PAGER - M 7.7 - IRAN-PAKISTAN BORDER REGION

Alert level does not include impacts from earthquake-related hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires or liquefaction.

Earthquake Shaking Alert Level: YELLOW

Download Alert PDFWhat's this?Tuesday, April 16th, 2013 at 10:44:20 UTC (15:14:20 local)Location: 28.1° N, 62.1° EDepth: 82kmEvent Id: USB000G7X7Alert Version: 8Created: 1 week, 1 day after earthquake.
Global Location

Alert Information

Yellow alert for shaking-related fatalities and economic losses. Some casualties and damage are possible and the impact should be relatively localized. Past yellow alerts have required a local or regional level response. Estimated economic losses are less than 1% of GDP of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Estimated FatalitiesFatality Alert Level: YELLOW
ESTIMATED FATALITY ALERT: YELLOW
ESTIMATED FATALITIES (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 (GREEN)
 
6
1 to 9 (YELLOW)
 
20
10 to 99 (YELLOW)
 
35
100 to 999 (ORANGE)
 
28
1 to 10 thousand (RED)
 
10
10 to 100 thousand (RED)
 
2
100 thousand + (RED)0
Estimated Economic LossesEconomic Alert Level: YELLOW
ESTIMATED ECONOMIC ALERT: YELLOW
ESTIMATED VALUE IN USD (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 to 1 million (GREEN)
 
29
1 to 10 million (YELLOW)
 
35
10 to 100 million (YELLOW)
 
26
100 million to 1 billion (ORANGE)
 
9
1 to 10 billion (RED)1
10 to 100 billion (RED)0
100 billion + (RED)0

Detailed Information

Estimated Population Exposed to Earthquake Shaking
Estimated Modified Mercalli IntensityIII-IIIIVVVIVIIVIIIIXX
Est. Population Exposure---*9k*3,435k*898k427k28k000
Perceived ShakingNot FeltWeakLightModerateStrongVery StrongSevereViolentExtreme
Potential Structure DamageResistantnonenonenoneV. LightLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. Heavy
VulnerablenonenonenoneLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. HeavyV. Heavy
*Estimated exposure only includes population within calculated shake map area
Population Exposure
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan
Population Exposure Map

Structure Information Summary

Overall, the population in this region resides in structures that are highly vulnerable to earthquake shaking, though some resistant structures exist. The predominant vulnerable building types are adobe block and unreinforced brick with timber floor construction.

Historical Earthquakes (with MMI)

Date (UTC)Dist (km)MagMax MMI (#)Shaking Deaths
1989-12-073905.9VIII (127)0
1994-02-233336.1VII (508)6
2003-12-263826.6IX (70k)26271

Recent earthquakes in this area have caused secondary hazards such as landslides that might have contributed to losses.

Selected Cities Exposedfrom GeoNames Database of Cities with 1,000 or more residents.
MMICityPopulation
VIKhash70k
VIranshahr131k
VPanjgur0
VRudbar11k
V`Alaqahdari Dishu9k
VDalbandin15k
IVTurbat76k
IVZaranj0
IVZabol122k
IVZahedan552k
IVGwadar52k

(k = x1,000)

Historical Events Map
Nearby Events in the EXPO-CAT Earthquake Catalog
#Date/TimeMagLat, Lon, DepthCountryMax MMI (Exposed)DeathsSecondary Effects
ShakingTotal
11978-02-10
20:50 UTC
5.525.26° N, 62.33° E
24km
PKVII (17 k)00
21979-01-10
01:26 UTC
626.56° N, 60.91° E
6km
IRVIII (43)00
31979-01-10
15:05 UTC
6.126.5° N, 60.99° E
3km
IRIX (1)00
41983-04-18
10:58 UTC
6.727.77° N, 62.05° E
64km
IRVII (89 k)00
51984-01-18
14:08 UTC
5.628.01° N, 65.75° E
10km
PKVIII (24)00
61989-12-07
12:59 UTC
5.925.92° N, 58.97° E
12km
IRVIII (127)00
71990-06-17
04:51 UTC
6.127.41° N, 65.7° E
12km
PKVIII (735)66
81990-07-26
06:53 UTC
5.927.35° N, 65.58° E
15km
PKVIII (48)00
91992-01-30
05:22 UTC
5.824.95° N, 63.16° E
27km
PKVII (466)00
101992-12-17
10:39 UTC
5.725.9° N, 61.44° E
39km
IRVII (3 k)00
111994-02-23
08:02 UTC
6.130.79° N, 60.53° E
12km
IRVII (508)66
121994-02-23
11:54 UTC
5.530.81° N, 60.54° E
9km
IRVI (2 k)00
131994-02-24
00:11 UTC
6.330.79° N, 60.51° E
10km
IRVIII (45)00
141994-02-26
02:31 UTC
630.8° N, 60.54° E
7km
IRVII (453)00
151994-02-28
11:13 UTC
5.630.91° N, 60.62° E
7km
IRVIII (2)00
162000-06-04
17:52 UTC
628.72° N, 65.27° E
12km
PKVIII (445)00
172003-08-21
04:02 UTC
5.929.01° N, 59.74° E
11km
IRVIII (16)00
182003-12-26
01:56 UTC
6.628.95° N, 58.26° E
14km
IRIX (70 k)2627126271landslide

PAGER content is automatically generated, and only considers losses due to structural damage. Limitations of input data, shaking estimates, and loss models may add uncertainty. PAGER results are generally available within 30 minutes of the earthquake’s occurrence. However, information on the extent of shaking will be uncertain in the minutes and hours following an earthquake and typically improves as additional sensor data and reported intensities are acquired and incorporated into models of the earthquake's source. Users of PAGER estimates should account for uncertainty and always seek the most current PAGER release for any earthquake.