PAGER - M 5.7 - SERAM, INDONESIA

Alert level does not include impacts from earthquake-related hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires or liquefaction.

Earthquake Shaking Alert Level: GREEN

Download Alert PDFWhat's this?Tuesday, November 27th, 2012 at 02:59:08 UTC (11:59:08 local)Location: 2.9° S, 129.2° EDepth: 25kmEvent Id: USC000DYS7Alert Version: 4Created: 1 week, 1 day after earthquake.
Global Location

Alert Information

Green alert for shaking-related fatalities and economic losses. There is a low likelihood of casualties and damage.
Estimated FatalitiesFatality Alert Level: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITY ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITIES (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 (GREEN)
 
65
1 to 9 (YELLOW)
 
30
10 to 99 (YELLOW)
 
4
100 to 999 (ORANGE)0
1 to 10 thousand (RED)0
10 to 100 thousand (RED)0
100 thousand + (RED)0
Estimated Economic LossesEconomic Alert Level: GREEN
ESTIMATED ECONOMIC ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED VALUE IN USD (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 to 1 million (GREEN)
 
67
1 to 10 million (YELLOW)
 
30
10 to 100 million (YELLOW)
 
3
100 million to 1 billion (ORANGE)0
1 to 10 billion (RED)0
10 to 100 billion (RED)0
100 billion + (RED)0

Detailed Information

Estimated Population Exposed to Earthquake Shaking
Estimated Modified Mercalli IntensityIII-IIIIVVVIVIIVIIIIXX
Est. Population Exposure---*374k*534k103k10k0000
Perceived ShakingNot FeltWeakLightModerateStrongVery StrongSevereViolentExtreme
Potential Structure DamageResistantnonenonenoneV. LightLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. Heavy
VulnerablenonenonenoneLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. HeavyV. Heavy
*Estimated exposure only includes population within calculated shake map area
Population Exposure
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan
Population Exposure Map

Structure Information Summary

Overall, the population in this region resides in structures that are vulnerable to earthquake shaking, though some resistant structures exist.

Historical Earthquakes (with MMI)

Date (UTC)Dist (km)MagMax MMI (#)Shaking Deaths
1976-05-303265.5V (19k)0
1995-02-132656.7IX (1k)0
1994-10-082386.8VII (5k)1

Recent earthquakes in this area have caused secondary hazards such as landslides that might have contributed to losses.

Cities Exposedfrom GeoNames Database of Cities with 1,000 or more residents.
MMICityPopulation
IVAmahai48k
IIIAmbon356k

(k = x1,000)

Historical Events Map
Nearby Events in the EXPO-CAT Earthquake Catalog
#Date/TimeMagLat, Lon, DepthCountryMax MMI (Exposed)DeathsSecondary Effects
ShakingTotal
11974-07-26
13:01 UTC
5.63.55° S, 128.87° E
28km
IDVII (31 k)00
21974-12-03
03:06 UTC
6.54.99° S, 129.92° E
13km
IDVI (4 k)00
31975-01-14
19:37 UTC
5.94.92° S, 129.95° E
24km
IDVII (667)00
41975-01-14
19:48 UTC
6.94.94° S, 130.02° E
15km
IDVII (350)00
51975-01-17
10:28 UTC
5.72.91° S, 126.09° E
12km
IDVI (270)00
61975-03-04
11:17 UTC
5.74.94° S, 129.99° E
24km
IDVI (4 k)00
71975-03-05
00:22 UTC
6.92.41° S, 126.09° E
18km
IDIX (1 k)00
81975-11-18
04:06 UTC
5.52.22° S, 125.86° E
3km
IDVII (905)00
91976-05-30
02:56 UTC
5.51.01° S, 127.03° E
21km
IDV (19 k)00
101976-10-01
11:47 UTC
5.53.41° S, 130.9° E
1km
IDVII (48)00
111977-01-01
19:01 UTC
6.32.51° S, 126.59° E
9km
IDVI (6 k)00
121977-05-10
22:28 UTC
5.41.04° S, 127.35° E
44km
IDVI (1 k)00
131977-06-11
02:11 UTC
5.53.2° S, 130.7° E
12km
IDVI (9 k)00
141977-09-19
05:13 UTC
6.21.94° S, 126.61° E
30km
IDVII (79)00
151978-02-16
23:31 UTC
5.43.35° S, 128.78° E
15km
IDVII (47)00
161978-05-23
06:01 UTC
60.78° S, 127.31° E
42km
IDVII (8 k)00
171978-12-10
02:38 UTC
5.74.48° S, 129.78° E
3km
IDVII (86)00
181979-03-30
22:15 UTC
5.64.15° S, 131.4° E
25km
IDVII (6 k)00
191979-11-03
23:17 UTC
5.94.27° S, 129.65° E
28km
IDVII (179)00
201982-08-11
10:42 UTC
5.73.05° S, 130.25° E
25km
IDVIII (138)00
211983-03-12
00:53 UTC
6.14.06° S, 127.88° E
22km
IDVII (3 k)00
221983-03-12
01:36 UTC
6.64.09° S, 127.86° E
31km
IDVII (72 k)00
231983-10-12
02:23 UTC
5.72.91° S, 128.16° E
31km
IDVII (32 k)00
241984-06-13
13:42 UTC
5.43.41° S, 130.91° E
29km
IDVII (2 k)00
251984-06-26
01:11 UTC
5.71.26° S, 127.19° E
43km
IDVI (3 k)00
261985-01-21
00:55 UTC
6.70.95° S, 128.4° E
16km
IDIX (219)00
271985-09-07
00:22 UTC
5.73.13° S, 130.3° E
19km
IDVIII (118)00
281985-09-07
04:40 UTC
5.73.12° S, 130.25° E
22km
IDVIII (31)00
291986-01-03
09:43 UTC
6.10.97° S, 126.92° E
35km
IDVII (36)00
301986-04-10
02:21 UTC
6.10.94° S, 126.8° E
35km
IDVI (5 k)00
311987-06-17
01:32 UTC
7.15.59° S, 130.84° E
85km
IDVI (997)00
321987-09-03
01:15 UTC
5.32.91° S, 129.42° E
21km
IDVII (737)00
331989-01-10
05:54 UTC
6.63.17° S, 130.52° E
21km
IDVIII (12 k)00
341990-05-25
02:03 UTC
5.82.96° S, 130.23° E
20km
IDVIII (761)00
351990-12-23
21:03 UTC
5.50.65° S, 127.38° E
38km
IDVII (757)00
361991-04-07
18:55 UTC
5.93.05° S, 130.4° E
23km
IDVIII (3 k)00
371991-08-11
14:43 UTC
5.83.11° S, 130.34° E
23km
IDVIII (402)00
381992-04-01
01:38 UTC
5.43.09° S, 129.09° E
37km
IDVI (74 k)00
391992-08-02
05:50 UTC
6.20.86° S, 127.61° E
20km
IDVIII (878)00
401994-09-02
15:56 UTC
5.53.28° S, 130.63° E
22km
IDVII (16 k)00
411994-10-08
21:44 UTC
6.81.21° S, 127.98° E
13km
IDVII (5 k)11tsunami
421994-10-13
05:04 UTC
6.41.19° S, 127.83° E
11km
IDVII (9 k)00
431994-12-07
20:22 UTC
5.43.36° S, 130.9° E
23km
IDVII (3 k)00
441994-12-13
20:27 UTC
5.43.14° S, 130.52° E
18km
IDVII (7 k)00
451995-02-13
08:41 UTC
5.91.32° S, 127.5° E
25km
IDVIII (236)00
461995-02-13
08:43 UTC
6.21.28° S, 127.45° E
21km
IDIX (13)00
471995-02-13
12:29 UTC
6.11.3° S, 127.43° E
22km
IDVIII (546)00
481995-02-13
13:06 UTC
5.71.33° S, 127.43° E
23km
IDVIII (61)00
491995-02-13
13:52 UTC
5.51.2° S, 127.4° E
37km
IDVII (524)00
501995-02-13
15:04 UTC
6.71.33° S, 127.49° E
19km
IDIX (1 k)00
511995-02-13
15:36 UTC
5.61.64° S, 127.48° E
25km
IDVII (6 k)00
521995-02-19
20:57 UTC
5.51.33° S, 127.66° E
19km
IDVII (7 k)00
531995-06-28
21:14 UTC
5.81.55° S, 127.47° E
35km
IDVII (5 k)00
541996-12-30
19:41 UTC
64.03° S, 128.09° E
18km
IDVI (11 k)00
551997-06-24
23:04 UTC
6.31.87° S, 127.91° E
28km
IDVII (1 k)00
561998-02-19
14:14 UTC
6.54.52° S, 129.01° E
15km
IDV (391 k)00
571998-11-18
15:48 UTC
5.93.34° S, 130.76° E
31km
IDVII (17 k)00
581999-03-01
08:51 UTC
5.72.9° S, 126.6° E
29km
IDVII (2 k)00
591999-03-27
12:44 UTC
5.53.85° S, 131.38° E
25km
IDVII (5 k)00
601999-05-14
20:36 UTC
5.43° S, 129.89° E
31km
IDVII (34 k)00
611999-12-12
23:24 UTC
5.72.88° S, 128.15° E
42km
IDVII (5 k)00
621999-12-19
03:38 UTC
5.93.97° S, 131.41° E
31km
IDVII (8 k)00
632000-08-28
15:05 UTC
6.84.09° S, 127.42° E
16km
IDVII (138)00
642000-08-28
19:29 UTC
6.44.19° S, 127.27° E
17km
IDVI (169)00
652000-10-01
19:03 UTC
5.74.11° S, 127.3° E
29km
IDVII (91)00
662001-03-19
05:52 UTC
6.54.08° S, 127.95° E
18km
IDVI (49 k)00
672001-03-19
05:56 UTC
5.84.03° S, 127.84° E
12km
IDV (247 k)00
682002-05-12
23:12 UTC
5.91.19° S, 127.1° E
41km
IDVI (6 k)00
692003-03-05
05:48 UTC
5.63.32° S, 130.83° E
31km
IDVII (5 k)00
702003-03-30
18:13 UTC
6.23.25° S, 127.47° E
35km
IDVII (25 k)00
712003-05-11
17:51 UTC
6.11.02° S, 126.92° E
43km
IDVII (4)00
722003-05-21
14:02 UTC
5.43.04° S, 130.13° E
43km
IDVI (37 k)00
732003-06-06
13:09 UTC
5.62.93° S, 130.31° E
20km
IDVII (3 k)00
742004-01-28
22:15 UTC
6.63.17° S, 127.28° E
14km
IDVIII (12)00
752005-03-26
15:40 UTC
6.14.97° S, 129.9° E
24km
IDVII (1 k)00
762005-11-01
21:13 UTC
5.73.61° S, 127.3° E
15km
IDVII (1 k)00
772005-11-13
10:24 UTC
5.93.12° S, 128.92° E
5km
IDVIII (2 k)00
782006-03-14
06:57 UTC
6.73.59° S, 127.2° E
30km
IDVIII (15 k)03landslide, tsunami
792006-09-16
09:45 UTC
6.33.1° S, 129.41° E
17km
IDIX (59)00
802007-01-11
14:31 UTC
63.66° S, 127.26° E
13km
IDVIII (750)00
812007-02-20
08:04 UTC
6.71.03° S, 126.97° E
12km
IDVII (2)00
822007-02-20
14:25 UTC
61.03° S, 126.94° E
11km
IDV (48 k)00
832007-02-21
02:19 UTC
5.50.95° S, 127.19° E
28km
IDVII (2 k)00
842007-05-29
09:36 UTC
61.08° S, 127.33° E
24km
IDVIII (13)00
852007-05-29
09:42 UTC
5.51.07° S, 127.42° E
10km
IDVII (11)00
862007-08-17
03:04 UTC
6.45.3° S, 129.4° E
10km
IDV (6 k)00
872007-08-30
16:17 UTC
5.52.97° S, 129.32° E
23km
IDVII (19 k)00

PAGER content is automatically generated, and only considers losses due to structural damage. Limitations of input data, shaking estimates, and loss models may add uncertainty. PAGER results are generally available within 30 minutes of the earthquake’s occurrence. However, information on the extent of shaking will be uncertain in the minutes and hours following an earthquake and typically improves as additional sensor data and reported intensities are acquired and incorporated into models of the earthquake's source. Users of PAGER estimates should account for uncertainty and always seek the most current PAGER release for any earthquake.