PAGER - M 7.2 - SOUTHWESTERN PAKISTAN

Alert level does not include impacts from earthquake-related hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires or liquefaction.

Earthquake Shaking Alert Level: YELLOW

Download Alert PDFWhat's this?Tuesday, January 18th, 2011 at 20:23:23 UTC (01:23:23 local)Location: 28.7° N, 63.9° EDepth: 68kmEvent Id: US2011GGBXAlert Version: 3Created: 1 day, 1 hour after earthquake.
Global Location

Alert Information

Yellow alert level for shaking-related fatalities. Some casualties are possible and the impact should be relatively localized. Past events with this alert level have required a local or regional level response. Green alert level for economic losses. There is a low likelihood of damage.
Estimated FatalitiesFatality Alert Level: YELLOW
ESTIMATED FATALITY ALERT: YELLOW
ESTIMATED FATALITIES (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 (GREEN)
 
14
1 to 9 (YELLOW)
 
30
10 to 99 (YELLOW)
 
34
100 to 999 (ORANGE)
 
18
1 to 10 thousand (RED)
 
4
10 to 100 thousand (RED)0
100 thousand + (RED)0
Estimated Economic LossesEconomic Alert Level: GREEN
ESTIMATED ECONOMIC ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED VALUE IN USD (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 to 1 million (GREEN)
 
65
1 to 10 million (YELLOW)
 
30
10 to 100 million (YELLOW)
 
4
100 million to 1 billion (ORANGE)0
1 to 10 billion (RED)0
10 to 100 billion (RED)0
100 billion + (RED)0

Detailed Information

Estimated Population Exposed to Earthquake Shaking
Estimated Modified Mercalli IntensityIII-IIIIVVVIVIIVIIIIXX
Est. Population Exposure---*540k*2,707k461k120k27k000
Perceived ShakingNot FeltWeakLightModerateStrongVery StrongSevereViolentExtreme
Potential Structure DamageResistantnonenonenoneV. LightLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. Heavy
VulnerablenonenonenoneLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. HeavyV. Heavy
*Estimated exposure only includes population within calculated shake map area
Population Exposure
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan
Population Exposure Map

Structure Information Summary

Overall, the population in this region resides in structures that are highly vulnerable to earthquake shaking, though some resistant structures exist. The predominant vulnerable building types are adobe block and unreinforced brick masonry construction.

Historical Earthquakes (with MMI)

Date (UTC)Dist (km)MagMax MMI (#)Shaking Deaths
1975-10-032976.4IX (55)0
1990-03-042386IX (156)11
1990-06-172286.1VIII (735)6

Selected Cities Exposedfrom GeoNames Database of Cities with 1,000 or more residents.
MMICityPopulation
VIDalbandin15k
VKharan31k
V`Alaqehdari Deh-e Shu9k
IVRudbar11k
IVNushki28k
IVSurab13k
IVKhash70k
IVKhuzdar141k
IVMastung29k
IVZabol122k
IIIChaman89k

(k = x1,000)

Historical Events Map
Nearby Events in the EXPO-CAT Earthquake Catalog
#Date/TimeMagLat, Lon, DepthCountryMax MMI (Exposed)DeathsSecondary Effects
ShakingTotal
11974-10-04
22:24 UTC
5.926.32° N, 66.57° E
6km
PKVIII (80)00
21975-10-03
05:14 UTC
6.730.24° N, 66.29° E
1km
AFIX (901)00
31975-10-03
17:31 UTC
6.430.39° N, 66.35° E
1km
PKIX (55)00
41977-07-13
08:09 UTC
5.529.87° N, 67.33° E
9km
PKVII (967)00
51978-05-06
11:16 UTC
5.929.8° N, 66.13° E
16km
PKVIII (103)00
61979-01-10
01:26 UTC
626.56° N, 60.91° E
6km
IRVIII (43)00
71979-01-10
15:05 UTC
6.126.5° N, 60.99° E
3km
IRIX (1)00
81981-12-12
20:26 UTC
4.629.91° N, 67.08° E
35km
PKV (486 k)66
91983-04-18
10:58 UTC
6.727.77° N, 62.05° E
64km
IRVII (89 k)00
101984-01-18
14:08 UTC
5.628.01° N, 65.75° E
10km
PKVIII (24)00
111990-03-04
19:46 UTC
628.9° N, 66.36° E
5km
PKIX (156)1111
121990-06-17
04:51 UTC
6.127.41° N, 65.7° E
12km
PKVIII (735)66
131990-07-26
06:53 UTC
5.927.35° N, 65.58° E
15km
PKVIII (48)00
141990-09-08
19:33 UTC
5.527.53° N, 66.1° E
34km
PKVII (17 k)00
151992-01-20
08:58 UTC
5.527.54° N, 66.09° E
20km
PKVII (5 k)00
161992-04-24
07:07 UTC
627.54° N, 66.1° E
20km
PKVIII (6 k)00
171992-08-28
00:50 UTC
5.529.21° N, 66.82° E
6km
PKVII (4 k)44
181992-12-17
10:39 UTC
5.725.9° N, 61.44° E
39km
IRVII (3 k)00
191993-11-16
15:52 UTC
5.630.8° N, 67.22° E
35km
PKVII (29 k)00
201994-02-23
08:02 UTC
6.130.79° N, 60.53° E
12km
IRVII (508)66
211994-02-26
02:31 UTC
630.8° N, 60.54° E
7km
IRVII (453)00
222000-06-04
17:52 UTC
628.72° N, 65.27° E
12km
PKVIII (445)00
232004-05-08
20:11 UTC
4.530.17° N, 67.07° E
35km
PKV (914 k)11
242006-10-09
05:12 UTC
4.430.94° N, 66.54° E
10km
PKVI (920)00

PAGER content is automatically generated, and only considers losses due to structural damage. Limitations of input data, shaking estimates, and loss models may add uncertainty. PAGER results are generally available within 30 minutes of the earthquake’s occurrence. However, information on the extent of shaking will be uncertain in the minutes and hours following an earthquake and typically improves as additional sensor data and reported intensities are acquired and incorporated into models of the earthquake's source. Users of PAGER estimates should account for uncertainty and always seek the most current PAGER release for any earthquake.