PAGER - M 6.4 - SOUTHERN IRAN

Alert level does not include impacts from earthquake-related hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires or liquefaction.

Earthquake Shaking Alert Level: ORANGE

Download Alert PDFWhat's this?Tuesday, April 9th, 2013 at 11:52:50 UTC (16:22:50 local)Location: 28.5° N, 51.6° EDepth: 10kmEvent Id: USB000G2Y5Alert Version: 3Created: 1 week, 1 day after earthquake.
Global Location

Alert Information

Orange alert level for shaking-related fatalities. Significant casualties are likely and the disaster is potentially widespread. Past events with this alert level have required a regional or national level response. Yellow alert level for economic losses. Some damage is possible. Estimated economic losses are less than 1% of GDP of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Estimated FatalitiesFatality Alert Level: ORANGE
ESTIMATED FATALITY ALERT: ORANGE
ESTIMATED FATALITIES (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 (GREEN)1
1 to 9 (YELLOW)
 
8
10 to 99 (YELLOW)
 
24
100 to 999 (ORANGE)
 
35
1 to 10 thousand (RED)
 
23
10 to 100 thousand (RED)
 
7
100 thousand + (RED)1
Estimated Economic LossesEconomic Alert Level: YELLOW
ESTIMATED ECONOMIC ALERT: YELLOW
ESTIMATED VALUE IN USD (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 to 1 million (GREEN)
 
2
1 to 10 million (YELLOW)
 
38
10 to 100 million (YELLOW)
 
53
100 million to 1 billion (ORANGE)
 
7
1 to 10 billion (RED)0
10 to 100 billion (RED)0
100 billion + (RED)0

Detailed Information

Estimated Population Exposed to Earthquake Shaking
Estimated Modified Mercalli IntensityIII-IIIIVVVIVIIVIIIIXX
Est. Population Exposure---*3,167k*7,430k295k64k19k4k00
Perceived ShakingNot FeltWeakLightModerateStrongVery StrongSevereViolentExtreme
Potential Structure DamageResistantnonenonenoneV. LightLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. Heavy
VulnerablenonenonenoneLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. HeavyV. Heavy
*Estimated exposure only includes population within calculated shake map area
Population Exposure
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan
Population Exposure Map

Structure Information Summary

Overall, the population in this region resides in structures that are highly vulnerable to earthquake shaking, though some resistant structures exist. The predominant vulnerable building types are adobe block and unreinforced brick with concrete floor construction.

Historical Earthquakes (with MMI)

Date (UTC)Dist (km)MagMax MMI (#)Shaking Deaths
1988-12-061555.9VIII (3k)0
1999-05-061106.2IX (24)26
1977-04-063946VIII (31k)366

Recent earthquakes in this area have caused secondary hazards such as landslides that might have contributed to losses.

Selected Cities Exposedfrom GeoNames Database of Cities with 1,000 or more residents.
MMICityPopulation
IVBandar-e Bushehr165k
IVBorazjan86k
IVFiruzabad67k
IVShiraz1,250k
IVKhark8k
IVKazerun95k
IVAl Jubayl237k
IVMadinat ash Shamal0
IVYasuj0
IIIAd Dammam769k
IIIManama147k

(k = x1,000)

Historical Events Map
Nearby Events in the EXPO-CAT Earthquake Catalog
#Date/TimeMagLat, Lon, DepthCountryMax MMI (Exposed)DeathsSecondary Effects
ShakingTotal
11973-11-11
07:14 UTC
5.530.54° N, 52.95° E
2km
IRVII (2 k)11
21977-04-06
13:36 UTC
631.96° N, 50.65° E
11km
IRVIII (31 k)366366
31977-10-19
06:35 UTC
5.527.81° N, 54.89° E
32km
IRVII (290)00
41985-02-02
20:52 UTC
5.428.35° N, 52.97° E
14km
IRVIII (42)11
51985-08-07
15:43 UTC
5.527.86° N, 53.04° E
13km
IRVII (742)00
61986-05-02
03:18 UTC
5.528° N, 53.31° E
15km
IRVII (1 k)00
71986-07-12
07:54 UTC
5.729.91° N, 51.56° E
5km
IRVIII (272)11
81986-12-20
23:47 UTC
5.429.9° N, 51.58° E
11km
IRVII (15 k)00
91988-03-30
02:12 UTC
5.930.85° N, 50.18° E
28km
IRVIII (5)00landslide
101988-08-11
16:00 UTC
5.829.95° N, 51.58° E
15km
IRVIII (564)11
111988-08-11
16:04 UTC
629.9° N, 51.66° E
15km
IRVIII (10 k)11
121988-12-06
13:20 UTC
5.929.89° N, 51.63° E
12km
IRVIII (3 k)00
131989-05-27
20:08 UTC
630.15° N, 50.89° E
26km
IRVIII (1 k)00
141990-11-06
18:45 UTC
6.628.23° N, 55.46° E
10km
IRIX (5 k)2222
151990-11-06
19:30 UTC
5.728.23° N, 55.35° E
40km
IRVIII (106)00
161990-12-16
22:18 UTC
5.729.02° N, 51.31° E
16km
IRVIII (294)00landslide
171991-11-04
01:50 UTC
5.630.69° N, 50.25° E
18km
IRVIII (295)00
181991-11-10
15:19 UTC
530.59° N, 50.27° E
25km
IRVII (101 k)00
191992-03-04
11:57 UTC
5.131.61° N, 50.76° E
25km
IRVII (32 k)66landslide
201992-05-19
12:24 UTC
5.628.28° N, 55.6° E
15km
IRVIII (5)00
211992-09-08
00:38 UTC
5.229.13° N, 52.15° E
27km
IRVII (4 k)11landslide
221993-06-02
22:01 UTC
4.828.94° N, 47.61° E
10km
KWV (2 k)00
231993-06-22
16:32 UTC
5.330.18° N, 50.83° E
13km
IRVII (546)00landslide
241994-03-01
03:49 UTC
629.14° N, 52.64° E
12km
IRVIII (1 k)22landslide
251994-03-30
19:55 UTC
5.428.97° N, 52.81° E
10km
IRVII (132)00
261994-06-20
09:09 UTC
5.929.06° N, 52.67° E
14km
IRVIII (22 k)33landslide
271996-05-24
06:35 UTC
5.227.82° N, 53.56° E
18km
IRVII (579)00
281997-08-24
21:11 UTC
528.83° N, 52.69° E
8km
IRVI (81 k)00
291997-10-03
11:28 UTC
5.327.76° N, 54.7° E
17km
IRVII (465)00
301998-11-13
13:01 UTC
5.427.79° N, 53.64° E
13km
IRVII (7 k)55landslide
311999-05-06
23:00 UTC
6.229.46° N, 51.88° E
20km
IRIX (24)2626
321999-10-31
15:09 UTC
5.229.37° N, 51.85° E
15km
IRVI (30 k)00
332002-02-17
13:03 UTC
5.328.09° N, 51.79° E
16km
IRVII (3 k)11
342003-01-11
17:45 UTC
5.229.62° N, 51.53° E
10km
IRVII (2 k)00
352003-07-10
17:06 UTC
5.728.31° N, 54.17° E
8km
IRVIII (749)11
362003-07-10
17:40 UTC
5.628.26° N, 54.11° E
14km
IRVII (5 k)00
372003-07-12
05:54 UTC
4.228.03° N, 53.97° E
10km
IRVI (9)00
MMICityPopulation
IVBandar-e Bushehr165k
IVBorazjan86k
IVFiruzabad67k
IVShiraz1,250k
IVKhark8k
IVKazerun95k
IVBandar-e Ganaveh53k
IVNurabad64k
IVAkbarabad98k
IVFasa98k
IVDo Gonbadan95k
IVKhani Yek2k
IVRahimah41k
IVAl Jubayl237k
IVUmm as Sahik12k
IVTarut85k
IVSafwa46k
IVGerash25k
IVBehbahan79k
IVMadinat ash Shamal0
IVAr Ru'ays3k
IVAt Tubi8k
IVAl Awjam11k
IVDehdasht70k
IVFuwayrit1k
IVNeyriz46k
IVDhahran100k
IVAl Khubar166k
IVAs Saffaniyah7k
IVDar Kulayb65k
IVAghajari22k
IVYasuj0
IVOmidiyeh47k
IVKish21k
IIIRamshir19k
IIIAbqaiq29k
IIIShadegan37k
IIIDarab63k
IIIMadinat Hamad53k
IIIAl Qatif98k
IIISayhat67k
IIIAd Dammam769k
IIIAl Muharraq97k
IIISitrah38k
IIIAr Rifa'80k
IIIMadinat `Isa38k
IIIJidd Hafs32k
IIIManama147k
IIIAl Hadd13k

(k = x1,000)


PAGER content is automatically generated, and only considers losses due to structural damage. Limitations of input data, shaking estimates, and loss models may add uncertainty. PAGER results are generally available within 30 minutes of the earthquake’s occurrence. However, information on the extent of shaking will be uncertain in the minutes and hours following an earthquake and typically improves as additional sensor data and reported intensities are acquired and incorporated into models of the earthquake's source. Users of PAGER estimates should account for uncertainty and always seek the most current PAGER release for any earthquake.