PAGER - M 7.3 - MINAHASA, SULAWESI, INDONESIA

Alert level does not include impacts from earthquake-related hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires or liquefaction.

Earthquake Shaking Alert Level: YELLOW

Download Alert PDFWhat's this?Sunday, November 16th, 2008 at 17:02:32 UTC (01:02:32 local)Location: 1.3° N, 122.1° EDepth: 30kmEvent Id: US2008ZLBNAlert Version: 1Created: 96 weeks, 5 days after earthquake.
Global Location

Alert Information

Yellow alert level for shaking-related fatalities. Some casualties are possible and the impact should be relatively localized. Past events with this alert level have required a local or regional level response. Green alert level for economic losses. There is a low likelihood of damage.
Estimated FatalitiesFatality Alert Level: YELLOW
ESTIMATED FATALITY ALERT: YELLOW
ESTIMATED FATALITIES (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 (GREEN)
 
39
1 to 9 (YELLOW)
 
35
10 to 99 (YELLOW)
 
20
100 to 999 (ORANGE)
 
5
1 to 10 thousand (RED)1
10 to 100 thousand (RED)0
100 thousand + (RED)0
Estimated Economic LossesEconomic Alert Level: GREEN
ESTIMATED ECONOMIC ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED VALUE IN USD (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 to 1 million (GREEN)
 
90
1 to 10 million (YELLOW)
 
9
10 to 100 million (YELLOW)0
100 million to 1 billion (ORANGE)0
1 to 10 billion (RED)0
10 to 100 billion (RED)0
100 billion + (RED)0

Detailed Information

Estimated Population Exposed to Earthquake Shaking
Estimated Modified Mercalli IntensityIII-IIIIVVVIVIIVIIIIXX
Est. Population Exposure---*1,112k*2,505k895k653k184k6800
Perceived ShakingNot FeltWeakLightModerateStrongVery StrongSevereViolentExtreme
Potential Structure DamageResistantnonenonenoneV. LightLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. Heavy
VulnerablenonenonenoneLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. HeavyV. Heavy
*Estimated exposure only includes population within calculated shake map area
Population Exposure
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan
Population Exposure Map

Structure Information Summary

Overall, the population in this region resides in structures that are vulnerable to earthquake shaking, though some resistant structures exist. The predominant vulnerable building types are concrete/cinder block masonry and nonductile reinforced concrete frame construction.

Historical Earthquakes (with MMI)

Date (UTC)Dist (km)MagMax MMI (#)Shaking Deaths
1990-04-18807.6VIII (826)3
1990-04-191496.3VII (100k)0
2000-05-043137.5VIII (17k)46

Recent earthquakes in this area have caused secondary hazards such as tsunamis that might have contributed to losses.

Cities Exposedfrom GeoNames Database of Cities with 1,000 or more residents.
MMICityPopulation
VIIIPoso47k
VGorontalo144k
IVLuwuk48k
IVManado452k
IVLaikit, Laikit II (Dimembe)8k
IVTomohon28k
IIIPalu282k
IIITondano33k

(k = x1,000)

Historical Events Map
Nearby Events in the EXPO-CAT Earthquake Catalog
#Date/TimeMagLat, Lon, DepthCountryMax MMI (Exposed)DeathsSecondary Effects
ShakingTotal
11977-11-27
09:33 UTC
5.80.88° S, 120.56° E
35km
IDVII (482)00
21978-09-26
06:07 UTC
5.61.13° N, 120.25° E
37km
IDVII (2 k)00
31979-03-08
14:49 UTC
6.40.99° N, 120.36° E
38km
IDVIII (2 k)00
41983-07-17
22:10 UTC
5.50.12° S, 121.62° E
18km
IDVIII (25)00
51983-10-16
05:32 UTC
6.41.08° N, 120.96° E
18km
IDIX (86)00
61983-10-25
00:36 UTC
6.51.15° N, 120.84° E
27km
IDVIII (59 k)22
71983-10-27
19:43 UTC
6.41.08° N, 120.82° E
29km
IDVIII (13 k)00
81984-05-15
15:23 UTC
5.40.75° N, 119.85° E
27km
IDVI (41 k)00
91985-03-05
13:40 UTC
6.11.17° N, 122.83° E
33km
IDVII (11 k)00
101987-11-27
00:02 UTC
6.10.2° S, 125° E
42km
IDV (23 k)00
111989-07-08
10:33 UTC
5.71.11° N, 121.42° E
27km
IDVII (54 k)00
121990-04-18
13:39 UTC
7.61.2° N, 122.82° E
37km
IDVIII (826)33
131990-04-18
13:54 UTC
5.60.37° N, 123.13° E
33km
IDVII (45 k)00
141990-04-19
01:05 UTC
5.91.31° N, 123.04° E
45km
IDVI (32 k)00
151990-04-19
12:40 UTC
6.31.09° N, 123.43° E
25km
IDVII (100 k)00
161990-04-26
15:40 UTC
5.91.08° N, 122.84° E
33km
IDVII (40 k)00
171990-05-15
18:31 UTC
61.17° N, 123.88° E
32km
IDVII (6 k)00
181990-09-09
22:29 UTC
5.71.19° N, 123.03° E
34km
IDVII (627)00
191990-11-30
13:19 UTC
5.81.06° N, 123.96° E
32km
IDVII (32 k)00
201990-12-13
12:26 UTC
6.11.1° N, 123.96° E
36km
IDVII (50 k)00
211991-05-19
00:58 UTC
6.91.16° N, 122.94° E
21km
IDVIII (2 k)00
221991-06-20
05:18 UTC
7.51.21° N, 122.77° E
33km
IDVIII (455)00
231991-06-20
06:27 UTC
5.61.17° N, 122.83° E
40km
IDVI (18 k)00
241991-06-21
16:17 UTC
5.41.09° N, 123.04° E
31km
IDVII (680)00
251991-08-08
02:09 UTC
6.61.04° N, 122.58° E
12km
IDIX (457)00
261991-11-01
02:51 UTC
5.91.19° N, 122.07° E
43km
IDVII (2 k)00
271992-04-16
08:00 UTC
6.11.2° N, 122.6° E
37km
IDVII (7 k)00
281992-06-06
21:40 UTC
5.91.06° N, 124° E
18km
IDVI (53 k)00
291993-08-08
00:31 UTC
5.40.82° N, 120.37° E
41km
IDVI (70 k)00
301995-05-19
21:30 UTC
5.91.05° S, 120.44° E
21km
IDVIII (2 k)00
311995-11-08
16:01 UTC
5.91.27° N, 121.57° E
28km
IDVII (37 k)00
321996-01-01
08:05 UTC
7.90.71° N, 119.9° E
25km
IDVIII (92 k)810tsunami
331996-01-03
11:23 UTC
5.50.66° N, 119.88° E
27km
IDVII (14 k)00
341996-01-11
19:45 UTC
5.60.47° N, 119.56° E
36km
IDVI (5 k)00
351996-02-06
17:58 UTC
5.71° N, 120.19° E
21km
IDVII (8 k)00
361996-02-07
07:57 UTC
61.03° N, 120.16° E
15km
IDVII (11 k)00
371996-04-03
17:26 UTC
5.41.07° N, 120.37° E
30km
IDVII (4 k)00
381996-05-19
23:21 UTC
5.71.34° N, 122.72° E
31km
IDVI (3 k)00
391996-07-16
10:07 UTC
6.61.02° N, 120.28° E
19km
IDIX (12 k)00
401996-07-22
14:19 UTC
71.02° N, 120.41° E
30km
IDVIII (75 k)00
411996-07-22
14:31 UTC
5.61.11° N, 120.51° E
29km
IDVII (5 k)00
421996-07-28
10:40 UTC
5.91.02° N, 120.16° E
26km
IDVII (52 k)00
431996-09-05
15:36 UTC
5.70.33° N, 120.35° E
44km
IDVI (36 k)00
441996-09-10
02:34 UTC
5.81.05° N, 120.13° E
38km
IDVII (9 k)00
451996-10-04
08:03 UTC
5.61.07° N, 120.47° E
31km
IDVII (2 k)00
461997-08-14
21:47 UTC
5.50.78° S, 121.84° E
28km
IDVII (11)00
471997-11-25
12:14 UTC
71.2° N, 122.49° E
24km
IDVIII (10 k)00
481998-05-21
05:34 UTC
6.60.19° N, 119.53° E
28km
IDVIII (28)00
491998-10-10
16:29 UTC
5.90.41° S, 119.73° E
26km
IDVIII (476)00
501998-10-10
16:32 UTC
60.43° S, 119.72° E
27km
IDVIII (593)00
511998-12-26
15:39 UTC
5.91.38° S, 123.63° E
27km
IDVII (55 k)00
521999-02-23
07:27 UTC
60.25° N, 119.56° E
17km
IDVI (143)00
531999-08-13
10:12 UTC
5.51.74° S, 122.59° E
44km
IDVI (4 k)00
541999-11-25
04:00 UTC
5.70.93° S, 121.52° E
39km
IDVIII (2 k)00
552000-04-08
15:28 UTC
5.51.09° N, 120.11° E
40km
IDVI (19 k)00
562000-05-04
04:21 UTC
7.51.14° S, 123.52° E
26km
IDVIII (17 k)4646tsunami
572000-05-05
05:24 UTC
5.71.23° S, 123.36° E
35km
IDVII (28 k)00
582000-10-11
04:34 UTC
5.51.59° S, 123.21° E
41km
IDVI (72 k)00
592000-12-10
10:05 UTC
5.40.89° S, 121.52° E
25km
IDVII (27 k)00
602002-06-16
00:00 UTC
5.90.46° N, 119.78° E
17km
IDVII (3 k)00
612002-07-19
02:38 UTC
5.61.31° N, 122.78° E
34km
IDVI (889)00
622002-08-15
05:30 UTC
6.21.26° S, 121.29° E
20km
IDIX (1)00
632003-05-26
15:50 UTC
5.51.08° N, 120.46° E
33km
IDVII (2 k)00
642005-01-23
20:10 UTC
6.21.28° S, 119.84° E
44km
IDVII (788 k)11
652005-07-09
23:59 UTC
5.91.17° S, 119.92° E
12km
IDVII (723 k)00
662005-12-21
07:09 UTC
6.30.11° S, 124.67° E
18km
IDVI (5 k)00
672006-05-19
14:44 UTC
6.30.21° S, 124.71° E
35km
IDVI (2 k)00
682006-06-16
02:56 UTC
5.51.28° N, 121.8° E
25km
IDVII (172)00
692006-06-24
21:15 UTC
6.30.4° S, 123.23° E
26km
IDVIII (3 k)00
702006-07-23
08:22 UTC
5.90.37° S, 123.19° E
28km
IDVII (4 k)00
712007-03-31
19:37 UTC
5.61.27° N, 122.63° E
27km
IDVI (9 k)00

PAGER content is automatically generated, and only considers losses due to structural damage. Limitations of input data, shaking estimates, and loss models may add uncertainty. PAGER results are generally available within 30 minutes of the earthquake’s occurrence. However, information on the extent of shaking will be uncertain in the minutes and hours following an earthquake and typically improves as additional sensor data and reported intensities are acquired and incorporated into models of the earthquake's source. Users of PAGER estimates should account for uncertainty and always seek the most current PAGER release for any earthquake.