PAGER - M 5.8 - PAKISTAN

Alert level does not include impacts from earthquake-related hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires or liquefaction.

Earthquake Shaking Alert Level: GREEN

Download Alert PDFWhat's this?Tuesday, September 24th, 2013 at 11:36:27 UTC (16:36:27 local)Location: 27.2° N, 65.6° EDepth: 10kmEvent Id: USB000JYJ7Alert Version: 5Created: 11 weeks, 2 days after earthquake.
Global Location

Alert Information

Green alert for shaking-related fatalities and economic losses. There is a low likelihood of casualties and damage.
Estimated FatalitiesFatality Alert Level: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITY ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITIES (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 (GREEN)
 
50
1 to 9 (YELLOW)
 
34
10 to 99 (YELLOW)
 
14
100 to 999 (ORANGE)
 
2
1 to 10 thousand (RED)0
10 to 100 thousand (RED)0
100 thousand + (RED)0
Estimated Economic LossesEconomic Alert Level: GREEN
ESTIMATED ECONOMIC ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED VALUE IN USD (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 to 1 million (GREEN)
 
65
1 to 10 million (YELLOW)
 
30
10 to 100 million (YELLOW)
 
4
100 million to 1 billion (ORANGE)0
1 to 10 billion (RED)0
10 to 100 billion (RED)0
100 billion + (RED)0

Detailed Information

Estimated Population Exposed to Earthquake Shaking
Estimated Modified Mercalli IntensityIII-IIIIVVVIVIIVIIIIXX
Est. Population Exposure---*1,188k*658k24k14k2k000
Perceived ShakingNot FeltWeakLightModerateStrongVery StrongSevereViolentExtreme
Potential Structure DamageResistantnonenonenoneV. LightLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. Heavy
VulnerablenonenonenoneLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. HeavyV. Heavy
*Estimated exposure only includes population within calculated shake map area
Population Exposure
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan
Population Exposure Map

Structure Information Summary

Overall, the population in this region resides in structures that are highly vulnerable to earthquake shaking, though some resistant structures exist.

Historical Earthquakes (with MMI)

Date (UTC)Dist (km)MagMax MMI (#)Shaking Deaths
1992-01-303485.8VII (466)0
1981-12-123354.6V (486k)6
1997-02-273977.1VIII (139k)60

Recent earthquakes in this area have caused secondary hazards such as landslides that might have contributed to losses.

Cities Exposedfrom GeoNames Database of Cities with 1,000 or more residents.
MMICityPopulation
IVAwaran0
IVKhuzdar0
IVBela20k
IIIPanjgur0
IIIKharan31k
IIISurab13k
IIIUthal16k
IIIDalbandin15k
IIIGandava0

(k = x1,000)

Historical Events Map
Nearby Events in the EXPO-CAT Earthquake Catalog
#Date/TimeMagLat, Lon, DepthCountryMax MMI (Exposed)DeathsSecondary Effects
ShakingTotal
11973-01-20
12:34 UTC
5.629.3° N, 68.63° E
17km
PKVIII (11)00
21974-10-04
22:24 UTC
5.926.32° N, 66.57° E
6km
PKVIII (80)00
31975-10-03
05:14 UTC
6.730.24° N, 66.29° E
1km
AFIX (901)00
41975-10-03
17:31 UTC
6.430.39° N, 66.35° E
1km
PKIX (55)00
51977-07-13
08:09 UTC
5.529.87° N, 67.33° E
9km
PKVII (967)00
61978-02-10
20:50 UTC
5.525.26° N, 62.33° E
24km
PKVII (17 k)00
71978-05-06
11:16 UTC
5.929.8° N, 66.13° E
16km
PKVIII (103)00
81981-12-12
20:26 UTC
4.629.91° N, 67.08° E
35km
PKV (486 k)66
91982-03-24
14:27 UTC
4.728.24° N, 69.24° E
33km
PKIV (117 k)00
101983-04-18
10:58 UTC
6.727.77° N, 62.05° E
64km
IRVII (89 k)00
111984-01-18
14:08 UTC
5.628.01° N, 65.75° E
10km
PKVIII (24)00
121990-03-04
19:46 UTC
628.9° N, 66.36° E
5km
PKIX (156)1111
131990-06-17
04:51 UTC
6.127.41° N, 65.7° E
12km
PKVIII (735)66
141990-07-26
06:53 UTC
5.927.35° N, 65.58° E
15km
PKVIII (48)00
151990-09-08
19:33 UTC
5.527.53° N, 66.1° E
34km
PKVII (17 k)00
161992-01-20
08:58 UTC
5.527.54° N, 66.09° E
20km
PKVII (5 k)00
171992-01-30
05:22 UTC
5.824.95° N, 63.16° E
27km
PKVII (466)00
181992-04-24
07:07 UTC
627.54° N, 66.1° E
20km
PKVIII (6 k)00
191992-08-28
00:50 UTC
5.529.21° N, 66.82° E
6km
PKVII (4 k)44
201997-02-27
21:08 UTC
7.129.95° N, 68.19° E
24km
PKVIII (139 k)6057landslide
211997-02-27
21:30 UTC
629.99° N, 67.95° E
24km
PKVIII (2 k)00
221997-03-04
13:03 UTC
5.729.41° N, 68.75° E
38km
PKVII (11 k)00
231997-08-24
13:15 UTC
5.630.13° N, 67.94° E
15km
PKVII (8 k)00
242000-06-04
17:52 UTC
628.72° N, 65.27° E
12km
PKVIII (445)00
252004-05-08
20:11 UTC
4.530.17° N, 67.07° E
35km
PKV (914 k)11

PAGER content is automatically generated, and only considers losses due to structural damage. Limitations of input data, shaking estimates, and loss models may add uncertainty. PAGER results are generally available within 30 minutes of the earthquake’s occurrence. However, information on the extent of shaking will be uncertain in the minutes and hours following an earthquake and typically improves as additional sensor data and reported intensities are acquired and incorporated into models of the earthquake's source. Users of PAGER estimates should account for uncertainty and always seek the most current PAGER release for any earthquake.