PAGER - M 6.8 - PAKISTAN

Alert level does not include impacts from earthquake-related hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires or liquefaction.

Earthquake Shaking Alert Level: ORANGE

Download Alert PDFWhat's this?Saturday, September 28th, 2013 at 07:34:06 UTC (12:34:06 local)Location: 27.2° N, 65.5° EDepth: 12kmEvent Id: USB000K1GBAlert Version: 8Created: 10 weeks, 6 days after earthquake.
Global Location

Alert Information

Orange alert level for shaking-related fatalities. Significant casualties are likely and the disaster is potentially widespread. Past events with this alert level have required a regional or national level response. Yellow alert level for economic losses. Some damage is possible. Estimated economic losses are less than 1% of GDP of Pakistan.
Estimated FatalitiesFatality Alert Level: ORANGE
ESTIMATED FATALITY ALERT: ORANGE
ESTIMATED FATALITIES (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 (GREEN)1
1 to 9 (YELLOW)
 
7
10 to 99 (YELLOW)
 
26
100 to 999 (ORANGE)
 
38
1 to 10 thousand (RED)
 
22
10 to 100 thousand (RED)
 
5
100 thousand + (RED)1
Estimated Economic LossesEconomic Alert Level: YELLOW
ESTIMATED ECONOMIC ALERT: YELLOW
ESTIMATED VALUE IN USD (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 to 1 million (GREEN)
 
3
1 to 10 million (YELLOW)
 
19
10 to 100 million (YELLOW)
 
43
100 million to 1 billion (ORANGE)
 
29
1 to 10 billion (RED)
 
6
10 to 100 billion (RED)0
100 billion + (RED)0

Detailed Information

Estimated Population Exposed to Earthquake Shaking
Estimated Modified Mercalli IntensityIII-IIIIVVVIVIIVIIIIXX
Est. Population Exposure---*1k*30,879k489k86k27k9k00
Perceived ShakingNot FeltWeakLightModerateStrongVery StrongSevereViolentExtreme
Potential Structure DamageResistantnonenonenoneV. LightLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. Heavy
VulnerablenonenonenoneLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. HeavyV. Heavy
*Estimated exposure only includes population within calculated shake map area
Population Exposure
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan
Population Exposure Map

Structure Information Summary

Overall, the population in this region resides in structures that are highly vulnerable to earthquake shaking, though some resistant structures exist. The predominant vulnerable building types are adobe block and unreinforced brick masonry construction.

Historical Earthquakes (with MMI)

Date (UTC)Dist (km)MagMax MMI (#)Shaking Deaths
1992-04-24716VIII (6k)0
1990-03-042086IX (156)11

Recent earthquakes in this area have caused secondary hazards such as landslides that might have contributed to losses.

Selected Cities Exposedfrom GeoNames Database of Cities with 1,000 or more residents.
MMICityPopulation
VAwaran0
VBela20k
IVPanjgur0
IVKharan31k
IVSurab13k
IVKhuzdar0
IVLarkana364k
IVMalir Cantonment300k
IVNawabshah230k
IVHyderabad1,386k
IVKarachi11,624k

(k = x1,000)

Historical Events Map
Nearby Events in the EXPO-CAT Earthquake Catalog
#Date/TimeMagLat, Lon, DepthCountryMax MMI (Exposed)DeathsSecondary Effects
ShakingTotal
11973-01-20
12:34 UTC
5.629.3° N, 68.63° E
17km
PKVIII (11)00
21974-10-04
22:24 UTC
5.926.32° N, 66.57° E
6km
PKVIII (80)00
31975-10-03
05:14 UTC
6.730.24° N, 66.29° E
1km
AFIX (901)00
41975-10-03
17:31 UTC
6.430.39° N, 66.35° E
1km
PKIX (55)00
51977-07-13
08:09 UTC
5.529.87° N, 67.33° E
9km
PKVII (967)00
61978-02-10
20:50 UTC
5.525.26° N, 62.33° E
24km
PKVII (17 k)00
71978-05-06
11:16 UTC
5.929.8° N, 66.13° E
16km
PKVIII (103)00
81981-12-12
20:26 UTC
4.629.91° N, 67.08° E
35km
PKV (486 k)66
91982-03-24
14:27 UTC
4.728.24° N, 69.24° E
33km
PKIV (117 k)00
101983-04-18
10:58 UTC
6.727.77° N, 62.05° E
64km
IRVII (89 k)00
111984-01-18
14:08 UTC
5.628.01° N, 65.75° E
10km
PKVIII (24)00
121990-03-04
19:46 UTC
628.9° N, 66.36° E
5km
PKIX (156)1111
131990-06-17
04:51 UTC
6.127.41° N, 65.7° E
12km
PKVIII (735)66
141990-07-26
06:53 UTC
5.927.35° N, 65.58° E
15km
PKVIII (48)00
151990-09-08
19:33 UTC
5.527.53° N, 66.1° E
34km
PKVII (17 k)00
161992-01-20
08:58 UTC
5.527.54° N, 66.09° E
20km
PKVII (5 k)00
171992-01-30
05:22 UTC
5.824.95° N, 63.16° E
27km
PKVII (466)00
181992-04-24
07:07 UTC
627.54° N, 66.1° E
20km
PKVIII (6 k)00
191992-08-28
00:50 UTC
5.529.21° N, 66.82° E
6km
PKVII (4 k)44
201997-02-27
21:30 UTC
629.99° N, 67.95° E
24km
PKVIII (2 k)00
212000-06-04
17:52 UTC
628.72° N, 65.27° E
12km
PKVIII (445)00
222004-05-08
20:11 UTC
4.530.17° N, 67.07° E
35km
PKV (914 k)11
MMICityPopulation
VAwaran0
VBela20k
IVPanjgur0
IVKharan31k
IVSurab13k
IVKhuzdar0
IVUthal16k
IVJohi16k
IVPhulji8k
IVDalbandin15k
IVKhairpur Nathan Shah30k
IVWarah19k
IVMehar30k
IVKalat27k
IVDadu140k
IVBhan17k
IVSita Road28k
IVNasirabad28k
IVRadhan17k
IVShahdadkot75k
IVSehwan41k
IVKambar77k
IVGandava0
IVNew Badah39k
IVMoro77k
IVGoth Garelo7k
IVDokri15k
IVDaulatpur15k
IVChowki Jamali2k
IVTharu Shah18k
IVNaushahro Firoz18k
IVGarhi Khairo14k
IVMiro Khan11k
IVNushki28k
IVMehrabpur35k
IVKandiaro27k
IVBhiria12k
IVUsta Muhammad44k
IVLarkana364k
IVTurbat76k
IVRatodero48k
IVPad Idan21k
IVDarya Khan Marri9k
IVSobhadero15k
IVNaudero33k
IVHingorja22k
IVBandhi9k
IVSann9k
IVKaraundi9k
IVDaur18k
IVRanipur23k
IVPasni33k
IVMadeji15k
IVSetharja Old33k
IVSakrand32k
IVMalir Cantonment300k
IVOrmara13k
IVNawabshah230k
IVBhag15k
IVDera Murad Jamali0
IVJhatpat0
IVJacobabad171k
IVMastung29k
IVHala48k
IVDadhar15k
IVJamshoro0
IVBhit Shah19k
IVMatiari19k
IVGharo20k
IVGadani13k
IVKotri73k
IVHyderabad1,386k
IVSibi64k
IVMirpur Sakro8k
IVThatta44k
IVKarachi11,624k
IVDaro Mehar11k
IVBulri5k
IVMirpur Batoro9k

(k = x1,000)


PAGER content is automatically generated, and only considers losses due to structural damage. Limitations of input data, shaking estimates, and loss models may add uncertainty. PAGER results are generally available within 30 minutes of the earthquake’s occurrence. However, information on the extent of shaking will be uncertain in the minutes and hours following an earthquake and typically improves as additional sensor data and reported intensities are acquired and incorporated into models of the earthquake's source. Users of PAGER estimates should account for uncertainty and always seek the most current PAGER release for any earthquake.