PAGER - M 5.3 - EASTERN IRAN

Alert level does not include impacts from earthquake-related hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires or liquefaction.

Earthquake Shaking Alert Level: GREEN

Download Alert PDFWhat's this?Monday, January 21st, 2013 at 19:49:00 UTC (23:19:00 local)Location: 30.4° N, 57.5° EDepth: 17kmEvent Id: USB000ESBMAlert Version: 4Created: 4 weeks, 3 days after earthquake.
Global Location

Alert Information

Green alert for shaking-related fatalities and economic losses. There is a low likelihood of casualties and damage.
Estimated FatalitiesFatality Alert Level: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITY ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITIES (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 (GREEN)
 
99
1 to 9 (YELLOW)1
10 to 99 (YELLOW)0
100 to 999 (ORANGE)0
1 to 10 thousand (RED)0
10 to 100 thousand (RED)0
100 thousand + (RED)0
Estimated Economic LossesEconomic Alert Level: GREEN
ESTIMATED ECONOMIC ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED VALUE IN USD (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 to 1 million (GREEN)
 
99
1 to 10 million (YELLOW)1
10 to 100 million (YELLOW)0
100 million to 1 billion (ORANGE)0
1 to 10 billion (RED)0
10 to 100 billion (RED)0
100 billion + (RED)0

Detailed Information

Estimated Population Exposed to Earthquake Shaking
Estimated Modified Mercalli IntensityIII-IIIIVVVIVIIVIIIIXX
Est. Population Exposure---*1,689k*745k01k0000
Perceived ShakingNot FeltWeakLightModerateStrongVery StrongSevereViolentExtreme
Potential Structure DamageResistantnonenonenoneV. LightLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. Heavy
VulnerablenonenonenoneLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. HeavyV. Heavy
*Estimated exposure only includes population within calculated shake map area
Population Exposure
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan
Population Exposure Map

Structure Information Summary

Overall, the population in this region resides in structures that are highly vulnerable to earthquake shaking, though some resistant structures exist.

Historical Earthquakes (with MMI)

Date (UTC)Dist (km)MagMax MMI (#)Shaking Deaths
1995-01-243574.9VI (183)0
1977-12-103105.6VII (182)3
2003-12-261746.6IX (70k)26271

Recent earthquakes in this area have caused secondary hazards such as landslides that might have contributed to losses.

Cities Exposedfrom GeoNames Database of Cities with 1,000 or more residents.
MMICityPopulation
IVKerman578k
IIIBardsir37k
IIIZarand59k
IIIRavar40k
IIIRafsanjan148k
IIIBam99k
IIIKuh Sefid3k
IIISirjan208k

(k = x1,000)

Historical Events Map
Nearby Events in the EXPO-CAT Earthquake Catalog
#Date/TimeMagLat, Lon, DepthCountryMax MMI (Exposed)DeathsSecondary Effects
ShakingTotal
11975-03-07
07:04 UTC
6.127.48° N, 56.23° E
21km
IRVIII (558)77
21977-01-05
05:44 UTC
5.127.44° N, 56.22° E
20km
IRVI (4 k)00
31977-03-21
21:18 UTC
6.727.6° N, 56.36° E
32km
IRVIII (527)167167
41977-03-21
22:42 UTC
6.127.61° N, 56.47° E
27km
IRVIII (356)00
51977-03-22
11:57 UTC
5.927.6° N, 56.42° E
16km
IRVIII (107)00
61977-03-23
23:51 UTC
5.527.59° N, 56.56° E
9km
IRVII (149)00
71977-04-01
13:36 UTC
5.927.56° N, 56.29° E
5km
IRVIII (137)00
81977-09-17
05:25 UTC
5.630.88° N, 56.63° E
33km
IRVII (65 k)00
91977-10-19
06:35 UTC
5.527.81° N, 54.89° E
32km
IRVII (290)00
101977-12-10
05:46 UTC
5.627.69° N, 56.58° E
14km
IRVII (182)33
111977-12-19
23:34 UTC
5.930.91° N, 56.41° E
14km
IRVII (35 k)665665
121978-09-16
15:35 UTC
7.433.24° N, 57.38° E
3km
IRIX (29 k)1822018220
131980-01-12
15:31 UTC
633.55° N, 57.23° E
9km
IRVIII (3)00
141980-11-28
21:15 UTC
5.427.61° N, 56.53° E
8km
IRVII (86)00
151981-06-11
07:24 UTC
6.629.86° N, 57.68° E
15km
IRIX (2 k)30003000
161981-07-28
17:22 UTC
7.229.99° N, 57.77° E
14km
IRIX (3 k)15001500
171982-12-19
19:40 UTC
5.930.51° N, 57.51° E
24km
IRVIII (2)00
181983-02-07
15:06 UTC
5.926.87° N, 57.57° E
23km
IRVIII (225)00
191983-07-12
11:34 UTC
627.61° N, 56.4° E
20km
IRVIII (304)00
201984-08-06
11:14 UTC
5.430.8° N, 57.17° E
5km
IRVII (1)00
211987-04-29
01:45 UTC
5.727.42° N, 56.11° E
9km
IRVII (2 k)00
221987-12-18
16:24 UTC
5.828.15° N, 56.66° E
21km
IRVIII (8)00
231989-11-20
04:19 UTC
5.929.9° N, 57.72° E
19km
IRVIII (2 k)33
241990-11-06
18:45 UTC
6.628.23° N, 55.46° E
10km
IRIX (5 k)2222
251990-11-06
19:30 UTC
5.728.23° N, 55.35° E
40km
IRVIII (106)00
261992-05-19
12:24 UTC
5.628.28° N, 55.6° E
15km
IRVIII (5)00
271993-01-27
10:27 UTC
5.132.08° N, 60.07° E
19km
IRVI (221)00
281994-02-23
08:02 UTC
6.130.79° N, 60.53° E
12km
IRVII (508)66
291994-02-23
11:54 UTC
5.530.81° N, 60.54° E
9km
IRVI (2 k)00
301994-02-24
00:11 UTC
6.330.79° N, 60.51° E
10km
IRVIII (45)00
311994-02-26
02:31 UTC
630.8° N, 60.54° E
7km
IRVII (453)00
321994-02-28
11:13 UTC
5.630.91° N, 60.62° E
7km
IRVIII (2)00
331995-01-24
04:14 UTC
4.927.57° N, 55.68° E
15km
IRVI (183)00
341996-02-26
08:08 UTC
5.528.27° N, 57.03° E
30km
IRVII (4 k)00
351997-04-19
05:53 UTC
5.527.95° N, 56.86° E
23km
IRVII (3 k)00
361997-06-20
12:57 UTC
5.532.29° N, 59.97° E
25km
IRVII (4 k)00
371997-10-03
11:28 UTC
5.327.76° N, 54.7° E
17km
IRVII (465)00
381998-03-14
19:40 UTC
6.630.13° N, 57.58° E
18km
IRIX (3 k)55
391998-04-10
15:00 UTC
5.732.43° N, 60.06° E
35km
IRVIII (65)1212
401999-03-04
05:38 UTC
6.628.32° N, 57.21° E
23km
IRVIII (15 k)11
411999-03-04
05:47 UTC
5.628.3° N, 57.11° E
31km
IRVII (8 k)00
422001-10-08
01:17 UTC
4.932.92° N, 60.27° E
15km
IRVI (3 k)00
432003-07-10
17:06 UTC
5.728.31° N, 54.17° E
8km
IRVIII (749)11
442003-08-21
04:02 UTC
5.929.01° N, 59.74° E
11km
IRVIII (16)00
452003-12-26
01:56 UTC
6.628.95° N, 58.26° E
14km
IRIX (70 k)2627126271landslide
462005-02-22
02:25 UTC
6.430.71° N, 56.77° E
7km
IRIX (156)612612
472006-02-28
07:31 UTC
628.13° N, 56.82° E
18km
IRVIII (165)00
482006-03-25
07:28 UTC
5.927.56° N, 55.63° E
18km
IRVIII (63)11
492006-03-25
09:55 UTC
5.527.54° N, 55.78° E
10km
IRVII (46)00
502006-05-07
06:20 UTC
530.79° N, 56.7° E
14km
IRVI (59 k)00
512007-08-25
04:24 UTC
528.15° N, 56.65° E
10km
IRVI (836)00

PAGER content is automatically generated, and only considers losses due to structural damage. Limitations of input data, shaking estimates, and loss models may add uncertainty. PAGER results are generally available within 30 minutes of the earthquake’s occurrence. However, information on the extent of shaking will be uncertain in the minutes and hours following an earthquake and typically improves as additional sensor data and reported intensities are acquired and incorporated into models of the earthquake's source. Users of PAGER estimates should account for uncertainty and always seek the most current PAGER release for any earthquake.