PAGER - M 5.2 - SOUTHERN IRAN

Alert level does not include impacts from earthquake-related hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires or liquefaction.

Earthquake Shaking Alert Level: GREEN

Download Alert PDFWhat's this?Wednesday, October 10th, 2012 at 16:56:33 UTC (20:26:33 local)Location: 29.3° N, 52.5° EDepth: 9kmEvent Id: USB000D3W8Alert Version: 5Created: 1 week, 1 day after earthquake.
Global Location

Alert Information

Green alert for shaking-related fatalities and economic losses. There is a low likelihood of casualties and damage.
Estimated FatalitiesFatality Alert Level: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITY ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITIES (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 (GREEN)
 
65
1 to 9 (YELLOW)
 
30
10 to 99 (YELLOW)
 
4
100 to 999 (ORANGE)0
1 to 10 thousand (RED)0
10 to 100 thousand (RED)0
100 thousand + (RED)0
Estimated Economic LossesEconomic Alert Level: GREEN
ESTIMATED ECONOMIC ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED VALUE IN USD (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 to 1 million (GREEN)
 
65
1 to 10 million (YELLOW)
 
30
10 to 100 million (YELLOW)
 
4
100 million to 1 billion (ORANGE)0
1 to 10 billion (RED)0
10 to 100 billion (RED)0
100 billion + (RED)0

Detailed Information

Estimated Population Exposed to Earthquake Shaking
Estimated Modified Mercalli IntensityIII-IIIIVVVIVIIVIIIIXX
Est. Population Exposure---*3,583k*805k1,523k8k0000
Perceived ShakingNot FeltWeakLightModerateStrongVery StrongSevereViolentExtreme
Potential Structure DamageResistantnonenonenoneV. LightLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. Heavy
VulnerablenonenonenoneLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. HeavyV. Heavy
*Estimated exposure only includes population within calculated shake map area
Population Exposure
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan
Population Exposure Map

Structure Information Summary

Overall, the population in this region resides in structures that are highly vulnerable to earthquake shaking, though some resistant structures exist.

Historical Earthquakes (with MMI)

Date (UTC)Dist (km)MagMax MMI (#)Shaking Deaths
2003-07-122054.2VI (9)0
1973-11-111415.5VII (2k)1
1977-04-063416VIII (31k)366

Recent earthquakes in this area have caused secondary hazards such as landslides that might have contributed to losses.

Selected Cities Exposedfrom GeoNames Database of Cities with 1,000 or more residents.
MMICityPopulation
VAkbarabad98k
VShiraz1,250k
IVFiruzabad67k
IIIKazerun95k
IIIKhani Yek2k
IIIFasa98k
IIIBorazjan86k
IIINurabad64k
IIBandar-e Bushehr165k
IIDo Gonbadan95k
IIDeh Dasht70k

(k = x1,000)

Historical Events Map
Nearby Events in the EXPO-CAT Earthquake Catalog
#Date/TimeMagLat, Lon, DepthCountryMax MMI (Exposed)DeathsSecondary Effects
ShakingTotal
11973-11-11
07:14 UTC
5.530.54° N, 52.95° E
2km
IRVII (2 k)11
21975-12-24
11:48 UTC
5.527.01° N, 55.47° E
8km
IRVII (192)00
31977-04-06
13:36 UTC
631.96° N, 50.65° E
11km
IRVIII (31 k)366366
41977-10-19
06:35 UTC
5.527.81° N, 54.89° E
32km
IRVII (290)00
51985-02-02
20:52 UTC
5.428.35° N, 52.97° E
14km
IRVIII (42)11
61985-08-07
15:43 UTC
5.527.86° N, 53.04° E
13km
IRVII (742)00
71986-05-02
03:18 UTC
5.528° N, 53.31° E
15km
IRVII (1 k)00
81986-07-12
07:54 UTC
5.729.91° N, 51.56° E
5km
IRVIII (272)11
91986-12-20
23:47 UTC
5.429.9° N, 51.58° E
11km
IRVII (15 k)00
101988-03-30
02:12 UTC
5.930.85° N, 50.18° E
28km
IRVIII (5)00landslide
111988-08-11
16:00 UTC
5.829.95° N, 51.58° E
15km
IRVIII (564)11
121988-08-11
16:04 UTC
629.9° N, 51.66° E
15km
IRVIII (10 k)11
131988-12-06
13:20 UTC
5.929.89° N, 51.63° E
12km
IRVIII (3 k)00
141989-05-27
20:08 UTC
630.15° N, 50.89° E
26km
IRVIII (1 k)00
151990-11-06
18:45 UTC
6.628.23° N, 55.46° E
10km
IRIX (5 k)2222
161990-11-06
19:30 UTC
5.728.23° N, 55.35° E
40km
IRVIII (106)00
171990-12-16
22:18 UTC
5.729.02° N, 51.31° E
16km
IRVIII (294)00landslide
181991-11-04
01:50 UTC
5.630.69° N, 50.25° E
18km
IRVIII (295)00
191991-11-10
15:19 UTC
530.59° N, 50.27° E
25km
IRVII (101 k)00
201992-03-04
11:57 UTC
5.131.61° N, 50.76° E
25km
IRVII (32 k)66landslide
211992-05-19
12:24 UTC
5.628.28° N, 55.6° E
15km
IRVIII (5)00
221992-09-08
00:38 UTC
5.229.13° N, 52.15° E
27km
IRVII (4 k)11landslide
231993-06-22
16:32 UTC
5.330.18° N, 50.83° E
13km
IRVII (546)00landslide
241994-03-01
03:49 UTC
629.14° N, 52.64° E
12km
IRVIII (1 k)22landslide
251994-03-30
19:55 UTC
5.428.97° N, 52.81° E
10km
IRVII (132)00
261994-06-20
09:09 UTC
5.929.06° N, 52.67° E
14km
IRVIII (22 k)33landslide
271995-01-24
04:14 UTC
4.927.57° N, 55.68° E
15km
IRVI (183)00
281996-05-24
06:35 UTC
5.227.82° N, 53.56° E
18km
IRVII (579)00
291997-08-24
21:11 UTC
528.83° N, 52.69° E
8km
IRVI (81 k)00
301997-10-03
11:28 UTC
5.327.76° N, 54.7° E
17km
IRVII (465)00
311998-11-13
13:01 UTC
5.427.79° N, 53.64° E
13km
IRVII (7 k)55landslide
321999-05-06
23:00 UTC
6.229.46° N, 51.88° E
20km
IRIX (24)2626
331999-10-31
15:09 UTC
5.229.37° N, 51.85° E
15km
IRVI (30 k)00
342002-02-17
13:03 UTC
5.328.09° N, 51.79° E
16km
IRVII (3 k)11
352003-01-11
17:45 UTC
5.229.62° N, 51.53° E
10km
IRVII (2 k)00
362003-07-10
17:06 UTC
5.728.31° N, 54.17° E
8km
IRVIII (749)11
372003-07-10
17:40 UTC
5.628.26° N, 54.11° E
14km
IRVII (5 k)00
382003-07-12
05:54 UTC
4.228.03° N, 53.97° E
10km
IRVI (9)00
392006-03-25
07:28 UTC
5.927.56° N, 55.63° E
18km
IRVIII (63)11
402006-03-25
09:55 UTC
5.527.54° N, 55.78° E
10km
IRVII (46)00

PAGER content is automatically generated, and only considers losses due to structural damage. Limitations of input data, shaking estimates, and loss models may add uncertainty. PAGER results are generally available within 30 minutes of the earthquake’s occurrence. However, information on the extent of shaking will be uncertain in the minutes and hours following an earthquake and typically improves as additional sensor data and reported intensities are acquired and incorporated into models of the earthquake's source. Users of PAGER estimates should account for uncertainty and always seek the most current PAGER release for any earthquake.