PAGER - M 5.8 - EASTERN IRAN

Alert level does not include impacts from earthquake-related hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires or liquefaction.

Earthquake Shaking Alert Level: GREEN

Download Alert PDFWhat's this?Wednesday, December 5th, 2012 at 17:08:12 UTC (20:38:12 local)Location: 33.5° N, 59.6° EDepth: 5kmEvent Id: USC000E4LQAlert Version: 9Created: 1 week, 0 days after earthquake.
Global Location

Alert Information

Green alert for shaking-related fatalities and economic losses. There is a low likelihood of casualties and damage.
Estimated FatalitiesFatality Alert Level: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITY ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITIES (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 (GREEN)
 
50
1 to 9 (YELLOW)
 
32
10 to 99 (YELLOW)
 
15
100 to 999 (ORANGE)
 
3
1 to 10 thousand (RED)0
10 to 100 thousand (RED)0
100 thousand + (RED)0
Estimated Economic LossesEconomic Alert Level: GREEN
ESTIMATED ECONOMIC ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED VALUE IN USD (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 to 1 million (GREEN)
 
70
1 to 10 million (YELLOW)
 
29
10 to 100 million (YELLOW)1
100 million to 1 billion (ORANGE)0
1 to 10 billion (RED)0
10 to 100 billion (RED)0
100 billion + (RED)0

Detailed Information

Estimated Population Exposed to Earthquake Shaking
Estimated Modified Mercalli IntensityIII-IIIIVVVIVIIVIIIIXX
Est. Population Exposure---*585k*757k34k72k0000
Perceived ShakingNot FeltWeakLightModerateStrongVery StrongSevereViolentExtreme
Potential Structure DamageResistantnonenonenoneV. LightLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. Heavy
VulnerablenonenonenoneLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. HeavyV. Heavy
*Estimated exposure only includes population within calculated shake map area
Population Exposure
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan
Population Exposure Map

Structure Information Summary

Overall, the population in this region resides in structures that are highly vulnerable to earthquake shaking, though some resistant structures exist.

Historical Earthquakes (with MMI)

Date (UTC)Dist (km)MagMax MMI (#)Shaking Deaths
1994-02-233125.5VI (2k)0
1997-05-13324.5VI (591)1
1978-09-162047.4IX (29k)18220

Recent earthquakes in this area have caused secondary hazards such as landslides that might have contributed to losses.

Cities Exposedfrom GeoNames Database of Cities with 1,000 or more residents.
MMICityPopulation
VIQa'en40k
IVBirjand197k
IVGonabad43k
IIITaybad38k
IIIEslam Qal`eh18k
IIIKuhestan12k
IIITir Pol7k

(k = x1,000)

Historical Events Map
Nearby Events in the EXPO-CAT Earthquake Catalog
#Date/TimeMagLat, Lon, DepthCountryMax MMI (Exposed)DeathsSecondary Effects
ShakingTotal
11976-11-07
04:00 UTC
633.82° N, 59.18° E
6km
IRVIII (11 k)1717
21977-09-17
05:25 UTC
5.630.88° N, 56.63° E
33km
IRVII (65 k)00
31978-09-16
15:35 UTC
7.433.24° N, 57.38° E
3km
IRIX (29 k)1822018220
41979-01-16
09:50 UTC
6.533.9° N, 59.47° E
8km
IRIX (181)200200
51979-11-14
02:21 UTC
6.533.96° N, 59.73° E
9km
IRVII (208)280280
61979-11-27
17:10 UTC
734.06° N, 59.76° E
7km
IRVIII (499)1717
71980-01-12
15:31 UTC
633.55° N, 57.23° E
9km
IRVIII (3)00
81982-12-19
19:40 UTC
5.930.51° N, 57.51° E
24km
IRVIII (2)00
91984-08-06
11:14 UTC
5.430.8° N, 57.17° E
5km
IRVII (1)00
101993-01-27
10:27 UTC
5.132.08° N, 60.07° E
19km
IRVI (221)00
111994-02-23
08:02 UTC
6.130.79° N, 60.53° E
12km
IRVII (508)66
121994-02-23
11:54 UTC
5.530.81° N, 60.54° E
9km
IRVI (2 k)00
131994-02-24
00:11 UTC
6.330.79° N, 60.51° E
10km
IRVIII (45)00
141994-02-26
02:31 UTC
630.8° N, 60.54° E
7km
IRVII (453)00
151994-02-28
11:13 UTC
5.630.91° N, 60.62° E
7km
IRVIII (2)00
161997-05-10
07:57 UTC
7.233.83° N, 59.8° E
12km
IRIX (4 k)15721572landslide
171997-05-13
11:42 UTC
4.533.4° N, 59.88° E
12km
IRVI (591)11
181997-06-20
12:57 UTC
5.532.29° N, 59.97° E
25km
IRVII (4 k)00
191997-06-25
19:38 UTC
5.833.92° N, 59.43° E
12km
IRVIII (147)00
201998-04-10
15:00 UTC
5.732.43° N, 60.06° E
35km
IRVIII (65)1212
211999-11-08
21:37 UTC
5.535.7° N, 61.23° E
8km
TMVII (606)00
222000-02-02
22:58 UTC
5.335.24° N, 58.21° E
23km
IRVII (79 k)11
232001-10-08
01:17 UTC
4.932.92° N, 60.27° E
15km
IRVI (3 k)00

PAGER content is automatically generated, and only considers losses due to structural damage. Limitations of input data, shaking estimates, and loss models may add uncertainty. PAGER results are generally available within 30 minutes of the earthquake’s occurrence. However, information on the extent of shaking will be uncertain in the minutes and hours following an earthquake and typically improves as additional sensor data and reported intensities are acquired and incorporated into models of the earthquake's source. Users of PAGER estimates should account for uncertainty and always seek the most current PAGER release for any earthquake.