PAGER - M 5.8 - IRAN-IRAQ BORDER REGION

Alert level does not include impacts from earthquake-related hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires or liquefaction.

Earthquake Shaking Alert Level: YELLOW

Download Alert PDFWhat's this?Friday, November 22nd, 2013 at 18:30:58 UTC (22:00:58 local)Location: 34.3° N, 45.6° EDepth: 14kmEvent Id: USB000L4LFAlert Version: 11Created: 9 weeks, 4 days after earthquake.
Global Location

Alert Information

Yellow alert level for shaking-related fatalities. Some casualties are possible and the impact should be relatively localized. Past events with this alert level have required a local or regional level response. Green alert level for economic losses. There is a low likelihood of damage.
Estimated FatalitiesFatality Alert Level: YELLOW
ESTIMATED FATALITY ALERT: YELLOW
ESTIMATED FATALITIES (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 (GREEN)
 
26
1 to 9 (YELLOW)
 
35
10 to 99 (YELLOW)
 
28
100 to 999 (ORANGE)
 
10
1 to 10 thousand (RED)
 
2
10 to 100 thousand (RED)0
100 thousand + (RED)0
Estimated Economic LossesEconomic Alert Level: GREEN
ESTIMATED ECONOMIC ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED VALUE IN USD (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 to 1 million (GREEN)
 
65
1 to 10 million (YELLOW)
 
30
10 to 100 million (YELLOW)
 
4
100 million to 1 billion (ORANGE)0
1 to 10 billion (RED)0
10 to 100 billion (RED)0
100 billion + (RED)0

Detailed Information

Estimated Population Exposed to Earthquake Shaking
Estimated Modified Mercalli IntensityIII-IIIIVVVIVIIVIIIIXX
Est. Population Exposure---*14,006k*3,278k243k124k5k000
Perceived ShakingNot FeltWeakLightModerateStrongVery StrongSevereViolentExtreme
Potential Structure DamageResistantnonenonenoneV. LightLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. Heavy
VulnerablenonenonenoneLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. HeavyV. Heavy
*Estimated exposure only includes population within calculated shake map area
Population Exposure
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan
Population Exposure Map

Structure Information Summary

Overall, the population in this region resides in structures that are highly vulnerable to earthquake shaking, though some resistant structures exist.

Historical Earthquakes (with MMI)

Date (UTC)Dist (km)MagMax MMI (#)Shaking Deaths
1985-02-262474.7IV (31k)0
2003-06-243844.6VI (77)1
2002-06-223426.5VIII (4k)227

Recent earthquakes in this area have caused secondary hazards such as landslides that might have contributed to losses.

Selected Cities Exposedfrom GeoNames Database of Cities with 1,000 or more residents.
MMICityPopulation
VSarpol-e Zahab52k
IVMandali30k
IVAl Miqdadiyah51k
IVKifri30k
IVBa`qubah153k
IVTozkhurmato60k
IVIlam141k
IIIKirkuk601k
IIIAs Sulaymaniyah723k
IIITikrit42k
IIISanandaj349k

(k = x1,000)

Historical Events Map
Nearby Events in the EXPO-CAT Earthquake Catalog
#Date/TimeMagLat, Lon, DepthCountryMax MMI (Exposed)DeathsSecondary Effects
ShakingTotal
11975-01-14
22:07 UTC
5.135.4° N, 44.81° E
15km
IQV (59 k)00
21975-09-01
23:15 UTC
4.933.34° N, 49.11° E
10km
IRVI (682)00
31977-06-05
04:45 UTC
6.132.61° N, 48.08° E
10km
IRVIII (3 k)00
41979-04-18
14:42 UTC
5.133.4° N, 46.41° E
14km
IRV (16 k)00
51980-02-21
13:59 UTC
4.732.1° N, 47.33° E
33km
IQIV (3 k)00
61980-10-19
17:24 UTC
5.832.7° N, 48.57° E
18km
IRVIII (156)00
71980-12-18
14:31 UTC
4.835.79° N, 44.39° E
33km
IQIV (2 k)00
81980-12-19
13:42 UTC
4.935.62° N, 44.45° E
20km
IQV (167)00
91981-07-23
00:05 UTC
5.837.09° N, 45.2° E
34km
IRVIII (404)00
101982-07-19
07:19 UTC
4.933.5° N, 46.07° E
25km
IRIV (31 k)00
111983-05-28
11:35 UTC
5.532.59° N, 48.58° E
20km
IRVII (2 k)00
121983-11-17
09:10 UTC
4.731.56° N, 47.36° E
15km
IQV (46 k)00
131984-03-26
12:00 UTC
4.734.62° N, 45.41° E
33km
IQIV (10 k)00
141985-02-26
20:36 UTC
4.732.58° N, 47.28° E
20km
IRIV (31 k)00
151986-03-15
07:59 UTC
4.832.39° N, 46.98° E
15km
IQV (229)00
161986-08-18
09:49 UTC
4.935.87° N, 44.4° E
33km
IQIV (8 k)00
171987-05-29
06:27 UTC
5.334.06° N, 48.29° E
25km
IRVII (116 k)22
181988-01-26
09:34 UTC
5.532.76° N, 47.11° E
25km
IRV (21 k)00
191988-01-26
14:36 UTC
4.932.74° N, 47.09° E
15km
IRV (1 k)00
201988-01-27
07:44 UTC
532.8° N, 47.02° E
20km
IRV (363)00
211988-01-27
13:05 UTC
4.932.7° N, 47.05° E
15km
IRV (1 k)00
221988-01-28
01:34 UTC
4.732.76° N, 47.11° E
15km
IRV (477)00
231988-01-28
05:03 UTC
4.732.62° N, 47.03° E
20km
IRIV (27 k)00
241990-05-24
15:12 UTC
4.932.79° N, 46.78° E
15km
IRV (1 k)00
251991-07-24
09:45 UTC
5.536.6° N, 44.06° E
20km
IQVII (2 k)2020
261992-12-11
09:25 UTC
4.832.87° N, 46.43° E
15km
IQV (734)00
271993-02-17
07:22 UTC
5.435.49° N, 42.59° E
44km
IQVI (6 k)00
281994-07-31
05:15 UTC
5.532.68° N, 48.42° E
17km
IRVII (1 k)00
291994-10-11
20:31 UTC
4.733.55° N, 45.78° E
15km
IQV (2 k)00
301998-01-19
22:08 UTC
4.833.82° N, 46.02° E
15km
IRV (2 k)00
312001-03-23
05:24 UTC
5.432.98° N, 46.64° E
12km
IRV (12 k)00
322001-11-29
15:49 UTC
4.733.63° N, 45.98° E
15km
IRV (2 k)00
332002-02-20
10:12 UTC
4.933.7° N, 45.73° E
25km
IRIV (27 k)00
342002-04-24
19:48 UTC
5.434.6° N, 47.4° E
25km
IRVII (28 k)22
352002-06-18
03:19 UTC
5.333.34° N, 45.95° E
29km
IQV (80)00
362002-06-22
02:58 UTC
6.535.59° N, 49.02° E
11km
IRVIII (4 k)227227
372002-06-26
18:18 UTC
4.635.55° N, 48.87° E
8km
IRVI (5 k)00
382002-09-04
09:22 UTC
4.733.94° N, 46.06° E
33km
IRIV (102)00
392002-12-24
17:03 UTC
5.234.54° N, 47.48° E
30km
IRV (74 k)00
402003-06-24
13:01 UTC
4.633.02° N, 49.46° E
15km
IRVI (77)11landslide
412004-02-12
09:20 UTC
4.833.53° N, 45.84° E
17km
IQV (1 k)00
422004-10-16
10:04 UTC
4.833.43° N, 45.92° E
20km
IQIV (22 k)00
432004-11-22
04:01 UTC
533.21° N, 47.95° E
25km
IRVI (62 k)00landslide
442005-01-25
00:04 UTC
4.833.92° N, 45.86° E
34km
IRIV (1 k)00
452005-01-25
08:07 UTC
4.833.29° N, 45.88° E
15km
IQV (1 k)00
462005-01-25
08:21 UTC
4.933.37° N, 45.87° E
24km
IQIV (18 k)00
472005-01-25
11:39 UTC
4.933.37° N, 45.88° E
41km
IQV (56 k)00
482005-05-03
07:21 UTC
4.933.66° N, 48.67° E
27km
IRVI (36 k)44
492006-03-31
01:17 UTC
6.133.51° N, 48.76° E
7km
IRIX (10 k)7070
502007-03-06
22:32 UTC
4.733.49° N, 48.93° E
16km
IRVI (4 k)00
MMICityPopulation
VSarpol-e Zahab52k
IVMandali30k
IVAl Miqdadiyah51k
IVKifri30k
IVBa`qubah153k
IVTozkhurmato60k
IVKhalis70k
IVJavanrud39k
IVHalabjah57k
IVKamyaran62k
IVIlam141k
IVPaveh18k
IVBalad42k
IVAd Dujayl26k
IVMehran12k
IIIChamchamal76k
IIISamarra'159k
IIIKirkuk601k
IIIAs Suwayrah42k
IIIAbu Ghurayb900k
IIIAs Sulaymaniyah723k
IIITikrit42k
IIIPaynjuwayn27k
IIIKahriz767k
IIISonqor43k
IIIAl Fallujah190k
IIIKuhdasht100k
IIIAl `Aziziyah45k
IIIAl Musayyib43k
IIISanandaj349k
IIINahiyat Saddat al Hindiyah31k
IIIHarsin58k
IIIDehloran46k
IIIKermanshah621k
IIIAbdanan19k
IIIBaghdad5,673k
IIIBijar54k

(k = x1,000)


PAGER content is automatically generated, and only considers losses due to structural damage. Limitations of input data, shaking estimates, and loss models may add uncertainty. PAGER results are generally available within 30 minutes of the earthquake’s occurrence. However, information on the extent of shaking will be uncertain in the minutes and hours following an earthquake and typically improves as additional sensor data and reported intensities are acquired and incorporated into models of the earthquake's source. Users of PAGER estimates should account for uncertainty and always seek the most current PAGER release for any earthquake.