PAGER - M 7.0 - HAITI REGION

Alert level does not include impacts from earthquake-related hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires or liquefaction.

Earthquake Shaking Alert Level: RED

Download Alert PDF What's this?Tuesday, January 12th, 2010 at 21:53:10 UTC (16:53:10 local)Location: 18.4° N, 72.6° WDepth: 13kmEvent Id: US2010RJA6Alert Version: 1Created: 36 weeks, 2 days after earthquake.

Alert Information

Red alert for shaking-related fatalities and economic losses. High casualties and extensive damage are probable and the disaster is likely widespread. Past red alerts have required a national or international response. Estimated economic losses are 20-100% GDP of Haiti.

Estimated Fatalities

ESTIMATED FATALITY ALERT: RED
ESTIMATED FATALITIES (LEVEL)	Probability (%)
0 (GREEN)	0
1 to 9 (YELLOW)	0
10 to 99 (YELLOW)	0
100 to 999 (ORANGE)	2
1 to 10 thousand (RED)	11
10 to 100 thousand (RED)	29
100 thousand + (RED)	34

Estimated Economic Losses

ESTIMATED ECONOMIC ALERT: RED
ESTIMATED VALUE IN USD (LEVEL)	Probability (%)
0 to 1 million (GREEN)	0
1 to 10 million (YELLOW)	0
10 to 100 million (YELLOW)	5
100 million to 1 billion (ORANGE)	25
1 to 10 billion (RED)	43
10 to 100 billion (RED)	23
100 billion + (RED)	4

Detailed Information

Estimated Population Exposed to Earthquake Shaking
Estimated Modified Mercalli Intensity		I	II-III	IV	V	VI	VII	VIII	IX	X
Est. Population Exposure		---*	50k*	7,468k*	6,361k	926k	598k	2,030k	908k	118k
Perceived Shaking		Not Felt	Weak	Light	Moderate	Strong	Very Strong	Severe	Violent	Extreme
Potential Structure Damage	Resistant	none	none	none	V. Light	Light	Moderate	Moderate/Heavy	Heavy	V. Heavy
Potential Structure Damage	Vulnerable	none	none	none	Light	Moderate	Moderate/Heavy	Heavy	V. Heavy	V. Heavy

*Estimated exposure only includes population within calculated shake map area

Population Exposure
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan

Structure Information Summary

Overall, the population in this region resides in structures that are highly vulnerable to earthquake shaking, though some resistant structures exist. The predominant vulnerable building types are concrete/cinder block masonry and mud wall construction.

Historical Earthquakes (with MMI)

Date (UTC)	Dist (km)	Mag	Max MMI (#)	Shaking Deaths
1984-06-24	342	6.7	VII (326k)	5
1984-06-24	355	5.2	V (440k)	5
2003-09-22	246	6.4	IX (132k)	1

Recent earthquakes in this area have caused secondary hazards such as landslides that might have contributed to losses.

Selected Cities Exposedfrom GeoNames Database of Cities with 1,000 or more residents.

MMI	City	Population
X	Petit Goave	118k
X	Grand Goave	49k
X	Gressier	26k
IX	Leogane	134k
IX	Carrefour	442k
VIII	Miragoane	89k
VIII	Port-au-Prince	1,235k
VIII	Delmas 73	383k
VI	Verrettes	49k
IV	Santiago de los Caballeros	556k
IV	Santo Domingo	2,202k

(k = x1,000)

Nearby Events in the EXPO-CAT Earthquake Catalog
#	Date/Time	Mag	Lat, Lon, Depth	Country	Max MMI (Exposed)	Deaths		Secondary Effects
#	Date/Time	Mag	Lat, Lon, Depth	Country	Max MMI (Exposed)	Shaking	Total	Secondary Effects
1	1979-03-23 19:32 UTC	6.6	17.97° N, 69.08° W 82km	DO	VII (194)	0	0
2	1980-11-12 05:50 UTC	5.9	19.44° N, 69.61° W 33km	DO	VII (87 k)	0	0
3	1984-06-24 11:17 UTC	6.7	17.98° N, 69.37° W 46km	DO	VII (326 k)	5	5
4	1984-06-24 18:18 UTC	5.2	18.04° N, 69.23° W 25km	DO	V (440 k)	5	5
5	1988-09-05 06:13 UTC	5.6	18.41° N, 70.43° W 21km	DO	VIII (20)	0	0
6	1991-03-26 12:34 UTC	5.8	19.78° N, 70.34° W 12km	DO	VIII (314)	0	0
7	1992-01-15 06:58 UTC	5.7	17.99° N, 70.68° W 15km	DO	VI (1 k)	0	0
8	1993-08-19 15:33 UTC	5.7	18.38° N, 70.35° W 44km	DO	VII (23 k)	0	0
9	1994-07-12 13:47 UTC	5.6	19.79° N, 70.95° W 19km	DO	VIII (6 k)	0	0
10	1998-12-28 07:23 UTC	5.6	20.78° N, 74.73° W 16km	CU	VI (33 k)	0	0
11	2003-09-22 04:45 UTC	6.4	19.76° N, 70.69° W 14km	DO	IX (132 k)	1	1	landslide
12	2003-09-22 05:30 UTC	5.6	19.76° N, 70.55° W 21km	DO	VIII (4 k)	0	0

MMI	City	Population
X	Petit Goave	118k
X	Gressier	26k
X	Grand Goave	49k
IX	Leogane	134k
IX	Carrefour	442k
VIII	Miragoane	89k
VIII	Port-au-Prince	1,235k
VIII	Petionville	283k
VIII	Delmas 73	383k
VIII	Cabaret	4k
VIII	Kenscoff	42k
VII	Jacmel	138k
VII	Croix des Bouquets	229k
VII	Cotes-de-Fer	2k
VII	Cayes Jacmel	2k
VII	Fond des Blancs	3k
VII	Marigot	2k
VII	Petite Riviere de Nippes	2k
VII	Anse a Galets	7k
VI	Thomazeau	52k
VI	Anse-a-Veau	2k
VI	Mirebalais	9k
VI	Aquin	5k
VI	Fond Parisien	18k
VI	Belle-Anse	3k
VI	Desarmes	16k
VI	Lascahobas	8k
VI	Ti Port-de-Paix	35k
VI	Petit Trou de Nippes	2k
VI	Verrettes	49k
VI	Saint-Marc	66k
VI	Cornillon	8k
V	Jimani	7k
V	Fond Verrettes	3k
V	Hinche	19k
V	Thiote	2k
V	La Descubierta	6k
V	Maissade	5k
V	Tiburon	3k
V	Saint-Louis du Sud	2k
V	Grande Saline	2k
V	Postrer Rio	3k
V	Les Cayes	126k
V	Baraderes	2k
V	Thomonde	4k
V	Pedernales	11k
V	Cavaillon	1k
V	Anse-a-Pitres	2k
V	Torbeck	2k
V	Hondo Valle	4k
V	Pignon	7k
V	Dessalines	12k
V	Matayaya	1k
V	Las Matas de Farfan	22k
V	Comendador	12k
V	Gonaives	85k
V	Villa Jaragua	9k
V	Guayabal	2k
V	Chantal	2k
V	El Llano	2k
V	Neiba	19k
V	Mella	2k
V	Thomassique	5k
V	Los Rios	4k
V	Duverge	13k
V	Juan Santiago	2k
V	Cercado Abajo	5k
V	Pedro Santana	1k
V	Banica	1k
V	Ennery	2k
V	Coteaux	2k
V	Corail	3k
V	Cerca la Source	3k
V	Las Salinas	5k
V	Cristobal	3k
V	Saint-Raphael	38k
V	Saint-Louis du Nord	12k
V	Perches	2k
V	Anse Rouge	4k
V	Petite Anse	2k
V	Les Irois	2k
V	Bahon	2k
V	Plaine du Nord	2k
V	Acul du Nord	3k
V	Vicente Noble	11k
V	Tamayo	6k
V	La Uvilla	2k
V	El Palmar	2k
V	Benemerita de San Cristobal	154k
V	Ranquitte	1k
V	Fundacion	3k
V	El Penon	4k
V	Cachon	2k
V	Cabral	12k
V	Quartier Morin	1k
V	Marmelade	2k
V	Limonade	4k
V	San Juan de la Maguana	73k
V	Dajabon	16k
V	Ouanaminthe	10k
V	Fond Bassin Bleu	1k
V	Dondon	5k
V	Caracol	2k
V	Restauracion	2k
V	Roche-a-Bateau	2k
V	Les Anglais	8k
V	Ferrier	4k
V	Derac	2k
V	Mont Organise	2k
V	Carice	2k
V	Pescaderia	2k
V	Juancho	2k
V	Jaquimeyes	3k
V	Phaeton	2k
V	Pedro Corto	2k
V	El Pino	2k
V	Plaisance	4k
V	Galvan	6k
V	Milot	6k
V	Grande Riviere du Nord	9k
V	Fort Liberte	11k
V	Vallejuelo	5k
V	Enriquillo	5k
V	Pepillo Salcedo	4k
V	Rio Limpio	1k
V	Trou du Nord	11k
V	Jeremie	98k
V	Polo	2k
V	Port-a-Piment	4k
V	Limbe	33k
V	Chardonniere	4k
V	Pilate	4k
V	Gros Morne	7k
V	Loma de Cabrera	7k
V	Moron	2k
V	Oviedo	3k
V	Las Matas de Santa Cruz	10k
V	Concepcion de La Vega	102k
V	Castanuelas	4k
V	Port Margot	3k
V	Baie de Henne	2k
V	Partido	2k
V	Juan de Herrera	6k
V	Bombardopolis	2k
V	San Fernando de Monte Cristi	17k
V	Canoa	2k
V	Cana Chapeton	2k
V	Cap-Haitien	135k
V	Arcahaie	4k
V	Santa Cruz de Barahona	77k
V	Moca	62k
V	Chambellan	1k
V	Abricots	1k
V	Villa Elisa	1k
V	Pueblo Viejo	4k
V	Villarpando	3k
V	Paraiso	6k
V	La Cienaga	3k
V	Le Borgne	4k
V	Sabana Yegua	11k
V	El Carril	3k
V	Bajos de Haina	67k
V	Mole Saint-Nicolas	3k
V	Mao	48k
V	Jaibon	5k
V	Jean-Rabel	5k
V	Dame-Marie	6k
V	Cayetano Germosen	3k
V	Sabaneta	16k
V	Padre Las Casas	8k
V	Maizal	3k
V	Laguna Salada	8k
V	Amina	2k
V	Bohechio	2k
V	Tamboril	23k
V	Licey al Medio	6k
V	Jicome	2k
V	Esperanza	42k
IV	Villa Bisono	33k
IV	Tabara Arriba	4k
IV	Santiago de los Caballeros	556k
IV	Guatapanal	2k
IV	Yayas de Viajama	6k
IV	Sabana Buey	2k
IV	Palmar de Ocoa	2k
IV	Estero Hondo	2k
IV	Villa Vasquez	12k
IV	Moncion	7k
IV	San Gregorio de Nigua	12k
IV	Peralta	7k
IV	El Guayabal	3k
IV	San Jose de Las Matas	10k
IV	Rio Verde Arriba	4k
IV	Matanzas	4k
IV	Hatillo Palma	4k
IV	Azua de Compostela	59k
IV	Tireo Arriba	4k
IV	La Caya	1k
IV	Juncalito Abajo	1k
IV	Constanza	29k
IV	Las Charcas	5k
IV	Estebania	6k
IV	Villa Tapia	3k
IV	Jarabacoa	30k
IV	Tenares	7k
IV	San Victor Arriba	6k
IV	Salsipuedes	12k
IV	Los Hidalgos	3k
IV	Fantino	10k
IV	Pizarrete	3k
IV	Nizao	7k
IV	La Canela	4k
IV	Bonao	73k
IV	Villa Isabela	4k
IV	Sabana Iglesia	5k
IV	Las Guaranas	10k
IV	Baitoa	2k
IV	Villa Gonzalez	10k
IV	Paya	7k
IV	Palmar Arriba	4k
IV	Bani	67k
IV	Yamasa	12k
IV	San Jose de Ocoa	21k
IV	Guananico	3k
IV	Esperalvillo	5k
IV	Juan Lopez Abajo	2k
IV	Altamira	5k
IV	Baracoa	48k
IV	Hostos	2k
IV	Castillo	6k
IV	Sabana Grande de Palenque	5k
IV	Sabana del Puerto	1k
IV	Pimentel	10k
IV	Rincon	6k
IV	Pedro Garcia	1k
IV	Jima Abajo	6k
IV	Imbert	8k
IV	El Cacao	2k
IV	Cambita Garabitos	13k
IV	Yaguate	6k
IV	Piedra Blanca	9k
IV	Juan Adrian	1k
IV	Villa Riva	6k
IV	Monte Plata	16k
IV	Arenoso	3k
IV	Sabana Grande de Boya	17k
IV	Nagua	34k
IV	Majagual	1k
IV	El Factor	7k
IV	Jamao al Norte	2k
IV	Villa Altagracia	40k
IV	Gonzalo	2k
IV	San Francisco de Macoris	125k
IV	Bayaguana	21k
IV	Sanchez	11k
IV	Joba Arriba	1k
IV	Veragua Arriba	6k
IV	La Entrada	1k
IV	Gaspar Hernandez	7k
IV	Arroyo Salado	2k
IV	Los Botados	4k
IV	Don Juan	2k
IV	Cevicos	4k
IV	Moa	93k
IV	Sosua	9k
IV	Rio San Juan	9k
IV	Agua Santa del Yuna	2k
IV	Rio Guayabal de Yateras	26k
IV	Luperon	4k
IV	Santo Domingo	2,202k
IV	Sagua de Tanamo	18k
IV	San Felipe de Puerto Plata	120k
IV	Cabrera	5k
IV	Cotui	42k
III	Guantanamo	273k

(k = x1,000)

PAGER content is automatically generated, and only considers losses due to structural damage. Limitations of input data, shaking estimates, and loss models may add uncertainty. PAGER results are generally available within 30 minutes of the earthquake’s occurrence. However, information on the extent of shaking will be uncertain in the minutes and hours following an earthquake and typically improves as additional sensor data and reported intensities are acquired and incorporated into models of the earthquake's source. Users of PAGER estimates should account for uncertainty and always seek the most current PAGER release for any earthquake.