PAGER - M 6.6 - GULF OF CALIFORNIA

Alert level does not include impacts from earthquake-related hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires or liquefaction.

Earthquake Shaking Alert Level: GREEN

Download Alert PDFWhat's this?Saturday, October 19th, 2013 at 17:54:54 UTC (10:54:54 local)Location: 26.1° N, 110.3° WDepth: 9kmEvent Id: USB000KHBCAlert Version: 9Created: 10 weeks, 2 days after earthquake.
Global Location

Alert Information

Green alert for shaking-related fatalities and economic losses. There is a low likelihood of casualties and damage.
Estimated FatalitiesFatality Alert Level: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITY ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITIES (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 (GREEN)
 
65
1 to 9 (YELLOW)
 
30
10 to 99 (YELLOW)
 
4
100 to 999 (ORANGE)0
1 to 10 thousand (RED)0
10 to 100 thousand (RED)0
100 thousand + (RED)0
Estimated Economic LossesEconomic Alert Level: GREEN
ESTIMATED ECONOMIC ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED VALUE IN USD (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 to 1 million (GREEN)
 
65
1 to 10 million (YELLOW)
 
30
10 to 100 million (YELLOW)
 
4
100 million to 1 billion (ORANGE)0
1 to 10 billion (RED)0
10 to 100 billion (RED)0
100 billion + (RED)0

Detailed Information

Estimated Population Exposed to Earthquake Shaking
Estimated Modified Mercalli IntensityIII-IIIIVVVIVIIVIIIIXX
Est. Population Exposure---*1,225k*2,462k120k00000
Perceived ShakingNot FeltWeakLightModerateStrongVery StrongSevereViolentExtreme
Potential Structure DamageResistantnonenonenoneV. LightLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. Heavy
VulnerablenonenonenoneLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. HeavyV. Heavy
*Estimated exposure only includes population within calculated shake map area
Population Exposure
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan
Population Exposure Map

Structure Information Summary

Overall, the population in this region resides in structures that are a mix of vulnerable and earthquake resistant construction.

Historical Earthquakes (with MMI)

Date (UTC)Dist (km)MagMax MMI (#)Shaking Deaths
1995-08-28126.5V (326k)0
1973-10-032655.5VII (49)0
1995-06-301735.7VII (50)0

Selected Cities Exposedfrom GeoNames Database of Cities with 1,000 or more residents.
MMICityPopulation
VEtchoropo4k
VHiguera de Zaragoza9k
VHuatabampo30k
VLa Union5k
VEtchojoa9k
IVAhome11k
IVCiudad Obregon258k
IVGuaymas103k
IVLa Paz171k
IIILos Mochis215k
IIICuliacan582k

(k = x1,000)

Historical Events Map
Nearby Events in the EXPO-CAT Earthquake Catalog
#Date/TimeMagLat, Lon, DepthCountryMax MMI (Exposed)DeathsSecondary Effects
ShakingTotal
11973-10-03
04:27 UTC
5.527.48° N, 112.49° W
15km
MXVII (49)00
21974-05-31
14:05 UTC
6.427.53° N, 111.04° W
19km
MXVI (16 k)00
31975-09-24
17:19 UTC
5.825.17° N, 109.17° W
17km
MXV (485 k)00
41984-02-10
16:51 UTC
628.29° N, 112.09° W
28km
MXVI (4 k)00
51988-06-18
22:49 UTC
6.626.76° N, 110.98° W
9km
MXV (652 k)00
61990-03-16
15:52 UTC
6.124.83° N, 109.05° W
28km
MXVI (61)00
71995-06-30
11:58 UTC
6.224.7° N, 110.19° W
13km
MXVI (20)00
81995-06-30
13:41 UTC
5.724.53° N, 110.21° W
22km
MXVII (50)00
91995-08-28
10:46 UTC
6.526.05° N, 110.43° W
7km
MXV (326 k)00
102000-03-24
04:23 UTC
5.627.66° N, 111.24° W
25km
MXVI (54 k)00
112002-10-03
16:08 UTC
6.523.28° N, 108.57° W
28km
MXVI (84)00
122003-03-12
23:41 UTC
6.326.65° N, 110.56° W
32km
MXVI (8 k)00
132006-01-04
08:32 UTC
6.628.22° N, 112.11° W
14km
MXVI (270)00
MMICityPopulation
VEtchoropo4k
VHiguera de Zaragoza9k
VLa Union5k
VHuatabampo30k
VEtchojoa9k
IVAhome11k
IVBagojo4k
IVVilla Juarez15k
IVMochicahui5k
IVPueblo Yaqui15k
IVRio Muerto7k
IVSan Miguel Zapotitlan6k
IVGeneral Juan Jose Rios26k
IVCampo Sesenta6k
IVAdolfo Ruiz Cortines13k
IVBacum4k
IVPotam6k
IVGabriel Leyva Solano28k
IVEl Tobarito9k
IVCiudad Constitucion40k
IVTopolobampo8k
IVLa Trinidad4k
IVGuasave68k
IVEl Burrion4k
IVVicam9k
IVVilla Insurgentes9k
IVCompuertas4k
IVYavaros4k
IVEl Fuerte11k
IVAlamos9k
IVAngostura5k
IVSan Blas6k
IVCocorit9k
IVCiudad Obregon258k
IVLoreto11k
IVGuamuchil59k
IVSinaloa de Leyva4k
IVEmpalme39k
IVMulege4k
IVMocorito5k
IVLa Reforma7k
IVNavolato28k
IVGuaymas103k
IVChoix8k
IVLa Paz171k
IVProvidencia5k
IVCampo Gobierno21k
IIICuliacancito4k
IIIEl Dorado14k
IIIVilla de Costa Rica22k
IIIBadiraguato4k
IIITodos Santos4k
IIILos Mochis215k
IIICreel5k
IIICuliacan582k
IIISanta Rosalia12k

(k = x1,000)


PAGER content is automatically generated, and only considers losses due to structural damage. Limitations of input data, shaking estimates, and loss models may add uncertainty. PAGER results are generally available within 30 minutes of the earthquake’s occurrence. However, information on the extent of shaking will be uncertain in the minutes and hours following an earthquake and typically improves as additional sensor data and reported intensities are acquired and incorporated into models of the earthquake's source. Users of PAGER estimates should account for uncertainty and always seek the most current PAGER release for any earthquake.