PAGER - M 7.3 - NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

Alert level does not include impacts from earthquake-related hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires or liquefaction.

Earthquake Shaking Alert Level: GREEN

Download Alert PDF What's this?Wednesday, March 9th, 2011 at 02:45:20 UTC (12:45:20 local)Location: 38.4° N, 142.8° EDepth: 32kmEvent Id: USB0001R57Alert Version: 5Created: 16 weeks, 1 day after earthquake.

FOR TSUNAMI INFORMATION, SEE: tsunami.noaa.gov.

Alert Information

Green alert for shaking-related fatalities and economic losses. There is a low likelihood of casualties and damage.

Estimated Fatalities

ESTIMATED FATALITY ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITIES (LEVEL)	Probability (%)
0 (GREEN)	72
1 to 9 (YELLOW)	27
10 to 99 (YELLOW)	1
100 to 999 (ORANGE)	0
1 to 10 thousand (RED)	0
10 to 100 thousand (RED)	0
100 thousand + (RED)	0

Estimated Economic Losses

ESTIMATED ECONOMIC ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED VALUE IN USD (LEVEL)	Probability (%)
0 to 1 million (GREEN)	65
1 to 10 million (YELLOW)	30
10 to 100 million (YELLOW)	4
100 million to 1 billion (ORANGE)	0
1 to 10 billion (RED)	0
10 to 100 billion (RED)	0
100 billion + (RED)	0

Detailed Information

Estimated Population Exposed to Earthquake Shaking
Estimated Modified Mercalli Intensity		I	II-III	IV	V	VI	VII	VIII	IX	X
Est. Population Exposure		---*	2,055k*	5,980k*	2,989k	5k	0	0	0	0
Perceived Shaking		Not Felt	Weak	Light	Moderate	Strong	Very Strong	Severe	Violent	Extreme
Potential Structure Damage	Resistant	none	none	none	V. Light	Light	Moderate	Moderate/Heavy	Heavy	V. Heavy
Potential Structure Damage	Vulnerable	none	none	none	Light	Moderate	Moderate/Heavy	Heavy	V. Heavy	V. Heavy

*Estimated exposure only includes population within calculated shake map area

Population Exposure
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan

Structure Information Summary

Overall, the population in this region resides in structures that are resistant to earthquake shaking, though some vulnerable structures exist.

Historical Earthquakes (with MMI)

Date (UTC)	Dist (km)	Mag	Max MMI (#)	Shaking Deaths
1980-09-23	386	5.3	V (13m)	1
1983-05-26	393	7.7	VII (174k)	104
2003-10-31	67	7	V (7m)	0

Recent earthquakes in this area have caused secondary hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, and fires that might have contributed to losses.

Selected Cities Exposedfrom GeoNames Database of Cities with 1,000 or more residents.

MMI	City	Population
V	Ishinomaki	117k
V	Kamaishi	43k
V	Yamoto	32k
V	Otsuchi	17k
V	Wakuya	18k
V	Yamada	20k
V	Sendai	1,038k
IV	Morioka	295k
IV	Fukushima	294k
IV	Akita	0
III	Mito	247k

(k = x1,000)

Nearby Events in the EXPO-CAT Earthquake Catalog
#	Date/Time	Mag	Lat, Lon, Depth	Country	Max MMI (Exposed)	Deaths		Secondary Effects
#	Date/Time	Mag	Lat, Lon, Depth	Country	Max MMI (Exposed)	Shaking	Total	Secondary Effects
1	1973-11-19 13:01 UTC	6.5	38.95° N, 141.94° E 55km	JP	VII (205 k)	0	0
2	1974-07-08 05:45 UTC	6.1	36.43° N, 141.14° E 45km	JP	VI (1,050 k)	0	0
3	1974-08-03 18:16 UTC	5.6	36.02° N, 139.9° E 51km	JP	VI (9,877 k)	2	2
4	1974-11-15 23:32 UTC	5.8	35.82° N, 141.07° E 42km	JP	VII (21 k)	0	0
5	1976-11-08 08:19 UTC	6.2	38.14° N, 142.25° E 44km	JP	VI (2 k)	0	0
6	1978-04-06 23:29 UTC	6	35.25° N, 141.11° E 31km	JP	VI (116 k)	0	0
7	1978-05-16 07:35 UTC	5.5	41.06° N, 141.35° E 44km	JP	VI (105 k)	0	0
8	1978-06-12 08:06 UTC	5.7	38.23° N, 142.11° E 46km	JP	V (281 k)	0	28	tsunami
9	1978-06-12 08:14 UTC	7.6	38.22° N, 142.02° E 53km	JP	VIII (1,304 k)	22	22
10	1978-06-14 11:34 UTC	6.4	38.42° N, 142.39° E 41km	JP	VI (16 k)	0	0
11	1979-07-11 01:58 UTC	5.9	36.64° N, 141.29° E 42km	JP	VI (170 k)	0	0
12	1980-01-12 15:57 UTC	6.1	41.74° N, 143.66° E 31km	JP	VII (415)	0	0
13	1980-09-23 19:10 UTC	5.3	36° N, 139.74° E 83km	JP	V (12,718 k)	1	1
14	1981-01-18 18:11 UTC	7	38.64° N, 142.9° E 39km	JP	VI (160 k)	0	0
15	1981-01-18 18:17 UTC	6.9	38.71° N, 142.8° E 46km	JP	VI (246 k)	0	0
16	1981-01-22 19:34 UTC	6.4	38.28° N, 142.8° E 27km	JP	V (203 k)	0	0
17	1981-09-02 09:24 UTC	5.7	35.8° N, 141° E 44km	JP	VI (465 k)	0	0
18	1982-07-23 14:23 UTC	7	36.3° N, 141.78° E 24km	JP	VI (1,855 k)	0	0
19	1983-02-27 12:14 UTC	5.9	35.95° N, 140.04° E 67km	JP	VI (13,082 k)	0	0
20	1983-04-30 14:03 UTC	6.3	41.56° N, 143.79° E 23km	JP	VI (6 k)	0	0
21	1983-05-26 02:59 UTC	7.7	40.47° N, 139.09° E 15km	JP	VII (174 k)	104	104	tsunami
22	1983-07-01 22:03 UTC	5.6	36.99° N, 141.03° E 43km	JP	VI (395 k)	0	0
23	1984-01-17 15:31 UTC	5.7	36.47° N, 141.19° E 44km	JP	V (1,842 k)	0	0
24	1985-10-04 12:25 UTC	5.9	35.86° N, 140.08° E 72km	JP	VI (10,069 k)	0	0
25	1986-02-12 02:59 UTC	6.2	36.43° N, 140.98° E 45km	JP	VII (333 k)	0	0
26	1987-01-09 06:14 UTC	6.6	39.88° N, 141.62° E 75km	JP	VII (294 k)	0	0
27	1987-02-06 12:23 UTC	6.4	37.02° N, 141.71° E 38km	JP	VI (366 k)	0	0
28	1987-02-06 13:16 UTC	6.7	37.02° N, 141.73° E 41km	JP	VII (11 k)	0	0
29	1987-04-07 00:40 UTC	6.6	37.38° N, 141.69° E 42km	JP	VII (30 k)	0	0
30	1987-04-16 19:23 UTC	6	37.09° N, 141.53° E 41km	JP	VI (159 k)	0	0
31	1987-04-22 20:13 UTC	6.6	37.17° N, 141.4° E 51km	JP	VII (345 k)	0	0
32	1987-09-24 04:55 UTC	5.9	36.64° N, 141.26° E 45km	JP	VI (230 k)	0	0
33	1988-09-26 08:23 UTC	5.7	35.55° N, 141.01° E 31km	JP	VII (103 k)	0	0
34	1989-02-19 12:27 UTC	5.5	36.04° N, 139.86° E 45km	JP	VI (9,262 k)	1	1
35	1989-11-01 18:25 UTC	7.4	39.92° N, 142.79° E 29km	JP	VII (41 k)	0	0
36	1990-08-05 03:36 UTC	6.1	36.41° N, 141.19° E 27km	JP	VI (1,042 k)	0	0
37	1991-08-06 14:49 UTC	5.9	35.81° N, 141.11° E 29km	JP	VII (143 k)	0	0
38	1992-07-18 08:39 UTC	6.9	39.62° N, 143.11° E 31km	JP	VI (100 k)	0	0
39	1993-03-25 07:08 UTC	6	41.83° N, 143.47° E 37km	JP	VII (3 k)	0	0
40	1994-12-28 12:19 UTC	7.7	40.54° N, 143.44° E 16km	JP	VII (132 k)	3	3	tsunami
41	1995-01-06 22:37 UTC	7	40.35° N, 142.22° E 28km	JP	VIII (8 k)	0	0
42	1995-01-07 02:36 UTC	6	40.35° N, 142.4° E 33km	JP	VI (37 k)	0	0
43	1995-01-09 18:00 UTC	5.9	35.93° N, 141.4° E 37km	JP	VI (78 k)	0	0
44	1995-04-01 03:49 UTC	5.4	37.95° N, 139.21° E 11km	JP	VIII (225)	0	0
45	1995-09-26 07:14 UTC	5.9	41.83° N, 143.37° E 39km	JP	VII (5 k)	0	0
46	1996-08-10 18:12 UTC	5.9	39° N, 140.55° E 9km	JP	VI (158)	0	0
47	1996-08-10 18:54 UTC	5.4	38.97° N, 140.61° E 25km	JP	VII (28 k)	0	0
48	1996-08-10 23:10 UTC	5.7	38.96° N, 140.66° E 13km	JP	VIII (55)	0	0
49	1996-12-21 01:28 UTC	5.5	36.12° N, 139.77° E 60km	JP	VI (11,098 k)	0	0
50	1998-02-21 00:55 UTC	5.1	37.28° N, 138.71° E 19km	JP	VII (5 k)	0	0
51	1998-06-14 13:17 UTC	5.7	35.42° N, 140.5° E 33km	JP	VII (428 k)	0	0
52	1998-09-03 07:58 UTC	5.8	39.79° N, 140.75° E 6km	JP	VI (360)	0	0
53	1998-09-15 07:24 UTC	5.1	38.37° N, 140.61° E 10km	JP	VII (55)	0	0
54	1999-03-25 23:31 UTC	5.2	36.49° N, 140.48° E 56km	JP	V (1,894 k)	0	0
55	2000-06-03 08:54 UTC	6.1	35.57° N, 140.46° E 51km	JP	VII (1,434 k)	0	0
56	2000-07-20 18:39 UTC	6	36.55° N, 140.94° E 31km	JP	VI (541 k)	0	0
57	2000-12-04 16:47 UTC	5.7	35.8° N, 140.91° E 40km	JP	VII (94 k)	0	0
58	2001-08-13 20:11 UTC	6.4	41.05° N, 142.28° E 38km	JP	VI (10 k)	0	0
59	2002-06-14 02:42 UTC	4.9	36.24° N, 139.83° E 56km	JP	V (2,522 k)	0	0
60	2002-10-14 14:12 UTC	6.1	41.23° N, 142.2° E 40km	JP	VI (30)	0	0
61	2002-11-03 03:37 UTC	6.4	38.95° N, 141.94° E 39km	JP	VI (31 k)	0	0
62	2003-05-11 15:57 UTC	5.3	35.85° N, 139.97° E 60km	JP	V (26,839 k)	0	0
63	2003-05-26 09:24 UTC	7	38.86° N, 141.5° E 68km	JP	VIII (443)	0	0	fire, landslide
64	2003-07-25 15:13 UTC	5.4	38.5° N, 141.04° E 12km	JP	VIII (35)	0	0	landslide
65	2003-07-25 22:13 UTC	6	38.48° N, 141.03° E 6km	JP	VIII (57 k)	0	0
66	2003-07-26 07:56 UTC	5.2	38.56° N, 141.04° E 13km	JP	VII (44 k)	0	0
67	2003-09-25 19:50 UTC	8.3	41.86° N, 143.87° E 27km	JP	IX (3 k)	0	0	fire, landslide, tsunami
68	2003-09-25 20:57 UTC	5.7	41.76° N, 143.63° E 33km	JP	VI (5 k)	0	0
69	2003-09-25 21:08 UTC	7.3	41.8° N, 143.55° E 38km	JP	VIII (9 k)	0	0
70	2003-10-31 01:06 UTC	7	37.87° N, 142.59° E 20km	JP	V (7,236 k)	0	0
71	2003-11-14 18:43 UTC	5.7	36.47° N, 141.07° E 43km	JP	V (1,333 k)	0	0
72	2004-04-03 23:02 UTC	5.9	36.41° N, 141.07° E 43km	JP	V (1,197 k)	0	0
73	2004-10-06 14:40 UTC	5.7	35.94° N, 139.94° E 67km	JP	VI (1,584 k)	0	0
74	2004-10-23 08:56 UTC	6.6	37.26° N, 138.79° E 16km	JP	IX (71 k)	16	48	fire, landslide
75	2004-10-23 08:59 UTC	5.7	37.26° N, 138.82° E 16km	JP	VIII (3 k)	0	0
76	2004-10-23 09:03 UTC	6.1	37.34° N, 138.87° E 14km	JP	VII (194 k)	0	0
77	2004-10-23 09:11 UTC	5.8	37.26° N, 138.66° E 18km	JP	VII (2)	0	0
78	2004-10-23 09:34 UTC	6.3	37.34° N, 138.88° E 16km	JP	VIII (39 k)	0	0
79	2004-10-23 09:57 UTC	5.5	37.22° N, 138.72° E 13km	JP	VII (15 k)	0	0
80	2004-10-23 10:36 UTC	5.7	37.21° N, 138.65° E 12km	JP	V (144 k)	0	0
81	2004-10-23 10:45 UTC	5.7	37.29° N, 138.66° E 18km	JP	VI (355)	0	0
82	2004-10-24 21:04 UTC	5.6	37.31° N, 138.71° E 12km	JP	VII (14 k)	0	0
83	2004-10-27 01:40 UTC	5.9	37.31° N, 138.93° E 12km	JP	VII (9 k)	0	0
84	2004-11-03 23:57 UTC	5.2	37.46° N, 138.81° E 15km	JP	VII (166 k)	0	0
85	2004-11-08 02:15 UTC	5.5	37.4° N, 138.87° E 9km	JP	VII (56 k)	0	0	landslide
86	2004-11-09 18:43 UTC	5	37.4° N, 138.85° E 10km	JP	VII (54 k)	0	0	landslide
87	2005-02-15 19:46 UTC	5.4	36° N, 139.72° E 48km	JP	V (11,071 k)	0	0
88	2005-04-10 22:22 UTC	5.9	35.6° N, 140.4° E 48km	JP	V (13,054 k)	0	0
89	2005-06-19 16:15 UTC	5.7	35.63° N, 140.5° E 50km	JP	VI (2,959 k)	0	0
90	2005-08-16 02:46 UTC	7.2	38.27° N, 142.03° E 40km	JP	VII (208 k)	0	0	tsunami
91	2005-08-21 02:29 UTC	4.8	37.29° N, 138.62° E 14km	JP	VI (96 k)	0	0
92	2005-10-16 07:05 UTC	5	36.02° N, 139.79° E 50km	JP	V (13,937 k)	0	0
93	2005-10-19 11:44 UTC	6.3	36.38° N, 140.86° E 42km	JP	VI (70 k)	0	0
94	2005-12-02 13:13 UTC	6.5	38.07° N, 142.13° E 41km	JP	VII (217)	0	0
95	2005-12-16 18:32 UTC	6	38.49° N, 141.93° E 47km	JP	VI (228 k)	0	0
96	2007-02-17 00:02 UTC	6	41.82° N, 143.55° E 31km	JP	VII (2 k)	0	0
97	2007-07-16 01:13 UTC	6.6	37.52° N, 138.46° E 12km	JP	IX (114)	9	9	landslide, tsunami
98	2007-07-16 06:37 UTC	5.7	37.5° N, 138.47° E 15km	JP	VII (82)	0	0

MMI	City	Population
V	Ishinomaki	117k
V	Kamaishi	43k
V	Yamoto	32k
V	Otsuchi	17k
V	Wakuya	18k
V	Yamada	20k
V	Kogota	20k
V	Sendai	1,038k
V	Kitakami	94k
V	Shiogama	60k
V	Ofunato	35k
V	Iwanuma	42k
V	Hanamaki	73k
V	Tono	27k
V	Rifu	35k
V	Furukawa	76k
V	Ichinoseki	63k
V	Mizusawa	61k
V	Miyako	52k
V	Tomiya	43k
V	Okawara	23k
IV	Watari	36k
IV	Namie	22k
IV	Marumori	17k
IV	Kakuda	33k
IV	Morioka	295k
IV	Shizukuishi	20k
IV	Ichinohe	16k
IV	Yuzawa	34k
IV	Hobara	25k
IV	Shiroishi	39k
IV	Hachinohe	239k
IV	Nihommatsu	36k
IV	Misawa	43k
IV	Ishikawa	19k
IV	Takahata	26k
IV	Sukagawa	69k
IV	Motomiya	23k
IV	Kitaibaraki	51k
IV	Koriyama	341k
IV	Yuza	17k
IV	Miharu	20k
IV	Iwaki	357k
IV	Yonezawa	94k
IV	Tendo	65k
IV	Fukushima	294k
IV	Omagari	39k
IV	Yanagawa	21k
IV	Higashine	46k
IV	Obanazawa	21k
IV	Tenno	23k
IV	Takanosu	21k
IV	Sakata	100k
IV	Funehiki	24k
IV	Inawashiro	17k
IV	Otawara	59k
IV	Funaishikawa	35k
IV	Sagae	44k
IV	Karasuyama	18k
IV	Kuroishi	39k
IV	Namioka	21k
IV	Ujiie	30k
IV	Yokote	39k
IV	Tomobe	37k
IV	Kazuno	37k
IV	Kaminoyama	36k
IV	Daigo	22k
IV	Okunoya	35k
IV	Akita	0
IV	Odate	65k
IV	Katsuta	156k
IV	Takahagi	34k
III	Kuroiso	61k
III	Kasama	29k
III	Hirosaki	175k
III	Shinjo	41k
III	Mito	247k
III	Oarai	19k
III	Motegi	20k
III	Noshiro	51k
III	Iwase	22k
III	Ishioka	52k
III	Kaminokawa	31k
III	Makabe	19k
III	Omiya	28k
III	Mashiko	26k
III	Yamagata	255k
III	Nagai	31k
III	Akita	320k
III	Yaita	36k
III	Tsukuba	176k
III	Hitachi	186k
III	Yuki	52k
III	Mooka	66k
III	Shimodate	64k
III	Utsunomiya	450k
III	Kitakata	37k

(k = x1,000)

PAGER content is automatically generated, and only considers losses due to structural damage. Limitations of input data, shaking estimates, and loss models may add uncertainty. PAGER results are generally available within 30 minutes of the earthquake’s occurrence. However, information on the extent of shaking will be uncertain in the minutes and hours following an earthquake and typically improves as additional sensor data and reported intensities are acquired and incorporated into models of the earthquake's source. Users of PAGER estimates should account for uncertainty and always seek the most current PAGER release for any earthquake.