PAGER - M 5.4 - NORTHWESTERN IRAN

Alert level does not include impacts from earthquake-related hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires or liquefaction.

Earthquake Shaking Alert Level: GREEN

Download Alert PDFWhat's this?Wednesday, November 7th, 2012 at 06:26:33 UTC (09:33:00 local)Location: 38.5° N, 46.6° EDepth: 10kmEvent Id: USB000DLQWAlert Version: 5Created: 1 week, 1 day after earthquake.
Global Location

Alert Information

Green alert for shaking-related fatalities and economic losses. There is a low likelihood of casualties and damage.
Estimated FatalitiesFatality Alert Level: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITY ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITIES (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 (GREEN)
 
65
1 to 9 (YELLOW)
 
30
10 to 99 (YELLOW)
 
4
100 to 999 (ORANGE)0
1 to 10 thousand (RED)0
10 to 100 thousand (RED)0
100 thousand + (RED)0
Estimated Economic LossesEconomic Alert Level: GREEN
ESTIMATED ECONOMIC ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED VALUE IN USD (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 to 1 million (GREEN)
 
70
1 to 10 million (YELLOW)
 
29
10 to 100 million (YELLOW)1
100 million to 1 billion (ORANGE)0
1 to 10 billion (RED)0
10 to 100 billion (RED)0
100 billion + (RED)0

Detailed Information

Estimated Population Exposed to Earthquake Shaking
Estimated Modified Mercalli IntensityIII-IIIIVVVIVIIVIIIIXX
Est. Population Exposure---*6,974k*2,304k17k13k0000
Perceived ShakingNot FeltWeakLightModerateStrongVery StrongSevereViolentExtreme
Potential Structure DamageResistantnonenonenoneV. LightLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. Heavy
VulnerablenonenonenoneLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. HeavyV. Heavy
*Estimated exposure only includes population within calculated shake map area
Population Exposure
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan
Population Exposure Map

Structure Information Summary

Overall, the population in this region resides in structures that are highly vulnerable to earthquake shaking, though some resistant structures exist.

Historical Earthquakes (with MMI)

Date (UTC)Dist (km)MagMax MMI (#)Shaking Deaths
1990-07-062965.3VII (364)0
1990-06-213475.7VIII (99)20
1990-06-202807.4IX (83k)45000

Recent earthquakes in this area have caused secondary hazards such as landslides that might have contributed to losses.

Selected Cities Exposedfrom GeoNames Database of Cities with 1,000 or more residents.
MMICityPopulation
IVAhar94k
IVMincivan6k
IVTabriz1,425k
IVMeghri5k
IVIcari7k
IVOrdubad10k
IIIKapan33k
IIIKhvoy175k
IIIArdabil411k
IIIOrumiyeh577k
IIIYeghegnadzor0

(k = x1,000)

Historical Events Map
Nearby Events in the EXPO-CAT Earthquake Catalog
#Date/TimeMagLat, Lon, DepthCountryMax MMI (Exposed)DeathsSecondary Effects
ShakingTotal
11975-01-14
22:07 UTC
5.135.4° N, 44.81° E
15km
IQV (59 k)00
21976-04-02
16:58 UTC
4.639.8° N, 43.69° E
25km
TRVI (7 k)44
31976-11-24
12:22 UTC
739.08° N, 44.03° E
9km
TRIX (33 k)39003900
41977-05-26
01:35 UTC
5.638.9° N, 44.32° E
17km
IRVIII (158)33
51978-05-26
13:43 UTC
5.541.97° N, 46.54° E
25km
RUVII (13 k)00
61978-11-04
15:22 UTC
6.337.67° N, 48.91° E
26km
IRVIII (59 k)00
71980-05-04
18:35 UTC
6.538.05° N, 49.01° E
27km
IRIX (219)00
81980-07-22
05:17 UTC
5.537.32° N, 50.26° E
25km
IRVII (292 k)11
91980-12-18
14:31 UTC
4.835.79° N, 44.39° E
33km
IQIV (2 k)00
101980-12-19
13:42 UTC
4.935.62° N, 44.45° E
20km
IQV (167)00
111981-07-23
00:05 UTC
5.837.09° N, 45.2° E
34km
IRVIII (404)00
121983-07-22
02:41 UTC
5.636.94° N, 49.21° E
20km
IRVIII (63)33
131984-12-03
07:38 UTC
5.737.96° N, 43.1° E
10km
TRVIII (21)00
141986-08-18
09:49 UTC
4.935.87° N, 44.4° E
33km
IQIV (8 k)00
151988-12-07
07:41 UTC
6.740.92° N, 44.12° E
7km
AMIX (50 k)2500025000
161988-12-07
07:45 UTC
5.940.93° N, 44.21° E
16km
AMVIII (1 k)00
171990-06-20
21:00 UTC
7.437.01° N, 49.21° E
18km
IRIX (83 k)4500035000landslide
181990-06-21
09:02 UTC
5.736.63° N, 49.79° E
13km
IRVIII (99)2020
191990-07-06
19:34 UTC
5.336.86° N, 49.3° E
20km
IRVII (364)00landslide
201991-07-24
09:45 UTC
5.536.6° N, 44.06° E
20km
IQVII (2 k)2020
211991-11-28
17:19 UTC
5.636.83° N, 49.58° E
18km
IRVIII (121)11landslide
221993-04-08
09:48 UTC
4.737.9° N, 47.99° E
10km
IRVI (1 k)00
231997-02-28
12:57 UTC
6.138.1° N, 48.04° E
44km
IRVIII (7 k)11001100
241998-07-09
14:19 UTC
5.938.71° N, 48.52° E
30km
AZVII (414 k)11
251999-06-04
09:12 UTC
5.440.77° N, 47.48° E
14km
AZVII (3 k)00
262000-11-15
15:05 UTC
5.538.43° N, 42.97° E
32km
TRVII (1 k)00
272000-11-25
18:09 UTC
6.840.19° N, 49.92° E
50km
AZVIII (81 k)55
282000-11-25
18:10 UTC
6.540.16° N, 49.91° E
53km
AZVII (2,049 k)00
292002-04-25
17:41 UTC
4.841.77° N, 44.86° E
35km
GEVI (269 k)55landslide
302002-06-22
02:58 UTC
6.535.59° N, 49.02° E
11km
IRVIII (4 k)227227
312002-06-26
18:18 UTC
4.635.55° N, 48.87° E
8km
IRVI (5 k)00
322004-07-01
22:30 UTC
5.139.74° N, 43.91° E
27km
TRVII (755)1818
332004-07-30
07:14 UTC
4.839.69° N, 43.94° E
20km
TRVI (2 k)11
342005-01-25
16:44 UTC
5.937.65° N, 43.68° E
38km
TRVII (25 k)22
352007-01-21
07:38 UTC
5.239.59° N, 42.86° E
3km
TRVII (109)00
MMICityPopulation
IVAhar94k
IVMincivan6k
IVTabriz1,425k
IVMeghri5k
IVIcari7k
IVOrdubad10k
IIIMarand124k
IIIAgarak5k
IIICulfa11k
IIIKapan33k
IIIAzar Shahr37k
IIIQubadli7k
III`Ajab Shir30k
IIIDzorastan1k
IIICabrayil8k
IIIBonab80k
IIIShinuhayr2k
IIIKhndzoresk2k
IIIGoris20k
IIIQareh Zia' od Din32k
IIIKhvoy175k
IIIHashtrud17k
IIIVerishen2k
IIITegh2k
IIIArdabil411k
IIIBrrun1k
IIIHats'avan15k
IIIHadrut3k
IIIXocavand5k
IIIHoradiz3k
IIIBrrnakot'2k
IIIOrconikidze2k
IIIXocali6k
IIINaxcivan65k
IIISalmas82k
IIIShaghat1k
IIIAngeghakot'2k
IIISahbuz3k
IIIQirmizi Bazar1k
IIIOrumiyeh577k
IIIAgdam39k
IIIParsabad102k
IIIMiandoab133k
IIISusa19k
IIIGetap'2k
IIIYardimli4k
IIICalilabad36k
IIIGoytapa13k
IIIHerowabad51k
IIIZarrit'ap'1k
IIIImisli31k
IIIBilasuvar18k
IIINaqadeh74k
IIIAsgaran2k
IIIVayk'5k
IIISurenavan2k
IIIJermuk5k
IIIMalishka4k
IIITel'mankend17k
IIIAgarakadzor1k
IIIYeghegnadzor0
IIIVernashen1k
IIIGladzor2k
IIIArarat29k
IIIYeghegnavan1k
IIINoyakert2k
IIIAvshar4k
IIIVosketap'4k
IIIAygavan4k
IIIAreni2k
IIISisavan2k
IIIRrind1k
IIIAghavnadzor2k
IIIAralek2k
IIILerik7k
IIIShatin2k
IIISabirabad28k
IIIZangakatun1k
IIISadarak2k
IIIOshnaviyeh51k
IIIArmash2k
IIIArtabuynk'1k
IIIYenikend2k
IIIVedi12k

(k = x1,000)


PAGER content is automatically generated, and only considers losses due to structural damage. Limitations of input data, shaking estimates, and loss models may add uncertainty. PAGER results are generally available within 30 minutes of the earthquake’s occurrence. However, information on the extent of shaking will be uncertain in the minutes and hours following an earthquake and typically improves as additional sensor data and reported intensities are acquired and incorporated into models of the earthquake's source. Users of PAGER estimates should account for uncertainty and always seek the most current PAGER release for any earthquake.