M 4.2 - 266 km SW of Port McNeill, Canada
- 2024-10-02 15:35:45 (UTC)
- 48.812°N 129.570°W
- 10.0 km depth
Aftershock Forecast
- The data below are the most preferred data available
- The data below have NOT been reviewed by a scientist.
- Damaging earthquakes can occur in the future, so remember to: Drop, Cover, and Hold on.
- More earthquakes than usual (called aftershocks) will continue to occur near the mainshock. The mainshock is the largest earthquake in a sequence (a series of earthquakes related to each other).
- When there are more earthquakes, the chance of a large earthquake is greater which means that the chance of damage is greater.
- No one can predict the exact time or place of any earthquake, including aftershocks. Our aftershock forecasts give us an understanding of the chances of having more earthquakes within a given time period in the affected area.
Reasenberg-Jones (1989, 1994) aftershock model (Bayesian Combination)
Parameters
- a
- -3.22
- b
- 1
- magMain
- 4.2
- p
- 1.08
- c
- 0.018
- aSigma
- 0.601
- pSigma
- 0
- Mcat
- 3.5
- F
- 0.5
- G
- 0.25
- H
- 1
- regionType
- circle
- regionCenterLat
- 48.8116
- regionCenterLon
- -129.5695
- regionRadius
- 10