PAGER - M 7.1 - EASTERN NEW GUINEA REG, PAPUA NEW GUINEA

Alert level does not include impacts from earthquake-related hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires or liquefaction.

Earthquake Shaking Alert Level: GREEN

Download Alert PDFWhat's this?Wednesday, December 14th, 2011 at 05:04:57 UTC (15:04:57 local)Location: 7.5° S, 146.8° EDepth: 121kmEvent Id: USC00076E5Alert Version: 2Created: 53 minutes, 55 seconds after earthquake.
Global Location

Alert Information

Green alert for shaking-related fatalities and economic losses. There is a low likelihood of casualties and damage.
Estimated FatalitiesFatality Alert Level: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITY ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITIES (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 (GREEN)
 
65
1 to 9 (YELLOW)
 
30
10 to 99 (YELLOW)
 
4
100 to 999 (ORANGE)0
1 to 10 thousand (RED)0
10 to 100 thousand (RED)0
100 thousand + (RED)0
Estimated Economic LossesEconomic Alert Level: GREEN
ESTIMATED ECONOMIC ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED VALUE IN USD (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 to 1 million (GREEN)
 
65
1 to 10 million (YELLOW)
 
30
10 to 100 million (YELLOW)
 
4
100 million to 1 billion (ORANGE)0
1 to 10 billion (RED)0
10 to 100 billion (RED)0
100 billion + (RED)0

Detailed Information

Estimated Population Exposed to Earthquake Shaking
Estimated Modified Mercalli IntensityIII-IIIIVVVIVIIVIIIIXX
Est. Population Exposure---*30k*2,017k*973k506k0000
Perceived ShakingNot FeltWeakLightModerateStrongVery StrongSevereViolentExtreme
Potential Structure DamageResistantnonenonenoneV. LightLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. Heavy
VulnerablenonenonenoneLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. HeavyV. Heavy
*Estimated exposure only includes population within calculated shake map area
Population Exposure
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan
Population Exposure Map

Structure Information Summary

Overall, the population in this region resides in structures that are vulnerable to earthquake shaking, though some resistant structures exist. The predominant vulnerable building types are unreinforced brick masonry and informal (metal, timber, GI etc.) construction.

Historical Earthquakes (with MMI)

Date (UTC)Dist (km)MagMax MMI (#)Shaking Deaths
1987-02-081937.3VII (47k)0
2005-06-041316.1VII (27k)1
1993-10-161906.3VII (75k)3

Recent earthquakes in this area have caused secondary hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, and liquefaction that might have contributed to losses.

Selected Cities Exposedfrom GeoNames Database of Cities with 1,000 or more residents.
MMICityPopulation
VIWau15k
VIBulolo16k
VILae76k
VIKerema6k
VKainantu9k
VFinschhafen1k
VGoroka19k
VPopondetta28k
IVPort Moresby284k
IVMadang27k
IVMount Hagen34k

(k = x1,000)

Historical Events Map
Nearby Events in the EXPO-CAT Earthquake Catalog
#Date/TimeMagLat, Lon, DepthCountryMax MMI (Exposed)DeathsSecondary Effects
ShakingTotal
11973-01-18
09:28 UTC
6.86.87° S, 150.03° E
39km
PGVII (4 k)00
21975-02-07
04:51 UTC
6.67.23° S, 149.57° E
16km
PGV (18 k)00
31975-11-30
03:51 UTC
5.74.97° S, 145.17° E
40km
PGVII (3 k)00
41976-02-06
16:53 UTC
65.98° S, 146.34° E
43km
PGVII (3 k)00
51976-09-16
11:26 UTC
5.99.2° S, 148.17° E
28km
PGVII (5 k)00
61977-08-12
21:45 UTC
5.39.28° S, 148.28° E
38km
PGVI (3 k)00
71978-04-11
02:41 UTC
69.43° S, 148.96° E
31km
PGVII (9 k)00
81978-07-16
22:13 UTC
5.56.62° S, 143.9° E
35km
PGVII (54)00
91980-06-25
18:48 UTC
5.56.59° S, 146.91° E
18km
PGVII (980)00
101980-12-14
11:05 UTC
5.76.07° S, 149.9° E
34km
PGVII (2 k)00
111980-12-24
16:44 UTC
5.75.69° S, 145.56° E
10km
PGVIII (30)00
121981-02-24
16:17 UTC
6.66.02° S, 148.74° E
66km
PGVII (10 k)00
131981-10-04
00:01 UTC
6.34.53° S, 146.24° E
10km
PGVII (247)00
141982-09-14
18:17 UTC
6.47.14° S, 147.96° E
9km
PGVI (952)00
151983-11-29
22:18 UTC
5.76.2° S, 146.59° E
32km
PGVII (2 k)00
161984-03-02
05:48 UTC
64.29° S, 145.79° E
11km
PGVI (387)00
171984-03-27
20:06 UTC
6.44.59° S, 145.85° E
23km
PGIX (931)00
181984-03-28
06:44 UTC
5.74.45° S, 145.76° E
33km
PGVII (2 k)00
191984-04-01
08:54 UTC
5.54.61° S, 145.66° E
26km
PGVII (7 k)00
201985-07-22
09:26 UTC
6.86.23° S, 148.82° E
29km
PGVIII (6 k)00
211985-09-09
09:33 UTC
5.66.49° S, 149.87° E
40km
PGVI (6 k)00
221985-09-10
04:07 UTC
6.46.34° S, 149.79° E
29km
PGVIII (3 k)00
231986-02-12
09:01 UTC
5.86.52° S, 147.35° E
43km
PGVII (59)00
241986-02-12
11:27 UTC
5.76.52° S, 147.41° E
40km
PGVI (27 k)00
251987-02-07
11:57 UTC
6.25.82° S, 147.64° E
18km
PGVI (14 k)00
261987-02-08
18:33 UTC
7.36.02° S, 147.67° E
42km
PGVII (47 k)03landslide, liquefaction, tsunami
271987-02-08
18:42 UTC
5.56.03° S, 147.85° E
35km
PGVII (452)00
281987-02-09
18:17 UTC
65.96° S, 147.89° E
42km
PGVII (2 k)00
291987-03-16
12:21 UTC
5.56.46° S, 147.67° E
37km
PGVI (25 k)00
301987-03-16
12:33 UTC
5.66.4° S, 147.69° E
40km
PGVI (28 k)00
311987-03-16
15:49 UTC
66.42° S, 147.65° E
38km
PGVII (17 k)00
321987-09-17
04:47 UTC
6.14.07° S, 145.73° E
6km
PGV (69 k)00
331987-10-16
20:48 UTC
7.36.22° S, 149.12° E
30km
PGVIII (951)00
341987-12-30
21:16 UTC
5.86.47° S, 148.9° E
38km
PGVI (4 k)00
351988-05-19
03:10 UTC
5.79.55° S, 149.04° E
3km
PGVIII (13)00
361988-07-05
20:32 UTC
6.75.93° S, 148.82° E
53km
PGVIII (2 k)00
371988-09-06
00:42 UTC
4.36.06° S, 146.23° E
0km
PGVI (18)074landslide
381988-11-18
19:38 UTC
6.56.07° S, 149.8° E
61km
PGVII (12 k)00
391989-05-28
15:19 UTC
5.86.52° S, 147.78° E
44km
PGVII (5 k)00
401990-11-23
00:56 UTC
5.74.91° S, 145.86° E
17km
PGVII (4 k)00
411992-02-14
12:02 UTC
5.64.33° S, 146.35° E
10km
PGV (12 k)00
421992-02-27
20:05 UTC
6.66.17° S, 147.66° E
38km
PGVII (49 k)00
431992-05-15
07:05 UTC
7.26.06° S, 147.62° E
66km
PGVIII (11 k)00
441992-10-21
12:11 UTC
6.16.87° S, 144.18° E
18km
PGVIII (106)00
451992-12-18
03:14 UTC
6.16.48° S, 147.22° E
29km
PGVII (125 k)00
461993-04-27
06:08 UTC
5.56.13° S, 147.84° E
38km
PGVI (15 k)00
471993-10-13
02:06 UTC
6.95.85° S, 146.14° E
21km
PGVIII (30 k)060landslide
481993-10-13
03:07 UTC
6.55.91° S, 146.27° E
35km
PGVII (119 k)00
491993-10-13
05:50 UTC
66.01° S, 146.2° E
32km
PGVII (63 k)00
501993-10-13
22:46 UTC
5.55.99° S, 146.08° E
34km
PGVII (13 k)00
511993-10-15
00:11 UTC
5.76.03° S, 146.26° E
15km
PGVIII (14)00
521993-10-16
03:05 UTC
6.35.88° S, 146.28° E
26km
PGVII (75 k)33
531993-10-25
10:07 UTC
5.95.89° S, 146.04° E
22km
PGVIII (121)00
541993-10-25
10:27 UTC
6.75.9° S, 146.09° E
22km
PGIX (480)00
551993-10-25
11:59 UTC
6.15.92° S, 146.08° E
28km
PGVII (55 k)00
561993-11-03
18:37 UTC
5.55.8° S, 146.04° E
24km
PGVII (5 k)00
571995-04-25
06:15 UTC
65.9° S, 147.42° E
23km
PGVIII (1 k)00
581995-09-23
02:34 UTC
65.94° S, 146.71° E
26km
PGVII (13 k)00
591996-03-02
01:50 UTC
6.15.89° S, 146.66° E
32km
PGVII (23 k)00
601996-03-17
17:58 UTC
6.16.15° S, 147.77° E
43km
PGVII (20 k)00
611996-03-18
10:30 UTC
5.86.16° S, 147.79° E
33km
PGVII (16 k)00
621996-09-21
01:23 UTC
5.86.19° S, 146.29° E
6km
PGVIII (189)00
631997-06-12
12:07 UTC
6.15.97° S, 147.06° E
32km
PGVII (17 k)00
641997-10-03
00:15 UTC
5.56.21° S, 148.7° E
29km
PGVI (8 k)00
651997-12-15
10:28 UTC
5.96.07° S, 149.94° E
42km
PGVII (4 k)00
661998-01-16
10:23 UTC
5.85.87° S, 146.51° E
29km
PGVII (20 k)00
671998-05-27
15:27 UTC
65.91° S, 149.79° E
27km
PGVII (9 k)00
681999-04-06
08:22 UTC
6.36.52° S, 147.1° E
24km
PGIX (14)00
691999-04-06
11:26 UTC
5.46.4° S, 147° E
28km
PGVII (437)00
701999-04-11
16:50 UTC
66.01° S, 148.54° E
45km
PGVII (1 k)00
711999-04-15
13:54 UTC
5.86.35° S, 147.13° E
26km
PGVII (3 k)00
721999-06-29
05:50 UTC
5.69.45° S, 147.98° E
13km
PGVII (153)00
731999-11-17
03:27 UTC
6.96.01° S, 148.86° E
58km
PGVIII (8 k)00
741999-11-19
13:56 UTC
76.36° S, 148.81° E
46km
PGVIII (7 k)00
752000-01-20
05:54 UTC
5.46.21° S, 147.56° E
32km
PGVII (853)00
762000-03-03
22:22 UTC
6.66.8° S, 143.89° E
17km
PGIX (733)00
772001-06-05
09:00 UTC
6.46.86° S, 146.43° E
9km
PGIX (487)00landslide
782001-06-05
09:20 UTC
5.56.81° S, 146.61° E
37km
PGVII (1)00
792001-06-05
15:13 UTC
66.79° S, 146.46° E
8km
PGVIII (1 k)00
802002-04-01
06:14 UTC
5.36.23° S, 147.55° E
81km
PGV (14 k)036landslide
812002-07-03
23:00 UTC
6.15.06° S, 147.52° E
18km
PGVI (1 k)00
822002-07-08
11:09 UTC
5.65.07° S, 147.45° E
36km
PGVI (2 k)00
832003-02-10
04:49 UTC
6.26.01° S, 149.87° E
35km
PGVII (15 k)00
842003-10-22
11:45 UTC
6.36.08° S, 147.78° E
39km
PGVII (29 k)00
852004-01-09
22:35 UTC
6.36.03° S, 149.4° E
31km
PGVIII (3 k)00
862005-02-02
06:28 UTC
5.57.47° S, 145.12° E
29km
PGVII (6 k)00
872005-06-04
14:50 UTC
6.16.34° S, 146.83° E
38km
PGVII (27 k)11
882006-02-06
03:04 UTC
5.66.05° S, 150.01° E
34km
PGVII (1 k)00
892007-02-12
02:08 UTC
5.95.02° S, 145.01° E
42km
PGVII (25 k)00
902007-05-12
11:31 UTC
5.95.49° S, 146.14° E
44km
PGVII (3 k)00

PAGER content is automatically generated, and only considers losses due to structural damage. Limitations of input data, shaking estimates, and loss models may add uncertainty. PAGER results are generally available within 30 minutes of the earthquake’s occurrence. However, information on the extent of shaking will be uncertain in the minutes and hours following an earthquake and typically improves as additional sensor data and reported intensities are acquired and incorporated into models of the earthquake's source. Users of PAGER estimates should account for uncertainty and always seek the most current PAGER release for any earthquake.