PAGER - M 6.6 - KYRGYZSTAN

Alert level does not include impacts from earthquake-related hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires or liquefaction.

Earthquake Shaking Alert Level: YELLOW

Download Alert PDFWhat's this?Sunday, October 5th, 2008 at 15:52:49 UTC (21:52:49 local)Location: 39.5° N, 73.8° EDepth: 27kmEvent Id: US2008XUAYAlert Version: 1Created: 102 weeks, 5 days after earthquake.
Global Location

Alert Information

Yellow alert for shaking-related fatalities and economic losses. Some casualties and damage are possible and the impact should be relatively localized. Past yellow alerts have required a local or regional level response. Estimated economic losses are less than 1% of GDP of Kyrgyzstan.
Estimated FatalitiesFatality Alert Level: YELLOW
ESTIMATED FATALITY ALERT: YELLOW
ESTIMATED FATALITIES (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 (GREEN)
 
50
1 to 9 (YELLOW)
 
33
10 to 99 (YELLOW)
 
14
100 to 999 (ORANGE)
 
3
1 to 10 thousand (RED)0
10 to 100 thousand (RED)0
100 thousand + (RED)0
Estimated Economic LossesEconomic Alert Level: YELLOW
ESTIMATED ECONOMIC ALERT: YELLOW
ESTIMATED VALUE IN USD (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 to 1 million (GREEN)
 
29
1 to 10 million (YELLOW)
 
35
10 to 100 million (YELLOW)
 
26
100 million to 1 billion (ORANGE)
 
9
1 to 10 billion (RED)1
10 to 100 billion (RED)0
100 billion + (RED)0

Detailed Information

Estimated Population Exposed to Earthquake Shaking
Estimated Modified Mercalli IntensityIII-IIIIVVVIVIIVIIIIXX
Est. Population Exposure---*1,027k*9,396k1,072k23k14k11200
Perceived ShakingNot FeltWeakLightModerateStrongVery StrongSevereViolentExtreme
Potential Structure DamageResistantnonenonenoneV. LightLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. Heavy
VulnerablenonenonenoneLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. HeavyV. Heavy
*Estimated exposure only includes population within calculated shake map area
Population Exposure
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan
Population Exposure Map

Structure Information Summary

Overall, the population in this region resides in structures that are vulnerable to earthquake shaking, though some resistant structures exist.

Historical Earthquakes (with MMI)

Date (UTC)Dist (km)MagMax MMI (#)Shaking Deaths
1983-12-16735.9VIII (60)12
1992-08-192897.2IX (2k)61
2002-09-051565.4VII (27)0

Recent earthquakes in this area have caused secondary hazards such as landslides and liquefaction that might have contributed to losses.

Selected Cities Exposedfrom GeoNames Database of Cities with 1,000 or more residents.
MMICityPopulation
VOsh200k
VOzgon40k
VKara-Su18k
IVQurghontepa26k
IVKhujaobod17k
IVMurghob11k
IVAndijon318k
IVJalal-Abad76k
IVFarg`ona164k
IVNamangan432k
IIINaryn52k

(k = x1,000)

Historical Events Map
Nearby Events in the EXPO-CAT Earthquake Catalog
#Date/TimeMagLat, Lon, DepthCountryMax MMI (Exposed)DeathsSecondary Effects
ShakingTotal
11973-01-03
14:31 UTC
5.539.16° N, 71.92° E
43km
TJVI (404)00
21974-01-04
09:27 UTC
5.540.75° N, 77.59° E
20km
CNVII (876)00
31974-08-11
01:13 UTC
7.339.38° N, 73.8° E
3km
CNIX (735)00
41974-08-11
05:23 UTC
5.639.37° N, 73.77° E
10km
CNVIII (4)00
51974-08-11
20:05 UTC
5.839.46° N, 73.69° E
9km
KGVIII (10)00
61974-08-11
21:21 UTC
6.139.51° N, 73.63° E
5km
KGVIII (47)00
71974-08-27
12:56 UTC
5.939.56° N, 73.83° E
6km
KGVIII (20)00
81976-07-28
18:24 UTC
5.939.4° N, 72.76° E
29km
KGVIII (14)00
91977-01-31
14:26 UTC
640.09° N, 70.87° E
24km
KGVII (295 k)00
101977-12-18
16:47 UTC
5.939.85° N, 77.28° E
17km
CNVIII (183)00
111978-10-08
14:20 UTC
5.939.43° N, 74.76° E
16km
CNVIII (234)00
121978-11-01
19:48 UTC
6.639.36° N, 72.59° E
23km
KGVIII (250)00
131978-11-08
00:57 UTC
5.239.34° N, 72.57° E
28km
TJVI (2 k)00
141982-05-06
15:42 UTC
5.740.15° N, 71.53° E
31km
KGVII (229 k)00
151983-02-13
01:40 UTC
6.240.01° N, 75.23° E
7km
CNIX (7)11
161983-04-05
06:50 UTC
5.839.96° N, 75.26° E
11km
CNVIII (32)00
171983-12-16
13:15 UTC
5.939.36° N, 72.94° E
10km
KGVIII (60)1212
181984-10-26
20:22 UTC
6.139.16° N, 71.35° E
15km
TJVIII (2 k)00
191985-08-23
12:41 UTC
6.939.45° N, 75.24° E
20km
CNIX (773)6767
201985-09-11
20:45 UTC
6.139.36° N, 75.43° E
22km
CNIX (434)33
211985-10-13
15:59 UTC
5.840.35° N, 69.81° E
10km
TJVIII (17 k)2929landslide
221987-04-30
05:17 UTC
5.739.74° N, 74.54° E
9km
CNVIII (10)00
231988-07-20
06:20 UTC
5.537.02° N, 72.9° E
14km
AFVII (148)00
241988-08-12
18:58 UTC
5.439.63° N, 74.56° E
15km
CNVII (113)00
251988-09-25
20:52 UTC
5.537.17° N, 71.78° E
7km
TJVII (740)00
261990-03-05
20:47 UTC
6.136.89° N, 73.02° E
11km
AFVIII (470)00
271990-04-17
01:59 UTC
639.38° N, 74.95° E
3km
CNVII (465)00
281990-11-03
16:39 UTC
5.439.05° N, 71.4° E
9km
TJVII (40)00
291992-05-10
04:04 UTC
5.837.16° N, 72.91° E
39km
AFVIII (8)00
301992-05-15
08:08 UTC
6.241° N, 72.47° E
30km
UZVII (1,954 k)33landslide
311992-08-19
02:04 UTC
7.242.11° N, 73.61° E
13km
KGIX (2 k)6175landslide, liquefaction
321992-08-19
02:12 UTC
6.142.15° N, 73.52° E
2km
KGIX (7)00
331992-08-19
03:12 UTC
6.342.06° N, 73.29° E
18km
KGVIII (181)00
341992-08-19
03:20 UTC
6.642.05° N, 73.24° E
16km
KGIX (104)00
351992-11-23
23:11 UTC
5.638.55° N, 72.61° E
36km
TJVI (2 k)00
361993-11-30
20:37 UTC
5.639.33° N, 75.51° E
13km
CNVIII (1 k)22
371994-01-12
10:22 UTC
5.539.24° N, 75.36° E
37km
CNVII (951)00
381995-10-08
08:55 UTC
5.741° N, 72.1° E
16km
UZVIII (42 k)00
391996-03-19
15:00 UTC
6.339.98° N, 76.66° E
23km
CNIX (177)2424
401997-01-09
13:43 UTC
5.841.04° N, 74.29° E
16km
KGVIII (2 k)00
411997-01-21
01:48 UTC
5.939.53° N, 76.93° E
18km
CNVIII (33 k)1212
421997-03-01
06:04 UTC
5.639.45° N, 76.82° E
19km
CNVIII (15 k)11
431997-04-05
23:46 UTC
5.939.52° N, 76.87° E
29km
CNVI (206 k)00
441997-04-06
04:36 UTC
639.49° N, 76.99° E
21km
CNVI (171 k)00
451997-04-11
05:34 UTC
6.139.53° N, 76.94° E
21km
CNVIII (1)99
461997-04-15
18:19 UTC
5.839.57° N, 76.97° E
18km
CNVI (84 k)00
471997-05-17
03:58 UTC
4.939.53° N, 76.9° E
18km
CNVII (3 k)00
481998-03-19
13:51 UTC
5.640.05° N, 76.68° E
18km
CNVIII (56)00
491998-08-02
04:40 UTC
5.639.54° N, 76.96° E
28km
CNVII (188 k)00
501998-08-27
09:03 UTC
6.339.55° N, 77.33° E
25km
CNVIII (29 k)33
512001-09-02
16:58 UTC
5.538.76° N, 71.96° E
15km
TJVII (21)00
522002-01-09
06:45 UTC
5.238.64° N, 69.84° E
29km
TJVI (51 k)33
532002-02-03
20:59 UTC
4.938.66° N, 69.88° E
27km
TJVI (16 k)00
542002-09-05
11:03 UTC
5.439.72° N, 71.96° E
16km
KGVII (27)00
552002-12-25
12:57 UTC
5.639.56° N, 75.16° E
12km
CNVIII (27)00
562003-02-24
02:03 UTC
6.339.51° N, 77.2° E
14km
CNIX (51)261261
572003-02-25
03:52 UTC
5.339.4° N, 77.36° E
19km
CNVI (277)55
582003-03-12
04:47 UTC
5.739.38° N, 77.41° E
7km
CNVII (24)00
592003-05-04
15:44 UTC
5.839.3° N, 77.14° E
10km
CNVII (76)01
602003-05-22
18:11 UTC
5.542.95° N, 72.76° E
35km
KZVII (27 k)33
612003-09-01
23:16 UTC
5.738.59° N, 75.3° E
7km
CNVIII (3)00
622004-11-17
20:58 UTC
5.839.19° N, 71.8° E
16km
TJVIII (4)00
632006-07-06
03:57 UTC
5.839.13° N, 71.82° E
24km
TJVII (14 k)00
642006-08-06
14:26 UTC
5.637.37° N, 74.73° E
11km
AFVIII (39)00
652006-12-25
20:00 UTC
5.842.09° N, 76.15° E
12km
KGVIII (3)00
662007-01-08
17:21 UTC
639.77° N, 70.3° E
16km
KGVIII (329)00
672007-07-21
22:44 UTC
5.238.94° N, 70.49° E
10km
TJVII (71)312landslide
MMICityPopulation
VOsh200k
VOzgon40k
VKara-Su18k
IVQurghontepa26k
IVKhujaobod17k
IVMurghob11k
IVKaravan1k
IVKyzyl-Kiya32k
IVMarhamat15k
IVAsaka57k
IVAndijon318k
IVKashi275k
IVJalal-Abad76k
IVQuva33k
IVBazar-Kurgan28k
IVShohimardon5k
IVQuvasoy32k
IVFarg`ona164k
IVToshloq27k
IVKirgili20k
IVKomsomol'skiy14k
IVMarg`ilon133k
IVHaqqulobod26k
IVKarakenja3k
IVHamza13k
IVOltiariq26k
IVKhaydarkan12k
IVUchqurghon33k
IVUychi30k
IVToshbuloq29k
IVNamangan432k
IVTuragurghon28k
IVChortoq50k
IVTash-Kumyr24k
IVAt-Bashy15k
IVQo`qon187k
IVKosonsoy44k
IIIYangiqurghon28k
IIIPop22k
IIIChust65k
IIINaryn52k
IIIKhorugh30k

(k = x1,000)


PAGER content is automatically generated, and only considers losses due to structural damage. Limitations of input data, shaking estimates, and loss models may add uncertainty. PAGER results are generally available within 30 minutes of the earthquake’s occurrence. However, information on the extent of shaking will be uncertain in the minutes and hours following an earthquake and typically improves as additional sensor data and reported intensities are acquired and incorporated into models of the earthquake's source. Users of PAGER estimates should account for uncertainty and always seek the most current PAGER release for any earthquake.