PAGER - M 6.9 - HOKKAIDO, JAPAN REGION

Alert level does not include impacts from earthquake-related hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires or liquefaction.

Earthquake Shaking Alert Level: YELLOW

Download Alert PDFWhat's this?Saturday, February 2nd, 2013 at 14:17:35 UTC (23:17:35 local)Location: 42.8° N, 143.1° EDepth: 107kmEvent Id: USC000F03AAlert Version: 4Created: 1 week, 0 days after earthquake.
Global Location

Alert Information

Yellow alert level for economic losses. Some damage is possible and the impact should be relatively localized. Estimated economic losses are less than 1% of GDP of Japan. Past events with this alert level have required a local or regional level response. Green alert level for shaking-related fatalities. There is a low likelihood of casualties.
Estimated FatalitiesFatality Alert Level: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITY ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITIES (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 (GREEN)
 
68
1 to 9 (YELLOW)
 
30
10 to 99 (YELLOW)
 
2
100 to 999 (ORANGE)0
1 to 10 thousand (RED)0
10 to 100 thousand (RED)0
100 thousand + (RED)0
Estimated Economic LossesEconomic Alert Level: YELLOW
ESTIMATED ECONOMIC ALERT: YELLOW
ESTIMATED VALUE IN USD (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 to 1 million (GREEN)
 
37
1 to 10 million (YELLOW)
 
42
10 to 100 million (YELLOW)
 
19
100 million to 1 billion (ORANGE)
 
3
1 to 10 billion (RED)0
10 to 100 billion (RED)0
100 billion + (RED)0

Detailed Information

Estimated Population Exposed to Earthquake Shaking
Estimated Modified Mercalli IntensityIII-IIIIVVVIVIIVIIIIXX
Est. Population Exposure---*428k*3,812k*1,715k495k92k000
Perceived ShakingNot FeltWeakLightModerateStrongVery StrongSevereViolentExtreme
Potential Structure DamageResistantnonenonenoneV. LightLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. Heavy
VulnerablenonenonenoneLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. HeavyV. Heavy
*Estimated exposure only includes population within calculated shake map area
Population Exposure
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan
Population Exposure Map

Structure Information Summary

Overall, the population in this region resides in structures that are resistant to earthquake shaking, though some vulnerable structures exist.

Historical Earthquakes (with MMI)

Date (UTC)Dist (km)MagMax MMI (#)Shaking Deaths
2005-01-181466.2VI (250k)0
1994-12-282487.7VII (132k)3
1993-07-123157.7VIII (4k)200

Recent earthquakes in this area have caused secondary hazards such as landslides and fires that might have contributed to losses.

Selected Cities Exposedfrom GeoNames Database of Cities with 1,000 or more residents.
MMICityPopulation
VIIObihiro174k
VIIOtofuke41k
VIShizunai22k
VIKushiro184k
VFukagawa26k
VChitose93k
VHakodate276k
IVSapporo1,883k
IVAomori298k
IVHirosaki175k
IIIAsahikawa357k

(k = x1,000)

Historical Events Map
Nearby Events in the EXPO-CAT Earthquake Catalog
#Date/TimeMagLat, Lon, DepthCountryMax MMI (Exposed)DeathsSecondary Effects
ShakingTotal
11973-06-17
03:55 UTC
7.743.22° N, 145.74° E
44km
JPVII (283 k)00tsunami
21973-06-17
12:14 UTC
5.543° N, 145.43° E
43km
JPVI (12 k)00
31973-06-17
13:33 UTC
5.643.05° N, 145.35° E
43km
JPVI (38 k)00
41973-06-17
20:37 UTC
642.72° N, 145.98° E
37km
JPVI (21)00
51973-06-24
02:43 UTC
7.143.36° N, 146.42° E
31km
XXVIII (2 k)00
61973-08-09
10:44 UTC
643.47° N, 146.45° E
43km
XXVII (604)00
71974-01-24
19:12 UTC
6.142.06° N, 143.86° E
42km
JPVI (18 k)00
81974-09-20
00:53 UTC
5.642.87° N, 144.92° E
45km
JPVI (21 k)00
91974-09-27
05:47 UTC
6.743.18° N, 146.54° E
29km
XXVII (5 k)00
101975-06-10
13:47 UTC
743.13° N, 147.65° E
31km
XXVI (3 k)00
111975-06-13
18:08 UTC
6.643.49° N, 147.69° E
6km
XXV (11 k)00
121975-06-15
00:19 UTC
6.543.7° N, 147.85° E
6km
XXV (5 k)00
131978-05-16
07:35 UTC
5.541.06° N, 141.35° E
44km
JPVI (105 k)00
141980-01-12
15:57 UTC
6.141.74° N, 143.66° E
31km
JPVII (415)00
151980-02-23
05:51 UTC
7.143.59° N, 146.68° E
37km
XXVIII (3 k)00
161981-09-03
05:35 UTC
6.543.62° N, 146.98° E
45km
XXVII (3 k)00
171981-09-08
19:26 UTC
5.843.45° N, 146.43° E
40km
XXVII (309)00
181981-11-23
10:17 UTC
5.943.05° N, 146.17° E
40km
XXVI (19 k)00
191982-03-21
02:32 UTC
6.942.26° N, 142.42° E
27km
JPVIII (48 k)00landslide, tsunami
201982-03-21
10:22 UTC
5.542.29° N, 142.55° E
24km
JPVII (47 k)00
211983-04-30
14:03 UTC
6.341.56° N, 143.79° E
23km
JPVI (6 k)00
221983-06-21
06:25 UTC
6.841.37° N, 139.12° E
9km
JPVIII (4)00
231985-12-02
07:14 UTC
5.541.23° N, 139.85° E
24km
JPVII (2 k)00
241986-04-16
12:52 UTC
6.343.95° N, 147.5° E
38km
XXVI (3 k)00
251987-01-09
06:14 UTC
6.639.88° N, 141.62° E
75km
JPVII (294 k)00
261987-01-14
11:03 UTC
6.842.6° N, 142.81° E
103km
JPVII (99 k)00
271989-01-24
20:03 UTC
5.542.29° N, 142.69° E
42km
JPVI (55 k)00
281989-08-06
22:53 UTC
5.642.9° N, 145.07° E
45km
JPVI (23 k)00
291989-11-01
18:25 UTC
7.439.92° N, 142.79° E
29km
JPVII (41 k)00
301989-11-18
15:56 UTC
5.342.88° N, 145.03° E
44km
JPVI (3 k)00
311990-01-30
03:15 UTC
5.542.99° N, 145.44° E
41km
JPVI (30 k)00
321992-07-18
08:39 UTC
6.939.62° N, 143.11° E
31km
JPVI (100 k)00
331993-01-15
11:06 UTC
7.643.02° N, 144.19° E
95km
JPVIII (461 k)22
341993-03-25
07:08 UTC
641.83° N, 143.47° E
37km
JPVII (3 k)00
351993-07-12
13:17 UTC
7.742.9° N, 139.25° E
12km
JPVIII (4 k)200230fire, landslide, tsunami
361993-07-12
14:05 UTC
5.642.11° N, 139.2° E
10km
JPVI (3 k)00
371993-07-12
14:45 UTC
6.343.17° N, 139.27° E
36km
JPVI (441)00
381993-07-12
16:01 UTC
642.84° N, 139.37° E
26km
JPVI (7 k)00
391993-08-07
19:42 UTC
6.342.08° N, 139.87° E
20km
JPVIII (6 k)00
401994-10-04
13:23 UTC
8.343.83° N, 147.33° E
33km
XXVIII (2 k)011landslide, tsunami
411994-12-28
12:19 UTC
7.740.54° N, 143.44° E
16km
JPVII (132 k)33tsunami
421995-01-06
22:37 UTC
740.35° N, 142.22° E
28km
JPVIII (8 k)00
431995-01-07
02:36 UTC
640.35° N, 142.4° E
33km
JPVI (37 k)00
441995-05-23
10:01 UTC
5.643.72° N, 141.75° E
18km
JPVIII (1)00
451995-09-26
07:14 UTC
5.941.83° N, 143.37° E
39km
JPVII (5 k)00
461997-07-14
16:09 UTC
6.143.25° N, 146.35° E
36km
XXVII (621)00
471998-09-03
07:58 UTC
5.839.79° N, 140.75° E
6km
JPVI (360)00
482000-01-28
14:21 UTC
6.843.08° N, 146.81° E
40km
XXVII (642)00
492000-11-13
15:57 UTC
5.942.52° N, 144.73° E
26km
JPVI (167 k)00
502001-04-13
23:16 UTC
5.642.78° N, 145.27° E
37km
JPVI (8 k)00
512001-08-13
20:11 UTC
6.441.05° N, 142.28° E
38km
JPVI (10 k)00
522002-08-24
18:40 UTC
6.143.16° N, 146.08° E
30km
XXVII (27 k)00
532002-10-14
14:12 UTC
6.141.23° N, 142.2° E
40km
JPVI (30)00
542003-09-25
19:50 UTC
8.341.86° N, 143.87° E
27km
JPIX (3 k)00fire, landslide, tsunami
552003-09-25
20:57 UTC
5.741.76° N, 143.63° E
33km
JPVI (5 k)00
562003-09-25
21:08 UTC
7.341.8° N, 143.55° E
38km
JPVIII (9 k)00
572003-09-28
04:17 UTC
5.542.66° N, 144.69° E
40km
JPVI (2 k)00
582003-09-29
02:36 UTC
6.442.47° N, 144.35° E
25km
JPVII (88 k)00
592003-10-08
09:06 UTC
6.742.65° N, 144.53° E
32km
JPV (261 k)00
602003-12-03
14:11 UTC
5.942.43° N, 144.69° E
39km
JPVI (46)00
612003-12-29
01:30 UTC
6.142.46° N, 144.6° E
26km
JPVI (163 k)00
622004-02-17
07:46 UTC
5.543.19° N, 145.82° E
42km
JPV (38 k)00
632004-04-11
18:06 UTC
6.142.88° N, 144.91° E
37km
JPVI (5 k)00
642004-11-11
10:02 UTC
6.142.16° N, 144.33° E
34km
JPV (308 k)00
652004-11-28
18:32 UTC
743.02° N, 145.15° E
39km
JPVIII (33 k)00tsunami
662004-11-28
18:36 UTC
5.942.94° N, 145.14° E
41km
JPVII (9 k)00
672004-12-06
14:15 UTC
6.742.89° N, 145.23° E
35km
JPVII (21 k)00
682004-12-14
05:56 UTC
5.744.13° N, 141.81° E
6km
JPV (35 k)00
692004-12-21
15:34 UTC
5.642.95° N, 145.42° E
39km
JPV (58 k)00
702005-01-18
14:09 UTC
6.242.94° N, 144.88° E
47km
JPVI (250 k)00
712007-02-17
00:02 UTC
641.82° N, 143.55° E
31km
JPVII (2 k)00
MMICityPopulation
VIIObihiro174k
VIIOtofuke41k
VIShizunai22k
VIKushiro184k
VFukagawa26k
VChitose93k
VBibai29k
VIwamizawa85k
VTomakomai175k
VShimo-furano26k
VTakikawa45k
VIshikari57k
VSunagawa20k
VKitami113k
VTobetsu22k
VUtashinai5k
VBihoro23k
VShiraoi21k
VKamikawa5k
VAkabira14k
VHiroshima62k
VShibetsu22k
VAshibetsu19k
VNayoro26k
VEbetsu134k
VRumoi26k
VMuroran96k
VHakodate276k
VDate35k
IVAbashiri43k
IVMutsu49k
IVMombetsu27k
IVNemuro31k
IVSapporo1,883k
IVYoichi23k
IVNiseko Town5k
IVMisawa43k
IVAomori298k
IVIwanai16k
IVNanae30k
IVGoshogawara49k
IVKizukuri19k
IVNamioka21k
IVKuroishi39k
IVKamiiso38k
IVOtrada3k
IVHirosaki175k
IIIAsahikawa357k
IIIOtaru144k

(k = x1,000)


PAGER content is automatically generated, and only considers losses due to structural damage. Limitations of input data, shaking estimates, and loss models may add uncertainty. PAGER results are generally available within 30 minutes of the earthquake’s occurrence. However, information on the extent of shaking will be uncertain in the minutes and hours following an earthquake and typically improves as additional sensor data and reported intensities are acquired and incorporated into models of the earthquake's source. Users of PAGER estimates should account for uncertainty and always seek the most current PAGER release for any earthquake.