PAGER - M 5.5 - GUATEMALA

Alert level does not include impacts from earthquake-related hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires or liquefaction.

Earthquake Shaking Alert Level: GREEN

Download Alert PDF What's this?Monday, October 15th, 2012 at 17:52:21 UTC (11:52:21 local)Location: 14.2° N, 91° WDepth: 76kmEvent Id: USB000D65AAlert Version: 2Created: 1 hour, 40 minutes after earthquake.

Alert Information

Green alert for shaking-related fatalities and economic losses. There is a low likelihood of casualties and damage.

Estimated Fatalities

ESTIMATED FATALITY ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITIES (LEVEL)	Probability (%)
0 (GREEN)	99
1 to 9 (YELLOW)	1
10 to 99 (YELLOW)	0
100 to 999 (ORANGE)	0
1 to 10 thousand (RED)	0
10 to 100 thousand (RED)	0
100 thousand + (RED)	0

Estimated Economic Losses

ESTIMATED ECONOMIC ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED VALUE IN USD (LEVEL)	Probability (%)
0 to 1 million (GREEN)	99
1 to 10 million (YELLOW)	1
10 to 100 million (YELLOW)	0
100 million to 1 billion (ORANGE)	0
1 to 10 billion (RED)	0
10 to 100 billion (RED)	0
100 billion + (RED)	0

Detailed Information

Estimated Population Exposed to Earthquake Shaking
Estimated Modified Mercalli Intensity		I	II-III	IV	V	VI	VII	VIII	IX	X
Est. Population Exposure		---*	11,659k*	7,334k	0	0	0	0	0	0
Perceived Shaking		Not Felt	Weak	Light	Moderate	Strong	Very Strong	Severe	Violent	Extreme
Potential Structure Damage	Resistant	none	none	none	V. Light	Light	Moderate	Moderate/Heavy	Heavy	V. Heavy
Potential Structure Damage	Vulnerable	none	none	none	Light	Moderate	Moderate/Heavy	Heavy	V. Heavy	V. Heavy

*Estimated exposure only includes population within calculated shake map area

Population Exposure
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan

Structure Information Summary

Overall, the population in this region resides in structures that are vulnerable to earthquake shaking, though some resistant structures exist.

Historical Earthquakes (with MMI)

Date (UTC)	Dist (km)	Mag	Max MMI (#)	Shaking Deaths
1976-02-04	93	5.4	V (2m)	0
1978-07-29	68	4.9	VII (14k)	17
1976-02-04	237	7.5	IX (80k)	22778

Recent earthquakes in this area have caused secondary hazards such as landslides and fires that might have contributed to losses.

Selected Cities Exposedfrom GeoNames Database of Cities with 1,000 or more residents.

MMI	City	Population
IV	San Miguel Duenas	8k
IV	Antigua Guatemala	39k
IV	San Antonio Aguas Calientes	8k
IV	Ciudad Vieja	30k
IV	Santa Maria de Jesus	16k
IV	Santa Catarina Barahona	3k
IV	Mixco	473k
IV	Villa Nueva	407k
IV	Guatemala City	995k
III	San Salvador	526k
III	Soyapango	330k

(k = x1,000)

Nearby Events in the EXPO-CAT Earthquake Catalog
#	Date/Time	Mag	Lat, Lon, Depth	Country	Max MMI (Exposed)	Deaths		Secondary Effects
#	Date/Time	Mag	Lat, Lon, Depth	Country	Max MMI (Exposed)	Shaking	Total	Secondary Effects
1	1973-06-07 18:34 UTC	5.7	14.42° N, 91.72° W 32km	GT	VII (150 k)	0	0
2	1975-11-05 17:04 UTC	5	16.9° N, 92.82° W 12km	MX	VII (515)	1	1
3	1976-02-04 09:01 UTC	7.5	15.3° N, 89.15° W 13km	GT	IX (80 k)	22778	22778	tsunami
4	1976-02-04 09:30 UTC	5.4	14.81° N, 90.47° W 60km	GT	V (2,086 k)	0	0
5	1976-02-08 08:13 UTC	5.6	15.67° N, 88.52° W 4km	GT	VII (41 k)	0	0
6	1976-03-13 16:30 UTC	5.4	14.73° N, 91.01° W 15km	GT	VII (43 k)	4	4	landslide
7	1977-09-10 10:21 UTC	5.5	13.96° N, 91.67° W 25km	GT	VII (15 k)	0	0
8	1978-02-22 06:07 UTC	6.3	14.27° N, 91.4° W 67km	GT	VII (121 k)	2	2
9	1978-07-29 14:37 UTC	4.9	14.76° N, 90.99° W 15km	GT	VII (14 k)	17	17
10	1978-08-18 15:35 UTC	6.2	14.34° N, 91.47° W 83km	GT	VI (453 k)	0	0
11	1979-10-09 07:49 UTC	5	14.2° N, 90.33° W 15km	GT	VII (7)	0	0	landslide
12	1979-10-27 14:35 UTC	6.8	13.83° N, 90.84° W 62km	GT	VIII (18 k)	7	7
13	1979-10-27 21:43 UTC	6.8	13.76° N, 90.72° W 64km	GT	VIII (54 k)	0	0
14	1980-08-09 05:45 UTC	6.5	15.91° N, 88.49° W 16km	GT	IX (116)	2	2
15	1982-01-12 05:48 UTC	6.1	13.17° N, 87.54° W 8km	HN	VIII (454)	0	0
16	1982-04-06 15:49 UTC	5.8	14.22° N, 91.93° W 25km	GT	VIII (102)	0	0
17	1982-04-06 19:56 UTC	6.7	14.27° N, 92.02° W 45km	GT	VII (340 k)	0	0
18	1982-06-19 06:21 UTC	7.3	13.34° N, 89.31° W 73km	SV	VIII (220 k)	43	43	landslide
19	1982-09-29 05:50 UTC	5.6	14.49° N, 89.1° W 14km	HN	VIII (5)	3	3
20	1983-12-02 03:09 UTC	7	14.06° N, 91.91° W 35km	GT	VIII (78 k)	0	0
21	1985-10-11 03:39 UTC	4.5	15.3° N, 90.86° W 5km	GT	VI (14 k)	0	0
22	1986-10-10 17:49 UTC	5.7	13.8° N, 89.16° W 11km	SV	VIII (30 k)	950	1500	landslide
23	1988-11-03 14:47 UTC	6.6	13.91° N, 90.5° W 76km	GT	VII (143 k)	5	5	landslide
24	1990-07-13 13:50 UTC	5	12.96° N, 87.75° W 15km	NI	VI (173)	0	0
25	1991-06-21 06:27 UTC	5.8	13.41° N, 89.64° W 71km	SV	VI (14 k)	0	1	fire
26	1991-09-18 09:48 UTC	6.2	14.61° N, 90.93° W 11km	GT	IX (9 k)	25	25	landslide
27	1993-09-03 03:16 UTC	5.5	14.54° N, 92.68° W 23km	MX	VI (68 k)	0	0
28	1993-09-03 12:35 UTC	6.7	14.6° N, 92.78° W 27km	MX	VIII (2)	0	0
29	1993-09-10 19:12 UTC	7.2	14.76° N, 92.64° W 34km	MX	VIII (6 k)	1	1	landslide
30	1993-09-19 14:10 UTC	6.4	14.31° N, 93.32° W 19km	MX	V (836 k)	0	0
31	1995-06-14 11:11 UTC	6.5	12.17° N, 88.34° W 26km	NI	V (561 k)	0	0
32	1995-12-19 20:56 UTC	5.3	15.18° N, 90.17° W 15km	GT	VII (659)	0	1	landslide
33	1996-08-27 02:12 UTC	5.7	13.54° N, 91.31° W 43km	GT	VI (5 k)	0	0
34	1997-07-06 20:13 UTC	5.8	16.15° N, 87.97° W 15km	BZ	V (1,225 k)	0	0
35	1997-08-24 00:59 UTC	5.6	13.39° N, 89.42° W 38km	SV	VII (15 k)	0	0
36	1998-01-10 08:20 UTC	6.6	14.45° N, 91.52° W 74km	GT	VII (641 k)	0	0	landslide
37	1998-03-03 02:24 UTC	6.1	14.45° N, 91.35° W 44km	GT	VII (443 k)	0	0
38	1998-05-10 06:05 UTC	6.3	13.72° N, 90.81° W 25km	GT	VII (39 k)	0	0
39	1999-04-03 10:10 UTC	6	13.19° N, 87.58° W 42km	HN	VIII (2 k)	0	0
40	1999-05-08 22:12 UTC	6	14.19° N, 91.9° W 40km	GT	VII (239 k)	0	0
41	1999-06-06 07:08 UTC	6.2	13.91° N, 90.75° W 35km	GT	VII (251 k)	0	0
42	1999-07-11 14:14 UTC	6.7	15.8° N, 88.29° W 20km	GT	IX (2 k)	1	1
43	2001-01-13 17:33 UTC	7.7	13.07° N, 88.7° W 38km	SV	VIII (655 k)	267	852	landslide
44	2001-01-15 05:09 UTC	5.6	13.17° N, 88.83° W 39km	SV	VII (10 k)	0	0
45	2001-01-16 08:22 UTC	5.6	12.99° N, 88.55° W 37km	SV	VII (112)	0	0
46	2001-01-16 10:58 UTC	5.6	13.04° N, 88.64° W 44km	SV	VI (79 k)	0	0
47	2001-02-13 14:22 UTC	6.5	13.6° N, 89° W 11km	SV	IX (608 k)	315	315	landslide
48	2001-02-17 20:25 UTC	4.1	13.79° N, 89.11° W 10km	SV	VI (5)	1	1	landslide
49	2001-03-29 06:54 UTC	5.7	12.98° N, 88.94° W 40km	SV	VI (71 k)	0	0
50	2001-05-08 18:02 UTC	5.7	13.53° N, 88.83° W 26km	SV	VII (562 k)	1	1	landslide
51	2001-08-10 05:43 UTC	5.4	14.17° N, 91.99° W 23km	GT	VII (24 k)	0	0
52	2001-09-18 14:51 UTC	5.5	12.95° N, 88.76° W 37km	SV	VI (22 k)	0	0
53	2002-11-09 00:14 UTC	6	13.67° N, 91.27° W 18km	GT	VI (27 k)	0	0
54	2003-01-21 02:46 UTC	6.4	13.62° N, 90.85° W 24km	GT	VII (149 k)	0	1
55	2004-11-20 22:01 UTC	6.3	13.38° N, 90.14° W 41km	SV	VII (160 k)	0	0
56	2006-02-20 06:56 UTC	5.5	13.16° N, 87.56° W 10km	NI	VI (30 k)	0	0
57	2007-06-08 15:08 UTC	5.5	13.64° N, 90.8° W 38km	GT	VI (65 k)	0	0
58	2007-06-13 19:29 UTC	6.7	13.56° N, 90.66° W 23km	GT	VI (332 k)	0	0

MMI	City	Population
IV	San Miguel Duenas	8k
IV	San Antonio Aguas Calientes	8k
IV	Antigua Guatemala	39k
IV	Santa Maria de Jesus	16k
IV	Santa Catarina Barahona	3k
IV	Ciudad Vieja	30k
IV	Jocotenango	18k
IV	Pastores	10k
IV	Alotenango	17k
IV	Magdalena Milpas Altas	6k
IV	Santa Lucia Milpas Altas	13k
IV	Parramos	10k
IV	San Bartolome Milpas Altas	6k
IV	La Gomera	24k
IV	La Democracia	5k
IV	Masagua	10k
IV	Sumpango	21k
IV	Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa	62k
IV	Santiago Sacatepequez	24k
IV	Escuintla	103k
IV	El Tejar	16k
IV	Puerto San Jose	19k
IV	Patulul	14k
IV	Nueva Concepcion	11k
IV	San Juan Bautista	3k
IV	Yepocapa	9k
IV	Santa Barbara	13k
IV	Iztapa	4k
IV	Guanagazapa	3k
IV	Pueblo Nuevo Tiquisate	18k
IV	Palin	31k
IV	Rio Bravo	8k
IV	Pochuta	4k
IV	Acatenango	7k
IV	Santo Domingo Xenacoj	9k
IV	San Vicente Pacaya	7k
IV	San Lucas Sacatepequez	18k
IV	San Andres Itzapa	19k
IV	Patzicia	16k
IV	San Lucas Toliman	15k
IV	San Juan Sacatepequez	137k
IV	San Jose El Idolo	2k
IV	Chicacao	20k
IV	Amatitlan	72k
IV	Zaragoza	9k
IV	Taxisco	7k
IV	San Pedro Sacatepequez	14k
IV	San Miguel Panan	2k
IV	Pueblo Nuevo Vinas	4k
IV	Santiago Atitlan	33k
IV	Santa Cruz Balanya	8k
IV	Patzun	19k
IV	Villa Canales	122k
IV	Santo Domingo Suchitepequez	6k
IV	San Antonio Suchitepequez	11k
IV	Chimaltenango	82k
IV	San Bernardino	6k
IV	Guazacapan	7k
IV	Santa Catarina Palopo	3k
IV	San Antonio Palopo	4k
IV	Santo Tomas La Union	7k
IV	San Pedro La Laguna	10k
IV	San Lorenzo	2k
IV	Comalapa	21k
IV	Chiquimulilla	13k
IV	San Pablo Jocopilas	20k
IV	San Gabriel	4k
IV	Mazatenango	44k
IV	Villa Nueva	407k
IV	Panajachel	13k
IV	Mixco	473k
IV	Tecpan Guatemala	22k
IV	Santa Cruz La Laguna	1k
IV	Santa Clara La Laguna	5k
IV	San Pablo La Laguna	6k
IV	San Marcos La Laguna	3k
IV	San Juan La Laguna	5k
IV	San Andres Semetabaj	3k
IV	Samayac	9k
IV	Petapa	141k
IV	Fraijanes	28k
IV	Solola	45k
IV	Santa Maria Visitacion	1k
IV	Santa Apolonia	2k
IV	Barberena	31k
IV	San Raimundo	9k
IV	Concepcion	3k
IV	Santa Cruz Naranjo	6k
IV	San Martin Jilotepeque	10k
IV	San Jose Poaquil	6k
IV	San Francisco Zapotitlan	14k
IV	Cuyotenango	11k
IV	Zunilito	3k
IV	Santa Lucia Utatlan	1k
IV	San Jose Pinula	47k
IV	Cuilapa	16k
IV	San Andres Villa Seca	5k
IV	Santa Maria Ixhuatan	4k
IV	San Juan Tecuaco	2k
IV	Pueblo Nuevo	3k
IV	Santa Rosa de Lima	6k
IV	San Martin Zapotitlan	4k
IV	Nueva Santa Rosa	10k
IV	Santa Cruz Mulua	3k
IV	Santa Catarina Ixtahuacan	15k
IV	San Felipe	9k
IV	San Sebastian	15k
IV	El Palmar	15k
IV	Retalhuleu	37k
IV	Nahuala	28k
IV	Casillas	9k
IV	Zunil	10k
IV	Palencia	19k
IV	Chichicastenango	80k
IV	Pasaco	2k
IV	Oratorio	10k
IV	Nuevo San Carlos	19k
IV	Cantel	26k
IV	Santa Catarina Pinula	68k
IV	San Pedro Ayampuc	47k
IV	Chuarrancho	7k
IV	Almolonga	12k
IV	San Jose del Golfo	5k
IV	Salcaja	12k
IV	Quetzaltenango	132k
IV	Patzite	1k
IV	Pachalum	2k
IV	Joyabaj	13k
IV	El Asintal	6k
IV	Chiche	2k
IV	Totonicapan	70k
IV	San Rafael Las Flores	3k
IV	San Jose Acatempa	6k
IV	Santa Cruz del Quiche	24k
IV	Mataquescuintla	8k
IV	San Cristobal Totonicapan	4k
IV	San Andres Xecul	12k
IV	Moyuta	8k
IV	Guatemala City	995k
IV	Chinique	3k
IV	San Antonio La Paz	8k
IV	La Esperanza	16k
IV	Chinautla	97k
IV	Champerico	8k
IV	San Martin Sacatepequez	4k
IV	San Francisco El Alto	54k
IV	Concepcion Chiquirichapa	8k
III	Santa Maria Chiquimula	7k
III	San Mateo	6k
III	San Francisco La Union	1k
III	San Antonio Ilotenango	2k
III	Ostuncalco	29k
III	Genova	4k
III	Flores Costa Cuca	12k
III	Colomba	19k
III	Conguaco	3k
III	Zacualpa	9k
III	San Pedro Jocopilas	1k
III	San Miguel Siguila	8k
III	Quesada	2k
III	Jalpatagua	10k
III	El Chol	2k
III	Cajola	3k
III	Momostenango	32k
III	Santa Lucia La Reforma	1k
III	San Carlos Sija	7k
III	Sanarate	16k
III	El Quetzal	12k
III	Coatepeque	46k
III	San Francisco Menendez	1k
III	La Reforma	5k
III	Sansare	4k
III	San Bartolome Jocotenango	2k
III	San Bartolo	1k
III	Palestina de los Altos	2k
III	Sibilia	1k
III	Comapa	1k
III	Canilla	2k
III	Cubulco	10k
III	Tacuba	5k
III	San Cristobal Cucho	9k
III	San Andres Sajcabaja	2k
III	Jutiapa	34k
III	Rabinal	11k
III	Jalapa	46k
III	San Pedro Sacatepequez	40k
III	San Antonio Sacatepequez	2k
III	Nuevo Progreso	8k
III	San Miguel Chicaj	14k
III	Esquipulas Palo Gordo	2k
III	Zapotitlan	2k
III	Huitan	10k
III	El Progreso	7k
III	El Adelanto	2k
III	San Marcos	25k
III	Sacapulas	12k
III	Morazan	3k
III	Ahuachapan	34k
III	Pajapita	8k
III	Monjas	10k
III	El Tumbador	8k
III	Guastatoya	13k
III	Concepcion de Ataco	8k
III	Comitancillo	20k
III	Cabrican	12k
III	San Rafael Pie de La Cuesta	4k
III	Malacatancito	2k
III	Cunen	8k
III	Jujutla	2k
III	Guaymango	2k
III	Yupiltepeque	3k
III	San Jeronimo	8k
III	Ocos	9k
III	El Rodeo	2k
III	Atescatempa	12k
III	San Pedro Pinula	3k
III	Jerez	4k
III	Ciudad Tecun Uman	11k
III	Aguacatan	6k
III	Atiquizaya	9k
III	Uspantan	5k
III	Tejutla	3k
III	Suchiate	14k
III	La Libertad	4k
III	San Pablo	14k
III	San Manuel Chaparron	3k
III	Nebaj	23k
III	Huehuetenango	79k
III	Asuncion Mita	16k
III	Juayua	10k
III	Tajumulco	4k
III	Santa Catarina Mita	11k
III	Malacatan	15k
III	Acajutla	23k
III	Chicaman	2k
III	Catarina	3k
III	Nahuizalco	7k
III	San Juan Cotzal	11k
III	San Agustin Acasaguastlan	10k
III	Chiantla	8k
III	Frontera Hidalgo	3k
III	Chalchuapa	32k
III	El Jicaro	4k
III	Sonzacate	15k
III	San Antonio del Monte	9k
III	Candelaria de La Frontera	6k
III	San Miguel Ixtahuacan	4k
III	San Luis Jilotepeque	10k
III	San Cristobal Acasaguastlan	2k
III	Sonsonate	59k
III	Santa Cruz Verapaz	6k
III	Chajul	12k
III	Ixchiguan	2k
III	Agua Blanca	3k
III	Tactic	9k
III	San Sebastian Huehuetenango	1k
III	San Cristobal Verapaz	20k
III	Purulha	5k
III	Concepcion Tutuapa	1k
III	Izalco	19k
III	Tuxtla Chico	7k
III	Santa Ana	177k
III	Sibinal	2k
III	Ipala	5k
III	Cabanas	5k
III	Cacahoatan	14k
III	Usumatlan	5k
III	San Jose Ojetenan	1k
III	San Rafael Petzal	2k
III	San Juan Chamelco	12k
III	San Juan Atitan	2k
III	Colotenango	2k
III	Tamahu	1k
III	Texistepeque	2k
III	Tucuru	5k
III	Ixtahuacan	4k
III	Coban	53k
III	Veinte de Noviembre	4k
III	Tapachula	198k
III	El Congo	9k
III	Coatepeque	6k
III	Todos Santos Cuchumatan	3k
III	Santiago Chimaltenango	3k
III	San Jose La Arada	2k
III	Huite	3k
III	Teculutan	6k
III	Puerto Madero	10k
III	Tacana	6k
III	San Pedro Carcha	13k
III	San Juan Ixcoy	3k
III	Metapan	19k
III	Ciudad Arce	10k
III	Armenia	15k
III	San Pedro Necta	4k
III	Chiquimula	42k
III	San Jacinto	2k
III	Cuilco	2k
III	Concepcion Las Minas	1k
III	Quezaltepeque	4k
III	La Libertad	6k
III	Mazatan	6k
III	Huehuetan	7k
III	Alvaro Obregon	5k
III	Concepcion	9k
III	San Juan Opico	7k
III	Estanzuela	9k
III	San Pablo Tacachico	3k
III	Zacapa	36k
III	Soloma	11k
III	Santa Eulalia	5k
III	San Rafael La Independencia	1k
III	San Juan Ermita	2k
III	San Miguel Acatan	3k
III	San Luis Ixcan	8k
III	Rio Hondo	6k
III	Jacaltenango	34k
III	Esquipulas	21k
III	Barillas	14k
III	Nueva Concepcion	10k
III	Senahu	6k
III	San Antonio Huista	6k
III	Olopa	2k
III	Jocotan	5k
III	Motozintla de Mendoza	19k
III	Quezaltepeque	29k
III	Santa Ana Huista	2k
III	Camotan	2k
III	San Mateo Ixtatan	13k
III	Lanquin	2k
III	Huixtla	29k
III	Nueva San Salvador	125k
III	El Paisnal	2k
III	Antigua Ocotepeque	2k
III	Zaragoza	12k
III	Nuevo Cuscatlan	6k
III	La Libertad	17k
III	Santa Lucia	1k
III	Mejicanos	160k
III	Aguilares	21k
III	Sinuapa	2k
III	Nueva Ocotepeque	9k
III	Ayutuxtepeque	25k
III	Apopa	112k
III	Antiguo Cuscatlan	34k
III	Panzos	26k
III	Nenton	3k
III	Chisec	17k
III	San Salvador	526k
III	Guazapa	11k
III	Cuscatancingo	44k
III	Cahabon	5k
III	Rosario de Mora	5k
III	Delgado	72k
III	San Marcos	55k
III	Panchimalco	7k
III	La Union	4k
III	Gualan	19k
III	Frontera Comalapa	15k
III	Soyapango	330k
III	Villa Comaltitlan	8k
III	Tonacatepeque	6k
III	Ilopango	39k
III	Santo Tomas	15k
III	San Fernando	1k
III	Olocuilta	6k
III	La Encarnacion	1k
III	Copan	6k
III	Suchitoto	6k
III	Santa Rita	3k
III	Escuintla	9k
III	Tecoluca	3k
III	San Pedro Masahuat	3k
III	Acapetagua	6k
III	Acacoyagua	6k
III	El Rosario	6k
III	Chicomuselo	5k
III	El Estor	16k
III	Chahal	7k
III	Los Amates	3k
III	Mapastepec	16k
III	Nueva Palestina	8k
III	Angel Albino Corzo	9k

(k = x1,000)

PAGER content is automatically generated, and only considers losses due to structural damage. Limitations of input data, shaking estimates, and loss models may add uncertainty. PAGER results are generally available within 30 minutes of the earthquake’s occurrence. However, information on the extent of shaking will be uncertain in the minutes and hours following an earthquake and typically improves as additional sensor data and reported intensities are acquired and incorporated into models of the earthquake's source. Users of PAGER estimates should account for uncertainty and always seek the most current PAGER release for any earthquake.