PAGER - M 6.5 - NEW BRITAIN REGION, PAPUA NEW GUINEA

Alert level does not include impacts from earthquake-related hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires or liquefaction.

Earthquake Shaking Alert Level: GREEN

Download Alert PDF What's this?Sunday, March 10th, 2013 at 22:51:51 UTC (08:51:51 local)Location: 6.7° S, 148.2° EDepth: 28kmEvent Id: USB000FIJ4Alert Version: 6Created: 1 week, 0 days after earthquake.

Alert Information

Green alert for shaking-related fatalities and economic losses. There is a low likelihood of casualties and damage.

Estimated Fatalities

ESTIMATED FATALITY ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITIES (LEVEL)	Probability (%)
0 (GREEN)	65
1 to 9 (YELLOW)	30
10 to 99 (YELLOW)	4
100 to 999 (ORANGE)	0
1 to 10 thousand (RED)	0
10 to 100 thousand (RED)	0
100 thousand + (RED)	0

Estimated Economic Losses

ESTIMATED ECONOMIC ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED VALUE IN USD (LEVEL)	Probability (%)
0 to 1 million (GREEN)	68
1 to 10 million (YELLOW)	30
10 to 100 million (YELLOW)	2
100 million to 1 billion (ORANGE)	0
1 to 10 billion (RED)	0
10 to 100 billion (RED)	0
100 billion + (RED)	0

Estimated Population Exposed to Earthquake Shaking
Estimated Modified Mercalli Intensity		I	II-III	IV	V	VI	VII	VIII	IX	X
Est. Population Exposure		---*	1,437k*	939k	70k	17k	0	0	0	0
Perceived Shaking		Not Felt	Weak	Light	Moderate	Strong	Very Strong	Severe	Violent	Extreme
Potential Structure Damage	Resistant	none	none	none	V. Light	Light	Moderate	Moderate/Heavy	Heavy	V. Heavy
Potential Structure Damage	Vulnerable	none	none	none	Light	Moderate	Moderate/Heavy	Heavy	V. Heavy	V. Heavy

*Estimated exposure only includes population within calculated shake map area

Population Exposure
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan

Structure Information Summary

Overall, the population in this region resides in structures that are vulnerable to earthquake shaking, though some resistant structures exist.

Historical Earthquakes (with MMI)

Date (UTC)	Dist (km)	Mag	Max MMI (#)	Shaking Deaths
1977-08-12	293	5.3	VI (3k)	0
2005-06-04	150	6.1	VII (27k)	1
1993-10-16	224	6.3	VII (75k)	3

Recent earthquakes in this area have caused secondary hazards such as landslides and liquefaction that might have contributed to losses.

Selected Cities Exposedfrom GeoNames Database of Cities with 1,000 or more residents.

MMI	City	Population
VI	Finschhafen	1k
IV	Lae	76k
IV	Kandrian	1k
IV	Bulolo	16k
IV	Wau	15k
IV	Popondetta	28k
III	Madang	27k
III	Kimbe	19k
III	Port Moresby	284k
III	Goroka	19k
III	Kerema	6k

(k = x1,000)

Nearby Events in the EXPO-CAT Earthquake Catalog
#	Date/Time	Mag	Lat, Lon, Depth	Country	Max MMI (Exposed)	Deaths		Secondary Effects
#	Date/Time	Mag	Lat, Lon, Depth	Country	Max MMI (Exposed)	Shaking	Total	Secondary Effects
1	1973-01-18 09:28 UTC	6.8	6.87° S, 150.03° E 39km	PG	VII (4 k)	0	0
2	1975-02-07 04:51 UTC	6.6	7.23° S, 149.57° E 16km	PG	V (18 k)	0	0
3	1975-11-30 03:51 UTC	5.7	4.97° S, 145.17° E 40km	PG	VII (3 k)	0	0
4	1976-02-06 16:53 UTC	6	5.98° S, 146.34° E 43km	PG	VII (3 k)	0	0
5	1976-05-14 13:26 UTC	5.6	6.36° S, 150.39° E 44km	PG	VII (6)	0	0
6	1976-09-16 11:26 UTC	5.9	9.2° S, 148.17° E 28km	PG	VII (5 k)	0	0
7	1977-08-12 21:45 UTC	5.3	9.28° S, 148.28° E 38km	PG	VI (3 k)	0	0
8	1978-04-11 02:41 UTC	6	9.43° S, 148.96° E 31km	PG	VII (9 k)	0	0
9	1978-07-24 11:05 UTC	5.9	6.04° S, 150.98° E 12km	PG	VIII (533)	0	0
10	1979-11-01 05:45 UTC	5.8	5.89° S, 150.21° E 42km	PG	VII (1)	0	0
11	1980-02-27 21:17 UTC	6.8	5.96° S, 150.19° E 50km	PG	VIII (4)	0	0
12	1980-02-27 21:21 UTC	5.9	6.02° S, 150.11° E 44km	PG	VII (655)	0	0
13	1980-02-27 21:35 UTC	6.4	6.12° S, 150.24° E 45km	PG	VII (9 k)	0	0
14	1980-05-24 10:08 UTC	5.8	6.11° S, 150.33° E 15km	PG	VIII (46)	0	0
15	1980-06-25 18:48 UTC	5.5	6.59° S, 146.91° E 18km	PG	VII (980)	0	0
16	1980-12-14 11:05 UTC	5.7	6.07° S, 149.9° E 34km	PG	VII (2 k)	0	0
17	1980-12-24 16:44 UTC	5.7	5.69° S, 145.56° E 10km	PG	VIII (30)	0	0
18	1981-02-24 16:17 UTC	6.6	6.02° S, 148.74° E 66km	PG	VII (10 k)	0	0
19	1981-10-04 00:01 UTC	6.3	4.53° S, 146.24° E 10km	PG	VII (247)	0	0
20	1982-09-14 18:17 UTC	6.4	7.14° S, 147.96° E 9km	PG	VI (952)	0	0
21	1983-11-29 22:18 UTC	5.7	6.2° S, 146.59° E 32km	PG	VII (2 k)	0	0
22	1984-03-02 05:48 UTC	6	4.29° S, 145.79° E 11km	PG	VI (387)	0	0
23	1984-03-27 20:06 UTC	6.4	4.59° S, 145.85° E 23km	PG	IX (931)	0	0
24	1984-03-28 06:44 UTC	5.7	4.45° S, 145.76° E 33km	PG	VII (2 k)	0	0
25	1984-04-01 08:54 UTC	5.5	4.61° S, 145.66° E 26km	PG	VII (7 k)	0	0
26	1985-05-10 15:35 UTC	7.2	5.6° S, 151.06° E 47km	PG	VII (28 k)	1	1	landslide
27	1985-05-10 18:14 UTC	5.8	5.59° S, 150.72° E 26km	PG	VII (13 k)	0	0
28	1985-07-22 09:26 UTC	6.8	6.23° S, 148.82° E 29km	PG	VIII (6 k)	0	0
29	1985-09-09 09:33 UTC	5.6	6.49° S, 149.87° E 40km	PG	VI (6 k)	0	0
30	1985-09-10 04:07 UTC	6.4	6.34° S, 149.79° E 29km	PG	VIII (3 k)	0	0
31	1986-02-12 09:01 UTC	5.8	6.52° S, 147.35° E 43km	PG	VII (59)	0	0
32	1986-02-12 11:27 UTC	5.7	6.52° S, 147.41° E 40km	PG	VI (27 k)	0	0
33	1987-02-07 11:57 UTC	6.2	5.82° S, 147.64° E 18km	PG	VI (14 k)	0	0
34	1987-02-08 18:33 UTC	7.3	6.02° S, 147.67° E 42km	PG	VII (47 k)	0	3	landslide, liquefaction, tsunami
35	1987-02-08 18:42 UTC	5.5	6.03° S, 147.85° E 35km	PG	VII (452)	0	0
36	1987-02-09 18:17 UTC	6	5.96° S, 147.89° E 42km	PG	VII (2 k)	0	0
37	1987-03-16 12:21 UTC	5.5	6.46° S, 147.67° E 37km	PG	VI (25 k)	0	0
38	1987-03-16 12:33 UTC	5.6	6.4° S, 147.69° E 40km	PG	VI (28 k)	0	0
39	1987-03-16 15:49 UTC	6	6.42° S, 147.65° E 38km	PG	VII (17 k)	0	0
40	1987-09-17 04:47 UTC	6.1	4.07° S, 145.73° E 6km	PG	V (69 k)	0	0
41	1987-10-16 20:48 UTC	7.3	6.22° S, 149.12° E 30km	PG	VIII (951)	0	0
42	1987-12-30 21:16 UTC	5.8	6.47° S, 148.9° E 38km	PG	VI (4 k)	0	0
43	1988-05-19 03:10 UTC	5.7	9.55° S, 149.04° E 3km	PG	VIII (13)	0	0
44	1988-07-05 20:32 UTC	6.7	5.93° S, 148.82° E 53km	PG	VIII (2 k)	0	0
45	1988-09-06 00:42 UTC	4.3	6.06° S, 146.23° E 0km	PG	VI (18)	0	74	landslide
46	1988-11-18 19:38 UTC	6.5	6.07° S, 149.8° E 61km	PG	VII (12 k)	0	0
47	1989-03-01 04:26 UTC	5.3	5.08° S, 149.81° E 44km	PG	VI (1)	0	0
48	1989-05-28 15:19 UTC	5.8	6.52° S, 147.78° E 44km	PG	VII (5 k)	0	0
49	1990-02-02 18:53 UTC	5.8	5.26° S, 151.18° E 37km	PG	VII (9 k)	0	0
50	1990-02-12 12:25 UTC	5.7	5.22° S, 151.46° E 21km	PG	VII (3 k)	0	0
51	1990-02-15 22:08 UTC	5.5	5.19° S, 151.44° E 18km	PG	VII (299)	0	0
52	1990-11-22 20:49 UTC	6.2	5.58° S, 151.05° E 28km	PG	VIII (9)	0	0
53	1990-11-23 00:56 UTC	5.7	4.91° S, 145.86° E 17km	PG	VII (4 k)	0	0
54	1991-09-28 20:26 UTC	6.5	5.77° S, 151.05° E 28km	PG	VIII (230)	0	0
55	1992-02-14 12:02 UTC	5.6	4.33° S, 146.35° E 10km	PG	V (12 k)	0	0
56	1992-02-27 20:05 UTC	6.6	6.17° S, 147.66° E 38km	PG	VII (49 k)	0	0
57	1992-04-03 03:19 UTC	6.5	5.72° S, 151.24° E 33km	PG	VIII (765)	0	0
58	1992-05-15 07:05 UTC	7.2	6.06° S, 147.62° E 66km	PG	VIII (11 k)	0	0
59	1992-12-18 03:14 UTC	6.1	6.48° S, 147.22° E 29km	PG	VII (125 k)	0	0
60	1993-02-17 17:46 UTC	5.6	6.01° S, 150.65° E 42km	PG	VI (5 k)	0	0
61	1993-04-27 06:08 UTC	5.5	6.13° S, 147.84° E 38km	PG	VI (15 k)	0	0
62	1993-10-13 02:06 UTC	6.9	5.85° S, 146.14° E 21km	PG	VIII (30 k)	0	60	landslide
63	1993-10-13 03:07 UTC	6.5	5.91° S, 146.27° E 35km	PG	VII (119 k)	0	0
64	1993-10-13 05:50 UTC	6	6.01° S, 146.2° E 32km	PG	VII (63 k)	0	0
65	1993-10-13 22:46 UTC	5.5	5.99° S, 146.08° E 34km	PG	VII (13 k)	0	0
66	1993-10-15 00:11 UTC	5.7	6.03° S, 146.26° E 15km	PG	VIII (14)	0	0
67	1993-10-16 03:05 UTC	6.3	5.88° S, 146.28° E 26km	PG	VII (75 k)	3	3
68	1993-10-25 10:07 UTC	5.9	5.89° S, 146.04° E 22km	PG	VIII (121)	0	0
69	1993-10-25 10:27 UTC	6.7	5.9° S, 146.09° E 22km	PG	IX (480)	0	0
70	1993-10-25 11:59 UTC	6.1	5.92° S, 146.08° E 28km	PG	VII (55 k)	0	0
71	1993-11-03 18:37 UTC	5.5	5.8° S, 146.04° E 24km	PG	VII (5 k)	0	0
72	1994-03-11 10:04 UTC	5.5	6.14° S, 150.75° E 20km	PG	VIII (2)	0	0
73	1995-04-25 06:15 UTC	6	5.9° S, 147.42° E 23km	PG	VIII (1 k)	0	0
74	1995-09-23 02:34 UTC	6	5.94° S, 146.71° E 26km	PG	VII (13 k)	0	0
75	1996-03-02 01:50 UTC	6.1	5.89° S, 146.66° E 32km	PG	VII (23 k)	0	0
76	1996-03-17 17:58 UTC	6.1	6.15° S, 147.77° E 43km	PG	VII (20 k)	0	0
77	1996-03-18 10:30 UTC	5.8	6.16° S, 147.79° E 33km	PG	VII (16 k)	0	0
78	1996-09-21 01:23 UTC	5.8	6.19° S, 146.29° E 6km	PG	VIII (189)	0	0
79	1997-06-12 12:07 UTC	6.1	5.97° S, 147.06° E 32km	PG	VII (17 k)	0	0
80	1997-10-03 00:15 UTC	5.5	6.21° S, 148.7° E 29km	PG	VI (8 k)	0	0
81	1997-12-15 10:28 UTC	5.9	6.07° S, 149.94° E 42km	PG	VII (4 k)	0	0
82	1998-01-16 10:23 UTC	5.8	5.87° S, 146.51° E 29km	PG	VII (20 k)	0	0
83	1998-05-27 15:27 UTC	6	5.91° S, 149.79° E 27km	PG	VII (9 k)	0	0
84	1998-10-14 02:54 UTC	5.7	5.9° S, 151.07° E 34km	PG	VII (3 k)	0	0
85	1999-04-06 08:22 UTC	6.3	6.52° S, 147.1° E 24km	PG	IX (14)	0	0
86	1999-04-06 11:26 UTC	5.4	6.4° S, 147° E 28km	PG	VII (437)	0	0
87	1999-04-11 16:50 UTC	6	6.01° S, 148.54° E 45km	PG	VII (1 k)	0	0
88	1999-04-15 13:54 UTC	5.8	6.35° S, 147.13° E 26km	PG	VII (3 k)	0	0
89	1999-06-29 05:50 UTC	5.6	9.45° S, 147.98° E 13km	PG	VII (153)	0	0
90	1999-11-17 03:27 UTC	6.9	6.01° S, 148.86° E 58km	PG	VIII (8 k)	0	0
91	1999-11-19 13:56 UTC	7	6.36° S, 148.81° E 46km	PG	VIII (7 k)	0	0
92	1999-12-15 04:41 UTC	6.3	5.81° S, 151.05° E 31km	PG	VIII (606)	0	0
93	2000-01-20 05:54 UTC	5.4	6.21° S, 147.56° E 32km	PG	VII (853)	0	0
94	2000-02-06 11:33 UTC	6.6	5.89° S, 150.99° E 39km	PG	VIII (809)	0	0
95	2000-07-16 03:57 UTC	6.6	7.77° S, 150.96° E 8km	PG	V (21 k)	0	0
96	2000-12-21 01:01 UTC	6.3	5.8° S, 151.27° E 44km	PG	VII (7 k)	0	0
97	2001-06-05 09:00 UTC	6.4	6.86° S, 146.43° E 9km	PG	IX (487)	0	0	landslide
98	2001-06-05 09:20 UTC	5.5	6.81° S, 146.61° E 37km	PG	VII (1)	0	0
99	2001-06-05 15:13 UTC	6	6.79° S, 146.46° E 8km	PG	VIII (1 k)	0	0
100	2001-10-31 09:10 UTC	6.9	5.96° S, 150.24° E 34km	PG	VIII (13 k)	0	0
101	2002-01-13 14:10 UTC	6.3	5.66° S, 151.12° E 34km	PG	VII (22 k)	0	0
102	2002-01-15 09:01 UTC	6.2	5.59° S, 151.19° E 41km	PG	VII (13 k)	0	0
103	2002-01-23 17:14 UTC	5.5	4.76° S, 149.2° E 25km	PG	VII (2 k)	0	0
104	2002-01-30 12:58 UTC	6	6.25° S, 150.94° E 32km	PG	VII (2 k)	0	0
105	2002-02-05 13:27 UTC	6.6	5.4° S, 151.38° E 39km	PG	VIII (6)	0	0
106	2002-02-28 01:50 UTC	6.2	5.74° S, 151.4° E 40km	PG	VII (5 k)	0	0
107	2002-04-01 06:14 UTC	5.3	6.23° S, 147.55° E 81km	PG	V (14 k)	0	36	landslide
108	2002-07-03 23:00 UTC	6.1	5.06° S, 147.52° E 18km	PG	VI (1 k)	0	0
109	2002-07-08 11:09 UTC	5.6	5.07° S, 147.45° E 36km	PG	VI (2 k)	0	0
110	2003-02-10 04:49 UTC	6.2	6.01° S, 149.87° E 35km	PG	VII (15 k)	0	0
111	2003-03-31 01:06 UTC	6.2	6.19° S, 151.5° E 12km	PG	VI (200)	0	0
112	2003-10-22 11:45 UTC	6.3	6.08° S, 147.78° E 39km	PG	VII (29 k)	0	0
113	2003-11-25 20:19 UTC	6.5	5.64° S, 151.01° E 35km	PG	VIII (22)	0	0
114	2004-01-09 22:35 UTC	6.3	6.03° S, 149.4° E 31km	PG	VIII (3 k)	0	0
115	2004-11-16 10:06 UTC	6.1	5.61° S, 151.51° E 32km	PG	VII (6 k)	0	0
116	2005-02-02 06:28 UTC	5.5	7.47° S, 145.12° E 29km	PG	VII (6 k)	0	0
117	2005-02-17 06:12 UTC	5.5	5.87° S, 150.45° E 42km	PG	VI (10 k)	0	0
118	2005-02-23 11:33 UTC	6	6.25° S, 150.71° E 8km	PG	VIII (47)	0	0
119	2005-02-23 12:12 UTC	5.6	6.33° S, 150.71° E 39km	PG	VI (6 k)	0	0
120	2005-06-04 14:50 UTC	6.1	6.34° S, 146.83° E 38km	PG	VII (27 k)	1	1
121	2005-11-05 10:48 UTC	6.4	3.14° S, 148.16° E 19km	PG	V (3 k)	0	0
122	2006-02-06 03:04 UTC	5.6	6.05° S, 150.01° E 34km	PG	VII (1 k)	0	0
123	2006-03-17 13:48 UTC	5.6	4.82° S, 149.74° E 22km	PG	VI (36)	0	0
124	2006-03-20 14:17 UTC	5.5	5.81° S, 151.2° E 25km	PG	VII (3 k)	0	0
125	2006-05-28 03:12 UTC	6.5	5.71° S, 151.2° E 34km	PG	VIII (287)	0	0
126	2006-07-19 11:48 UTC	6.4	5.51° S, 150.74° E 28km	PG	VIII (7 k)	0	0
127	2006-07-19 18:08 UTC	5.9	5.34° S, 150.75° E 10km	PG	VII (240)	0	0
128	2006-08-15 05:43 UTC	5.7	9.27° S, 150.48° E 10km	PG	VII (807)	0	0
129	2006-09-15 10:13 UTC	5.8	6.05° S, 150.48° E 28km	PG	VII (9 k)	0	0
130	2006-10-17 01:25 UTC	6.7	5.89° S, 151.03° E 32km	PG	VIII (2 k)	0	0
131	2006-11-07 17:38 UTC	6.6	6.48° S, 151.26° E 11km	PG	VI (323)	0	0
132	2006-11-12 18:21 UTC	6.2	6.23° S, 151.07° E 12km	PG	VII (18)	0	0
133	2006-11-13 16:12 UTC	6.2	6.37° S, 151.27° E 11km	PG	V (35 k)	0	0
134	2006-11-24 12:31 UTC	5.9	6.02° S, 150.53° E 24km	PG	VIII (27)	0	0
135	2007-02-12 02:08 UTC	5.9	5.02° S, 145.01° E 42km	PG	VII (25 k)	0	0
136	2007-05-12 11:31 UTC	5.9	5.49° S, 146.14° E 44km	PG	VII (3 k)	0	0
137	2007-06-14 17:41 UTC	5.8	5.65° S, 151.56° E 41km	PG	VII (3 k)	0	0

PAGER content is automatically generated, and only considers losses due to structural damage. Limitations of input data, shaking estimates, and loss models may add uncertainty. PAGER results are generally available within 30 minutes of the earthquake’s occurrence. However, information on the extent of shaking will be uncertain in the minutes and hours following an earthquake and typically improves as additional sensor data and reported intensities are acquired and incorporated into models of the earthquake's source. Users of PAGER estimates should account for uncertainty and always seek the most current PAGER release for any earthquake.