PAGER - M 6.3 - NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

Alert level does not include impacts from earthquake-related hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires or liquefaction.

Earthquake Shaking Alert Level: GREEN

Download Alert PDF What's this?Sunday, June 17th, 2012 at 20:32:20 UTC (05:32:20 local)Location: 38.9° N, 141.9° EDepth: 36kmEvent Id: USB000AHY0Alert Version: 4Created: 1 week, 0 days after earthquake.

Alert Information

Green alert for shaking-related fatalities and economic losses. There is a low likelihood of casualties and damage.

Estimated Fatalities

ESTIMATED FATALITY ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITIES (LEVEL)	Probability (%)
0 (GREEN)	68
1 to 9 (YELLOW)	30
10 to 99 (YELLOW)	2
100 to 999 (ORANGE)	0
1 to 10 thousand (RED)	0
10 to 100 thousand (RED)	0
100 thousand + (RED)	0

Estimated Economic Losses

ESTIMATED ECONOMIC ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED VALUE IN USD (LEVEL)	Probability (%)
0 to 1 million (GREEN)	65
1 to 10 million (YELLOW)	30
10 to 100 million (YELLOW)	4
100 million to 1 billion (ORANGE)	0
1 to 10 billion (RED)	0
10 to 100 billion (RED)	0
100 billion + (RED)	0

Detailed Information

Estimated Population Exposed to Earthquake Shaking
Estimated Modified Mercalli Intensity		I	II-III	IV	V	VI	VII	VIII	IX	X
Est. Population Exposure		---*	8,883k*	3,177k	119k	0	0	0	0	0
Perceived Shaking		Not Felt	Weak	Light	Moderate	Strong	Very Strong	Severe	Violent	Extreme
Potential Structure Damage	Resistant	none	none	none	V. Light	Light	Moderate	Moderate/Heavy	Heavy	V. Heavy
Potential Structure Damage	Vulnerable	none	none	none	Light	Moderate	Moderate/Heavy	Heavy	V. Heavy	V. Heavy

*Estimated exposure only includes population within calculated shake map area

Population Exposure
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan

Structure Information Summary

Overall, the population in this region resides in structures that are resistant to earthquake shaking, though some vulnerable structures exist.

Historical Earthquakes (with MMI)

Date (UTC)	Dist (km)	Mag	Max MMI (#)	Shaking Deaths
1981-01-22	106	6.4	V (203k)	0
1980-09-23	370	5.3	V (13m)	1
1983-05-26	296	7.7	VII (174k)	104

Recent earthquakes in this area have caused secondary hazards such as landslides and fires that might have contributed to losses.

Selected Cities Exposedfrom GeoNames Database of Cities with 1,000 or more residents.

MMI	City	Population
V	Tono	27k
IV	Kamaishi	43k
IV	Ofunato	35k
IV	Otsuchi	17k
IV	Wakuya	18k
IV	Ishinomaki	117k
IV	Sendai	1,038k
IV	Morioka	295k
III	Aomori	298k
III	Akita	0
III	Fukushima	294k

(k = x1,000)

Nearby Events in the EXPO-CAT Earthquake Catalog
#	Date/Time	Mag	Lat, Lon, Depth	Country	Max MMI (Exposed)	Deaths		Secondary Effects
#	Date/Time	Mag	Lat, Lon, Depth	Country	Max MMI (Exposed)	Shaking	Total	Secondary Effects
1	1973-11-19 13:01 UTC	6.5	38.95° N, 141.94° E 55km	JP	VII (205 k)	0	0
2	1974-01-24 19:12 UTC	6.1	42.06° N, 143.86° E 42km	JP	VI (18 k)	0	0
3	1974-07-08 05:45 UTC	6.1	36.43° N, 141.14° E 45km	JP	VI (1,050 k)	0	0
4	1974-08-03 18:16 UTC	5.6	36.02° N, 139.9° E 51km	JP	VI (9,877 k)	2	2
5	1974-11-15 23:32 UTC	5.8	35.82° N, 141.07° E 42km	JP	VII (21 k)	0	0
6	1976-11-08 08:19 UTC	6.2	38.14° N, 142.25° E 44km	JP	VI (2 k)	0	0
7	1978-05-16 07:35 UTC	5.5	41.06° N, 141.35° E 44km	JP	VI (105 k)	0	0
8	1978-06-12 08:06 UTC	5.7	38.23° N, 142.11° E 46km	JP	V (281 k)	0	28	tsunami
9	1978-06-12 08:14 UTC	7.6	38.22° N, 142.02° E 53km	JP	VIII (1,304 k)	22	22
10	1978-06-14 11:34 UTC	6.4	38.42° N, 142.39° E 41km	JP	VI (16 k)	0	0
11	1979-07-11 01:58 UTC	5.9	36.64° N, 141.29° E 42km	JP	VI (170 k)	0	0
12	1980-01-12 15:57 UTC	6.1	41.74° N, 143.66° E 31km	JP	VII (415)	0	0
13	1980-09-23 19:10 UTC	5.3	36° N, 139.74° E 83km	JP	V (12,718 k)	1	1
14	1981-01-18 18:11 UTC	7	38.64° N, 142.9° E 39km	JP	VI (160 k)	0	0
15	1981-01-18 18:17 UTC	6.9	38.71° N, 142.8° E 46km	JP	VI (246 k)	0	0
16	1981-01-22 19:34 UTC	6.4	38.28° N, 142.8° E 27km	JP	V (203 k)	0	0
17	1981-09-02 09:24 UTC	5.7	35.8° N, 141° E 44km	JP	VI (465 k)	0	0
18	1982-03-21 02:32 UTC	6.9	42.26° N, 142.42° E 27km	JP	VIII (48 k)	0	0	landslide, tsunami
19	1982-03-21 10:22 UTC	5.5	42.29° N, 142.55° E 24km	JP	VII (47 k)	0	0
20	1982-07-23 14:23 UTC	7	36.3° N, 141.78° E 24km	JP	VI (1,855 k)	0	0
21	1983-02-27 12:14 UTC	5.9	35.95° N, 140.04° E 67km	JP	VI (13,082 k)	0	0
22	1983-04-30 14:03 UTC	6.3	41.56° N, 143.79° E 23km	JP	VI (6 k)	0	0
23	1983-05-26 02:59 UTC	7.7	40.47° N, 139.09° E 15km	JP	VII (174 k)	104	104	tsunami
24	1983-06-21 06:25 UTC	6.8	41.37° N, 139.12° E 9km	JP	VIII (4)	0	0
25	1983-07-01 22:03 UTC	5.6	36.99° N, 141.03° E 43km	JP	VI (395 k)	0	0
26	1984-01-17 15:31 UTC	5.7	36.47° N, 141.19° E 44km	JP	V (1,842 k)	0	0
27	1985-10-04 12:25 UTC	5.9	35.86° N, 140.08° E 72km	JP	VI (10,069 k)	0	0
28	1985-12-02 07:14 UTC	5.5	41.23° N, 139.85° E 24km	JP	VII (2 k)	0	0
29	1986-02-12 02:59 UTC	6.2	36.43° N, 140.98° E 45km	JP	VII (333 k)	0	0
30	1987-01-09 06:14 UTC	6.6	39.88° N, 141.62° E 75km	JP	VII (294 k)	0	0
31	1987-02-06 12:23 UTC	6.4	37.02° N, 141.71° E 38km	JP	VI (366 k)	0	0
32	1987-02-06 13:16 UTC	6.7	37.02° N, 141.73° E 41km	JP	VII (11 k)	0	0
33	1987-03-24 12:49 UTC	5.6	37.48° N, 137.89° E 26km	JP	VI (77 k)	0	0
34	1987-04-07 00:40 UTC	6.6	37.38° N, 141.69° E 42km	JP	VII (30 k)	0	0
35	1987-04-16 19:23 UTC	6	37.09° N, 141.53° E 41km	JP	VI (159 k)	0	0
36	1987-04-22 20:13 UTC	6.6	37.17° N, 141.4° E 51km	JP	VII (345 k)	0	0
37	1987-09-24 04:55 UTC	5.9	36.64° N, 141.26° E 45km	JP	VI (230 k)	0	0
38	1988-09-26 08:23 UTC	5.7	35.55° N, 141.01° E 31km	JP	VII (103 k)	0	0
39	1989-01-24 20:03 UTC	5.5	42.29° N, 142.69° E 42km	JP	VI (55 k)	0	0
40	1989-02-19 12:27 UTC	5.5	36.04° N, 139.86° E 45km	JP	VI (9,262 k)	1	1
41	1989-11-01 18:25 UTC	7.4	39.92° N, 142.79° E 29km	JP	VII (41 k)	0	0
42	1990-08-05 03:36 UTC	6.1	36.41° N, 141.19° E 27km	JP	VI (1,042 k)	0	0
43	1991-08-06 14:49 UTC	5.9	35.81° N, 141.11° E 29km	JP	VII (143 k)	0	0
44	1992-07-18 08:39 UTC	6.9	39.62° N, 143.11° E 31km	JP	VI (100 k)	0	0
45	1993-03-25 07:08 UTC	6	41.83° N, 143.47° E 37km	JP	VII (3 k)	0	0
46	1993-08-07 19:42 UTC	6.3	42.08° N, 139.87° E 20km	JP	VIII (6 k)	0	0
47	1994-12-28 12:19 UTC	7.7	40.54° N, 143.44° E 16km	JP	VII (132 k)	3	3	tsunami
48	1995-01-06 22:37 UTC	7	40.35° N, 142.22° E 28km	JP	VIII (8 k)	0	0
49	1995-01-07 02:36 UTC	6	40.35° N, 142.4° E 33km	JP	VI (37 k)	0	0
50	1995-01-09 18:00 UTC	5.9	35.93° N, 141.4° E 37km	JP	VI (78 k)	0	0
51	1995-04-01 03:49 UTC	5.4	37.95° N, 139.21° E 11km	JP	VIII (225)	0	0
52	1995-09-26 07:14 UTC	5.9	41.83° N, 143.37° E 39km	JP	VII (5 k)	0	0
53	1996-08-10 18:12 UTC	5.9	39° N, 140.55° E 9km	JP	VI (158)	0	0
54	1996-08-10 18:54 UTC	5.4	38.97° N, 140.61° E 25km	JP	VII (28 k)	0	0
55	1996-08-10 23:10 UTC	5.7	38.96° N, 140.66° E 13km	JP	VIII (55)	0	0
56	1996-12-21 01:28 UTC	5.5	36.12° N, 139.77° E 60km	JP	VI (11,098 k)	0	0
57	1998-02-21 00:55 UTC	5.1	37.28° N, 138.71° E 19km	JP	VII (5 k)	0	0
58	1998-09-03 07:58 UTC	5.8	39.79° N, 140.75° E 6km	JP	VI (360)	0	0
59	1998-09-15 07:24 UTC	5.1	38.37° N, 140.61° E 10km	JP	VII (55)	0	0
60	1999-03-25 23:31 UTC	5.2	36.49° N, 140.48° E 56km	JP	V (1,894 k)	0	0
61	2000-06-03 08:54 UTC	6.1	35.57° N, 140.46° E 51km	JP	VII (1,434 k)	0	0
62	2000-07-20 18:39 UTC	6	36.55° N, 140.94° E 31km	JP	VI (541 k)	0	0
63	2000-12-04 16:47 UTC	5.7	35.8° N, 140.91° E 40km	JP	VII (94 k)	0	0
64	2001-08-13 20:11 UTC	6.4	41.05° N, 142.28° E 38km	JP	VI (10 k)	0	0
65	2002-06-14 02:42 UTC	4.9	36.24° N, 139.83° E 56km	JP	V (2,522 k)	0	0
66	2002-10-14 14:12 UTC	6.1	41.23° N, 142.2° E 40km	JP	VI (30)	0	0
67	2002-11-03 03:37 UTC	6.4	38.95° N, 141.94° E 39km	JP	VI (31 k)	0	0
68	2003-05-11 15:57 UTC	5.3	35.85° N, 139.97° E 60km	JP	V (26,839 k)	0	0
69	2003-05-26 09:24 UTC	7	38.86° N, 141.5° E 68km	JP	VIII (443)	0	0	fire, landslide
70	2003-07-25 15:13 UTC	5.4	38.5° N, 141.04° E 12km	JP	VIII (35)	0	0	landslide
71	2003-07-25 22:13 UTC	6	38.48° N, 141.03° E 6km	JP	VIII (57 k)	0	0
72	2003-07-26 07:56 UTC	5.2	38.56° N, 141.04° E 13km	JP	VII (44 k)	0	0
73	2003-09-25 19:50 UTC	8.3	41.86° N, 143.87° E 27km	JP	IX (3 k)	0	0	fire, landslide, tsunami
74	2003-09-25 20:57 UTC	5.7	41.76° N, 143.63° E 33km	JP	VI (5 k)	0	0
75	2003-09-25 21:08 UTC	7.3	41.8° N, 143.55° E 38km	JP	VIII (9 k)	0	0
76	2003-10-31 01:06 UTC	7	37.87° N, 142.59° E 20km	JP	V (7,236 k)	0	0
77	2003-11-14 18:43 UTC	5.7	36.47° N, 141.07° E 43km	JP	V (1,333 k)	0	0
78	2004-04-03 23:02 UTC	5.9	36.41° N, 141.07° E 43km	JP	V (1,197 k)	0	0
79	2004-10-06 14:40 UTC	5.7	35.94° N, 139.94° E 67km	JP	VI (1,584 k)	0	0
80	2004-10-23 08:56 UTC	6.6	37.26° N, 138.79° E 16km	JP	IX (71 k)	16	48	fire, landslide
81	2004-10-23 08:59 UTC	5.7	37.26° N, 138.82° E 16km	JP	VIII (3 k)	0	0
82	2004-10-23 09:03 UTC	6.1	37.34° N, 138.87° E 14km	JP	VII (194 k)	0	0
83	2004-10-23 09:11 UTC	5.8	37.26° N, 138.66° E 18km	JP	VII (2)	0	0
84	2004-10-23 09:34 UTC	6.3	37.34° N, 138.88° E 16km	JP	VIII (39 k)	0	0
85	2004-10-23 09:57 UTC	5.5	37.22° N, 138.72° E 13km	JP	VII (15 k)	0	0
86	2004-10-23 10:36 UTC	5.7	37.21° N, 138.65° E 12km	JP	V (144 k)	0	0
87	2004-10-23 10:45 UTC	5.7	37.29° N, 138.66° E 18km	JP	VI (355)	0	0
88	2004-10-24 21:04 UTC	5.6	37.31° N, 138.71° E 12km	JP	VII (14 k)	0	0
89	2004-10-27 01:40 UTC	5.9	37.31° N, 138.93° E 12km	JP	VII (9 k)	0	0
90	2004-11-03 23:57 UTC	5.2	37.46° N, 138.81° E 15km	JP	VII (166 k)	0	0
91	2004-11-08 02:15 UTC	5.5	37.4° N, 138.87° E 9km	JP	VII (56 k)	0	0	landslide
92	2004-11-09 18:43 UTC	5	37.4° N, 138.85° E 10km	JP	VII (54 k)	0	0	landslide
93	2005-02-15 19:46 UTC	5.4	36° N, 139.72° E 48km	JP	V (11,071 k)	0	0
94	2005-04-10 22:22 UTC	5.9	35.6° N, 140.4° E 48km	JP	V (13,054 k)	0	0
95	2005-06-19 16:15 UTC	5.7	35.63° N, 140.5° E 50km	JP	VI (2,959 k)	0	0
96	2005-06-20 04:03 UTC	4.9	37.22° N, 138.45° E 19km	JP	VII (332)	0	0
97	2005-08-16 02:46 UTC	7.2	38.27° N, 142.03° E 40km	JP	VII (208 k)	0	0	tsunami
98	2005-08-21 02:29 UTC	4.8	37.29° N, 138.62° E 14km	JP	VI (96 k)	0	0
99	2005-10-16 07:05 UTC	5	36.02° N, 139.79° E 50km	JP	V (13,937 k)	0	0
100	2005-10-19 11:44 UTC	6.3	36.38° N, 140.86° E 42km	JP	VI (70 k)	0	0
101	2005-12-02 13:13 UTC	6.5	38.07° N, 142.13° E 41km	JP	VII (217)	0	0
102	2005-12-16 18:32 UTC	6	38.49° N, 141.93° E 47km	JP	VI (228 k)	0	0
103	2007-02-17 00:02 UTC	6	41.82° N, 143.55° E 31km	JP	VII (2 k)	0	0
104	2007-07-16 01:13 UTC	6.6	37.52° N, 138.46° E 12km	JP	IX (114)	9	9	landslide, tsunami
105	2007-07-16 06:37 UTC	5.7	37.5° N, 138.47° E 15km	JP	VII (82)	0	0

MMI	City	Population
V	Tono	27k
IV	Kamaishi	43k
IV	Ofunato	35k
IV	Otsuchi	17k
IV	Wakuya	18k
IV	Mizusawa	61k
IV	Ishinomaki	117k
IV	Kogota	20k
IV	Kitakami	94k
IV	Yamada	20k
IV	Yamoto	32k
IV	Furukawa	76k
IV	Hanamaki	73k
IV	Ichinoseki	63k
IV	Miyako	52k
IV	Shiogama	60k
IV	Iwanuma	42k
IV	Watari	36k
IV	Rifu	35k
IV	Tomiya	43k
IV	Kakuda	33k
IV	Okawara	23k
IV	Shizukuishi	20k
IV	Omagari	39k
IV	Sendai	1,038k
IV	Morioka	295k
IV	Marumori	17k
IV	Hachinohe	239k
III	Yuzawa	34k
III	Yokote	39k
III	Ichinohe	16k
III	Shiroishi	39k
III	Sakata	100k
III	Yuza	17k
III	Obanazawa	21k
III	Aomori	298k
III	Yonezawa	94k
III	Sukagawa	69k
III	Namie	22k
III	Koriyama	341k
III	Higashine	46k
III	Kazuno	37k
III	Takahata	26k
III	Inawashiro	17k
III	Odate	65k
III	Akita	320k
III	Akita	0
III	Nagai	31k
III	Tsuruoka	100k
III	Yanagawa	21k
III	Fukushima	294k
III	Misawa	43k
III	Shinjo	41k
III	Hobara	25k
III	Kuroishi	39k
III	Hirosaki	175k
III	Kaminoyama	36k
III	Noshiro	51k
III	Sagae	44k
III	Miharu	20k
III	Takanosu	21k
III	Goshogawara	49k
III	Tendo	65k
III	Funehiki	24k
III	Kizukuri	19k
III	Yamagata	255k
III	Nihommatsu	36k
III	Tenno	23k
III	Motomiya	23k
III	Kitakata	37k
III	Ishikawa	19k
III	Kuroiso	61k
III	Namioka	21k
III	Murakami	31k
III	Iwaki	357k
III	Shibata	81k
III	Otawara	59k
III	Karasuyama	18k
III	Daigo	22k
III	Kamo	32k
III	Suibara	20k
III	Kitaibaraki	51k
III	Sanjo	83k
III	Tsubame	44k
III	Niigata	505k
III	Kameda	33k
III	Yoshida	26k
III	Gosen	37k
III	Muramatsu	20k
III	Niitsu	66k
III	Takahagi	34k
III	Hitachi	186k
III	Mitsuke	43k
III	Shirone	41k
III	Omiya	28k
III	Maki	29k
III	Yaita	36k
III	Ujiie	30k
III	Tochio	23k
III	Kanuma	95k
II	Utsunomiya	450k
II	Muikamachi	29k
II	Imaichi	64k
II	Numata	46k
II	Nikko	16k

(k = x1,000)

PAGER content is automatically generated, and only considers losses due to structural damage. Limitations of input data, shaking estimates, and loss models may add uncertainty. PAGER results are generally available within 30 minutes of the earthquake’s occurrence. However, information on the extent of shaking will be uncertain in the minutes and hours following an earthquake and typically improves as additional sensor data and reported intensities are acquired and incorporated into models of the earthquake's source. Users of PAGER estimates should account for uncertainty and always seek the most current PAGER release for any earthquake.