PAGER - M 5.7 - HINDU KUSH REGION, AFGHANISTAN

Alert level does not include impacts from earthquake-related hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires or liquefaction.

Earthquake Shaking Alert Level: GREEN

Download Alert PDF What's this?Thursday, July 12th, 2012 at 14:00:33 UTC (18:30:33 local)Location: 36.5° N, 70.9° EDepth: 190kmEvent Id: USB000B40IAlert Version: 2Created: 1 week, 0 days after earthquake.

Alert Information

Green alert for shaking-related fatalities and economic losses. There is a low likelihood of casualties and damage.

Estimated Fatalities

ESTIMATED FATALITY ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITIES (LEVEL)	Probability (%)
0 (GREEN)	99
1 to 9 (YELLOW)	1
10 to 99 (YELLOW)	0
100 to 999 (ORANGE)	0
1 to 10 thousand (RED)	0
10 to 100 thousand (RED)	0
100 thousand + (RED)	0

Estimated Economic Losses

ESTIMATED ECONOMIC ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED VALUE IN USD (LEVEL)	Probability (%)
0 to 1 million (GREEN)	99
1 to 10 million (YELLOW)	1
10 to 100 million (YELLOW)	0
100 million to 1 billion (ORANGE)	0
1 to 10 billion (RED)	0
10 to 100 billion (RED)	0
100 billion + (RED)	0

Estimated Population Exposed to Earthquake Shaking
Estimated Modified Mercalli Intensity		I	II-III	IV	V	VI	VII	VIII	IX	X
Est. Population Exposure		---*	8,449k*	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Perceived Shaking		Not Felt	Weak	Light	Moderate	Strong	Very Strong	Severe	Violent	Extreme
Potential Structure Damage	Resistant	none	none	none	V. Light	Light	Moderate	Moderate/Heavy	Heavy	V. Heavy
Potential Structure Damage	Vulnerable	none	none	none	Light	Moderate	Moderate/Heavy	Heavy	V. Heavy	V. Heavy

*Estimated exposure only includes population within calculated shake map area

Population Exposure
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan

Structure Information Summary

Overall, the population in this region resides in structures that are highly vulnerable to earthquake shaking, though some resistant structures exist.

Historical Earthquakes (with MMI)

Date (UTC)	Dist (km)	Mag	Max MMI (#)	Shaking Deaths
2004-08-10	17	6	IV (574k)	0
1998-12-11	11	5.6	III (4m)	5
1998-05-30	99	6.5	VII (715k)	4000

Recent earthquakes in this area have caused secondary hazards such as landslides and liquefaction that might have contributed to losses.

Selected Cities Exposedfrom GeoNames Database of Cities with 1,000 or more residents.

MMI	City	Population
III	Jarm	12k
III	Ashkasham	12k
III	Faizabad	40k
III	Ishkashim	26k
III	Dorufchah	4k
III	Farkhar	10k
III	Taloqan	64k
III	Khorugh	30k
III	Khanabad	72k
III	Kulob	79k
III	Charikar	54k

(k = x1,000)

Nearby Events in the EXPO-CAT Earthquake Catalog
#	Date/Time	Mag	Lat, Lon, Depth	Country	Max MMI (Exposed)	Deaths		Secondary Effects
#	Date/Time	Mag	Lat, Lon, Depth	Country	Max MMI (Exposed)	Shaking	Total	Secondary Effects
1	1973-01-03 14:31 UTC	5.5	39.16° N, 71.92° E 43km	TJ	VI (404)	0	0
2	1974-12-28 12:11 UTC	6.2	35.03° N, 72.9° E 13km	PK	VIII (6 k)	5300	5300
3	1976-03-19 13:03 UTC	5.6	36.59° N, 67.76° E 5km	AF	VIII (553)	49	49	landslide
4	1976-07-28 18:24 UTC	5.9	39.4° N, 72.76° E 29km	KG	VIII (14)	0	0
5	1977-01-31 14:26 UTC	6	40.09° N, 70.87° E 24km	KG	VII (295 k)	0	0
6	1978-11-01 19:48 UTC	6.6	39.36° N, 72.59° E 23km	KG	VIII (250)	0	0
7	1978-11-08 00:57 UTC	5.2	39.34° N, 72.57° E 28km	TJ	VI (2 k)	0	0
8	1979-07-02 16:30 UTC	4.5	34.53° N, 74.29° E 35km	IN	V (459 k)	0	3
9	1981-06-13 07:29 UTC	5.6	36.2° N, 67.84° E 21km	AF	VIII (5)	1	1
10	1981-09-12 07:15 UTC	6.1	35.68° N, 73.6° E 15km	PK	IX (10)	220	229	landslide
11	1982-12-16 00:40 UTC	6.4	36.11° N, 68.98° E 37km	AF	VIII (1 k)	500	500
12	1983-12-16 13:15 UTC	5.9	39.36° N, 72.94° E 10km	KG	VIII (60)	12	12
13	1983-12-22 05:31 UTC	5.5	36.03° N, 69.15° E 15km	AF	VII (5 k)	0	0
14	1983-12-30 23:52 UTC	7.4	36.39° N, 70.71° E 215km	AF	V (6,789 k)	12	12
15	1984-02-01 14:22 UTC	6.1	34.58° N, 70.47° E 9km	AF	IX (38)	1	1
16	1984-02-16 17:18 UTC	6.4	36.45° N, 70.85° E 209km	AF	IV (3,605 k)	4	4
17	1984-10-26 20:22 UTC	6.1	39.16° N, 71.35° E 15km	TJ	VIII (2 k)	0	0
18	1985-07-29 07:54 UTC	7.4	36.16° N, 70.86° E 100km	AF	VII (454 k)	5	5	landslide
19	1986-01-12 20:14 UTC	5.6	34.16° N, 69.6° E 9km	AF	VIII (129)	0	0
20	1988-07-20 06:20 UTC	5.5	37.02° N, 72.9° E 14km	AF	VII (148)	0	0
21	1988-09-25 20:52 UTC	5.5	37.17° N, 71.78° E 7km	TJ	VII (740)	0	0
22	1989-01-22 23:02 UTC	5.3	38.48° N, 68.7° E 2km	TJ	VII (121 k)	0	274	landslide
23	1990-03-05 20:47 UTC	6.1	36.89° N, 73.02° E 11km	AF	VIII (470)	0	0
24	1990-07-13 14:20 UTC	6.3	36.43° N, 70.78° E 212km	AF	IV (2,561 k)	0	43	landslide
25	1990-11-03 16:39 UTC	5.4	39.05° N, 71.4° E 9km	TJ	VII (40)	0	0
26	1991-01-31 23:03 UTC	6.8	35.95° N, 70.44° E 142km	AF	V (4,531 k)	0	703	landslide
27	1991-04-18 09:18 UTC	5.5	37.46° N, 68.27° E 11km	TJ	VII (26 k)	3	3	landslide
28	1992-05-10 04:04 UTC	5.8	37.16° N, 72.91° E 39km	AF	VIII (8)	0	0
29	1992-05-20 12:20 UTC	6	33.34° N, 71.31° E 19km	PK	VIII (55 k)	36	36
30	1992-11-23 23:11 UTC	5.6	38.55° N, 72.61° E 36km	TJ	VI (2 k)	0	0
31	1994-05-01 12:00 UTC	6.1	36.94° N, 67.14° E 21km	AF	IX (260)	160	160
32	1994-10-21 05:06 UTC	5.5	36.4° N, 69.64° E 33km	AF	VII (1)	0	0
33	1997-03-19 19:57 UTC	4.9	34.79° N, 71.52° E 15km	PK	VI (386 k)	15	15
34	1997-05-13 14:13 UTC	6.4	36.45° N, 71.01° E 195km	AF	IV (6,292 k)	1	1
35	1998-02-04 14:33 UTC	5.9	37.07° N, 70.04° E 31km	AF	VIII (3 k)	2323	2323	landslide
36	1998-02-20 12:18 UTC	6.3	36.46° N, 71.07° E 235km	AF	IV (913 k)	1	1	landslide
37	1998-05-30 06:22 UTC	6.5	37.14° N, 70.1° E 34km	AF	VII (715 k)	4000	4000	landslide
38	1998-12-11 20:16 UTC	5.6	36.52° N, 71° E 219km	AF	III (3,546 k)	5	5
39	1999-02-11 14:08 UTC	6	34.32° N, 69.23° E 37km	AF	VIII (56)	70	70
40	1999-11-08 16:45 UTC	6.5	36.47° N, 71.24° E 226km	AF	IV (5,016 k)	0	0
41	2000-07-17 22:53 UTC	6.3	36.24° N, 70.94° E 135km	AF	V (191 k)	2	2
42	2001-06-01 14:00 UTC	5	35.11° N, 69.32° E 45km	AF	V (1,344 k)	4	4
43	2001-09-02 16:58 UTC	5.5	38.76° N, 71.96° E 15km	TJ	VII (21)	0	0
44	2002-01-03 07:05 UTC	6.1	36° N, 70.65° E 133km	AF	V (19 k)	0	0
45	2002-01-09 06:45 UTC	5.2	38.64° N, 69.84° E 29km	TJ	VI (51 k)	3	3
46	2002-02-03 20:59 UTC	4.9	38.66° N, 69.88° E 27km	TJ	VI (16 k)	0	0
47	2002-03-03 12:08 UTC	7.3	36.42° N, 70.46° E 205km	AF	V (8,484 k)	0	0
48	2002-03-25 14:56 UTC	6.1	36.05° N, 69.21° E 8km	AF	VII (49 k)	1000	1000	landslide
49	2002-03-27 08:52 UTC	5.6	36.05° N, 69.25° E 9km	AF	VII (4 k)	0	0	landslide
50	2002-04-12 04:00 UTC	5.8	35.98° N, 69.29° E 7km	AF	VIII (628)	50	50	landslide
51	2002-09-05 11:03 UTC	5.4	39.72° N, 71.96° E 16km	KG	VII (27)	0	0
52	2002-11-01 22:09 UTC	5.3	35.39° N, 74.63° E 28km	PK	VII (1 k)	11	11	landslide
53	2002-11-03 07:33 UTC	5.3	35.35° N, 74.6° E 16km	PK	VII (261)	0	0
54	2002-11-20 21:32 UTC	6.3	35.33° N, 74.55° E 13km	PK	IX (124)	19	19	landslide
55	2003-03-29 11:46 UTC	5.8	35.9° N, 70.55° E 110km	AF	V (22 k)	1	1
56	2004-02-14 10:30 UTC	5.4	34.75° N, 73.18° E 11km	PK	VII (19 k)	10	24	landslide
57	2004-02-14 11:56 UTC	5.3	34.77° N, 73.17° E 11km	PK	VII (10 k)	0	0
58	2004-04-05 21:24 UTC	6.5	36.5° N, 71.02° E 175km	AF	V (631)	3	3
59	2004-07-18 08:31 UTC	5.2	33.34° N, 69.48° E 6km	AF	VII (2 k)	2	2
60	2004-08-10 01:47 UTC	6	36.4° N, 70.74° E 206km	AF	IV (574 k)	0	0
61	2004-11-17 20:58 UTC	5.8	39.19° N, 71.8° E 16km	TJ	VIII (4)	0	0
62	2005-10-08 03:50 UTC	7.6	34.46° N, 73.58° E 19km	PK	IX (290 k)	87351	87351	landslide, liquefaction
63	2005-10-08 03:57 UTC	5.9	34.25° N, 73.55° E 3km	PK	VIII (31 k)	0	0
64	2005-10-08 03:58 UTC	5.7	35.06° N, 73.73° E 36km	PK	VII (4 k)	0	0
65	2005-10-08 04:01 UTC	5.6	34.79° N, 73.22° E 26km	PK	VII (213 k)	0	0
66	2005-10-08 04:02 UTC	5.6	34.52° N, 73.27° E 24km	PK	VII (1,060 k)	0	0
67	2005-10-08 04:26 UTC	5.7	34.63° N, 73.11° E 10km	PK	VIII (18 k)	0	0
68	2005-10-08 05:26 UTC	5.5	34.74° N, 73.1° E 23km	PK	VII (450 k)	0	0
69	2005-10-08 10:46 UTC	6.4	34.67° N, 73.04° E 8km	PK	IX (73 k)	0	0
70	2005-10-08 12:08 UTC	5.7	34.6° N, 73.15° E 32km	PK	VII (569 k)	0	0
71	2005-10-08 12:25 UTC	5.7	34.74° N, 73.06° E 16km	PK	VIII (2 k)	0	0
72	2005-10-08 21:13 UTC	5.5	34.69° N, 73.15° E 13km	PK	VII (68 k)	0	0
73	2005-10-09 08:30 UTC	5.7	34.63° N, 73.14° E 11km	PK	VIII (9 k)	0	0
74	2005-10-15 04:24 UTC	5.2	33.98° N, 73.93° E 12km	PK	VII (2 k)	2	2
75	2005-10-19 02:33 UTC	5.6	34.75° N, 72.99° E 6km	PK	VIII (586)	0	0
76	2005-10-23 15:04 UTC	5.5	34.8° N, 73.01° E 6km	PK	VII (141 k)	0	0
77	2005-11-06 02:11 UTC	5.1	34.48° N, 73.34° E 12km	PK	VII (10 k)	0	0
78	2005-12-12 21:47 UTC	6.5	36.28° N, 71.11° E 224km	AF	V (128 k)	5	5
79	2006-04-04 09:12 UTC	4.6	34.6° N, 73.14° E 10km	PK	VI (78 k)	0	0
80	2006-07-06 03:57 UTC	5.8	39.13° N, 71.82° E 24km	TJ	VII (14 k)	0	0
81	2006-07-29 00:11 UTC	5.6	37.26° N, 68.83° E 34km	TJ	VII (296 k)	3	3
82	2006-08-06 14:26 UTC	5.6	37.37° N, 74.73° E 11km	AF	VIII (39)	0	0
83	2007-01-08 17:21 UTC	6	39.77° N, 70.3° E 16km	KG	VIII (329)	0	0
84	2007-07-21 22:44 UTC	5.2	38.94° N, 70.49° E 10km	TJ	VII (71)	3	12	landslide

PAGER content is automatically generated, and only considers losses due to structural damage. Limitations of input data, shaking estimates, and loss models may add uncertainty. PAGER results are generally available within 30 minutes of the earthquake’s occurrence. However, information on the extent of shaking will be uncertain in the minutes and hours following an earthquake and typically improves as additional sensor data and reported intensities are acquired and incorporated into models of the earthquake's source. Users of PAGER estimates should account for uncertainty and always seek the most current PAGER release for any earthquake.