PAGER - M 4.3 - EASTERN KENTUCKY

Alert level does not include impacts from earthquake-related hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires or liquefaction.

Earthquake Shaking Alert Level: GREEN

Download Alert PDF What's this?Saturday, November 10th, 2012 at 17:08:14 UTC (12:08:14 local)Location: 37.1° N, 83.1° WDepth: 17kmEvent Id: USC000DQHXAlert Version: 7Created: 2 days, 2 hours after earthquake.

Alert Information

Green alert for shaking-related fatalities and economic losses. There is a low likelihood of casualties and damage.

Estimated Fatalities

ESTIMATED FATALITY ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITIES (LEVEL)	Probability (%)
0 (GREEN)	99
1 to 9 (YELLOW)	1
10 to 99 (YELLOW)	0
100 to 999 (ORANGE)	0
1 to 10 thousand (RED)	0
10 to 100 thousand (RED)	0
100 thousand + (RED)	0

Estimated Economic Losses

ESTIMATED ECONOMIC ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED VALUE IN USD (LEVEL)	Probability (%)
0 to 1 million (GREEN)	99
1 to 10 million (YELLOW)	1
10 to 100 million (YELLOW)	0
100 million to 1 billion (ORANGE)	0
1 to 10 billion (RED)	0
10 to 100 billion (RED)	0
100 billion + (RED)	0

Detailed Information

Estimated Population Exposed to Earthquake Shaking
Estimated Modified Mercalli Intensity		I	II-III	IV	V	VI	VII	VIII	IX	X
Est. Population Exposure		---*	2,509k*	183k	8k	0	0	0	0	0
Perceived Shaking		Not Felt	Weak	Light	Moderate	Strong	Very Strong	Severe	Violent	Extreme
Potential Structure Damage	Resistant	none	none	none	V. Light	Light	Moderate	Moderate/Heavy	Heavy	V. Heavy
Potential Structure Damage	Vulnerable	none	none	none	Light	Moderate	Moderate/Heavy	Heavy	V. Heavy	V. Heavy

*Estimated exposure only includes population within calculated shake map area

Population Exposure
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan

Structure Information Summary

Overall, the population in this region resides in structures that are resistant to earthquake shaking, though some vulnerable structures exist.

Historical Earthquakes (with MMI)

Date (UTC)	Dist (km)	Mag	Max MMI (#)	Shaking Deaths
1980-07-27	142	5	VI (44k)	0
1974-08-02	367	4.9	VII (29)	0

Selected Cities Exposedfrom GeoNames Database of Cities with 1,000 or more residents.

MMI	City	Population
IV	Hazard	5k
IV	Cumberland	2k
IV	Evarts	1k
IV	Whitesburg	2k
IV	Harlan	2k
IV	Wheelwright	1k
III	Knoxville	172k
III	Johnson City	59k
III	Kingsport	44k
III	Lexington-Fayette	272k
III	Lexington	225k

(k = x1,000)

Nearby Events in the EXPO-CAT Earthquake Catalog
#	Date/Time	Mag	Lat, Lon, Depth	Country	Max MMI (Exposed)	Deaths		Secondary Effects
#	Date/Time	Mag	Lat, Lon, Depth	Country	Max MMI (Exposed)	Shaking	Total	Secondary Effects
1	1974-08-02 08:52 UTC	4.9	33.87° N, 82.49° W 1km	US	VII (29)	0	0
2	1980-07-27 18:52 UTC	5	38.21° N, 83.94° W 17km	US	VI (44 k)	0	0

MMI	City	Population
IV	Cumberland	2k
IV	Hazard	5k
IV	Evarts	1k
IV	Whitesburg	2k
IV	Harlan	2k
IV	Wheelwright	1k
IV	Pennington Gap	2k
IV	Dryden	1k
IV	Appalachia	2k
IV	Pineville	2k
IV	Big Stone Gap	6k
IV	Pound	1k
IV	Jenkins	2k
III	Prestonsburg	4k
III	Jeffersonville	2k
III	Salyersville	2k
III	Clay City	1k
III	Clintwood	1k
III	Manchester	2k
III	Middlesboro	11k
III	Norris	1k
III	Elkhorn City	1k
III	Van Lear	1k
III	Harrogate	4k
III	Brodhead	1k
III	Stanton	3k
III	West Liberty	3k
III	Sneedville	1k
III	Lake City	2k
III	Barbourville	3k
III	Beattyville	1k
III	Mount Vernon	3k
III	Clinton	9k
III	Hunter	2k
III	LaFollette	8k
III	Irvine	3k
III	Berea	12k
III	Jackson	2k
III	Mount Sterling	6k
III	Jacksboro	2k
III	Norton	4k
III	Tazewell	2k
III	Morehead	6k
III	Mascot	2k
III	Corbin	8k
III	North Corbin	2k
III	Williamsburg	5k
III	Maynardville	2k
III	Pine Crest	3k
III	New Tazewell	3k
III	Castlewood	2k
III	Grayson	4k
III	Condon	2k
III	Gate City	2k
III	Bluff City	2k
III	Caryville	2k
III	Knoxville	172k
III	Wise	3k
III	Pikeville	6k
III	Oliver Springs	3k
III	Paintsville	4k
III	Jellico	2k
III	Oak Ridge	27k
III	Stearns	2k
III	Whitley City	1k
III	Blountville	3k
III	London	8k
III	Hunter	2k
III	Weber City	1k
III	Oneida	4k
III	Blaine	2k
III	Church Hill	6k
III	Hamlin	1k
III	Abingdon	8k
III	Elizabethton	15k
III	Pine Knot	2k
III	Mosheim	2k
III	Mount Carmel	5k
III	Coeburn	2k
III	Raven	3k
III	Walnut Hill	3k
III	Richmond	31k
III	Central	3k
III	Cedar Bluff	1k
III	Richlands	4k
III	Gilbert Creek	2k
III	Claypool Hill	2k
III	Chapmanville	1k
III	Greeneville	15k
III	Owingsville	2k
III	Bristol	25k
III	Oak Grove	4k
III	Bristol	17k
III	Mallory	1k
III	Harts	2k
III	Holden	1k
III	Switzer	1k
III	Johnson City	59k
III	Mountain City	2k
III	Rutledge	1k
III	Welch	2k
III	Fairmount	3k
III	Surgoinsville	2k
III	Tusculum	2k
III	Logan	2k
III	Bean Station	3k
III	Jefferson City	8k
III	Jonesborough	5k
III	Oceana	1k
III	Gray	1k
III	Kingsport	44k
III	Pine Crest	3k
III	Dandridge	2k
III	Carlisle	2k
III	Spurgeon	4k
III	Fall Branch	1k
III	Bloomingdale	10k
III	Colonial Heights	7k
III	Midway	2k
III	Morristown	25k
III	Roan Mountain	1k
III	Louisa	2k
III	New Market	1k
III	Rogersville	4k
III	White Pine	2k
III	Paris	9k
III	Damascus	1k
III	Lebanon	3k
III	Olive Hill	2k
III	Newport	7k
III	Adwolf	2k
III	Lexington-Fayette	272k
III	Unicoi	4k
III	Chattaroy	1k
III	Williamson	3k
III	Madison	3k
III	Marmet	2k
III	Winchester	16k
III	Erwin	6k
III	Tornado	1k
III	Chilhowie	2k
III	Wayne	1k
III	Alum Creek	2k
III	Lexington	225k
III	Mount Vernon	3k
III	Boone	13k
III	Blowing Rock	1k
II	Saltville	2k
II	Glade Spring	2k
II	Monticello	6k

(k = x1,000)

PAGER content is automatically generated, and only considers losses due to structural damage. Limitations of input data, shaking estimates, and loss models may add uncertainty. PAGER results are generally available within 30 minutes of the earthquake’s occurrence. However, information on the extent of shaking will be uncertain in the minutes and hours following an earthquake and typically improves as additional sensor data and reported intensities are acquired and incorporated into models of the earthquake's source. Users of PAGER estimates should account for uncertainty and always seek the most current PAGER release for any earthquake.