PAGER - M 5.9 - GULF OF CALIFORNIA

Alert level does not include impacts from earthquake-related hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires or liquefaction.

Earthquake Shaking Alert Level: GREEN

Download Alert PDFWhat's this?Monday, October 8th, 2012 at 06:26:22 UTC (23:26:22 local)Location: 25.1° N, 109.7° WDepth: 9kmEvent Id: USC000D3NEAlert Version: 3Created: 1 week, 1 day after earthquake.
Global Location

Alert Information

Green alert for shaking-related fatalities and economic losses. There is a low likelihood of casualties and damage.
Estimated FatalitiesFatality Alert Level: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITY ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITIES (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 (GREEN)
 
99
1 to 9 (YELLOW)1
10 to 99 (YELLOW)0
100 to 999 (ORANGE)0
1 to 10 thousand (RED)0
10 to 100 thousand (RED)0
100 thousand + (RED)0
Estimated Economic LossesEconomic Alert Level: GREEN
ESTIMATED ECONOMIC ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED VALUE IN USD (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 to 1 million (GREEN)
 
99
1 to 10 million (YELLOW)1
10 to 100 million (YELLOW)0
100 million to 1 billion (ORANGE)0
1 to 10 billion (RED)0
10 to 100 billion (RED)0
100 billion + (RED)0

Detailed Information

Estimated Population Exposed to Earthquake Shaking
Estimated Modified Mercalli IntensityIII-IIIIVVVIVIIVIIIIXX
Est. Population Exposure---*2,778k*1,114k000000
Perceived ShakingNot FeltWeakLightModerateStrongVery StrongSevereViolentExtreme
Potential Structure DamageResistantnonenonenoneV. LightLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. Heavy
VulnerablenonenonenoneLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. HeavyV. Heavy
*Estimated exposure only includes population within calculated shake map area
Population Exposure
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan
Population Exposure Map

Structure Information Summary

Overall, the population in this region resides in structures that are a mix of vulnerable and earthquake resistant construction.

Historical Earthquakes (with MMI)

Date (UTC)Dist (km)MagMax MMI (#)Shaking Deaths
1995-08-281266.5V (326k)0
1973-10-033825.5VII (49)0
1995-06-30845.7VII (50)0

Selected Cities Exposedfrom GeoNames Database of Cities with 1,000 or more residents.
MMICityPopulation
IVTopolobampo8k
IVHiguera de Zaragoza9k
IVBagojo4k
IVAhome11k
IVLos Mochis215k
IVGeneral Juan Jose Rios26k
IVLa Paz171k
IVGuasave68k
IIIGuamuchil59k
IIICuliacan582k
IIICiudad Obregon258k

(k = x1,000)

Historical Events Map
Nearby Events in the EXPO-CAT Earthquake Catalog
#Date/TimeMagLat, Lon, DepthCountryMax MMI (Exposed)DeathsSecondary Effects
ShakingTotal
11973-10-03
04:27 UTC
5.527.48° N, 112.49° W
15km
MXVII (49)00
21974-05-31
14:05 UTC
6.427.53° N, 111.04° W
19km
MXVI (16 k)00
31975-09-24
17:19 UTC
5.825.17° N, 109.17° W
17km
MXV (485 k)00
41988-06-18
22:49 UTC
6.626.76° N, 110.98° W
9km
MXV (652 k)00
51990-03-16
15:52 UTC
6.124.83° N, 109.05° W
28km
MXVI (61)00
61995-06-30
11:58 UTC
6.224.7° N, 110.19° W
13km
MXVI (20)00
71995-06-30
13:41 UTC
5.724.53° N, 110.21° W
22km
MXVII (50)00
81995-08-28
10:46 UTC
6.526.05° N, 110.43° W
7km
MXV (326 k)00
92000-03-24
04:23 UTC
5.627.66° N, 111.24° W
25km
MXVI (54 k)00
102002-10-03
16:08 UTC
6.523.28° N, 108.57° W
28km
MXVI (84)00
112003-03-12
23:41 UTC
6.326.65° N, 110.56° W
32km
MXVI (8 k)00
MMICityPopulation
IVTopolobampo8k
IVHiguera de Zaragoza9k
IVBagojo4k
IVAhome11k
IVLos Mochis215k
IVSan Miguel Zapotitlan6k
IVGeneral Juan Jose Rios26k
IVMochicahui5k
IVAdolfo Ruiz Cortines13k
IVGabriel Leyva Solano28k
IVLa Paz171k
IVGuasave68k
IVLa Trinidad4k
IVEl Burrion4k
IVCompuertas4k
IVSan Blas6k
IVAngostura5k
IIIGuamuchil59k
IIISinaloa de Leyva4k
IIILa Reforma7k
IIIYavaros4k
IIIEl Fuerte11k
IIIEtchoropo4k
IIIMocorito5k
IIILa Union5k
IIIHuatabampo30k
IIITodos Santos4k
IIILoreto11k
IIIEtchojoa9k
IIICiudad Constitucion40k
IIINavolato28k
IIIVilla Insurgentes9k
IIIVilla Juarez15k
IIICuliacancito4k
IIIBadiraguato4k
IIIChoix8k
IIICampo Gobierno21k
IIIAlamos9k
IIISan Jose del Cabo49k
IIICuliacan582k
IIICosta Rica22k
IIISan Lucas43k
IIIPueblo Yaqui15k
IIIEl Tobarito9k
IIIEl Dorado14k
IIIRio Muerto7k
IIICampo Sesenta6k
IIIQuila6k
IIICiudad Obregon258k
IIIEl Rosario15k
IIIBacum4k
IIIConstancia6k
IIICocorit9k
IIIVicam9k
IIIPotam6k
IIIGuadalupe y Calvo3k
IIIMulege4k
IIIEl Carrizo5k
IIILa Cruz12k
IISanta Rosalia12k
IICreel5k

(k = x1,000)


PAGER content is automatically generated, and only considers losses due to structural damage. Limitations of input data, shaking estimates, and loss models may add uncertainty. PAGER results are generally available within 30 minutes of the earthquake’s occurrence. However, information on the extent of shaking will be uncertain in the minutes and hours following an earthquake and typically improves as additional sensor data and reported intensities are acquired and incorporated into models of the earthquake's source. Users of PAGER estimates should account for uncertainty and always seek the most current PAGER release for any earthquake.