PAGER - M 8.8 - OFFSHORE MAULE, CHILE

Alert level does not include impacts from earthquake-related hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires or liquefaction.

Earthquake Shaking Alert Level: RED

Download Alert PDF What's this?Saturday, February 27th, 2010 at 06:34:14 UTC (03:34:14 local)Location: 35.9° S, 72.7° WDepth: 35kmEvent Id: US2010TFANAlert Version: 6Created: 110 weeks, 4 days after earthquake.

FOR TSUNAMI INFORMATION, SEE: tsunami.noaa.gov.

Alert Information

Red alert level for economic losses. Extensive damage is probable and the disaster is likely widespread. Estimated economic losses are 1-7% GDP of Chile. Past events with this alert level have required a national or international level response. Orange alert level for shaking-related fatalities. Significant casualties are likely.

Estimated Fatalities

ESTIMATED FATALITY ALERT: ORANGE
ESTIMATED FATALITIES (LEVEL)	Probability (%)
0 (GREEN)	0
1 to 9 (YELLOW)	1
10 to 99 (YELLOW)	14
100 to 999 (ORANGE)	44
1 to 10 thousand (RED)	34
10 to 100 thousand (RED)	6
100 thousand + (RED)	0

Estimated Economic Losses

ESTIMATED ECONOMIC ALERT: RED
ESTIMATED VALUE IN USD (LEVEL)	Probability (%)
0 to 1 million (GREEN)	0
1 to 10 million (YELLOW)	0
10 to 100 million (YELLOW)	1
100 million to 1 billion (ORANGE)	14
1 to 10 billion (RED)	48
10 to 100 billion (RED)	33
100 billion + (RED)	4

Detailed Information

Estimated Population Exposed to Earthquake Shaking
Estimated Modified Mercalli Intensity		I	II-III	IV	V	VI	VII	VIII	IX	X
Est. Population Exposure		---*	---*	630k*	3,169k*	1,831k	11,081k	1,261k	0	0
Perceived Shaking		Not Felt	Weak	Light	Moderate	Strong	Very Strong	Severe	Violent	Extreme
Potential Structure Damage	Resistant	none	none	none	V. Light	Light	Moderate	Moderate/Heavy	Heavy	V. Heavy
Potential Structure Damage	Vulnerable	none	none	none	Light	Moderate	Moderate/Heavy	Heavy	V. Heavy	V. Heavy

*Estimated exposure only includes population within calculated shake map area

Population Exposure
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan

Structure Information Summary

Overall, the population in this region resides in structures that are resistant to earthquake shaking, though some vulnerable structures exist. The predominant vulnerable building types are adobe block with concrete bond beam and unreinforced brick with concrete floor construction.

Historical Earthquakes (with MMI)

Recent earthquakes in this area have caused secondary hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, and liquefaction that might have contributed to losses.

Selected Cities Exposedfrom GeoNames Database of Cities with 1,000 or more residents.

MMI	City	Population
VIII	Cabrero	18k
VIII	Arauco	25k
VIII	Tome	47k
VIII	Constitucion	38k
VIII	Concepcion	215k
VIII	Curanilahue	31k
VII	Talca	197k
VII	Rancagua	213k
VII	Santiago	4,837k
VII	Valparaiso	282k
VII	Temuco	238k

(k = x1,000)

Nearby Events in the EXPO-CAT Earthquake Catalog
#	Date/Time	Mag	Lat, Lon, Depth	Country	Max MMI (Exposed)	Deaths		Secondary Effects
#	Date/Time	Mag	Lat, Lon, Depth	Country	Max MMI (Exposed)	Shaking	Total	Secondary Effects
1	1973-07-31 05:41 UTC	5.5	37.72° S, 73.43° W 29km	CL	VII (34 k)	0	0
2	1973-10-05 05:45 UTC	6.5	32.97° S, 71.89° W 39km	CL	VII (556 k)	0	0
3	1973-10-05 05:47 UTC	6.7	33.07° S, 71.94° W 30km	CL	VIII (2 k)	0	0
4	1973-10-05 07:07 UTC	5.6	32.94° S, 71.93° W 34km	CL	VII (24)	0	0
5	1974-08-18 10:44 UTC	7.1	38.43° S, 73.46° W 9km	CL	VII (141 k)	0	0
6	1975-05-10 14:27 UTC	7.8	38.21° S, 73° W 30km	CL	VIII (69 k)	0	0
7	1975-05-28 13:57 UTC	5.8	37.97° S, 73.43° W 23km	CL	VIII (3 k)	0	0
8	1979-04-26 02:00 UTC	5.9	33.91° S, 72.05° W 26km	CL	VII (8 k)	0	0
9	1980-06-11 14:21 UTC	5.8	32.76° S, 71.74° W 32km	CL	VII (39 k)	0	0
10	1981-03-23 19:28 UTC	6.4	33.66° S, 71.97° W 22km	CL	VII (623)	0	0
11	1981-10-16 03:25 UTC	7.1	33.2° S, 73.05° W 32km	CL	VI (29 k)	0	1
12	1985-03-03 22:47 UTC	7.9	33.14° S, 71.76° W 35km	CL	VII (7,023 k)	177	177	liquefaction, tsunami
13	1985-03-03 23:38 UTC	6.4	32.96° S, 71.14° W 18km	CL	VII (427 k)	0	0
14	1985-03-04 00:27 UTC	5.5	33.14° S, 71.63° W 29km	CL	VII (342 k)	0	0
15	1985-03-04 00:32 UTC	7.4	33.24° S, 71.74° W 40km	CL	VIII (131)	0	0
16	1985-03-04 03:17 UTC	6.2	34.16° S, 72.06° W 44km	CL	VII (19 k)	0	0
17	1985-03-04 03:32 UTC	6.6	32.87° S, 71.85° W 67km	CL	VII (219 k)	0	0
18	1985-03-04 06:06 UTC	6.3	33.91° S, 72.06° W 24km	CL	VIII (69)	0	0
19	1985-03-04 06:17 UTC	6.3	33.13° S, 71.92° W 25km	CL	VIII (66)	0	0
20	1985-03-04 13:49 UTC	5.7	33.92° S, 72.22° W 35km	CL	VI (6 k)	0	0
21	1985-03-09 15:11 UTC	5.8	33.69° S, 72.27° W 28km	CL	VI (2 k)	0	0
22	1985-03-17 10:41 UTC	6.5	32.71° S, 71.68° W 23km	CL	VIII (19 k)	0	1
23	1985-03-19 04:01 UTC	6.6	33.23° S, 71.66° W 46km	CL	VII (213 k)	0	0
24	1985-03-23 13:45 UTC	5.7	34.31° S, 72.2° W 30km	CL	VII (12 k)	0	0
25	1985-03-24 16:16 UTC	5.7	34.32° S, 72.23° W 25km	CL	VII (12 k)	0	0
26	1985-03-25 05:14 UTC	6.3	34.27° S, 72.17° W 38km	CL	VIII (154)	0	0
27	1985-06-02 16:26 UTC	5.9	37.86° S, 73.9° W 6km	CL	VI (2 k)	0	0
28	1985-07-07 11:25 UTC	6	32.98° S, 72.03° W 33km	CL	VII (52 k)	0	0
29	1985-08-12 00:04 UTC	6.2	38.48° S, 73.67° W 22km	CL	VII (3 k)	0	0
30	1986-12-19 05:47 UTC	5	33.07° S, 72.08° W 33km	CL	V (236 k)	0	0
31	1987-02-03 16:42 UTC	5.8	37.75° S, 73.01° W 33km	CL	VII (11 k)	0	0
32	1987-05-14 15:57 UTC	5.8	33.74° S, 72.16° W 30km	CL	VII (1)	0	0
33	1987-09-13 20:08 UTC	5.9	34.35° S, 70.03° W 15km	CL	VIII (69)	0	0
34	1988-03-13 11:31 UTC	5.8	33.67° S, 72.24° W 24km	CL	VI (2 k)	0	0
35	1988-05-21 14:28 UTC	6.1	33.01° S, 71.85° W 35km	CL	VII (399 k)	0	0
36	1990-04-21 18:54 UTC	5.8	36.96° S, 73.33° W 13km	CL	VII (17 k)	0	0
37	1990-04-22 20:25 UTC	5.6	38.01° S, 73.44° W 27km	CL	VII (22 k)	0	0
38	1992-05-18 03:02 UTC	6.1	33.61° S, 72° W 32km	CL	VII (89 k)	0	0
39	1992-05-22 01:20 UTC	5.6	33.7° S, 72.01° W 28km	CL	VII (310)	0	0
40	1993-07-16 21:21 UTC	5.6	33.22° S, 71.99° W 29km	CL	VII (89)	0	0
41	1993-12-04 23:16 UTC	5.6	33.9° S, 72.05° W 30km	CL	VII (628)	0	0
42	1995-03-22 20:05 UTC	5.5	36.27° S, 73° W 35km	CL	VII (1)	0	0
43	1995-03-23 09:18 UTC	5.5	36.29° S, 73.12° W 25km	CL	VII (121)	0	0
44	1995-11-21 18:17 UTC	5.7	33.21° S, 71.97° W 36km	CL	VII (7)	0	0
45	1996-02-22 13:40 UTC	5.9	33.59° S, 71.55° W 47km	CL	VII (114 k)	0	0	landslide
46	1998-10-10 04:12 UTC	5.6	33.5° S, 71.97° W 43km	CL	VI (120 k)	0	0
47	1999-03-05 03:35 UTC	5.9	34.64° S, 69.72° W 41km	AR	VII (243)	0	0
48	2001-01-07 10:18 UTC	5.9	33.49° S, 72.12° W 18km	CL	V (1,643 k)	0	0
49	2001-07-24 17:42 UTC	5.2	32.97° S, 71.58° W 43km	CL	VI (273 k)	0	0
50	2003-06-02 02:52 UTC	5.5	32.93° S, 71.91° W 30km	CL	VI (405 k)	0	0
51	2004-05-03 04:36 UTC	6.6	37.74° S, 73.33° W 21km	CL	VII (117 k)	0	0
52	2004-06-15 11:16 UTC	5.9	38.87° S, 73.28° W 38km	CL	VII (78 k)	0	0
53	2004-08-28 13:41 UTC	6.5	34.92° S, 70.46° W 20km	CL	IX (346)	0	0
54	2004-09-07 12:33 UTC	5.7	34° S, 72.21° W 17km	CL	VI (88)	0	0
55	2004-09-27 22:58 UTC	5.5	32.63° S, 71.66° W 31km	CL	VII (31 k)	0	0
56	2006-12-31 14:55 UTC	5.5	37.94° S, 71.11° W 20km	CL	VII (141)	0	0

MMI	City	Population
VIII	Cabrero	18k
VIII	Arauco	25k
VIII	Tome	47k
VIII	Constitucion	38k
VIII	Concepcion	215k
VIII	Curanilahue	31k
VIII	El Monte	23k
VIII	Parral	27k
VIII	Coronel	93k
VIII	Cauquenes	31k
VIII	Canete	20k
VII	Penco	46k
VII	Nacimiento	21k
VII	Lebu	22k
VII	San Carlos	32k
VII	Melipilla	63k
VII	Yumbel	11k
VII	Los Angeles	125k
VII	Longavi	6k
VII	Chillan	150k
VII	Talca	197k
VII	Talagante	52k
VII	Linares	70k
VII	Penaflor	66k
VII	Molina	29k
VII	Lota	50k
VII	La Laja	17k
VII	San Vicente	23k
VII	Chiguayante	83k
VII	Santa Cruz	33k
VII	Rancagua	213k
VII	Paine	33k
VII	Graneros	23k
VII	Mulchen	22k
VII	Coihueco	7k
VII	San Antonio	86k
VII	Buin	55k
VII	Angol	45k
VII	Talcahuano	253k
VII	San Clemente	14k
VII	Curico	102k
VII	Collipulli	16k
VII	vina causino	510k
VII	Limache	36k
VII	Bulnes	13k
VII	Villa Alemana	97k
VII	Teno	7k
VII	Rengo	38k
VII	Chimbarongo	17k
VII	San Bernardo	250k
VII	Quillota	68k
VII	Santiago	4,837k
VII	Victoria	25k
VII	San Javier	22k
VII	Traiguen	14k
VII	Machali	28k
VII	Valparaiso	282k
VII	Quilpue	130k
VII	Lautaro	22k
VII	La Ligua	25k
VII	Temuco	238k
VII	Hacienda La Calera	49k
VII	Vina del Mar	295k
VII	Freire	8k
VII	Los Andes	57k
VII	San Felipe	59k
VI	Lampa	29k
VI	Villarrica	32k
VI	Nueva Imperial	19k
VI	Vilcun	9k
VI	Pitrufquen	14k
VI	Llaillay	17k
VI	Valdivia	133k
VI	Carahue	12k
VI	Loncoche	16k
VI	Illapel	23k
VI	Salamanca	13k
VI	Panguipulli	16k
VI	Las Animas	30k
VI	La Union	26k
VI	Osorno	136k
V	Las Gaviotas	2k
V	Rio Bueno	15k
V	Corral	4k
V	San Martin	83k
V	Mendoza	877k
V	Cutral-Co	47k
V	San Juan	447k
V	San Rafael	109k
V	San Luis	184k
IV	General Roca	73k
IV	Neuquen	242k

(k = x1,000)

PAGER content is automatically generated, and only considers losses due to structural damage. Limitations of input data, shaking estimates, and loss models may add uncertainty. PAGER results are generally available within 30 minutes of the earthquake’s occurrence. However, information on the extent of shaking will be uncertain in the minutes and hours following an earthquake and typically improves as additional sensor data and reported intensities are acquired and incorporated into models of the earthquake's source. Users of PAGER estimates should account for uncertainty and always seek the most current PAGER release for any earthquake.