PAGER - M 5.4 - MOLUCCA SEA

Alert level does not include impacts from earthquake-related hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires or liquefaction.

Earthquake Shaking Alert Level: GREEN

Download Alert PDFWhat's this?Thursday, December 20th, 2012 at 21:47:28 UTC (05:47:28 local)Location: 0.6° N, 126.2° EDepth: 17kmEvent Id: USC000EDTZAlert Version: 5Created: 1 week, 1 day after earthquake.
Global Location

Alert Information

Green alert for shaking-related fatalities and economic losses. There is a low likelihood of casualties and damage.
Estimated FatalitiesFatality Alert Level: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITY ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITIES (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 (GREEN)
 
99
1 to 9 (YELLOW)1
10 to 99 (YELLOW)0
100 to 999 (ORANGE)0
1 to 10 thousand (RED)0
10 to 100 thousand (RED)0
100 thousand + (RED)0
Estimated Economic LossesEconomic Alert Level: GREEN
ESTIMATED ECONOMIC ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED VALUE IN USD (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 to 1 million (GREEN)
 
99
1 to 10 million (YELLOW)1
10 to 100 million (YELLOW)0
100 million to 1 billion (ORANGE)0
1 to 10 billion (RED)0
10 to 100 billion (RED)0
100 billion + (RED)0

Detailed Information

Estimated Population Exposed to Earthquake Shaking
Estimated Modified Mercalli IntensityIII-IIIIVVVIVIIVIIIIXX
Est. Population Exposure---*2,605k*0000000
Perceived ShakingNot FeltWeakLightModerateStrongVery StrongSevereViolentExtreme
Potential Structure DamageResistantnonenonenoneV. LightLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. Heavy
VulnerablenonenonenoneLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. HeavyV. Heavy
*Estimated exposure only includes population within calculated shake map area
Population Exposure
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan
Population Exposure Map

Structure Information Summary

Overall, the population in this region resides in structures that are vulnerable to earthquake shaking, though some resistant structures exist.

Historical Earthquakes (with MMI)

Date (UTC)Dist (km)MagMax MMI (#)Shaking Deaths
1979-05-18276.3V (3k)0
2007-01-21617.5VI (283k)3
2000-05-043567.5VIII (17k)46

Cities Exposedfrom GeoNames Database of Cities with 1,000 or more residents.
MMICityPopulation
IIITondano33k
IILaikit, Laikit II (Dimembe)8k
IITomohon28k
IIManado452k
IIBitung137k
IITernate102k
IITobelo10k

(k = x1,000)

Historical Events Map
Nearby Events in the EXPO-CAT Earthquake Catalog
#Date/TimeMagLat, Lon, DepthCountryMax MMI (Exposed)DeathsSecondary Effects
ShakingTotal
11973-03-16
00:51 UTC
6.32.12° N, 126.6° E
14km
IDV (6 k)00
21973-03-18
11:06 UTC
6.52.04° N, 126.46° E
16km
IDV (34 k)00
31974-06-02
15:59 UTC
5.52.81° N, 125.41° E
1km
IDVII (3 k)00
41975-01-17
10:28 UTC
5.72.91° S, 126.09° E
12km
IDVI (270)00
51975-03-05
00:22 UTC
6.92.41° S, 126.09° E
18km
IDIX (1 k)00
61975-05-13
21:18 UTC
6.31.03° N, 126.03° E
22km
IDV (72 k)00
71975-11-18
04:06 UTC
5.52.22° S, 125.86° E
3km
IDVII (905)00
81976-05-30
02:56 UTC
5.51.01° S, 127.03° E
21km
IDV (19 k)00
91976-06-26
10:30 UTC
6.53.75° N, 126.7° E
7km
IDIX (12 k)00
101977-01-01
19:01 UTC
6.32.51° S, 126.59° E
9km
IDVI (6 k)00
111977-04-02
06:46 UTC
5.82.16° S, 125.33° E
18km
IDVII (208)00
121977-04-13
12:45 UTC
5.43.78° N, 126.75° E
45km
IDVI (57 k)00
131977-05-10
22:28 UTC
5.41.04° S, 127.35° E
44km
IDVI (1 k)00
141977-09-19
05:13 UTC
6.21.94° S, 126.61° E
30km
IDVII (79)00
151978-05-23
06:01 UTC
60.78° S, 127.31° E
42km
IDVII (8 k)00
161979-04-10
01:42 UTC
72.99° N, 126.97° E
40km
IDVII (10 k)00
171979-05-18
23:22 UTC
6.30.63° N, 125.98° E
37km
IDV (3 k)00
181979-10-22
05:58 UTC
6.50.63° N, 125.94° E
39km
IDV (272 k)00
191980-01-29
07:04 UTC
5.82.5° N, 128.1° E
33km
IDVII (13 k)00
201981-03-26
21:30 UTC
6.53.44° N, 128° E
44km
IDV (61 k)00
211981-07-08
10:15 UTC
5.31.96° S, 124.72° E
19km
IDVII (80)00
221983-06-30
17:37 UTC
5.62.6° N, 128.28° E
28km
IDVII (6 k)00
231983-08-21
08:34 UTC
5.83.73° N, 126.53° E
41km
IDVII (26 k)00
241983-11-07
08:39 UTC
61.41° N, 128.15° E
25km
IDVII (49 k)00
251983-11-07
08:42 UTC
5.81.31° N, 128.18° E
25km
IDVII (43 k)00
261983-11-07
16:26 UTC
6.41.45° N, 128.21° E
24km
IDVIII (10 k)00
271983-11-07
20:12 UTC
5.71.46° N, 128.25° E
42km
IDVII (3)00
281984-01-04
02:42 UTC
5.71.47° N, 128.2° E
31km
IDVII (24 k)00
291984-06-26
01:11 UTC
5.71.26° S, 127.19° E
43km
IDVI (3 k)00
301985-01-21
00:55 UTC
6.70.95° S, 128.4° E
16km
IDIX (219)00
311985-03-05
13:40 UTC
6.11.17° N, 122.83° E
33km
IDVII (11 k)00
321985-04-13
03:00 UTC
6.91.61° N, 126.43° E
43km
IDVI (3 k)00
331985-12-14
06:46 UTC
6.23.7° N, 126.57° E
33km
IDVII (79 k)00
341986-01-03
09:43 UTC
6.10.97° S, 126.92° E
35km
IDVII (36)00
351986-04-10
02:21 UTC
6.10.94° S, 126.8° E
35km
IDVI (5 k)00
361986-07-09
23:10 UTC
6.71.94° N, 126.49° E
40km
IDV (374 k)00
371986-08-14
19:39 UTC
7.51.8° N, 126.48° E
30km
IDVI (29 k)00
381986-08-14
22:55 UTC
5.92.15° N, 127.01° E
39km
IDV (31 k)00
391986-08-16
17:19 UTC
6.41.91° N, 126.48° E
40km
IDV (23 k)00
401986-08-17
15:27 UTC
6.42.29° N, 127° E
35km
IDVI (2 k)00
411986-08-17
15:31 UTC
6.32.16° N, 127.14° E
34km
IDVI (12 k)00
421986-09-09
15:58 UTC
5.60.94° N, 127.72° E
30km
IDVII (39 k)00
431986-09-25
20:06 UTC
63.71° N, 126.7° E
36km
IDVII (54 k)00
441987-01-29
02:43 UTC
6.41.32° N, 126.22° E
45km
IDV (91 k)00
451987-02-08
17:48 UTC
6.21.62° N, 126.54° E
36km
IDV (36 k)00
461987-02-13
07:18 UTC
6.70.69° N, 126.16° E
57km
IDV (947 k)00
471987-04-09
00:48 UTC
6.21.23° N, 128.39° E
27km
IDVII (26 k)00
481987-11-27
00:02 UTC
6.10.2° S, 125° E
42km
IDV (23 k)00
491988-02-17
23:39 UTC
5.63.84° N, 126.6° E
26km
IDVII (65 k)00
501988-03-08
15:38 UTC
5.92.18° S, 125.29° E
32km
IDVII (46)00
511989-02-10
11:15 UTC
7.12.28° N, 126.68° E
46km
IDVI (35 k)00
521989-02-27
23:39 UTC
6.32.34° N, 127.97° E
37km
IDVIII (397)00
531989-11-01
09:49 UTC
5.52.52° N, 128.13° E
44km
IDVI (15 k)00
541990-04-18
13:39 UTC
7.61.2° N, 122.82° E
37km
IDVIII (826)33
551990-04-18
13:54 UTC
5.60.37° N, 123.13° E
33km
IDVII (45 k)00
561990-04-19
01:05 UTC
5.91.31° N, 123.04° E
45km
IDVI (32 k)00
571990-04-19
12:40 UTC
6.31.09° N, 123.43° E
25km
IDVII (100 k)00
581990-04-26
15:40 UTC
5.91.08° N, 122.84° E
33km
IDVII (40 k)00
591990-05-15
18:31 UTC
61.17° N, 123.88° E
32km
IDVII (6 k)00
601990-08-25
15:47 UTC
6.30.54° N, 126.06° E
14km
IDV (121 k)00
611990-09-09
22:29 UTC
5.71.19° N, 123.03° E
34km
IDVII (627)00
621990-11-30
13:19 UTC
5.81.06° N, 123.96° E
32km
IDVII (32 k)00
631990-12-13
12:26 UTC
6.11.1° N, 123.96° E
36km
IDVII (50 k)00
641990-12-23
21:03 UTC
5.50.65° S, 127.38° E
38km
IDVII (757)00
651991-05-19
00:58 UTC
6.91.16° N, 122.94° E
21km
IDVIII (2 k)00
661991-06-20
05:18 UTC
7.51.21° N, 122.77° E
33km
IDVIII (455)00
671991-06-20
06:27 UTC
5.61.17° N, 122.83° E
40km
IDVI (18 k)00
681991-06-21
16:17 UTC
5.41.09° N, 123.04° E
31km
IDVII (680)00
691991-10-13
00:57 UTC
5.92.46° N, 127.75° E
28km
IDVII (4 k)00
701992-06-06
21:40 UTC
5.91.06° N, 124° E
18km
IDVI (53 k)00
711992-08-02
05:50 UTC
6.20.86° S, 127.61° E
20km
IDVIII (878)00
721992-09-26
22:15 UTC
6.51.3° N, 129.09° E
25km
IDVII (3 k)00
731992-11-27
13:50 UTC
5.82.5° N, 128.73° E
19km
IDVII (3 k)00
741993-01-19
15:17 UTC
5.62.13° S, 125.18° E
36km
IDVI (3 k)00
751993-12-09
04:32 UTC
6.90.49° N, 125.98° E
23km
IDV (1,866 k)00
761993-12-09
11:38 UTC
6.70.45° N, 125.92° E
16km
IDV (1,431 k)00
771994-01-21
02:24 UTC
6.91.04° N, 127.77° E
19km
IDIX (28 k)77
781994-10-08
21:44 UTC
6.81.21° S, 127.98° E
13km
IDVII (5 k)11tsunami
791994-10-13
05:04 UTC
6.41.19° S, 127.83° E
11km
IDVII (9 k)00
801994-12-14
19:44 UTC
5.72.82° N, 128.34° E
45km
IDVI (5 k)00
811995-02-13
08:41 UTC
5.91.32° S, 127.5° E
25km
IDVIII (236)00
821995-02-13
08:43 UTC
6.21.28° S, 127.45° E
21km
IDIX (13)00
831995-02-13
12:29 UTC
6.11.3° S, 127.43° E
22km
IDVIII (546)00
841995-02-13
13:06 UTC
5.71.33° S, 127.43° E
23km
IDVIII (61)00
851995-02-13
13:52 UTC
5.51.2° S, 127.4° E
37km
IDVII (524)00
861995-02-13
15:04 UTC
6.71.33° S, 127.49° E
19km
IDIX (1 k)00
871995-02-13
15:36 UTC
5.61.64° S, 127.48° E
25km
IDVII (6 k)00
881995-02-19
20:57 UTC
5.51.33° S, 127.66° E
19km
IDVII (7 k)00
891995-05-04
02:18 UTC
6.11.89° N, 128.5° E
24km
IDVIII (1 k)00
901995-06-28
21:14 UTC
5.81.55° S, 127.47° E
35km
IDVII (5 k)00
911995-11-16
09:24 UTC
5.63.53° N, 126.88° E
15km
IDVI (13 k)00
921996-04-02
18:50 UTC
5.93.08° N, 126.18° E
33km
IDV (33 k)00
931996-05-19
23:21 UTC
5.71.34° N, 122.72° E
31km
IDVI (3 k)00
941997-06-24
23:04 UTC
6.31.87° S, 127.91° E
28km
IDVII (1 k)00
951998-09-28
19:23 UTC
6.13.86° N, 126.39° E
28km
IDVI (64 k)00
961998-10-28
16:25 UTC
6.50.85° N, 125.9° E
44km
IDV (981 k)00
971998-11-29
14:10 UTC
7.71.94° S, 124.82° E
21km
IDVIII (5 k)4141
981998-11-29
17:32 UTC
5.71.87° S, 124.6° E
30km
IDVII (3 k)00
991998-12-06
00:47 UTC
6.61.3° N, 126.21° E
44km
IDV (837 k)00
1001998-12-26
15:39 UTC
5.91.38° S, 123.63° E
27km
IDVII (55 k)00
1011999-03-01
08:51 UTC
5.72.9° S, 126.6° E
29km
IDVII (2 k)00
1021999-06-25
11:12 UTC
5.53.86° N, 126.38° E
17km
IDV (196 k)00
1032000-05-04
04:21 UTC
7.51.14° S, 123.52° E
26km
IDVIII (17 k)4646tsunami
1042000-05-05
05:24 UTC
5.71.23° S, 123.36° E
35km
IDVII (28 k)00
1052001-02-24
07:23 UTC
71.33° N, 126.27° E
35km
IDVI (55 k)00
1062002-05-12
23:12 UTC
5.91.19° S, 127.1° E
41km
IDVI (6 k)00
1072002-05-14
14:19 UTC
5.43.47° N, 125.44° E
39km
IDVI (52 k)00
1082002-07-19
02:38 UTC
5.61.31° N, 122.78° E
34km
IDVI (889)00
1092003-05-11
17:51 UTC
6.11.02° S, 126.92° E
43km
IDVII (4)00
1102003-05-26
19:23 UTC
6.92.34° N, 128.87° E
31km
IDVIII (10 k)11
1112003-08-11
00:19 UTC
61.18° N, 128.2° E
35km
IDVII (50 k)00
1122004-03-09
05:56 UTC
5.62.13° S, 125.09° E
33km
IDVI (5 k)00
1132005-12-21
07:09 UTC
6.30.11° S, 124.67° E
18km
IDVI (5 k)00
1142006-03-31
21:14 UTC
6.13.8° N, 126.41° E
37km
IDVII (63 k)00
1152006-05-19
14:44 UTC
6.30.21° S, 124.71° E
35km
IDVI (2 k)00
1162006-06-24
21:15 UTC
6.30.4° S, 123.23° E
26km
IDVIII (3 k)00
1172006-07-23
08:22 UTC
5.90.37° S, 123.19° E
28km
IDVII (4 k)00
1182006-11-29
01:32 UTC
6.22.51° N, 128.25° E
39km
IDVII (39 k)00
1192007-01-21
11:27 UTC
7.51.12° N, 126.34° E
22km
IDVI (283 k)34
1202007-02-20
08:04 UTC
6.71.03° S, 126.97° E
12km
IDVII (2)00
1212007-02-20
14:25 UTC
61.03° S, 126.94° E
11km
IDV (48 k)00
1222007-02-21
02:19 UTC
5.50.95° S, 127.19° E
28km
IDVII (2 k)00
1232007-03-03
20:08 UTC
5.90° N, 126.78° E
39km
IDVI (1 k)00
1242007-05-29
09:36 UTC
61.08° S, 127.33° E
24km
IDVIII (13)00
1252007-05-29
09:42 UTC
5.51.07° S, 127.42° E
10km
IDVII (11)00
1262007-07-26
05:40 UTC
6.92.82° N, 127.46° E
25km
IDVII (2 k)00

PAGER content is automatically generated, and only considers losses due to structural damage. Limitations of input data, shaking estimates, and loss models may add uncertainty. PAGER results are generally available within 30 minutes of the earthquake’s occurrence. However, information on the extent of shaking will be uncertain in the minutes and hours following an earthquake and typically improves as additional sensor data and reported intensities are acquired and incorporated into models of the earthquake's source. Users of PAGER estimates should account for uncertainty and always seek the most current PAGER release for any earthquake.