PAGER - M 4.0 - MAINE

Alert level does not include impacts from earthquake-related hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires or liquefaction.

Earthquake Shaking Alert Level: GREEN

Download Alert PDF What's this?Tuesday, October 16th, 2012 at 23:12:22 UTC (19:12:22 local)Location: 43.6° N, 70.7° WDepth: 6kmEvent Id: USB000D75BAlert Version: 4Created: 22 hours, 32 minutes after earthquake.

Alert Information

Green alert for shaking-related fatalities and economic losses. There is a low likelihood of casualties and damage.

Estimated Fatalities

ESTIMATED FATALITY ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITIES (LEVEL)	Probability (%)
0 (GREEN)	76
1 to 9 (YELLOW)	24
10 to 99 (YELLOW)	0
100 to 999 (ORANGE)	0
1 to 10 thousand (RED)	0
10 to 100 thousand (RED)	0
100 thousand + (RED)	0

Estimated Economic Losses

ESTIMATED ECONOMIC ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED VALUE IN USD (LEVEL)	Probability (%)
0 to 1 million (GREEN)	67
1 to 10 million (YELLOW)	30
10 to 100 million (YELLOW)	3
100 million to 1 billion (ORANGE)	0
1 to 10 billion (RED)	0
10 to 100 billion (RED)	0
100 billion + (RED)	0

Detailed Information

Estimated Population Exposed to Earthquake Shaking
Estimated Modified Mercalli Intensity		I	II-III	IV	V	VI	VII	VIII	IX	X
Est. Population Exposure		---*	2,590k*	531k	37k	0	0	0	0	0
Perceived Shaking		Not Felt	Weak	Light	Moderate	Strong	Very Strong	Severe	Violent	Extreme
Potential Structure Damage	Resistant	none	none	none	V. Light	Light	Moderate	Moderate/Heavy	Heavy	V. Heavy
Potential Structure Damage	Vulnerable	none	none	none	Light	Moderate	Moderate/Heavy	Heavy	V. Heavy	V. Heavy

*Estimated exposure only includes population within calculated shake map area

Population Exposure
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan

Structure Information Summary

Overall, the population in this region resides in structures that are resistant to earthquake shaking, though some vulnerable structures exist.

Historical Earthquakes (with MMI)

Date (UTC)	Dist (km)	Mag	Max MMI (#)
1982-01-19	75	4.7	V (49k)
1973-06-15	188	5.2	VI (49)
1983-10-07	297	4.9	VI (6k)

Selected Cities Exposedfrom GeoNames Database of Cities with 1,000 or more residents.

MMI	City	Population
V	Lake Arrowhead	2k
V	Waterboro	8k
V	Hollis Center	5k
V	Limington	4k
V	Limerick	2k
V	Shapleigh	2k
III	Manchester	110k
III	Concord	41k
III	Lowell	103k
III	Augusta	19k
III	Nashua	87k

(k = x1,000)

Nearby Events in the EXPO-CAT Earthquake Catalog
#	Date/Time	Mag	Lat, Lon, Depth	Country	Max MMI (Exposed)	Deaths		Secondary Effects
#	Date/Time	Mag	Lat, Lon, Depth	Country	Max MMI (Exposed)	Shaking	Total	Secondary Effects
1	1973-06-15 01:09 UTC	5.2	45.25° N, 71.13° W 3km	CA	VI (49)	0	0
2	1982-01-19 00:14 UTC	4.7	43.5° N, 71.6° W 8km	US	V (49 k)	0	0
3	1983-10-07 10:18 UTC	4.9	43.95° N, 74.34° W 8km	US	VI (6 k)	0	0
4	1997-11-06 02:34 UTC	5.1	46.77° N, 71.39° W 23km	CA	V (456 k)	0	1
5	2002-04-20 10:50 UTC	5.1	44.49° N, 73.72° W 10km	US	V (21 k)	0	0

MMI	City	Population
V	Lake Arrowhead	2k
V	Waterboro	8k
V	Hollis Center	5k
V	Limington	4k
V	Limerick	2k
V	Shapleigh	2k
V	Alfred	3k
V	Newfield	1k
V	Dayton	2k
V	Sanford	27k
V	Springvale	4k
IV	Acton	2k
IV	Buxton	8k
IV	South Sanford	4k
IV	Standish	10k
IV	Wakefield	5k
IV	Parsonsfield	2k
IV	Lebanon	5k
IV	Ossipee	5k
IV	Saco	18k
IV	Cornish	1k
IV	Biddeford	22k
IV	Gorham	22k
IV	West Scarborough	28k
IV	Milton	4k
IV	Arundel	4k
IV	Old Orchard Beach	9k
IV	Scarborough	4k
IV	Effingham	1k
IV	Hiram	1k
IV	North Berwick	11k
IV	Tuftonboro	2k
IV	Wells Beach Station	10k
IV	Porter	2k
IV	Kennebunk	15k
IV	Westbrook	16k
IV	South Portland Gardens	24k
IV	Freedom	1k
IV	Farmington	6k
IV	Berwick	8k
IV	Naples	3k
IV	Ogunquit	1k
IV	Kennebunkport	2k
IV	Madison	2k
IV	Somersworth	12k
IV	Denmark	1k
IV	Rochester	30k
IV	South Berwick	7k
IV	Rollinsford	3k
IV	Portland	63k
IV	South Portland	23k
IV	Brownfield	1k
IV	North Windham	16k
IV	Cape Neddick	4k
IV	Wolfeboro	7k
IV	Bridgton	6k
IV	Raymond	5k
IV	Dover	29k
IV	Gray	7k
IV	Center Harbor	1k
IV	Tamworth	3k
IV	Casco	4k
IV	Minot	2k
IV	Falmouth	11k
IV	Sanbornton	3k
IV	Cumberland Center	3k
IV	Wilton	2k
IV	Epping	6k
IV	Eliot	7k
IV	Lovell	1k
IV	York Harbor	4k
IV	New Hampton	2k
IV	Jay	5k
IV	Brentwood	3k
IV	Bristol	3k
III	South Eliot	4k
III	Barrington	8k
III	Exeter	15k
III	North Hampton	5k
III	Auburn	23k
III	Bridgewater	1k
III	New Durham	2k
III	Falmouth Foreside	2k
III	Meredith	7k
III	Moultonborough	5k
III	Ashland	2k
III	Conway	9k
III	Newmarket	9k
III	Newburyport	18k
III	Lewiston	36k
III	Hampton Falls	2k
III	Lee	5k
III	Nottingham	4k
III	Chisholm	1k
III	Kittery	13k
III	Livermore Falls	2k
III	New Gloucester	5k
III	Allenstown Elementary School	5k
III	Fremont	4k
III	Hampton	16k
III	Laconia	18k
III	Madbury	2k
III	Stratham Station	7k
III	Amesbury	18k
III	Durham	13k
III	North Conway	2k
III	Canton	1k
III	Fryeburg	2k
III	Epsom	5k
III	Hillsboro	2k
III	Holderness	2k
III	Kensington	2k
III	Manchester	110k
III	Newfields	2k
III	Pembroke	7k
III	Portsmouth	21k
III	Hooksett	14k
III	Sandwich	1k
III	Suncook	6k
III	Ipswich	19k
III	Farmington	9k
III	Mechanic Falls	3k
III	Poland	5k
III	Alexandria	1k
III	Auburn	5k
III	East Kingston	2k
III	South Hooksett	6k
III	Rowley	2k
III	Freeport	12k
III	Chichester	2k
III	Greenland	3k
III	New Castle	1k
III	Raymond	10k
III	Strafford	4k
III	Wayne	1k
III	Atkinson	7k
III	Deering	2k
III	Henniker	5k
III	Hill	1k
III	Littleton	6k
III	Northwood	4k
III	Pittsfield	5k
III	Kittery Point	1k
III	Bethlehem	2k
III	Lyndeborough	2k
III	Plymouth	6k
III	Rye	5k
III	Temple	1k
III	Dixfield	1k
III	Lisbon	9k
III	Rumford	8k
III	Yarmouth	11k
III	Alton	5k
III	Barnstead	5k
III	Bedford	21k
III	Seabrook	9k
III	Salisbury	5k
III	Hartford	1k
III	Belmont	8k
III	West Newbury	4k
III	Harrison	2k
III	Mexico	2k
III	Topsham	11k
III	Greenfield	2k
III	Loudon	5k
III	Wilton	4k
III	Peru	2k
III	Newport	7k
III	Pinardville	7k
III	Sunapee	3k
III	Haverhill	61k
III	Lisbon Falls	4k
III	Mont Vernon	2k
III	Boxford	2k
III	Winthrop	8k
III	Jaffrey	6k
III	Brunswick	24k
III	Oxford	1k
III	Danville	5k
III	Deerfield	4k
III	Haverhill	5k
III	Plaistow	8k
III	Bartlett	3k
III	Gilmanton	3k
III	Kingston	6k
III	Thornton	2k
III	Beverly	40k
III	Groveland	6k
III	Livermore	2k
III	Paris	5k
III	Saint George	3k
III	West Paris	2k
III	Amherst	12k
III	Chester	5k
III	Danbury	1k
III	Rumney	2k
III	Hebron	1k
III	Bow Bog	8k
III	Candia	4k
III	Grantham	2k
III	New Ipswich	5k
III	Weare	9k
III	Beverly Cove	40k
III	South Paris	2k
III	Gilford	8k
III	Greenville	2k
III	Hancock	2k
III	New London	4k
III	Newbury	2k
III	Rindge	6k
III	Merrimac	6k
III	Topsfield	3k
III	Wenham	5k
III	Greene	4k
III	Carlisle	5k
III	Buckfield	2k
III	Concord	41k
III	Springfield	1k
III	Chelmsford	34k
III	Harpswell Center	5k
III	Derry	23k
III	Hampstead	9k
III	Lowell	103k
III	Cushing	1k
III	Antrim	3k
III	Bennington	1k
III	East Concord	43k
III	New Boston	5k
III	Newton	5k
III	Ashby	3k
III	East Merrimack	4k
III	Gorham	3k
III	Danvers	26k
III	Middleton	10k
III	Sabattus	5k
III	Goffstown	18k
III	Merrimack	27k
III	Peterborough	6k
III	Sandown	6k
III	Salem	42k
III	Tewksbury	29k
III	Leeds	2k
III	Manchester	3k
III	Berlin	10k
III	Londonderry	24k
III	Orford	1k
III	Windham	13k
III	Billerica	40k
III	Peabody	48k
III	Norway	6k
III	Litchfield	8k
III	Salem	30k
III	Warner	3k
III	Whitefield	2k
III	North Andover	28k
III	Gloucester	31k
III	Monmouth	4k
III	Sutton	2k
III	Saint Johnsbury	8k
III	St Johnsbury	8k
III	Derry Village	35k
III	Hopkinton	6k
III	Milford	15k
III	Lyndon	6k
III	Dracut	29k
III	Lawrence	73k
III	Methuen	45k
III	Pinehurst	7k
III	Augusta	19k
III	Turner	5k
III	Hudson	24k
III	Milan	1k
III	Tyngsboro	11k
III	Mason	1k
III	Northfield	5k
III	Tilton	4k
III	Wilmot	1k
III	Dunstable	3k
III	Essex	1k
III	Franklin	9k
III	Hollis	8k
III	Littleton Common	8k
III	Lynnfield	12k
III	South Peabody	50k
III	Belgrade	3k
III	Chelsea	3k
III	New Sharon	1k
III	Phippsburg	2k
III	Sidney	4k
III	Lincoln	1k
III	Westford	22k
III	Farmingdale	2k
III	Hallowell	2k
III	Brookline	5k
III	Grafton	1k
III	Contoocook	2k
III	Nashua	87k
III	Lyndonville	1k
III	Lunenburg	17k
III	North Reading	14k
III	Rockport	6k
III	Townsend	17k
III	Pittston	3k
III	Randolph	2k
III	Pelham	13k
III	Woodstock	1k
III	Andover	48k
III	Pepperell	17k
III	Wakefield	25k
III	Wilmington	22k
III	Chesterville	1k
III	Rome	1k
III	Warren	4k
III	Enfield	5k
III	Fitzwilliam	2k
III	Lyme	2k
III	Gardiner	6k
III	Readfield	2k
III	Ayer	3k
III	Fitchburg	40k
III	China	4k
III	Jefferson	1k
III	East Pepperell	2k
III	Reading	23k
III	Fayette	1k
III	Bradford	2k
III	Thomaston	3k
III	Waldoboro	7k
III	Harrisville	1k
III	Winchendon	13k
III	Bethel	3k
III	Canaan	4k
III	Washington	1k
III	Canterbury	2k
III	Dublin	2k
III	Windsor	2k
III	Groton	19k
III	Appleton	1k
III	Bath	9k
III	Lancaster	3k
III	Stratford	1k
III	Shirley	1k
III	Albion	2k
III	Boothbay	3k
III	Boothbay Harbor	1k
III	Bowdoinham	3k
III	Palermo	1k
III	Phillipston	2k
III	Andover	2k
III	Groveton	1k
III	Clinton	1k
III	Searsmont	1k
III	Northumberland	3k
III	Boscawen	4k
III	Woodsville	1k
III	Ashburnham	6k
III	North Bath	9k
III	Vassalboro	4k
III	Whitefield	2k
III	Woolwich	3k
III	Union	2k
III	Jefferson	2k
III	Richmond	2k
III	Troy	1k
III	Wiscasset	1k
III	Waterville	16k
III	Winslow	8k
III	Webster	2k
III	Leominster	42k
III	Westminster	7k
III	Edgecomb	1k
III	Friendship	1k
III	Oakland	8k
III	Mount Vernon	2k
III	Salisbury	1k
III	Benton	3k
III	Damariscotta	2k
III	Fairfield	9k
III	Newcastle	2k
III	Baldwinville	2k
III	Nobleboro	2k
III	Lisbon	2k
III	Templeton	7k
III	Bristol	3k
III	Gardner	21k

(k = x1,000)

PAGER content is automatically generated, and only considers losses due to structural damage. Limitations of input data, shaking estimates, and loss models may add uncertainty. PAGER results are generally available within 30 minutes of the earthquake’s occurrence. However, information on the extent of shaking will be uncertain in the minutes and hours following an earthquake and typically improves as additional sensor data and reported intensities are acquired and incorporated into models of the earthquake's source. Users of PAGER estimates should account for uncertainty and always seek the most current PAGER release for any earthquake.