PAGER - M 5.4 - MOLUCCA SEA

Alert level does not include impacts from earthquake-related hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires or liquefaction.

Earthquake Shaking Alert Level: GREEN

Download Alert PDF What's this?Thursday, December 20th, 2012 at 21:47:28 UTC (05:47:28 local)Location: 0.6° N, 126.2° EDepth: 17kmEvent Id: USC000EDTZAlert Version: 5Created: 1 week, 1 day after earthquake.

Alert Information

Green alert for shaking-related fatalities and economic losses. There is a low likelihood of casualties and damage.

Estimated Fatalities

ESTIMATED FATALITY ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITIES (LEVEL)	Probability (%)
0 (GREEN)	99
1 to 9 (YELLOW)	1
10 to 99 (YELLOW)	0
100 to 999 (ORANGE)	0
1 to 10 thousand (RED)	0
10 to 100 thousand (RED)	0
100 thousand + (RED)	0

Estimated Economic Losses

ESTIMATED ECONOMIC ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED VALUE IN USD (LEVEL)	Probability (%)
0 to 1 million (GREEN)	99
1 to 10 million (YELLOW)	1
10 to 100 million (YELLOW)	0
100 million to 1 billion (ORANGE)	0
1 to 10 billion (RED)	0
10 to 100 billion (RED)	0
100 billion + (RED)	0

Estimated Population Exposed to Earthquake Shaking
Estimated Modified Mercalli Intensity		I	II-III	IV	V	VI	VII	VIII	IX	X
Est. Population Exposure		---*	2,605k*	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Perceived Shaking		Not Felt	Weak	Light	Moderate	Strong	Very Strong	Severe	Violent	Extreme
Potential Structure Damage	Resistant	none	none	none	V. Light	Light	Moderate	Moderate/Heavy	Heavy	V. Heavy
Potential Structure Damage	Vulnerable	none	none	none	Light	Moderate	Moderate/Heavy	Heavy	V. Heavy	V. Heavy

*Estimated exposure only includes population within calculated shake map area

Population Exposure
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan

Structure Information Summary

Overall, the population in this region resides in structures that are vulnerable to earthquake shaking, though some resistant structures exist.

Historical Earthquakes (with MMI)

Date (UTC)	Dist (km)	Mag	Max MMI (#)	Shaking Deaths
1979-05-18	27	6.3	V (3k)	0
2007-01-21	61	7.5	VI (283k)	3
2000-05-04	356	7.5	VIII (17k)	46

Cities Exposedfrom GeoNames Database of Cities with 1,000 or more residents.

MMI	City	Population
III	Tondano	33k
II	Laikit, Laikit II (Dimembe)	8k
II	Tomohon	28k
II	Manado	452k
II	Bitung	137k
II	Ternate	102k
II	Tobelo	10k

(k = x1,000)

Nearby Events in the EXPO-CAT Earthquake Catalog
#	Date/Time	Mag	Lat, Lon, Depth	Country	Max MMI (Exposed)	Deaths		Secondary Effects
#	Date/Time	Mag	Lat, Lon, Depth	Country	Max MMI (Exposed)	Shaking	Total	Secondary Effects
1	1973-03-16 00:51 UTC	6.3	2.12° N, 126.6° E 14km	ID	V (6 k)	0	0
2	1973-03-18 11:06 UTC	6.5	2.04° N, 126.46° E 16km	ID	V (34 k)	0	0
3	1974-06-02 15:59 UTC	5.5	2.81° N, 125.41° E 1km	ID	VII (3 k)	0	0
4	1975-01-17 10:28 UTC	5.7	2.91° S, 126.09° E 12km	ID	VI (270)	0	0
5	1975-03-05 00:22 UTC	6.9	2.41° S, 126.09° E 18km	ID	IX (1 k)	0	0
6	1975-05-13 21:18 UTC	6.3	1.03° N, 126.03° E 22km	ID	V (72 k)	0	0
7	1975-11-18 04:06 UTC	5.5	2.22° S, 125.86° E 3km	ID	VII (905)	0	0
8	1976-05-30 02:56 UTC	5.5	1.01° S, 127.03° E 21km	ID	V (19 k)	0	0
9	1976-06-26 10:30 UTC	6.5	3.75° N, 126.7° E 7km	ID	IX (12 k)	0	0
10	1977-01-01 19:01 UTC	6.3	2.51° S, 126.59° E 9km	ID	VI (6 k)	0	0
11	1977-04-02 06:46 UTC	5.8	2.16° S, 125.33° E 18km	ID	VII (208)	0	0
12	1977-04-13 12:45 UTC	5.4	3.78° N, 126.75° E 45km	ID	VI (57 k)	0	0
13	1977-05-10 22:28 UTC	5.4	1.04° S, 127.35° E 44km	ID	VI (1 k)	0	0
14	1977-09-19 05:13 UTC	6.2	1.94° S, 126.61° E 30km	ID	VII (79)	0	0
15	1978-05-23 06:01 UTC	6	0.78° S, 127.31° E 42km	ID	VII (8 k)	0	0
16	1979-04-10 01:42 UTC	7	2.99° N, 126.97° E 40km	ID	VII (10 k)	0	0
17	1979-05-18 23:22 UTC	6.3	0.63° N, 125.98° E 37km	ID	V (3 k)	0	0
18	1979-10-22 05:58 UTC	6.5	0.63° N, 125.94° E 39km	ID	V (272 k)	0	0
19	1980-01-29 07:04 UTC	5.8	2.5° N, 128.1° E 33km	ID	VII (13 k)	0	0
20	1981-03-26 21:30 UTC	6.5	3.44° N, 128° E 44km	ID	V (61 k)	0	0
21	1981-07-08 10:15 UTC	5.3	1.96° S, 124.72° E 19km	ID	VII (80)	0	0
22	1983-06-30 17:37 UTC	5.6	2.6° N, 128.28° E 28km	ID	VII (6 k)	0	0
23	1983-08-21 08:34 UTC	5.8	3.73° N, 126.53° E 41km	ID	VII (26 k)	0	0
24	1983-11-07 08:39 UTC	6	1.41° N, 128.15° E 25km	ID	VII (49 k)	0	0
25	1983-11-07 08:42 UTC	5.8	1.31° N, 128.18° E 25km	ID	VII (43 k)	0	0
26	1983-11-07 16:26 UTC	6.4	1.45° N, 128.21° E 24km	ID	VIII (10 k)	0	0
27	1983-11-07 20:12 UTC	5.7	1.46° N, 128.25° E 42km	ID	VII (3)	0	0
28	1984-01-04 02:42 UTC	5.7	1.47° N, 128.2° E 31km	ID	VII (24 k)	0	0
29	1984-06-26 01:11 UTC	5.7	1.26° S, 127.19° E 43km	ID	VI (3 k)	0	0
30	1985-01-21 00:55 UTC	6.7	0.95° S, 128.4° E 16km	ID	IX (219)	0	0
31	1985-03-05 13:40 UTC	6.1	1.17° N, 122.83° E 33km	ID	VII (11 k)	0	0
32	1985-04-13 03:00 UTC	6.9	1.61° N, 126.43° E 43km	ID	VI (3 k)	0	0
33	1985-12-14 06:46 UTC	6.2	3.7° N, 126.57° E 33km	ID	VII (79 k)	0	0
34	1986-01-03 09:43 UTC	6.1	0.97° S, 126.92° E 35km	ID	VII (36)	0	0
35	1986-04-10 02:21 UTC	6.1	0.94° S, 126.8° E 35km	ID	VI (5 k)	0	0
36	1986-07-09 23:10 UTC	6.7	1.94° N, 126.49° E 40km	ID	V (374 k)	0	0
37	1986-08-14 19:39 UTC	7.5	1.8° N, 126.48° E 30km	ID	VI (29 k)	0	0
38	1986-08-14 22:55 UTC	5.9	2.15° N, 127.01° E 39km	ID	V (31 k)	0	0
39	1986-08-16 17:19 UTC	6.4	1.91° N, 126.48° E 40km	ID	V (23 k)	0	0
40	1986-08-17 15:27 UTC	6.4	2.29° N, 127° E 35km	ID	VI (2 k)	0	0
41	1986-08-17 15:31 UTC	6.3	2.16° N, 127.14° E 34km	ID	VI (12 k)	0	0
42	1986-09-09 15:58 UTC	5.6	0.94° N, 127.72° E 30km	ID	VII (39 k)	0	0
43	1986-09-25 20:06 UTC	6	3.71° N, 126.7° E 36km	ID	VII (54 k)	0	0
44	1987-01-29 02:43 UTC	6.4	1.32° N, 126.22° E 45km	ID	V (91 k)	0	0
45	1987-02-08 17:48 UTC	6.2	1.62° N, 126.54° E 36km	ID	V (36 k)	0	0
46	1987-02-13 07:18 UTC	6.7	0.69° N, 126.16° E 57km	ID	V (947 k)	0	0
47	1987-04-09 00:48 UTC	6.2	1.23° N, 128.39° E 27km	ID	VII (26 k)	0	0
48	1987-11-27 00:02 UTC	6.1	0.2° S, 125° E 42km	ID	V (23 k)	0	0
49	1988-02-17 23:39 UTC	5.6	3.84° N, 126.6° E 26km	ID	VII (65 k)	0	0
50	1988-03-08 15:38 UTC	5.9	2.18° S, 125.29° E 32km	ID	VII (46)	0	0
51	1989-02-10 11:15 UTC	7.1	2.28° N, 126.68° E 46km	ID	VI (35 k)	0	0
52	1989-02-27 23:39 UTC	6.3	2.34° N, 127.97° E 37km	ID	VIII (397)	0	0
53	1989-11-01 09:49 UTC	5.5	2.52° N, 128.13° E 44km	ID	VI (15 k)	0	0
54	1990-04-18 13:39 UTC	7.6	1.2° N, 122.82° E 37km	ID	VIII (826)	3	3
55	1990-04-18 13:54 UTC	5.6	0.37° N, 123.13° E 33km	ID	VII (45 k)	0	0
56	1990-04-19 01:05 UTC	5.9	1.31° N, 123.04° E 45km	ID	VI (32 k)	0	0
57	1990-04-19 12:40 UTC	6.3	1.09° N, 123.43° E 25km	ID	VII (100 k)	0	0
58	1990-04-26 15:40 UTC	5.9	1.08° N, 122.84° E 33km	ID	VII (40 k)	0	0
59	1990-05-15 18:31 UTC	6	1.17° N, 123.88° E 32km	ID	VII (6 k)	0	0
60	1990-08-25 15:47 UTC	6.3	0.54° N, 126.06° E 14km	ID	V (121 k)	0	0
61	1990-09-09 22:29 UTC	5.7	1.19° N, 123.03° E 34km	ID	VII (627)	0	0
62	1990-11-30 13:19 UTC	5.8	1.06° N, 123.96° E 32km	ID	VII (32 k)	0	0
63	1990-12-13 12:26 UTC	6.1	1.1° N, 123.96° E 36km	ID	VII (50 k)	0	0
64	1990-12-23 21:03 UTC	5.5	0.65° S, 127.38° E 38km	ID	VII (757)	0	0
65	1991-05-19 00:58 UTC	6.9	1.16° N, 122.94° E 21km	ID	VIII (2 k)	0	0
66	1991-06-20 05:18 UTC	7.5	1.21° N, 122.77° E 33km	ID	VIII (455)	0	0
67	1991-06-20 06:27 UTC	5.6	1.17° N, 122.83° E 40km	ID	VI (18 k)	0	0
68	1991-06-21 16:17 UTC	5.4	1.09° N, 123.04° E 31km	ID	VII (680)	0	0
69	1991-10-13 00:57 UTC	5.9	2.46° N, 127.75° E 28km	ID	VII (4 k)	0	0
70	1992-06-06 21:40 UTC	5.9	1.06° N, 124° E 18km	ID	VI (53 k)	0	0
71	1992-08-02 05:50 UTC	6.2	0.86° S, 127.61° E 20km	ID	VIII (878)	0	0
72	1992-09-26 22:15 UTC	6.5	1.3° N, 129.09° E 25km	ID	VII (3 k)	0	0
73	1992-11-27 13:50 UTC	5.8	2.5° N, 128.73° E 19km	ID	VII (3 k)	0	0
74	1993-01-19 15:17 UTC	5.6	2.13° S, 125.18° E 36km	ID	VI (3 k)	0	0
75	1993-12-09 04:32 UTC	6.9	0.49° N, 125.98° E 23km	ID	V (1,866 k)	0	0
76	1993-12-09 11:38 UTC	6.7	0.45° N, 125.92° E 16km	ID	V (1,431 k)	0	0
77	1994-01-21 02:24 UTC	6.9	1.04° N, 127.77° E 19km	ID	IX (28 k)	7	7
78	1994-10-08 21:44 UTC	6.8	1.21° S, 127.98° E 13km	ID	VII (5 k)	1	1	tsunami
79	1994-10-13 05:04 UTC	6.4	1.19° S, 127.83° E 11km	ID	VII (9 k)	0	0
80	1994-12-14 19:44 UTC	5.7	2.82° N, 128.34° E 45km	ID	VI (5 k)	0	0
81	1995-02-13 08:41 UTC	5.9	1.32° S, 127.5° E 25km	ID	VIII (236)	0	0
82	1995-02-13 08:43 UTC	6.2	1.28° S, 127.45° E 21km	ID	IX (13)	0	0
83	1995-02-13 12:29 UTC	6.1	1.3° S, 127.43° E 22km	ID	VIII (546)	0	0
84	1995-02-13 13:06 UTC	5.7	1.33° S, 127.43° E 23km	ID	VIII (61)	0	0
85	1995-02-13 13:52 UTC	5.5	1.2° S, 127.4° E 37km	ID	VII (524)	0	0
86	1995-02-13 15:04 UTC	6.7	1.33° S, 127.49° E 19km	ID	IX (1 k)	0	0
87	1995-02-13 15:36 UTC	5.6	1.64° S, 127.48° E 25km	ID	VII (6 k)	0	0
88	1995-02-19 20:57 UTC	5.5	1.33° S, 127.66° E 19km	ID	VII (7 k)	0	0
89	1995-05-04 02:18 UTC	6.1	1.89° N, 128.5° E 24km	ID	VIII (1 k)	0	0
90	1995-06-28 21:14 UTC	5.8	1.55° S, 127.47° E 35km	ID	VII (5 k)	0	0
91	1995-11-16 09:24 UTC	5.6	3.53° N, 126.88° E 15km	ID	VI (13 k)	0	0
92	1996-04-02 18:50 UTC	5.9	3.08° N, 126.18° E 33km	ID	V (33 k)	0	0
93	1996-05-19 23:21 UTC	5.7	1.34° N, 122.72° E 31km	ID	VI (3 k)	0	0
94	1997-06-24 23:04 UTC	6.3	1.87° S, 127.91° E 28km	ID	VII (1 k)	0	0
95	1998-09-28 19:23 UTC	6.1	3.86° N, 126.39° E 28km	ID	VI (64 k)	0	0
96	1998-10-28 16:25 UTC	6.5	0.85° N, 125.9° E 44km	ID	V (981 k)	0	0
97	1998-11-29 14:10 UTC	7.7	1.94° S, 124.82° E 21km	ID	VIII (5 k)	41	41
98	1998-11-29 17:32 UTC	5.7	1.87° S, 124.6° E 30km	ID	VII (3 k)	0	0
99	1998-12-06 00:47 UTC	6.6	1.3° N, 126.21° E 44km	ID	V (837 k)	0	0
100	1998-12-26 15:39 UTC	5.9	1.38° S, 123.63° E 27km	ID	VII (55 k)	0	0
101	1999-03-01 08:51 UTC	5.7	2.9° S, 126.6° E 29km	ID	VII (2 k)	0	0
102	1999-06-25 11:12 UTC	5.5	3.86° N, 126.38° E 17km	ID	V (196 k)	0	0
103	2000-05-04 04:21 UTC	7.5	1.14° S, 123.52° E 26km	ID	VIII (17 k)	46	46	tsunami
104	2000-05-05 05:24 UTC	5.7	1.23° S, 123.36° E 35km	ID	VII (28 k)	0	0
105	2001-02-24 07:23 UTC	7	1.33° N, 126.27° E 35km	ID	VI (55 k)	0	0
106	2002-05-12 23:12 UTC	5.9	1.19° S, 127.1° E 41km	ID	VI (6 k)	0	0
107	2002-05-14 14:19 UTC	5.4	3.47° N, 125.44° E 39km	ID	VI (52 k)	0	0
108	2002-07-19 02:38 UTC	5.6	1.31° N, 122.78° E 34km	ID	VI (889)	0	0
109	2003-05-11 17:51 UTC	6.1	1.02° S, 126.92° E 43km	ID	VII (4)	0	0
110	2003-05-26 19:23 UTC	6.9	2.34° N, 128.87° E 31km	ID	VIII (10 k)	1	1
111	2003-08-11 00:19 UTC	6	1.18° N, 128.2° E 35km	ID	VII (50 k)	0	0
112	2004-03-09 05:56 UTC	5.6	2.13° S, 125.09° E 33km	ID	VI (5 k)	0	0
113	2005-12-21 07:09 UTC	6.3	0.11° S, 124.67° E 18km	ID	VI (5 k)	0	0
114	2006-03-31 21:14 UTC	6.1	3.8° N, 126.41° E 37km	ID	VII (63 k)	0	0
115	2006-05-19 14:44 UTC	6.3	0.21° S, 124.71° E 35km	ID	VI (2 k)	0	0
116	2006-06-24 21:15 UTC	6.3	0.4° S, 123.23° E 26km	ID	VIII (3 k)	0	0
117	2006-07-23 08:22 UTC	5.9	0.37° S, 123.19° E 28km	ID	VII (4 k)	0	0
118	2006-11-29 01:32 UTC	6.2	2.51° N, 128.25° E 39km	ID	VII (39 k)	0	0
119	2007-01-21 11:27 UTC	7.5	1.12° N, 126.34° E 22km	ID	VI (283 k)	3	4
120	2007-02-20 08:04 UTC	6.7	1.03° S, 126.97° E 12km	ID	VII (2)	0	0
121	2007-02-20 14:25 UTC	6	1.03° S, 126.94° E 11km	ID	V (48 k)	0	0
122	2007-02-21 02:19 UTC	5.5	0.95° S, 127.19° E 28km	ID	VII (2 k)	0	0
123	2007-03-03 20:08 UTC	5.9	0° N, 126.78° E 39km	ID	VI (1 k)	0	0
124	2007-05-29 09:36 UTC	6	1.08° S, 127.33° E 24km	ID	VIII (13)	0	0
125	2007-05-29 09:42 UTC	5.5	1.07° S, 127.42° E 10km	ID	VII (11)	0	0
126	2007-07-26 05:40 UTC	6.9	2.82° N, 127.46° E 25km	ID	VII (2 k)	0	0

PAGER content is automatically generated, and only considers losses due to structural damage. Limitations of input data, shaking estimates, and loss models may add uncertainty. PAGER results are generally available within 30 minutes of the earthquake’s occurrence. However, information on the extent of shaking will be uncertain in the minutes and hours following an earthquake and typically improves as additional sensor data and reported intensities are acquired and incorporated into models of the earthquake's source. Users of PAGER estimates should account for uncertainty and always seek the most current PAGER release for any earthquake.