.69° E
25km
TRVI (7 k)44
71976-04-29
22:18 UTC
5.540.94° N, 42.87° E
7km
TRVII (2 k)44
81976-07-02
08:50 UTC
4.338.45° N, 40.07° E
30km
TRV (70 k)00
91976-07-09
09:34 UTC
4.238.33° N, 40.46° E
33km
TRV (49 k)11
101976-09-05
22:07 UTC
5.138.46° N, 40.94° E
18km
TRVII (229)00
111976-11-24
12:22 UTC
739.08° N, 44.03° E
9km
TRIX (33 k)39003900
121977-02-21
13:02 UTC
4.639.91° N, 40.03° E
33km
TRV (53 k)00
131977-03-25
02:39 UTC
5.338.65° N, 40.06° E
17km
TRVII (1 k)3030
141977-05-26
01:35 UTC
5.638.9° N, 44.32° E
17km
IRVIII (158)33
151978-02-15
03:17 UTC
4.839.64° N, 39.87° E
7km
TRVI (14 k)00
161983-10-30
04:12 UTC
6.640.33° N, 42.17° E
15km
TRIX (4 k)14001400
171983-11-18
01:15 UTC
5.439.76° N, 39.47° E
17km
TRVII (120 k)00
181984-09-18
13:26 UTC
5.540.89° N, 42.24° E
10km
TRVII (3 k)33
191984-10-18
09:46 UTC
5.440.71° N, 42.45° E
35km
TRVI (55 k)33
201984-12-03
07:38 UTC
5.737.96° N, 43.1° E
10km
TRVIII (21)00
211985-11-07
08:26 UTC
5.240.38° N, 42.34° E
35km
TRVI (38 k)00
221986-05-05
03:35 UTC
638° N, 37.77° E
5km
TRVIII (3 k)1515
231986-06-06
10:39 UTC
5.838.01° N, 37.91° E
22km
TRVII (86 k)11landslide
241991-04-24
10:54 UTC
4.539.61° N, 41.17° E
35km
TRV (35 k)11
251992-03-13
17:18 UTC
6.639.72° N, 39.62° E
26km
TRIX (151 k)498652landslide
261992-03-15
16:16 UTC
5.939.51° N, 39.94° E
31km
TRVIII (2 k)00
271994-12-30
06:56 UTC
4.738.18° N, 39.67° E
10km
TRVI (9 k)00
281995-12-05
18:49 UTC
5.839.48° N, 40.14° E
14km
TRVIII (199)00
291997-08-08
02:39 UTC
4.539.84° N, 41.91° E
10km
TRVI (3 k)00
301998-04-13
15:14 UTC
5.239.32° N, 41.12° E
15km
TRVII (1 k)00
311998-12-14
13:06 UTC
4.538.94° N, 35.77° E
15km
TRVI (2 k)00
321999-12-03
17:06 UTC
5.740.48° N, 42.35° E
6km
TRVIII (286)11landslide
332000-05-07
23:10 UTC
4.538.16° N, 38.78° E
5km
TRVI (4 k)00
342000-08-19
21:26 UTC
4.139.7° N, 41.13° E
33km
TRV (9 k)00
352000-11-15
15:05 UTC
5.538.43° N, 42.97° E
32km
TRVII (1 k)00
362001-05-29
13:14 UTC
4.639.83° N, 41.68° E
34km
TRV (91 k)00
372001-06-25
13:28 UTC
5.437.18° N, 36.21° E
14km
TRVIII (34)00
382001-07-10
21:42 UTC
5.439.82° N, 41.62° E
38km
TRVI (67 k)00
392001-10-31
12:33 UTC
5.237.18° N, 36.13° E
43km
TRVI (93 k)00
402003-01-27
05:26 UTC
639.5° N, 39.85° E
16km
TRVIII (3 k)11
412003-05-01
00:27 UTC
6.338.97° N, 40.45° E
14km
TRIX (209)177177landslide
422003-07-13
01:48 UTC
5.538.28° N, 38.94° E
15km
TRVII (8 k)00
432004-03-01
23:55 UTC
3.838.06° N, 38.28° E
5km
TRIV (7 k)66
442004-03-25
19:30 UTC
5.639.8° N, 40.72° E
56km
TRVI (19 k)1010
452004-03-28
03:51 UTC
5.639.91° N, 40.91° E
44km
TRVI (407 k)00landslide
462004-07-01
22:30 UTC
5.139.74° N, 43.91° E
27km
TRVII (755)1818
472004-07-30
07:14 UTC
4.839.69° N, 43.94° E
20km
TRVI (2 k)11
482004-08-11
15:48 UTC
5.638.35° N, 39.23° E
5km
TRVII (1 k)11
492005-01-25
16:44 UTC
5.937.65° N, 43.68° E
38km
TRVII (25 k)22
502005-03-12
07:36 UTC
5.639.36° N, 40.97° E
19km
TRVIII (13)00landslide
512005-03-23
21:44 UTC
5.639.36° N, 40.87° E
16km
TRVIII (12)00
522005-06-06
07:41 UTC
5.639.3° N, 41.07° E
3km
TRVIII (1 k)00
532007-01-21
07:38 UTC
5.239.59° N, 42.86° E
3km
TRVII (109)00
542007-02-09
02:22 UTC
5.538.39° N, 39.04° E
2km
TRVII (4 k)00
552007-02-21
11:05 UTC
5.738.32° N, 39.28° E
6km
TRVIII (37)00
MMICityPopulation
VIIIKarakocan30k
VIKovancilar23k
VIPalu11k
VINazimiye3k
VElazig298k
VAricak5k
VMazgirt3k
VYayladere4k
VBingol81k
VTunceli29k
VDicle13k
VGenc22k
VPertek7k
VAlacakaya4k
VHani11k
VDiyarbakir645k
VLice16k
VHozat8k
VPulumur2k
VKocakoy6k
VEgil5k
VErgani53k
VYedisu2k
VSivrice5k
VKeban6k
VCermik21k
VCungus5k
VHazro6k
VSolhan15k
VKulp27k
VDoganyol6k
VUzumlu40k
IVKarliova9k
IVUctepe2k
IVTercan12k
IVAmbar5k
IVBaskil16k
IVKoseli1k
IVErzincan114k
IVVarto19k
IVBismil74k
IVAralik2k
IVKazanci1k
IVAgin4k
IVKemah3k
IVYukarisalat7k
IVYaprakbasi1k
IVSilvan66k
IVAltinkum2k
IVBatman302k
IVSinankoy2k
IVOymatas2k
IVOtlukbeli4k
IVAskale15k
IVArapkir10k
IVMus83k
IVGozpinar4k
IVBozhuyuk1k
IVYazihan5k
IVKemaliye2k
IVIlic2k
IVYesilyurt14k
IVSiverek175k
IVGerger4k
IVYesilalan4k
IVSason11k
IVHilvan17k
IVUckavak1k
IVSavur9k
IVDemirozu2k
IVSenocak2k
IVIsgoren1k
IVIlica13k
IVAydinkonak1k
IVOmerli7k
IVArguvan3k
IVKelkit24k
IVSenkoy9k
IVKozluk30k
IVKorkut8k
IVIkikopru4k
IVDogankavak2k
IVBesiri10k
IVSincik7k
IVMalatya442k
IVHinis35k
IVErkoklu1k
IVBinatli2k
IVKose9k
IVBayburt31k
IVTekman8k
IVSurgucu4k
IVRefahiye6k
IVYenipinar1k
IVMazidagi13k
IVErzurum421k
IVYolagzi3k
IVSogutlu8k
IVGelinkaya6k
IVAdiyaman224k
IVAcirli8k
IVSiran15k
IVYolbasi5k
IVMidyat76k
IVBaskavak2k
IVOrtaca3k
IVEvren5k
IVPinardere4k
IVIcoren2k
IVDivrigi13k
IVBaykan11k
IVAydintepe8k
IVMutki6k
IVKahta73k
IVAran1k
IVKayapinar5k
IVKayabaglar6k
IVHasankeyf4k
IVDereyani1k
IVCelikhan13k
IVGolova5k
IVKurtalan32k
IVHisarkoy2k
IVBespinar1k
IVYesilli32k
IVKabala9k
IVGercus9k
IVCavuslu9k
IVSiirt114k
IVPasinler25k
IVGokcebag3k
IVSamsat9k
IVImranli7k
IVAkincilar5k
IVBaristepe1k
IVCalpinar1k
IVSebinkarahisar47k
IVSarikoy1k
IVTortum9k
IVDargecit21k
IVKilavuz2k
IVBozova22k
IVBaggoze1k
IVSusehri26k
IVAksu11k
IVGuclukonak5k
IVNarman10k
IVIdil23k

(k = x1,000)


PAGER content is automatically generated, and only considers losses due to structural damage. Limitations of input data, shaking estimates, and loss models may add uncertainty. PAGER results are generally available within 30 minutes of the earthquake’s occurrence. However, information on the extent of shaking will be uncertain in the minutes and hours following an earthquake and typically improves as additional sensor data and reported intensities are acquired and incorporated into models of the earthquake's source. Users of PAGER estimates should account for uncertainty and always seek the most current PAGER release for any earthquake.