PAGER - M 6.8 - CELEBES SEA

Alert level does not include impacts from earthquake-related hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires or liquefaction.

Earthquake Shaking Alert Level: GREEN

Download Alert PDFWhat's this?Wednesday, October 7th, 2009 at 21:41:13 UTC (05:41:13 local)Location: 4.1° N, 122.5° EDepth: 574kmEvent Id: US2009MLCBAlert Version: 1Created: 50 weeks, 1 day after earthquake.
Global Location

Alert Information

Green alert for shaking-related fatalities and economic losses. There is a low likelihood of casualties and damage.
Estimated FatalitiesFatality Alert Level: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITY ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITIES (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 (GREEN)
 
90
1 to 9 (YELLOW)
 
9
10 to 99 (YELLOW)0
100 to 999 (ORANGE)0
1 to 10 thousand (RED)0
10 to 100 thousand (RED)0
100 thousand + (RED)0
Estimated Economic LossesEconomic Alert Level: GREEN
ESTIMATED ECONOMIC ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED VALUE IN USD (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 to 1 million (GREEN)
 
90
1 to 10 million (YELLOW)
 
9
10 to 100 million (YELLOW)0
100 million to 1 billion (ORANGE)0
1 to 10 billion (RED)0
10 to 100 billion (RED)0
100 billion + (RED)0

Detailed Information

Estimated Population Exposed to Earthquake Shaking
Estimated Modified Mercalli IntensityIII-IIIIVVVIVIIVIIIIXX
Est. Population Exposure---*6,498k*0000000
Perceived ShakingNot FeltWeakLightModerateStrongVery StrongSevereViolentExtreme
Potential Structure DamageResistantnonenonenoneV. LightLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. Heavy
VulnerablenonenonenoneLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. HeavyV. Heavy
*Estimated exposure only includes population within calculated shake map area
Population Exposure
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan
Population Exposure Map

Structure Information Summary

Overall, the population in this region resides in structures that are a mix of vulnerable and earthquake resistant construction.

Historical Earthquakes (with MMI)

Date (UTC)Dist (km)MagMax MMI (#)Shaking Deaths
1999-05-182265.9V (75k)0
2002-03-052857.5VIII (12k)15
2005-02-051637.1III (15m)2

Recent earthquakes in this area have caused secondary hazards such as landslides that might have contributed to losses.

Selected Cities Exposedfrom GeoNames Database of Cities with 1,000 or more residents.
MMICityPopulation
IITavialan2k
IIKarungdung7k
IIAndalan3k
IIKalang2k
IIKanlagay2k
IIKungtad2k
IIZamboanga458k
IIKoronadal126k
IIManado452k
IIBitung137k
IIDigos116k

(k = x1,000)

Historical Events Map
Nearby Events in the EXPO-CAT Earthquake Catalog
#Date/TimeMagLat, Lon, DepthCountryMax MMI (Exposed)DeathsSecondary Effects
ShakingTotal
11974-06-02
15:59 UTC
5.52.81° N, 125.41° E
1km
IDVII (3 k)00
21976-08-16
16:11 UTC
86.29° N, 124.09° E
59km
PHVII (1,515 k)07079tsunami
31976-08-16
18:16 UTC
5.67.03° N, 123.66° E
44km
PHVI (94)00
41976-08-16
22:49 UTC
5.87.39° N, 123.37° E
15km
PHVIII (3 k)00
51976-08-17
04:19 UTC
7.17.26° N, 122.96° E
20km
PHIX (18 k)00
61976-08-17
05:18 UTC
5.56.46° N, 123.88° E
34km
PHVII (65)00
71976-08-17
07:53 UTC
5.67.31° N, 123.32° E
42km
PHVI (46 k)00
81976-09-25
03:30 UTC
5.76.84° N, 123.8° E
29km
PHVII (4 k)00
91976-10-22
14:51 UTC
5.67.08° N, 123.45° E
33km
PHVI (9 k)00
101978-04-04
06:56 UTC
5.96.86° N, 123.76° E
24km
PHVII (8 k)00
111978-10-01
13:23 UTC
5.86.68° N, 123.94° E
37km
PHVII (18 k)00
121978-12-12
11:44 UTC
6.87.38° N, 123.39° E
10km
PHIX (13 k)00
131979-02-19
00:35 UTC
5.55.66° N, 124.67° E
39km
PHVI (5 k)00
141983-10-16
05:32 UTC
6.41.08° N, 120.96° E
18km
IDIX (86)00
151983-10-25
00:36 UTC
6.51.15° N, 120.84° E
27km
IDVIII (59 k)22
161983-10-27
19:43 UTC
6.41.08° N, 120.82° E
29km
IDVIII (13 k)00
171985-03-05
13:40 UTC
6.11.17° N, 122.83° E
33km
IDVII (11 k)00
181985-08-04
02:36 UTC
6.47.45° N, 123.42° E
22km
PHIX (5 k)00
191986-06-17
18:13 UTC
6.55.66° N, 125.26° E
71km
PHVII (42 k)00
201989-07-08
10:33 UTC
5.71.11° N, 121.42° E
27km
IDVII (54 k)00
211989-08-10
01:55 UTC
6.15.91° N, 124.38° E
33km
PHVII (20 k)00
221990-04-18
13:39 UTC
7.61.2° N, 122.82° E
37km
IDVIII (826)33
231990-04-19
01:05 UTC
5.91.31° N, 123.04° E
45km
IDVI (32 k)00
241990-04-19
12:40 UTC
6.31.09° N, 123.43° E
25km
IDVII (100 k)00
251990-04-26
15:40 UTC
5.91.08° N, 122.84° E
33km
IDVII (40 k)00
261990-05-15
18:31 UTC
61.17° N, 123.88° E
32km
IDVII (6 k)00
271990-09-09
22:29 UTC
5.71.19° N, 123.03° E
34km
IDVII (627)00
281990-11-30
13:19 UTC
5.81.06° N, 123.96° E
32km
IDVII (32 k)00
291990-12-13
12:26 UTC
6.11.1° N, 123.96° E
36km
IDVII (50 k)00
301991-05-19
00:58 UTC
6.91.16° N, 122.94° E
21km
IDVIII (2 k)00
311991-06-20
05:18 UTC
7.51.21° N, 122.77° E
33km
IDVIII (455)00
321991-06-20
06:27 UTC
5.61.17° N, 122.83° E
40km
IDVI (18 k)00
331991-06-21
16:17 UTC
5.41.09° N, 123.04° E
31km
IDVII (680)00
341991-08-08
02:09 UTC
6.61.04° N, 122.58° E
12km
IDIX (457)00
351991-11-01
02:51 UTC
5.91.19° N, 122.07° E
43km
IDVII (2 k)00
361992-04-16
08:00 UTC
6.11.2° N, 122.6° E
37km
IDVII (7 k)00
371992-06-06
21:40 UTC
5.91.06° N, 124° E
18km
IDVI (53 k)00
381992-10-29
07:29 UTC
6.26.79° N, 123.82° E
29km
PHVII (44 k)00
391993-10-16
10:52 UTC
5.87.49° N, 123.45° E
38km
PHVII (35 k)00
401995-11-08
16:01 UTC
5.91.27° N, 121.57° E
28km
IDVII (37 k)00
411996-05-19
23:21 UTC
5.71.34° N, 122.72° E
31km
IDVI (3 k)00
421996-07-22
14:31 UTC
5.61.11° N, 120.51° E
29km
IDVII (5 k)00
431997-11-25
12:14 UTC
71.2° N, 122.49° E
24km
IDVIII (10 k)00
441999-03-04
08:52 UTC
7.15.42° N, 121.88° E
29km
PHVII (123 k)00
451999-05-18
19:52 UTC
5.95.65° N, 123.82° E
18km
PHV (75 k)00
462000-09-08
22:41 UTC
5.47.17° N, 122.11° E
40km
PHVI (824 k)00
472002-03-05
21:16 UTC
7.56.02° N, 124.21° E
31km
PHVIII (12 k)1515landslide, tsunami
482002-03-08
18:27 UTC
5.85.76° N, 124.15° E
7km
PHV (178 k)00
492002-05-14
14:19 UTC
5.43.47° N, 125.44° E
39km
IDVI (52 k)00
502002-07-19
02:38 UTC
5.61.31° N, 122.78° E
34km
IDVI (889)00
512002-12-30
04:49 UTC
6.37.38° N, 123.26° E
17km
PHVIII (12 k)00
522005-02-05
12:23 UTC
7.15.28° N, 123.36° E
533km
PHIII (15,484 k)22
532006-06-16
02:56 UTC
5.51.28° N, 121.8° E
25km
IDVII (172)00
542007-03-31
19:37 UTC
5.61.27° N, 122.63° E
27km
IDVI (9 k)00
MMICityPopulation
IITavialan2k
IIKarungdung7k
IIKanlagay2k
IIKalang2k
IIAndalan3k
IIKungtad2k
IISiasi13k
IIPunay6k
IIParian Dakula4k
IIManubul5k
IIKulay-Kulay3k
IITunggol3k
IIKansipati15k
IISapa3k
IIParang10k
IIBawisan3k
IIPayuhan5k
IIMaluso31k
IIKagay2k
IIBangkal2k
IITumbagaan2k
IITuburan8k
IITongouson6k
IILookan3k
IISemut3k
IIBankaw4k
IIPalimbang5k
IILantawan3k
IIBuan3k
IIMindupok3k
IIManuk Mangkaw5k
IIMalisbeng4k
IIMaitum8k
IIMaguling2k
IILuuk Datan3k
IILanguyan9k
IITambilil5k
IISimunul5k
IINalus4k
IIZamboanga458k
IITigtabon4k
IITampakan8k
IITaluksangay7k
IINew Batu Batu9k
IIMercedes9k
IIMaan3k
IILumbayan3k
IIKolape3k
IIBongao27k
IIBakung3k
IILandang Laum4k
IITalabaan4k
IIUngus-Ungus2k
IIRecodo43k
IIPangutaran5k
IIPandan Niog3k
IILumatil2k
IILumazal4k
IILimulan4k
IIKalamansig13k
IICabaluay4k
IISanga-Sanga5k
IITaguisa3k
IIPuricay3k
IIPitogo3k
IIPang3k
IIMaasim6k
IILuuk10k
IILatung3k
IILaminusa8k
IIKambing2k
IIDaliao2k
IIBuan3k
IIMalbang2k
IIKamanga3k
IITaluya5k
IISurallah31k
IIManuel Roxas4k
IIMaimbung4k
IIMahala2k
IILugus7k
IIColongolo5k
IIBurias4k
IIMarsada3k
IITalipaw6k
IIBinuang3k
IIYlaya3k
IITeresita3k
IITango2k
IISumisip4k
IISanto Nino10k
IIPanay4k
IIPanabuan3k
IINorala13k
IILiberty3k
IILapuz3k
IILambo6k
IIKolumbug3k
IIGuiong2k
IIGlan-Padido4k
IIGlan24k
IIDahay8k
IIPandakan3k
IIMauboh3k
IIKulasi7k
IIEsperanza2k
IIBusok3k
IILambontong4k
IILangpas2k
IIKapatan3k
IIJolo101k
IIBiwang2k
IIBaunu' Timbangan2k
IIAnuling10k
IIBuanza3k
IIKajatian5k
IIBato-Bato4k
IISionogan3k
IIDaguma4k
IIKapaya4k
IIVillamor2k
IITipo-Tipo3k
IINoing3k
IIMatiompong2k
IILaguilayan18k
IIKudanding4k
IIIsulan32k
IIDumaguil2k
IIDukay2k
IIDansuli5k
IIButulan2k
IITablas2k
IISagasa3k
IIParaiso4k
IINew Panay3k
IINew Lagao2k
IINew Iloilo4k
IILibas2k
IIKapinkong3k
IIEsperanza6k
IIBuayan15k
IITinagacan5k
IITambak2k
IITacurong55k
IISanta Clara4k
IIRotunda3k
IIPresident Quirino5k
IIMamali2k
IIMaibu3k
IIMaganoy17k
IIMabini3k
IILamitan6k
IIKoronadal126k
IIKatangawan8k
IIKalandagan2k
IIIsabela67k
IIGansing5k
IIConel9k
IIColonia3k
IIBucay Pait3k
IIBegang2k
IIBalas2k
IIAmpatuan4k
IIManado452k
IITamnag6k
IISampao5k
IISadsalan2k
IIPimbalayan2k
IIMaindang3k
IILutayan13k
IIKitango3k
IIDamawato2k
IIKatico4k
IIBlingkong5k
IIPidsandawan2k
IIParangan2k
IIPagatin3k
IIMileb3k
IIIdtig4k
IIDigal7k
IIBuluan28k
IIBalimbing7k
IISangay4k
IISambuluan3k
IIPanadtaban2k
IIManga4k
IIMalungun52k
IIMabay3k
IIKulaman3k
IIKalbugan3k
IIDatu Paglas4k
IIColumbio6k
IIBarurao3k
IIBual5k
IIBadak7k
IIKiamba11k
IIBantogon5k
IIBadtasan2k
IITulunan10k
IIMinapan3k
IILumuyon4k
IIKatubao4k
IIBagontapay7k
IIBitung137k
IITalisayan5k
IIPoloy-Poloy5k
IIDunguan5k
IICulianan6k
IIRagandang2k
IINuling3k
IIMatanao7k
IIBialong9k
IITran2k
IISinayawan5k
IISebu22k
IIMalinao2k
IIKalamangog3k
IIIgnit3k
IIHagonoy7k
IIGadung2k
IITinoto4k
IITanlad2k
IISinolon3k
IISanta Maria17k
IIPadada11k
IIGuihing Proper12k
IICablallan3k
IIBasak4k
IIBaliton6k
IITuka4k
IISouth Upi13k
IIPangyan5k
IIDigos116k
IIBalutakay3k
IISarangani8k
IISan Vicente3k
IISan Miguel4k
IIPolonoling7k
IIPamantingan3k
IIPalian3k
IILunen2k
IILampari2k
IILamian4k
IIKoronadal4k
IIGuinsang-an4k
IIBukid2k
IIBanga59k
IIBalangonan2k
IILopez Jaena5k
IITapikan2k
IILumakil3k
IIKiupa3k
IIKipalbig5k
IIKauran5k
IIGlamang4k
IICarpenter5k
IITuyan4k
IITupi17k
IITantangan10k
IISulit5k
IISugal3k
IISilway 78k
IISatan4k
IISapu-Padido10k
IIPolomolok64k
IIPalkan4k
IIMalapatan19k
IILun-Pequeno12k
IIKlinan3k
IICoronon7k
IIPagalungan3k
IIUpper Klinan4k
IITampakan9k
IIPolo3k
IIMaltana3k
IILinan3k
IILiberty2k
IIKitapak3k
IIKalbay4k
IIKabalen5k
IIDalican14k
IICebuano5k
IIBagan2k
IIAlabel43k
IILampitak2k
IIBatutitik3k
IILaikit, Laikit II (Dimembe)8k
IITelafas2k
IISuyan7k
IIPaitan3k
IILambayong11k
IIBayasong3k
IIMalandag13k
IITomohon28k
IITondano33k
IIKiblawan4k
IISulop7k
IISinawilan4k
IIPongpong3k
IIPangian4k
IIMalalag6k
IIMagsaysay17k
IIBulacan5k
IIBansalan21k
IINew Baclayon4k
IIBasiawan6k
IISaguing5k
IIMatti5k
IIManaga3k
IIMalasila6k
IIMakilala14k
IIKisante5k
IIKidapawan80k
IIKalaisan2k
IIGoma4k
IIDolo4k
IIBulatukan4k
IIBuhangin4k
IITuban5k
IITakub2k
IIBaracatan7k
IISibulan9k
IIInawayan5k
IIAstorga11k

(k = x1,000)


PAGER content is automatically generated, and only considers losses due to structural damage. Limitations of input data, shaking estimates, and loss models may add uncertainty. PAGER results are generally available within 30 minutes of the earthquake’s occurrence. However, information on the extent of shaking will be uncertain in the minutes and hours following an earthquake and typically improves as additional sensor data and reported intensities are acquired and incorporated into models of the earthquake's source. Users of PAGER estimates should account for uncertainty and always seek the most current PAGER release for any earthquake.