PAGER - M 7.1 - BANDA SEA

Alert level does not include impacts from earthquake-related hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires or liquefaction.

Earthquake Shaking Alert Level: GREEN

Download Alert PDFWhat's this?Monday, December 10th, 2012 at 16:53:08 UTC (01:53:08 local)Location: 6.5° S, 129.8° EDepth: 155kmEvent Id: USC000E7J6Alert Version: 7Created: 1 week, 0 days after earthquake.
Global Location

Alert Information

Green alert for shaking-related fatalities and economic losses. There is a low likelihood of casualties and damage.
Estimated FatalitiesFatality Alert Level: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITY ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITIES (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 (GREEN)
 
65
1 to 9 (YELLOW)
 
30
10 to 99 (YELLOW)
 
4
100 to 999 (ORANGE)0
1 to 10 thousand (RED)0
10 to 100 thousand (RED)0
100 thousand + (RED)0
Estimated Economic LossesEconomic Alert Level: GREEN
ESTIMATED ECONOMIC ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED VALUE IN USD (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 to 1 million (GREEN)
 
67
1 to 10 million (YELLOW)
 
30
10 to 100 million (YELLOW)
 
3
100 million to 1 billion (ORANGE)0
1 to 10 billion (RED)0
10 to 100 billion (RED)0
100 billion + (RED)0

Detailed Information

Estimated Population Exposed to Earthquake Shaking
Estimated Modified Mercalli IntensityIII-IIIIVVVIVIIVIIIIXX
Est. Population Exposure---*15k*623k*29k00000
Perceived ShakingNot FeltWeakLightModerateStrongVery StrongSevereViolentExtreme
Potential Structure DamageResistantnonenonenoneV. LightLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. Heavy
VulnerablenonenonenoneLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. HeavyV. Heavy
*Estimated exposure only includes population within calculated shake map area
Population Exposure
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan
Population Exposure Map

Structure Information Summary

Overall, the population in this region resides in structures that are vulnerable to earthquake shaking, though some resistant structures exist.

Historical Earthquakes (with MMI)

Date (UTC)Dist (km)MagMax MMI (#)Shaking Deaths
2007-08-171456.4V (6k)0
2006-09-163846.3IX (59)0
1991-05-213826.6IX (2k)0

Cities Exposedfrom GeoNames Database of Cities with 1,000 or more residents.
MMICityPopulation
IVTual40k
IVAmbon356k

(k = x1,000)

Historical Events Map
Nearby Events in the EXPO-CAT Earthquake Catalog
#Date/TimeMagLat, Lon, DepthCountryMax MMI (Exposed)DeathsSecondary Effects
ShakingTotal
11974-07-26
13:01 UTC
5.63.55° S, 128.87° E
28km
IDVII (31 k)00
21974-12-03
03:06 UTC
6.54.99° S, 129.92° E
13km
IDVI (4 k)00
31975-01-14
19:37 UTC
5.94.92° S, 129.95° E
24km
IDVII (667)00
41975-01-14
19:48 UTC
6.94.94° S, 130.02° E
15km
IDVII (350)00
51975-03-04
11:17 UTC
5.74.94° S, 129.99° E
24km
IDVI (4 k)00
61976-10-01
11:47 UTC
5.53.41° S, 130.9° E
1km
IDVII (48)00
71977-06-11
02:11 UTC
5.53.2° S, 130.7° E
12km
IDVI (9 k)00
81978-02-16
23:31 UTC
5.43.35° S, 128.78° E
15km
IDVII (47)00
91978-12-10
02:38 UTC
5.74.48° S, 129.78° E
3km
IDVII (86)00
101979-03-30
22:15 UTC
5.64.15° S, 131.4° E
25km
IDVII (6 k)00
111979-11-03
23:17 UTC
5.94.27° S, 129.65° E
28km
IDVII (179)00
121982-08-11
10:42 UTC
5.73.05° S, 130.25° E
25km
IDVIII (138)00
131983-03-12
00:53 UTC
6.14.06° S, 127.88° E
22km
IDVII (3 k)00
141983-03-12
01:36 UTC
6.64.09° S, 127.86° E
31km
IDVII (72 k)00
151984-06-13
13:42 UTC
5.43.41° S, 130.91° E
29km
IDVII (2 k)00
161985-09-07
00:22 UTC
5.73.13° S, 130.3° E
19km
IDVIII (118)00
171985-09-07
04:40 UTC
5.73.12° S, 130.25° E
22km
IDVIII (31)00
181987-06-17
01:32 UTC
7.15.59° S, 130.84° E
85km
IDVI (997)00
191988-02-06
15:15 UTC
6.26.55° S, 131.97° E
30km
IDVII (25)00
201988-05-30
21:11 UTC
6.87.51° S, 128.35° E
89km
IDVII (206)00
211989-01-10
05:54 UTC
6.63.17° S, 130.52° E
21km
IDVIII (12 k)00
221990-05-25
02:03 UTC
5.82.96° S, 130.23° E
20km
IDVIII (761)00
231990-09-23
20:33 UTC
6.56.78° S, 130.46° E
35km
IDVI (102)00
241991-04-07
18:55 UTC
5.93.05° S, 130.4° E
23km
IDVIII (3 k)00
251991-05-21
11:00 UTC
6.67.54° S, 126.52° E
51km
IDIX (2 k)00
261991-08-11
14:43 UTC
5.83.11° S, 130.34° E
23km
IDVIII (402)00
271991-12-29
18:39 UTC
6.44.41° S, 132.66° E
43km
IDVII (2)00
281992-04-01
01:38 UTC
5.43.09° S, 129.09° E
37km
IDVI (74 k)00
291992-12-20
20:52 UTC
7.26.59° S, 130.4° E
76km
IDVII (212)00
301993-01-20
17:31 UTC
6.47.2° S, 128.58° E
34km
IDVIII (151)00
311993-12-20
13:56 UTC
6.26.86° S, 131.36° E
11km
IDVIII (547)00
321994-08-04
22:15 UTC
6.26.34° S, 131.55° E
40km
IDVII (77)00
331994-09-02
15:56 UTC
5.53.28° S, 130.63° E
22km
IDVII (16 k)00
341994-12-07
20:22 UTC
5.43.36° S, 130.9° E
23km
IDVII (3 k)00
351994-12-13
20:27 UTC
5.43.14° S, 130.52° E
18km
IDVII (7 k)00
361996-12-29
03:43 UTC
5.86.91° S, 131.11° E
37km
IDVI (2 k)00
371996-12-30
19:41 UTC
64.03° S, 128.09° E
18km
IDVI (11 k)00
381998-02-19
14:14 UTC
6.54.52° S, 129.01° E
15km
IDV (391 k)00
391998-11-09
05:30 UTC
6.76.99° S, 128.92° E
35km
IDVIII (88)00
401998-11-09
05:38 UTC
76.98° S, 128.93° E
31km
IDIX (12)00
411998-11-18
15:48 UTC
5.93.34° S, 130.76° E
31km
IDVII (17 k)00
421999-03-27
12:44 UTC
5.53.85° S, 131.38° E
25km
IDVII (5 k)00
431999-05-14
20:36 UTC
5.43° S, 129.89° E
31km
IDVII (34 k)00
441999-12-19
03:38 UTC
5.93.97° S, 131.41° E
31km
IDVII (8 k)00
452000-08-28
15:05 UTC
6.84.09° S, 127.42° E
16km
IDVII (138)00
462000-08-28
19:29 UTC
6.44.19° S, 127.27° E
17km
IDVI (169)00
472000-10-01
19:03 UTC
5.74.11° S, 127.3° E
29km
IDVII (91)00
482001-03-19
05:52 UTC
6.54.08° S, 127.95° E
18km
IDVI (49 k)00
492001-03-19
05:56 UTC
5.84.03° S, 127.84° E
12km
IDV (247 k)00
502001-04-04
07:44 UTC
6.35.26° S, 132.29° E
17km
IDVI (2 k)00
512001-05-28
08:37 UTC
66.66° S, 132.32° E
37km
IDVI (229)00
522001-07-22
18:15 UTC
65.21° S, 132.32° E
39km
IDVII (272)00
532003-03-05
05:48 UTC
5.63.32° S, 130.83° E
31km
IDVII (5 k)00
542003-03-09
10:36 UTC
5.96.87° S, 130.95° E
42km
IDVI (617)00
552003-05-21
14:02 UTC
5.43.04° S, 130.13° E
43km
IDVI (37 k)00
562005-03-26
15:40 UTC
6.14.97° S, 129.9° E
24km
IDVII (1 k)00
572005-07-12
17:07 UTC
5.76.88° S, 131.39° E
41km
IDVII (906)00
582005-11-13
10:24 UTC
5.93.12° S, 128.92° E
5km
IDVIII (2 k)00
592006-09-16
09:45 UTC
6.33.1° S, 129.41° E
17km
IDIX (59)00
602007-08-17
03:04 UTC
6.45.3° S, 129.4° E
10km
IDV (6 k)00
612007-08-30
16:17 UTC
5.52.97° S, 129.32° E
23km
IDVII (19 k)00

PAGER content is automatically generated, and only considers losses due to structural damage. Limitations of input data, shaking estimates, and loss models may add uncertainty. PAGER results are generally available within 30 minutes of the earthquake’s occurrence. However, information on the extent of shaking will be uncertain in the minutes and hours following an earthquake and typically improves as additional sensor data and reported intensities are acquired and incorporated into models of the earthquake's source. Users of PAGER estimates should account for uncertainty and always seek the most current PAGER release for any earthquake.