PAGER - M 5.9 - BISMARCK SEA

Alert level does not include impacts from earthquake-related hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires or liquefaction.

Earthquake Shaking Alert Level: GREEN

Download Alert PDFWhat's this?Thursday, November 15th, 2012 at 08:21:49 UTC (18:21:49 local)Location: 3.3° S, 148.2° EDepth: 9kmEvent Id: USC000DSYEAlert Version: 3Created: 1 week, 1 day after earthquake.
Global Location

Alert Information

Green alert for shaking-related fatalities and economic losses. There is a low likelihood of casualties and damage.
Estimated FatalitiesFatality Alert Level: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITY ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITIES (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 (GREEN)
 
99
1 to 9 (YELLOW)1
10 to 99 (YELLOW)0
100 to 999 (ORANGE)0
1 to 10 thousand (RED)0
10 to 100 thousand (RED)0
100 thousand + (RED)0
Estimated Economic LossesEconomic Alert Level: GREEN
ESTIMATED ECONOMIC ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED VALUE IN USD (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 to 1 million (GREEN)
 
99
1 to 10 million (YELLOW)1
10 to 100 million (YELLOW)0
100 million to 1 billion (ORANGE)0
1 to 10 billion (RED)0
10 to 100 billion (RED)0
100 billion + (RED)0

Detailed Information

Estimated Population Exposed to Earthquake Shaking
Estimated Modified Mercalli IntensityIII-IIIIVVVIVIIVIIIIXX
Est. Population Exposure---*80k*2k000000
Perceived ShakingNot FeltWeakLightModerateStrongVery StrongSevereViolentExtreme
Potential Structure DamageResistantnonenonenoneV. LightLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. Heavy
VulnerablenonenonenoneLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. HeavyV. Heavy
*Estimated exposure only includes population within calculated shake map area
Population Exposure
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan
Population Exposure Map

Structure Information Summary

Overall, the population in this region resides in structures that are vulnerable to earthquake shaking, though some resistant structures exist.

Historical Earthquakes (with MMI)

Date (UTC)Dist (km)MagMax MMI (#)Shaking Deaths
1983-12-152996.3V (1k)0
2005-06-043746.1VII (27k)1
1993-10-163596.3VII (75k)3

Recent earthquakes in this area have caused secondary hazards such as landslides and liquefaction that might have contributed to losses.

Cities Exposedfrom GeoNames Database of Cities with 1,000 or more residents.
MMICityPopulation
IIILorengau6k

(k = x1,000)

Historical Events Map
Nearby Events in the EXPO-CAT Earthquake Catalog
#Date/TimeMagLat, Lon, DepthCountryMax MMI (Exposed)DeathsSecondary Effects
ShakingTotal
11974-11-19
04:58 UTC
6.13.16° S, 150.67° E
6km
PGVII (17)00
21975-06-16
22:35 UTC
6.53.06° S, 148° E
5km
PGV (16 k)00
31975-06-23
05:20 UTC
6.22.7° S, 147.39° E
33km
PGVII (493)00
41975-08-06
22:24 UTC
6.32.43° S, 146.11° E
15km
PGVI (130)00
51975-11-30
03:51 UTC
5.74.97° S, 145.17° E
40km
PGVII (3 k)00
61976-02-06
16:53 UTC
65.98° S, 146.34° E
43km
PGVII (3 k)00
71978-08-05
04:12 UTC
6.13.51° S, 151.03° E
8km
PGV (32 k)00
81979-11-01
05:45 UTC
5.85.89° S, 150.21° E
42km
PGVII (1)00
91980-02-27
21:17 UTC
6.85.96° S, 150.19° E
50km
PGVIII (4)00
101980-02-27
21:21 UTC
5.96.02° S, 150.11° E
44km
PGVII (655)00
111980-02-27
21:35 UTC
6.46.12° S, 150.24° E
45km
PGVII (9 k)00
121980-05-24
10:08 UTC
5.86.11° S, 150.33° E
15km
PGVIII (46)00
131980-06-25
18:48 UTC
5.56.59° S, 146.91° E
18km
PGVII (980)00
141980-12-14
11:05 UTC
5.76.07° S, 149.9° E
34km
PGVII (2 k)00
151980-12-24
16:44 UTC
5.75.69° S, 145.56° E
10km
PGVIII (30)00
161981-02-24
16:17 UTC
6.66.02° S, 148.74° E
66km
PGVII (10 k)00
171981-10-04
00:01 UTC
6.34.53° S, 146.24° E
10km
PGVII (247)00
181983-09-24
17:17 UTC
6.23.64° S, 151.17° E
2km
PGV (22 k)00
191983-11-29
22:18 UTC
5.76.2° S, 146.59° E
32km
PGVII (2 k)00
201983-12-15
14:11 UTC
6.33.13° S, 145.48° E
9km
PGV (1 k)00
211984-03-02
05:48 UTC
64.29° S, 145.79° E
11km
PGVI (387)00
221984-03-27
20:06 UTC
6.44.59° S, 145.85° E
23km
PGIX (931)00
231984-03-28
06:44 UTC
5.74.45° S, 145.76° E
33km
PGVII (2 k)00
241984-04-01
08:54 UTC
5.54.61° S, 145.66° E
26km
PGVII (7 k)00
251985-05-10
18:14 UTC
5.85.59° S, 150.72° E
26km
PGVII (13 k)00
261985-07-22
09:26 UTC
6.86.23° S, 148.82° E
29km
PGVIII (6 k)00
271985-09-10
04:07 UTC
6.46.34° S, 149.79° E
29km
PGVIII (3 k)00
281986-02-12
09:01 UTC
5.86.52° S, 147.35° E
43km
PGVII (59)00
291986-02-12
11:27 UTC
5.76.52° S, 147.41° E
40km
PGVI (27 k)00
301987-02-07
11:57 UTC
6.25.82° S, 147.64° E
18km
PGVI (14 k)00
311987-02-08
18:33 UTC
7.36.02° S, 147.67° E
42km
PGVII (47 k)03landslide, liquefaction, tsunami
321987-02-08
18:42 UTC
5.56.03° S, 147.85° E
35km
PGVII (452)00
331987-02-09
18:17 UTC
65.96° S, 147.89° E
42km
PGVII (2 k)00
341987-03-16
12:21 UTC
5.56.46° S, 147.67° E
37km
PGVI (25 k)00
351987-03-16
12:33 UTC
5.66.4° S, 147.69° E
40km
PGVI (28 k)00
361987-03-16
15:49 UTC
66.42° S, 147.65° E
38km
PGVII (17 k)00
371987-09-17
04:47 UTC
6.14.07° S, 145.73° E
6km
PGV (69 k)00
381987-10-16
20:48 UTC
7.36.22° S, 149.12° E
30km
PGVIII (951)00
391987-12-30
21:16 UTC
5.86.47° S, 148.9° E
38km
PGVI (4 k)00
401988-04-08
23:13 UTC
6.43.36° S, 145.8° E
9km
PGV (9 k)00
411988-07-05
20:32 UTC
6.75.93° S, 148.82° E
53km
PGVIII (2 k)00
421988-09-06
00:42 UTC
4.36.06° S, 146.23° E
0km
PGVI (18)074landslide
431988-10-04
15:37 UTC
6.13.51° S, 150.58° E
21km
PGV (32 k)00
441988-11-14
02:15 UTC
6.73.5° S, 150.4° E
24km
PGVII (11)00
451988-11-18
19:38 UTC
6.56.07° S, 149.8° E
61km
PGVII (12 k)00
461989-03-01
04:26 UTC
5.35.08° S, 149.81° E
44km
PGVI (1)00
471989-05-28
15:19 UTC
5.86.52° S, 147.78° E
44km
PGVII (5 k)00
481989-12-30
23:18 UTC
6.63.44° S, 146.05° E
25km
PGV (22 k)00
491990-11-23
00:56 UTC
5.74.91° S, 145.86° E
17km
PGVII (4 k)00
501992-02-14
12:02 UTC
5.64.33° S, 146.35° E
10km
PGV (12 k)00
511992-02-27
20:05 UTC
6.66.17° S, 147.66° E
38km
PGVII (49 k)00
521992-03-04
03:49 UTC
6.43.01° S, 147.96° E
21km
PGV (8 k)00
531992-05-15
07:05 UTC
7.26.06° S, 147.62° E
66km
PGVIII (11 k)00
541992-12-18
03:14 UTC
6.16.48° S, 147.22° E
29km
PGVII (125 k)00
551993-04-27
06:08 UTC
5.56.13° S, 147.84° E
38km
PGVI (15 k)00
561993-10-13
02:06 UTC
6.95.85° S, 146.14° E
21km
PGVIII (30 k)060landslide
571993-10-13
03:07 UTC
6.55.91° S, 146.27° E
35km
PGVII (119 k)00
581993-10-13
05:50 UTC
66.01° S, 146.2° E
32km
PGVII (63 k)00
591993-10-13
22:46 UTC
5.55.99° S, 146.08° E
34km
PGVII (13 k)00
601993-10-15
00:11 UTC
5.76.03° S, 146.26° E
15km
PGVIII (14)00
611993-10-16
03:05 UTC
6.35.88° S, 146.28° E
26km
PGVII (75 k)33
621993-10-25
10:07 UTC
5.95.89° S, 146.04° E
22km
PGVIII (121)00
631993-10-25
10:27 UTC
6.75.9° S, 146.09° E
22km
PGIX (480)00
641993-10-25
11:59 UTC
6.15.92° S, 146.08° E
28km
PGVII (55 k)00
651993-11-03
18:37 UTC
5.55.8° S, 146.04° E
24km
PGVII (5 k)00
661995-04-25
06:15 UTC
65.9° S, 147.42° E
23km
PGVIII (1 k)00
671995-06-25
02:10 UTC
6.23.32° S, 150.55° E
27km
PGVII (228)00
681995-09-23
02:34 UTC
65.94° S, 146.71° E
26km
PGVII (13 k)00
691995-11-10
17:26 UTC
5.73.83° S, 151.62° E
22km
PGV (66 k)00
701996-03-02
01:50 UTC
6.15.89° S, 146.66° E
32km
PGVII (23 k)00
711996-03-17
17:58 UTC
6.16.15° S, 147.77° E
43km
PGVII (20 k)00
721996-03-18
10:30 UTC
5.86.16° S, 147.79° E
33km
PGVII (16 k)00
731996-09-21
01:23 UTC
5.86.19° S, 146.29° E
6km
PGVIII (189)00
741996-11-01
03:32 UTC
5.91.3° S, 149.64° E
11km
PGVIII (11)00
751996-11-01
07:00 UTC
5.71.35° S, 149.58° E
15km
PGVII (3 k)00
761997-06-12
12:07 UTC
6.15.97° S, 147.06° E
32km
PGVII (17 k)00
771997-10-03
00:15 UTC
5.56.21° S, 148.7° E
29km
PGVI (8 k)00
781997-12-15
10:28 UTC
5.96.07° S, 149.94° E
42km
PGVII (4 k)00
791998-01-16
10:23 UTC
5.85.87° S, 146.51° E
29km
PGVII (20 k)00
801998-05-27
15:27 UTC
65.91° S, 149.79° E
27km
PGVII (9 k)00
811999-02-13
14:45 UTC
6.23.47° S, 144.79° E
10km
PGVIII (162)00
821999-04-06
08:22 UTC
6.36.52° S, 147.1° E
24km
PGIX (14)00
831999-04-06
11:26 UTC
5.46.4° S, 147° E
28km
PGVII (437)00
841999-04-11
16:50 UTC
66.01° S, 148.54° E
45km
PGVII (1 k)00
851999-04-15
13:54 UTC
5.86.35° S, 147.13° E
26km
PGVII (3 k)00
861999-07-26
18:48 UTC
5.62.99° S, 150.64° E
17km
PGVII (20)00
871999-07-26
21:18 UTC
5.52.96° S, 150.57° E
15km
PGVI (159)00
881999-11-17
03:27 UTC
6.96.01° S, 148.86° E
58km
PGVIII (8 k)00
891999-11-19
13:56 UTC
76.36° S, 148.81° E
46km
PGVIII (7 k)00
901999-12-19
12:19 UTC
5.74.6° S, 151.37° E
25km
PGVI (5)00
912000-01-20
05:54 UTC
5.46.21° S, 147.56° E
32km
PGVII (853)00
922000-12-16
21:57 UTC
5.63.99° S, 151.52° E
8km
PGVI (180)00
932001-10-31
09:10 UTC
6.95.96° S, 150.24° E
34km
PGVIII (13 k)00
942002-01-23
17:14 UTC
5.54.76° S, 149.2° E
25km
PGVII (2 k)00
952002-02-19
00:35 UTC
6.13.74° S, 151.11° E
10km
PGV (11 k)00
962002-04-01
06:14 UTC
5.36.23° S, 147.55° E
81km
PGV (14 k)036landslide
972002-07-03
23:00 UTC
6.15.06° S, 147.52° E
18km
PGVI (1 k)00
982002-07-08
11:09 UTC
5.65.07° S, 147.45° E
36km
PGVI (2 k)00
992002-12-20
14:14 UTC
6.33.02° S, 148.03° E
21km
PGV (3 k)00
1002003-02-10
04:49 UTC
6.26.01° S, 149.87° E
35km
PGVII (15 k)00
1012003-07-23
21:30 UTC
5.44.26° S, 145.06° E
17km
PGVI (14 k)00
1022003-07-25
09:37 UTC
6.41.53° S, 149.74° E
24km
PGVIII (6 k)00
1032003-10-22
11:45 UTC
6.36.08° S, 147.78° E
39km
PGVII (29 k)00
1042004-01-09
22:35 UTC
6.36.03° S, 149.4° E
31km
PGVIII (3 k)00
1052004-01-15
07:26 UTC
6.23.52° S, 151.11° E
14km
PGV (60 k)00
1062004-05-13
09:58 UTC
6.33.6° S, 150.78° E
22km
PGVI (846)00
1072005-02-17
06:12 UTC
5.55.87° S, 150.45° E
42km
PGVI (10 k)00
1082005-04-11
12:20 UTC
6.63.46° S, 145.99° E
11km
PGV (58 k)00
1092005-06-04
14:50 UTC
6.16.34° S, 146.83° E
38km
PGVII (27 k)11
1102005-11-05
10:48 UTC
6.43.14° S, 148.16° E
19km
PGV (3 k)00
1112006-02-06
03:04 UTC
5.66.05° S, 150.01° E
34km
PGVII (1 k)00
1122006-03-17
13:48 UTC
5.64.82° S, 149.74° E
22km
PGVI (36)00
1132006-07-19
11:48 UTC
6.45.51° S, 150.74° E
28km
PGVIII (7 k)00
1142006-07-19
18:08 UTC
5.95.34° S, 150.75° E
10km
PGVII (240)00
1152007-05-12
11:31 UTC
5.95.49° S, 146.14° E
44km
PGVII (3 k)00
1162007-06-18
06:18 UTC
6.33.57° S, 151° E
26km
PGVI (2 k)00

PAGER content is automatically generated, and only considers losses due to structural damage. Limitations of input data, shaking estimates, and loss models may add uncertainty. PAGER results are generally available within 30 minutes of the earthquake’s occurrence. However, information on the extent of shaking will be uncertain in the minutes and hours following an earthquake and typically improves as additional sensor data and reported intensities are acquired and incorporated into models of the earthquake's source. Users of PAGER estimates should account for uncertainty and always seek the most current PAGER release for any earthquake.