PAGER - M 5.4 - SOUTHERN IRAN

Alert level does not include impacts from earthquake-related hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires or liquefaction.

Earthquake Shaking Alert Level: YELLOW

Download Alert PDFWhat's this?Wednesday, April 10th, 2013 at 01:58:27 UTC (06:28:27 local)Location: 28.5° N, 51.6° EDepth: 10kmEvent Id: USB000G3P7Alert Version: 2Created: 1 week, 1 day after earthquake.
Global Location

Alert Information

Yellow alert level for shaking-related fatalities. Some casualties are possible and the impact should be relatively localized. Past events with this alert level have required a local or regional level response. Green alert level for economic losses. There is a low likelihood of damage.
Estimated FatalitiesFatality Alert Level: YELLOW
ESTIMATED FATALITY ALERT: YELLOW
ESTIMATED FATALITIES (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 (GREEN)
 
29
1 to 9 (YELLOW)
 
35
10 to 99 (YELLOW)
 
26
100 to 999 (ORANGE)
 
9
1 to 10 thousand (RED)1
10 to 100 thousand (RED)0
100 thousand + (RED)0
Estimated Economic LossesEconomic Alert Level: GREEN
ESTIMATED ECONOMIC ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED VALUE IN USD (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 to 1 million (GREEN)
 
70
1 to 10 million (YELLOW)
 
29
10 to 100 million (YELLOW)1
100 million to 1 billion (ORANGE)0
1 to 10 billion (RED)0
10 to 100 billion (RED)0
100 billion + (RED)0

Detailed Information

Estimated Population Exposed to Earthquake Shaking
Estimated Modified Mercalli IntensityIII-IIIIVVVIVIIVIIIIXX
Est. Population Exposure---*4,593k*297k14k6k2k000
Perceived ShakingNot FeltWeakLightModerateStrongVery StrongSevereViolentExtreme
Potential Structure DamageResistantnonenonenoneV. LightLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. Heavy
VulnerablenonenonenoneLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. HeavyV. Heavy
*Estimated exposure only includes population within calculated shake map area
Population Exposure
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan
Population Exposure Map

Structure Information Summary

Overall, the population in this region resides in structures that are highly vulnerable to earthquake shaking, though some resistant structures exist.

Historical Earthquakes (with MMI)

Date (UTC)Dist (km)MagMax MMI (#)Shaking Deaths
2002-02-17445.3VII (3k)1
1990-11-063786.6IX (5k)22
1999-05-061156.2IX (24)26

Recent earthquakes in this area have caused secondary hazards such as landslides that might have contributed to losses.

Selected Cities Exposedfrom GeoNames Database of Cities with 1,000 or more residents.
MMICityPopulation
IIIBandar-e Bushehr165k
IIIFiruzabad67k
IIIBorazjan86k
IIIAkbarabad98k
IIIKhark8k
IIIShiraz1,250k
IIIKazerun95k
IIIBandar-e Ganaveh53k
IIINurabad64k
IIIRahimah41k
IIIAl Jubayl237k

(k = x1,000)

Historical Events Map
Nearby Events in the EXPO-CAT Earthquake Catalog
#Date/TimeMagLat, Lon, DepthCountryMax MMI (Exposed)DeathsSecondary Effects
ShakingTotal
11973-11-11
07:14 UTC
5.530.54° N, 52.95° E
2km
IRVII (2 k)11
21977-10-19
06:35 UTC
5.527.81° N, 54.89° E
32km
IRVII (290)00
31985-02-02
20:52 UTC
5.428.35° N, 52.97° E
14km
IRVIII (42)11
41985-08-07
15:43 UTC
5.527.86° N, 53.04° E
13km
IRVII (742)00
51986-05-02
03:18 UTC
5.528° N, 53.31° E
15km
IRVII (1 k)00
61986-07-12
07:54 UTC
5.729.91° N, 51.56° E
5km
IRVIII (272)11
71986-12-20
23:47 UTC
5.429.9° N, 51.58° E
11km
IRVII (15 k)00
81988-03-30
02:12 UTC
5.930.85° N, 50.18° E
28km
IRVIII (5)00landslide
91988-08-11
16:00 UTC
5.829.95° N, 51.58° E
15km
IRVIII (564)11
101988-08-11
16:04 UTC
629.9° N, 51.66° E
15km
IRVIII (10 k)11
111988-12-06
13:20 UTC
5.929.89° N, 51.63° E
12km
IRVIII (3 k)00
121989-05-27
20:08 UTC
630.15° N, 50.89° E
26km
IRVIII (1 k)00
131990-11-06
18:45 UTC
6.628.23° N, 55.46° E
10km
IRIX (5 k)2222
141990-11-06
19:30 UTC
5.728.23° N, 55.35° E
40km
IRVIII (106)00
151990-12-16
22:18 UTC
5.729.02° N, 51.31° E
16km
IRVIII (294)00landslide
161991-11-04
01:50 UTC
5.630.69° N, 50.25° E
18km
IRVIII (295)00
171991-11-10
15:19 UTC
530.59° N, 50.27° E
25km
IRVII (101 k)00
181992-03-04
11:57 UTC
5.131.61° N, 50.76° E
25km
IRVII (32 k)66landslide
191992-05-19
12:24 UTC
5.628.28° N, 55.6° E
15km
IRVIII (5)00
201992-09-08
00:38 UTC
5.229.13° N, 52.15° E
27km
IRVII (4 k)11landslide
211993-06-02
22:01 UTC
4.828.94° N, 47.61° E
10km
KWV (2 k)00
221993-06-22
16:32 UTC
5.330.18° N, 50.83° E
13km
IRVII (546)00landslide
231994-03-01
03:49 UTC
629.14° N, 52.64° E
12km
IRVIII (1 k)22landslide
241994-03-30
19:55 UTC
5.428.97° N, 52.81° E
10km
IRVII (132)00
251994-06-20
09:09 UTC
5.929.06° N, 52.67° E
14km
IRVIII (22 k)33landslide
261996-05-24
06:35 UTC
5.227.82° N, 53.56° E
18km
IRVII (579)00
271997-08-24
21:11 UTC
528.83° N, 52.69° E
8km
IRVI (81 k)00
281997-10-03
11:28 UTC
5.327.76° N, 54.7° E
17km
IRVII (465)00
291998-11-13
13:01 UTC
5.427.79° N, 53.64° E
13km
IRVII (7 k)55landslide
301999-05-06
23:00 UTC
6.229.46° N, 51.88° E
20km
IRIX (24)2626
311999-10-31
15:09 UTC
5.229.37° N, 51.85° E
15km
IRVI (30 k)00
322002-02-17
13:03 UTC
5.328.09° N, 51.79° E
16km
IRVII (3 k)11
332003-01-11
17:45 UTC
5.229.62° N, 51.53° E
10km
IRVII (2 k)00
342003-07-10
17:06 UTC
5.728.31° N, 54.17° E
8km
IRVIII (749)11
352003-07-10
17:40 UTC
5.628.26° N, 54.11° E
14km
IRVII (5 k)00
362003-07-12
05:54 UTC
4.228.03° N, 53.97° E
10km
IRVI (9)00

PAGER content is automatically generated, and only considers losses due to structural damage. Limitations of input data, shaking estimates, and loss models may add uncertainty. PAGER results are generally available within 30 minutes of the earthquake’s occurrence. However, information on the extent of shaking will be uncertain in the minutes and hours following an earthquake and typically improves as additional sensor data and reported intensities are acquired and incorporated into models of the earthquake's source. Users of PAGER estimates should account for uncertainty and always seek the most current PAGER release for any earthquake.