PAGER - M 5.3 - KURIL ISLANDS

Alert level does not include impacts from earthquake-related hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires or liquefaction.

Earthquake Shaking Alert Level: GREEN

Download Alert PDFWhat's this?Saturday, February 16th, 2013 at 22:17:31 UTC (08:17:31 local)Location: 43.5° N, 146.7° EDepth: 41kmEvent Id: USC000F8QFAlert Version: 5Created: 1 week, 6 days after earthquake.
Global Location

Alert Information

Green alert for shaking-related fatalities and economic losses. There is a low likelihood of casualties and damage.
Estimated FatalitiesFatality Alert Level: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITY ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITIES (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 (GREEN)
 
99
1 to 9 (YELLOW)1
10 to 99 (YELLOW)0
100 to 999 (ORANGE)0
1 to 10 thousand (RED)0
10 to 100 thousand (RED)0
100 thousand + (RED)0
Estimated Economic LossesEconomic Alert Level: GREEN
ESTIMATED ECONOMIC ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED VALUE IN USD (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 to 1 million (GREEN)
 
99
1 to 10 million (YELLOW)1
10 to 100 million (YELLOW)0
100 million to 1 billion (ORANGE)0
1 to 10 billion (RED)0
10 to 100 billion (RED)0
100 billion + (RED)0

Detailed Information

Estimated Population Exposed to Earthquake Shaking
Estimated Modified Mercalli IntensityIII-IIIIVVVIVIIVIIIIXX
Est. Population Exposure---*94k*17k000000
Perceived ShakingNot FeltWeakLightModerateStrongVery StrongSevereViolentExtreme
Potential Structure DamageResistantnonenonenoneV. LightLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. Heavy
VulnerablenonenonenoneLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. HeavyV. Heavy
*Estimated exposure only includes population within calculated shake map area
Population Exposure
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan
Population Exposure Map

Structure Information Summary

Overall, the population in this region resides in structures that are a mix of vulnerable and earthquake resistant construction.

Historical Earthquakes (with MMI)

Date (UTC)Dist (km)MagMax MMI (#)Shaking Deaths
1982-06-303767.1V (539)0
2003-09-252958.3IX (3k)0
1993-01-152127.6VIII (461k)2

Recent earthquakes in this area have caused secondary hazards such as landslides and fires that might have contributed to losses.

Cities Exposedfrom GeoNames Database of Cities with 1,000 or more residents.
MMICityPopulation
IVShikotan2k
IVYuzhno-Kuril'sk6k
IIINemuro31k
IIIShibetsu22k
IIIOtrada3k

(k = x1,000)

Historical Events Map
Nearby Events in the EXPO-CAT Earthquake Catalog
#Date/TimeMagLat, Lon, DepthCountryMax MMI (Exposed)DeathsSecondary Effects
ShakingTotal
11973-06-17
03:55 UTC
7.743.22° N, 145.74° E
44km
JPVII (283 k)00tsunami
21973-06-17
12:14 UTC
5.543° N, 145.43° E
43km
JPVI (12 k)00
31973-06-17
13:33 UTC
5.643.05° N, 145.35° E
43km
JPVI (38 k)00
41973-06-17
20:37 UTC
642.72° N, 145.98° E
37km
JPVI (21)00
51973-06-24
02:43 UTC
7.143.36° N, 146.42° E
31km
XXVIII (2 k)00
61973-08-09
10:44 UTC
643.47° N, 146.45° E
43km
XXVII (604)00
71974-01-24
19:12 UTC
6.142.06° N, 143.86° E
42km
JPVI (18 k)00
81974-09-20
00:53 UTC
5.642.87° N, 144.92° E
45km
JPVI (21 k)00
91974-09-27
05:47 UTC
6.743.18° N, 146.54° E
29km
XXVII (5 k)00
101975-06-10
13:47 UTC
743.13° N, 147.65° E
31km
XXVI (3 k)00
111975-06-13
18:08 UTC
6.643.49° N, 147.69° E
6km
XXV (11 k)00
121975-06-15
00:19 UTC
6.543.7° N, 147.85° E
6km
XXV (5 k)00
131976-01-21
10:05 UTC
7.244.78° N, 149.14° E
38km
XXVI (3 k)00
141978-03-22
00:50 UTC
6.644.02° N, 148.99° E
36km
XXV (2 k)00
151978-03-23
00:31 UTC
744.29° N, 148.95° E
28km
XXVI (2 k)00
161978-03-23
03:14 UTC
7.644.36° N, 149.12° E
7km
XXVI (4 k)00
171978-03-23
03:15 UTC
7.644.98° N, 148.52° E
23km
XXIX (2 k)00
181978-03-24
19:47 UTC
7.544.23° N, 148.92° E
12km
XXVI (2 k)00
191980-01-12
15:57 UTC
6.141.74° N, 143.66° E
31km
JPVII (415)00
201980-02-23
05:51 UTC
7.143.59° N, 146.68° E
37km
XXVIII (3 k)00
211981-09-03
05:35 UTC
6.543.62° N, 146.98° E
45km
XXVII (3 k)00
221981-09-08
19:26 UTC
5.843.45° N, 146.43° E
40km
XXVII (309)00
231981-11-23
10:17 UTC
5.943.05° N, 146.17° E
40km
XXVI (19 k)00
241982-03-21
02:32 UTC
6.942.26° N, 142.42° E
27km
JPVIII (48 k)00landslide, tsunami
251982-03-21
10:22 UTC
5.542.29° N, 142.55° E
24km
JPVII (47 k)00
261982-06-30
01:57 UTC
7.144.72° N, 151.12° E
20km
RUV (539)00
271983-04-30
14:03 UTC
6.341.56° N, 143.79° E
23km
JPVI (6 k)00
281984-03-24
09:44 UTC
7.144.17° N, 148.16° E
38km
XXVII (425)00
291986-04-16
12:52 UTC
6.343.95° N, 147.5° E
38km
XXVI (3 k)00
301987-01-14
11:03 UTC
6.842.6° N, 142.81° E
103km
JPVII (99 k)00
311989-01-24
20:03 UTC
5.542.29° N, 142.69° E
42km
JPVI (55 k)00
321989-08-06
22:53 UTC
5.642.9° N, 145.07° E
45km
JPVI (23 k)00
331989-11-18
15:56 UTC
5.342.88° N, 145.03° E
44km
JPVI (3 k)00
341990-01-30
03:15 UTC
5.542.99° N, 145.44° E
41km
JPVI (30 k)00
351993-01-15
11:06 UTC
7.643.02° N, 144.19° E
95km
JPVIII (461 k)22
361993-03-25
07:08 UTC
641.83° N, 143.47° E
37km
JPVII (3 k)00
371994-10-04
13:23 UTC
8.343.83° N, 147.33° E
33km
XXVIII (2 k)011landslide, tsunami
381994-10-09
07:55 UTC
7.343.97° N, 147.89° E
34km
XXVII (19)00
391995-04-28
16:30 UTC
6.944.11° N, 147.95° E
33km
XXVI (5 k)00
401995-09-26
07:14 UTC
5.941.83° N, 143.37° E
39km
JPVII (5 k)00
411995-11-24
17:24 UTC
6.544.59° N, 149.08° E
22km
XXVI (16)00
421995-12-02
17:13 UTC
6.644.54° N, 149.28° E
11km
XXV (6 k)00
431995-12-03
18:01 UTC
7.944.71° N, 149.26° E
26km
XXVII (3 k)00
441996-02-07
21:36 UTC
7.145.37° N, 149.9° E
33km
RUVIII (8)00
451997-07-14
16:09 UTC
6.143.25° N, 146.35° E
36km
XXVII (621)00
462000-01-28
14:21 UTC
6.843.08° N, 146.81° E
40km
XXVII (642)00
472000-11-13
15:57 UTC
5.942.52° N, 144.73° E
26km
JPVI (167 k)00
482001-04-13
23:16 UTC
5.642.78° N, 145.27° E
37km
JPVI (8 k)00
492001-05-25
00:40 UTC
6.744.26° N, 148.34° E
30km
XXVI (1 k)00
502002-08-24
18:40 UTC
6.143.16° N, 146.08° E
30km
XXVII (27 k)00
512003-09-25
19:50 UTC
8.341.86° N, 143.87° E
27km
JPIX (3 k)00fire, landslide, tsunami
522003-09-25
20:57 UTC
5.741.76° N, 143.63° E
33km
JPVI (5 k)00
532003-09-25
21:08 UTC
7.341.8° N, 143.55° E
38km
JPVIII (9 k)00
542003-09-28
04:17 UTC
5.542.66° N, 144.69° E
40km
JPVI (2 k)00
552003-09-29
02:36 UTC
6.442.47° N, 144.35° E
25km
JPVII (88 k)00
562003-10-08
09:06 UTC
6.742.65° N, 144.53° E
32km
JPV (261 k)00
572003-12-03
14:11 UTC
5.942.43° N, 144.69° E
39km
JPVI (46)00
582003-12-29
01:30 UTC
6.142.46° N, 144.6° E
26km
JPVI (163 k)00
592004-02-17
07:46 UTC
5.543.19° N, 145.82° E
42km
JPV (38 k)00
602004-04-11
18:06 UTC
6.142.88° N, 144.91° E
37km
JPVI (5 k)00
612004-11-11
10:02 UTC
6.142.16° N, 144.33° E
34km
JPV (308 k)00
622004-11-28
18:32 UTC
743.02° N, 145.15° E
39km
JPVIII (33 k)00tsunami
632004-11-28
18:36 UTC
5.942.94° N, 145.14° E
41km
JPVII (9 k)00
642004-12-06
14:15 UTC
6.742.89° N, 145.23° E
35km
JPVII (21 k)00
652004-12-21
15:34 UTC
5.642.95° N, 145.42° E
39km
JPV (58 k)00
662005-01-18
14:09 UTC
6.242.94° N, 144.88° E
47km
JPVI (250 k)00
672007-02-17
00:02 UTC
641.82° N, 143.55° E
31km
JPVII (2 k)00

PAGER content is automatically generated, and only considers losses due to structural damage. Limitations of input data, shaking estimates, and loss models may add uncertainty. PAGER results are generally available within 30 minutes of the earthquake’s occurrence. However, information on the extent of shaking will be uncertain in the minutes and hours following an earthquake and typically improves as additional sensor data and reported intensities are acquired and incorporated into models of the earthquake's source. Users of PAGER estimates should account for uncertainty and always seek the most current PAGER release for any earthquake.