PAGER - M 5.6 - EASTERN MEDITERRANEAN SEA

Alert level does not include impacts from earthquake-related hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires or liquefaction.

Earthquake Shaking Alert Level: GREEN

Download Alert PDF What's this?Monday, July 9th, 2012 at 13:55:00 UTC (15:55:00 local)Location: 35.6° N, 28.9° EDepth: 55kmEvent Id: USB000B1AGAlert Version: 5Created: 1 week, 1 day after earthquake.

Alert Information

Green alert for shaking-related fatalities and economic losses. There is a low likelihood of casualties and damage.

Estimated Fatalities

ESTIMATED FATALITY ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITIES (LEVEL)	Probability (%)
0 (GREEN)	99
1 to 9 (YELLOW)	1
10 to 99 (YELLOW)	0
100 to 999 (ORANGE)	0
1 to 10 thousand (RED)	0
10 to 100 thousand (RED)	0
100 thousand + (RED)	0

Estimated Economic Losses

ESTIMATED ECONOMIC ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED VALUE IN USD (LEVEL)	Probability (%)
0 to 1 million (GREEN)	99
1 to 10 million (YELLOW)	1
10 to 100 million (YELLOW)	0
100 million to 1 billion (ORANGE)	0
1 to 10 billion (RED)	0
10 to 100 billion (RED)	0
100 billion + (RED)	0

Detailed Information

Estimated Population Exposed to Earthquake Shaking
Estimated Modified Mercalli Intensity		I	II-III	IV	V	VI	VII	VIII	IX	X
Est. Population Exposure		---*	1,973k*	158k	0	0	0	0	0	0
Perceived Shaking		Not Felt	Weak	Light	Moderate	Strong	Very Strong	Severe	Violent	Extreme
Potential Structure Damage	Resistant	none	none	none	V. Light	Light	Moderate	Moderate/Heavy	Heavy	V. Heavy
Potential Structure Damage	Vulnerable	none	none	none	Light	Moderate	Moderate/Heavy	Heavy	V. Heavy	V. Heavy

*Estimated exposure only includes population within calculated shake map area

Population Exposure
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan

Structure Information Summary

Overall, the population in this region resides in structures that are a mix of vulnerable and earthquake resistant construction.

Historical Earthquakes (with MMI)

Date (UTC)	Dist (km)	Mag	Max MMI (#)	Shaking Deaths
2003-04-10	341	5.7	VI (371)	0
2002-01-21	349	4.8	VI (97k)	1
1995-10-01	296	6.4	IX (42k)	101

Recent earthquakes in this area have caused secondary hazards such as landslides that might have contributed to losses.

Selected Cities Exposedfrom GeoNames Database of Cities with 1,000 or more residents.

MMI	City	Population
IV	Kas	7k
IV	Archangelos	5k
IV	Lardos	1k
IV	Afantou	6k
IV	Faliraki	6k
IV	Trianta	11k
IV	Rodos	56k
III	Fethiye	60k
III	Mugla	48k
III	Bodrum	39k
III	Antalya	758k

(k = x1,000)

Nearby Events in the EXPO-CAT Earthquake Catalog
#	Date/Time	Mag	Lat, Lon, Depth	Country	Max MMI (Exposed)	Deaths		Secondary Effects
#	Date/Time	Mag	Lat, Lon, Depth	Country	Max MMI (Exposed)	Shaking	Total	Secondary Effects
1	1974-02-01 00:01 UTC	5.4	38.54° N, 27.26° E 12km	TR	VII (2 k)	2	2
2	1976-08-19 01:12 UTC	5	37.74° N, 29.02° E 12km	TR	VIII (14 k)	4	4
3	1977-12-09 15:53 UTC	4.6	38.36° N, 27.22° E 23km	TR	VI (1,741 k)	0	0
4	1986-10-11 09:00 UTC	5.6	37.94° N, 28.56° E 13km	TR	VII (14 k)	0	0
5	1990-07-18 11:29 UTC	5.5	37.03° N, 29.53° E 41km	TR	VI (70 k)	0	0
6	1992-04-30 11:44 UTC	5.7	35.11° N, 26.66° E 27km	GR	VII (2)	0	0
7	1992-11-06 19:08 UTC	6	38.05° N, 27° E 10km	TR	IX (2 k)	0	0
8	1995-02-23 21:03 UTC	5.9	35.06° N, 32.27° E 19km	CY	VIII (60)	2	2
9	1995-10-01 15:57 UTC	6.4	38.08° N, 30.14° E 31km	TR	IX (42 k)	101	101
10	1996-07-20 00:00 UTC	6.2	36.2° N, 27.07° E 8km	GR	VI (2 k)	0	0
11	1996-10-09 13:10 UTC	6.8	34.56° N, 32.14° E 29km	CY	VII (29 k)	1	2
12	1996-10-09 14:19 UTC	5.7	34.52° N, 32.17° E 36km	CY	VI (39 k)	0	0
13	1996-10-10 01:10 UTC	5.7	34.55° N, 32.15° E 27km	CY	VII (121)	0	0
14	1997-01-13 10:19 UTC	5.7	34.31° N, 32.34° E 21km	CY	V (113 k)	0	0
15	1999-05-25 17:15 UTC	5.5	34.54° N, 32.21° E 38km	CY	VI (22 k)	0	0
16	1999-08-11 04:27 UTC	5.6	34.73° N, 32.94° E 27km	CY	VII (166 k)	0	0	landslide
17	1999-10-05 00:53 UTC	5.2	36.75° N, 28.22° E 22km	TR	VII (71 k)	0	0
18	2000-04-21 12:23 UTC	5.4	37.85° N, 29.35° E 30km	TR	VII (21 k)	0	0
19	2000-12-15 16:44 UTC	6	38.45° N, 31.26° E 12km	TR	VIII (4 k)	6	6
20	2002-01-21 14:34 UTC	4.8	38.63° N, 27.89° E 28km	TR	VI (97 k)	1	1
21	2002-01-22 04:53 UTC	6.2	35.62° N, 26.64° E 88km	GR	VI (1 k)	0	1
22	2002-02-03 07:11 UTC	6.5	38.52° N, 31.22° E 5km	TR	IX (11 k)	44	44
23	2002-02-03 07:14 UTC	5.5	38.7° N, 30.87° E 10km	TR	VIII (325)	0	0
24	2002-02-03 09:26 UTC	5.8	38.66° N, 30.91° E 11km	TR	VIII (3 k)	0	0
25	2003-04-10 00:40 UTC	5.7	38.23° N, 26.93° E 14km	TR	VI (371)	0	0
26	2003-07-26 08:36 UTC	5.4	38.06° N, 28.9° E 25km	TR	VII (73 k)	0	0
27	2004-08-04 03:01 UTC	5.5	36.86° N, 27.76° E 40km	TR	VI (49 k)	0	0
28	2004-12-20 23:02 UTC	5.3	36.94° N, 28.34° E 36km	TR	VI (132 k)	0	0	landslide
29	2005-01-10 23:48 UTC	5.4	36.86° N, 27.89° E 39km	TR	VI (34 k)	0	0
30	2005-01-23 22:36 UTC	5.8	35.89° N, 29.7° E 45km	TR	VI (15 k)	0	0
31	2005-10-17 05:45 UTC	5.5	38.14° N, 26.7° E 11km	TR	VII (3 k)	0	0
32	2005-10-17 09:46 UTC	5.8	38.14° N, 26.73° E 6km	TR	VIII (11)	0	0
33	2005-10-20 21:40 UTC	5.8	38.15° N, 26.75° E 8km	TR	VIII (4 k)	0	1

MMI	City	Population
IV	Kas	7k
IV	Archangelos	5k
IV	Lardos	1k
IV	Afantou	6k
IV	Faliraki	6k
IV	Trianta	11k
IV	Rodos	56k
IV	Kremasti	5k
III	Embonas	1k
III	Kale	14k
III	Demre	15k
III	Sarigerme	16k
III	Goecek	5k
III	Dalaman	19k
III	Finike	9k
III	Ortaca	20k
III	Dalyan	5k
III	Fethiye	60k
III	Symi	3k
III	Kumluca	30k
III	Elmali	17k
III	Karpathos	2k
III	Altinyayla	4k
III	Ula	5k
III	Datca	10k
III	Tekirova	20k
III	Golhisar	13k
III	Kemer	17k
III	Mugla	48k
III	Korkuteli	20k
III	Kos	19k
III	Kardamaina	2k
III	Marmaris	34k
III	Ziparion	3k
III	Bodrum	39k
III	Pylion	2k
III	Antimacheia	2k
III	Antalya	758k
III	Kefalos	3k
III	Kalymnos	10k

(k = x1,000)

PAGER content is automatically generated, and only considers losses due to structural damage. Limitations of input data, shaking estimates, and loss models may add uncertainty. PAGER results are generally available within 30 minutes of the earthquake’s occurrence. However, information on the extent of shaking will be uncertain in the minutes and hours following an earthquake and typically improves as additional sensor data and reported intensities are acquired and incorporated into models of the earthquake's source. Users of PAGER estimates should account for uncertainty and always seek the most current PAGER release for any earthquake.