PAGER - M 5.8 - WESTERN TURKEY

Alert level does not include impacts from earthquake-related hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires or liquefaction.

Earthquake Shaking Alert Level: YELLOW

Download Alert PDFWhat's this?Thursday, May 19th, 2011 at 20:15:24 UTC (23:15:24 local)Location: 39.1° N, 29.1° EDepth: 9kmEvent Id: USC0003J4AAlert Version: 2Created: 2 hours, 5 minutes after earthquake.
Global Location

Alert Information

Yellow alert level for economic losses. Some damage is possible and the impact should be relatively localized. Estimated economic losses are less than 1% of GDP of Turkey. Past events with this alert level have required a local or regional level response. Green alert level for shaking-related fatalities. There is a low likelihood of casualties.
Estimated FatalitiesFatality Alert Level: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITY ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITIES (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 (GREEN)
 
69
1 to 9 (YELLOW)
 
30
10 to 99 (YELLOW)
 
2
100 to 999 (ORANGE)0
1 to 10 thousand (RED)0
10 to 100 thousand (RED)0
100 thousand + (RED)0
Estimated Economic LossesEconomic Alert Level: YELLOW
ESTIMATED ECONOMIC ALERT: YELLOW
ESTIMATED VALUE IN USD (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 to 1 million (GREEN)
 
34
1 to 10 million (YELLOW)
 
48
10 to 100 million (YELLOW)
 
16
100 million to 1 billion (ORANGE)1
1 to 10 billion (RED)0
10 to 100 billion (RED)0
100 billion + (RED)0

Detailed Information

Estimated Population Exposed to Earthquake Shaking
Estimated Modified Mercalli IntensityIII-IIIIVVVIVIIVIIIIXX
Est. Population Exposure---*---*856k*1,107k133k17k000
Perceived ShakingNot FeltWeakLightModerateStrongVery StrongSevereViolentExtreme
Potential Structure DamageResistantnonenonenoneV. LightLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. Heavy
VulnerablenonenonenoneLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. HeavyV. Heavy
*Estimated exposure only includes population within calculated shake map area
Population Exposure
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan
Population Exposure Map

Structure Information Summary

Overall, the population in this region resides in structures that are a mix of vulnerable and earthquake resistant construction. The predominant vulnerable building types are unreinforced brick masonry and adobe block construction.

Historical Earthquakes (with MMI)

Date (UTC)Dist (km)MagMax MMI (#)Shaking Deaths
1999-08-171937.6IX (572k)17439
2000-06-063786VIII (6k)2
2002-02-031986.5IX (11k)44

Recent earthquakes in this area have caused secondary hazards such as landslides that might have contributed to losses.

Selected Cities Exposedfrom GeoNames Database of Cities with 1,000 or more residents.
MMICityPopulation
VIISimav35k
VIPazarlar6k
VISaphane5k
VEmet24k
VGediz22k
VDemirci21k
VKutahya185k
IVSalihli89k
IVInegol134k
IVUsak153k
IVBozuyuk55k

(k = x1,000)

Historical Events Map
Nearby Events in the EXPO-CAT Earthquake Catalog
#Date/TimeMagLat, Lon, DepthCountryMax MMI (Exposed)DeathsSecondary Effects
ShakingTotal
11974-02-01
00:01 UTC
5.438.54° N, 27.26° E
12km
TRVII (2 k)22
21975-03-27
05:15 UTC
5.540.42° N, 26.14° E
4km
TRVI (2 k)00
31976-08-19
01:12 UTC
537.74° N, 29.02° E
12km
TRVIII (14 k)44
41977-12-09
15:53 UTC
4.638.36° N, 27.22° E
23km
TRVI (1,741 k)00
51979-06-14
11:44 UTC
5.838.79° N, 26.61° E
15km
TRVII (39)00
61981-12-19
14:10 UTC
6.839.19° N, 25.31° E
14km
GRVII (13)00
71981-12-27
17:39 UTC
6.338.85° N, 24.95° E
10km
GRVII (1)00
81983-07-05
12:01 UTC
6.140.31° N, 27.24° E
15km
TRIX (2 k)55
91983-08-06
15:43 UTC
6.640.11° N, 24.77° E
15km
GRVII (115)00
101983-10-21
20:34 UTC
5.440.11° N, 29.41° E
4km
TRVII (63 k)00
111986-10-11
09:00 UTC
5.637.94° N, 28.56° E
13km
TRVII (14 k)00
121990-07-18
11:29 UTC
5.537.03° N, 29.53° E
41km
TRVI (70 k)00
131992-11-06
19:08 UTC
638.05° N, 27° E
10km
TRIX (2 k)00
141994-05-24
02:05 UTC
5.538.73° N, 26.55° E
17km
TRVI (17 k)00
151995-10-01
15:57 UTC
6.438.08° N, 30.14° E
31km
TRIX (42 k)101101
161996-07-20
00:00 UTC
6.236.2° N, 27.07° E
8km
GRVI (2 k)00
171997-11-14
21:38 UTC
5.838.84° N, 25.84° E
9km
GRVI (6)00
181999-08-17
00:01 UTC
7.640.75° N, 29.94° E
17km
TRIX (572 k)1743917439
191999-08-31
08:10 UTC
5.140.77° N, 29.91° E
8km
TRVI (288 k)11
201999-09-13
11:55 UTC
5.840.69° N, 30.05° E
17km
TRVIII (32 k)66
211999-09-29
00:13 UTC
5.240.74° N, 29.35° E
8km
TRVII (28 k)11
221999-10-05
00:53 UTC
5.236.75° N, 28.22° E
22km
TRVII (71 k)00
231999-11-07
16:54 UTC
4.940.7° N, 30.72° E
16km
TRVI (89 k)01
241999-11-11
14:41 UTC
5.640.74° N, 30.25° E
10km
TRVIII (2 k)11
251999-11-12
16:57 UTC
7.240.78° N, 31.21° E
10km
TRIX (33 k)894894landslide
262000-04-21
12:23 UTC
5.437.85° N, 29.35° E
30km
TRVII (21 k)00
272000-06-06
02:41 UTC
640.73° N, 33° E
7km
TRVIII (6 k)22
282000-07-07
00:15 UTC
4.240.86° N, 29.34° E
8km
TRVI (62 k)01
292000-08-23
13:41 UTC
5.340.78° N, 30.77° E
21km
TRVII (43 k)00
302000-12-15
16:44 UTC
638.45° N, 31.26° E
12km
TRVIII (4 k)66
312001-06-10
13:11 UTC
5.638.53° N, 25.63° E
7km
GRVII (2 k)00
322001-08-26
00:41 UTC
5.440.94° N, 31.52° E
16km
TRVII (6 k)00
332002-01-21
14:34 UTC
4.838.63° N, 27.89° E
28km
TRVI (97 k)11
342002-02-03
07:11 UTC
6.538.52° N, 31.22° E
5km
TRIX (11 k)4444
352002-02-03
07:14 UTC
5.538.7° N, 30.87° E
10km
TRVIII (325)00
362002-02-03
09:26 UTC
5.838.66° N, 30.91° E
11km
TRVIII (3 k)00
372003-04-10
00:40 UTC
5.738.23° N, 26.93° E
14km
TRVI (371)00
382003-07-06
19:10 UTC
5.740.45° N, 26.08° E
7km
TRVI (5 k)00
392003-07-26
08:36 UTC
5.438.06° N, 28.9° E
25km
TRVII (73 k)00
402004-04-13
21:47 UTC
4.140.73° N, 31.63° E
5km
TRVI (760)00
412004-08-04
03:01 UTC
5.536.86° N, 27.76° E
40km
TRVI (49 k)00
422004-12-20
23:02 UTC
5.336.94° N, 28.34° E
36km
TRVI (132 k)00landslide
432005-01-10
23:48 UTC
5.436.86° N, 27.89° E
39km
TRVI (34 k)00
442005-01-23
22:36 UTC
5.835.89° N, 29.7° E
45km
TRVI (15 k)00
452005-10-17
05:45 UTC
5.538.14° N, 26.7° E
11km
TRVII (3 k)00
462005-10-17
09:46 UTC
5.838.14° N, 26.73° E
6km
TRVIII (11)00
472005-10-20
21:40 UTC
5.838.15° N, 26.75° E
8km
TRVIII (4 k)01
MMICityPopulation
VIISimav35k
VIPazarlar6k
VISaphane5k
VEmet24k
VGediz22k
VDemirci21k
VSelendi9k
VTavsanli52k
VAslanapa2k
VYenice4k
VSindirgi11k
VDursunbey18k
VKoprubasi5k
VSivasli7k
VBanaz17k
VKutahya185k
VGordes11k
VKula31k
VEsme11k
VUlubey5k
IVDomanic Kozluca5k
IVSalihli89k
IVDumlupinar3k
IVOrhaneli9k
IVKeles4k
IVBigadic15k
IVCivril14k
IVInegol134k
IVUsak153k
IVKarahalli5k
IVGuellue2k
IVSusurluk25k
IVKepsut6k
IVHocalar3k
IVAlasehir41k
IVSandikli43k
IVKirazli3k
IVSincanli6k
IVYenicekoy4k
IVKursunlu3k
IVCerrah3k
IVBozuyuk55k
IVPazaryeri7k
IVAhmetli11k
IVManyas5k

(k = x1,000)


PAGER content is automatically generated, and only considers losses due to structural damage. Limitations of input data, shaking estimates, and loss models may add uncertainty. PAGER results are generally available within 30 minutes of the earthquake’s occurrence. However, information on the extent of shaking will be uncertain in the minutes and hours following an earthquake and typically improves as additional sensor data and reported intensities are acquired and incorporated into models of the earthquake's source. Users of PAGER estimates should account for uncertainty and always seek the most current PAGER release for any earthquake.