PAGER - M 4.4 - SOUTHERN ONTARIO, CANADA

Alert level does not include impacts from earthquake-related hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires or liquefaction.

Earthquake Shaking Alert Level: GREEN

Download Alert PDFWhat's this?Friday, May 17th, 2013 at 13:43:22 UTC (09:43:22 local)Location: 45.8° N, 76.4° WDepth: 9kmEvent Id: USB000GXNAAlert Version: 3Created: 1 week, 0 days after earthquake.
Global Location

Alert Information

Green alert for shaking-related fatalities and economic losses. There is a low likelihood of casualties and damage.
Estimated FatalitiesFatality Alert Level: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITY ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITIES (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 (GREEN)
 
99
1 to 9 (YELLOW)1
10 to 99 (YELLOW)0
100 to 999 (ORANGE)0
1 to 10 thousand (RED)0
10 to 100 thousand (RED)0
100 thousand + (RED)0
Estimated Economic LossesEconomic Alert Level: GREEN
ESTIMATED ECONOMIC ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED VALUE IN USD (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 to 1 million (GREEN)
 
99
1 to 10 million (YELLOW)1
10 to 100 million (YELLOW)0
100 million to 1 billion (ORANGE)0
1 to 10 billion (RED)0
10 to 100 billion (RED)0
100 billion + (RED)0

Detailed Information

Estimated Population Exposed to Earthquake Shaking
Estimated Modified Mercalli IntensityIII-IIIIVVVIVIIVIIIIXX
Est. Population Exposure---*1,929k*90k2k00000
Perceived ShakingNot FeltWeakLightModerateStrongVery StrongSevereViolentExtreme
Potential Structure DamageResistantnonenonenoneV. LightLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. Heavy
VulnerablenonenonenoneLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. HeavyV. Heavy
*Estimated exposure only includes population within calculated shake map area
Population Exposure
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan
Population Exposure Map

Structure Information Summary

Overall, the population in this region resides in structures that are resistant to earthquake shaking, though some vulnerable structures exist.

Historical Earthquakes (with MMI)

Date (UTC)Dist (km)MagMax MMI (#)Shaking Deaths
2000-01-012255.2VI (1k)0
1983-10-072584.9VI (6k)0
1990-10-191005.1VII (19)0

Selected Cities Exposedfrom GeoNames Database of Cities with 1,000 or more residents.
MMICityPopulation
IVShawville2k
IVFort-Coulonge3k
IVArnprior10k
IVRenfrew8k
IVWakefield2k
IIIPetawawa11k
IIIGatineau242k
IIIClarence-Rockland21k
IIIOttawa812k
IIIBrockville24k
IIICornwall49k

(k = x1,000)

Historical Events Map
Nearby Events in the EXPO-CAT Earthquake Catalog
#Date/TimeMagLat, Lon, DepthCountryMax MMI (Exposed)DeathsSecondary Effects
ShakingTotal
11983-10-07
10:18 UTC
4.943.95° N, 74.34° W
8km
USVI (6 k)00
21990-10-19
07:01 UTC
5.146.47° N, 75.58° W
15km
CAVII (19)00
32000-01-01
11:22 UTC
5.246.86° N, 78.87° W
10km
CAVI (1 k)00
42002-04-20
10:50 UTC
5.144.49° N, 73.72° W
10km
USV (21 k)00
MMICityPopulation
IVShawville2k
IVFort-Coulonge3k
IVArnprior10k
IVRenfrew8k
IVWakefield2k
IIIPetawawa11k
IIIPembroke16k
IIIVal-des-Monts10k
IIIGatineau242k
IIIClarence-Rockland21k
IIIBells Corners10k
IIIOttawa812k
IIIThurso2k
IIIDeep River4k
IIIManiwaki4k
IIIPerth6k
IIICarleton Place10k
IIIHawkesbury12k
IIISmiths Falls11k
IIIBourget1k
IIISaint-Andre-Avellin2k
IIIMassena11k
IIIPapineauville2k
IIICasselman3k
IIIMont-Laurier13k
IIIBrownsburg-Chatham7k
IIIFerme-Neuve2k
IIIPrescott4k
IIIBancroft4k
IIIRiviere-Rouge4k
IIIOgdensburg11k
IIIBrockville24k
IIILabelle1k
IIIMont-Tremblant9k
IIICanton6k
IIIHannawa Falls1k
IIICornwall49k
IIINorfolk1k
IINorwood2k
IIPotsdam9k

(k = x1,000)


PAGER content is automatically generated, and only considers losses due to structural damage. Limitations of input data, shaking estimates, and loss models may add uncertainty. PAGER results are generally available within 30 minutes of the earthquake’s occurrence. However, information on the extent of shaking will be uncertain in the minutes and hours following an earthquake and typically improves as additional sensor data and reported intensities are acquired and incorporated into models of the earthquake's source. Users of PAGER estimates should account for uncertainty and always seek the most current PAGER release for any earthquake.