PAGER - M 4.0 - 8.3 km (5.2 mi) NW of Pinnacles, CA

Alert level does not include impacts from earthquake-related hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires or liquefaction.

Earthquake Shaking Alert Level: GREEN

Download Alert PDF What's this?Monday, October 29th, 2012 at 04:25:16 UTC (21:25:16 local)Location: 36.6° N, 121.2° WDepth: 8kmEvent Id: NC71870540Alert Version: 3Created: 10 minutes, 43 seconds after earthquake.

Alert Information

Green alert for shaking-related fatalities and economic losses. There is a low likelihood of casualties and damage.

Estimated Fatalities

ESTIMATED FATALITY ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITIES (LEVEL)	Probability (%)
0 (GREEN)	99
1 to 9 (YELLOW)	1
10 to 99 (YELLOW)	0
100 to 999 (ORANGE)	0
1 to 10 thousand (RED)	0
10 to 100 thousand (RED)	0
100 thousand + (RED)	0

Estimated Economic Losses

ESTIMATED ECONOMIC ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED VALUE IN USD (LEVEL)	Probability (%)
0 to 1 million (GREEN)	99
1 to 10 million (YELLOW)	1
10 to 100 million (YELLOW)	0
100 million to 1 billion (ORANGE)	0
1 to 10 billion (RED)	0
10 to 100 billion (RED)	0
100 billion + (RED)	0

Detailed Information

Estimated Population Exposed to Earthquake Shaking
Estimated Modified Mercalli Intensity		I	II-III	IV	V	VI	VII	VIII	IX	X
Est. Population Exposure		2,162k*	635k	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Perceived Shaking		Not Felt	Weak	Light	Moderate	Strong	Very Strong	Severe	Violent	Extreme
Potential Structure Damage	Resistant	none	none	none	V. Light	Light	Moderate	Moderate/Heavy	Heavy	V. Heavy
Potential Structure Damage	Vulnerable	none	none	none	Light	Moderate	Moderate/Heavy	Heavy	V. Heavy	V. Heavy

*Estimated exposure only includes population within calculated shake map area

Population Exposure
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan

Structure Information Summary

Overall, the population in this region resides in structures that are highly resistant to earthquake shaking, though some vulnerable structures exist.

Historical Earthquakes (with MMI)

Date (UTC)	Dist (km)	Mag	Max MMI (#)	Shaking Deaths
1984-11-26	231	5.1	V (17k)	0
2003-12-22	109	6.6	VII (213)	2
1989-10-18	77	6.9	IX (3k)	62

Recent earthquakes in this area have caused secondary hazards such as landslides and liquefaction that might have contributed to losses.

Selected Cities Exposedfrom GeoNames Database of Cities with 1,000 or more residents.

MMI	City	Population
III	Soledad	28k
III	Ridgemark	3k
III	Hollister	37k
III	Gonzales	9k
III	Chualar	2k
III	Greenfield	13k
II	Salinas	149k
I	San Jose	895k
I	Sunnyvale	127k
I	Santa Clara	102k
I	Merced	73k

(k = x1,000)

Nearby Events in the EXPO-CAT Earthquake Catalog
#	Date/Time	Mag	Lat, Lon, Depth	Country	Max MMI (Exposed)	Deaths		Secondary Effects
#	Date/Time	Mag	Lat, Lon, Depth	Country	Max MMI (Exposed)	Shaking	Total	Secondary Effects
1	1973-02-21 14:45 UTC	5.9	34.06° N, 119.05° W 6km	US	VIII (4 k)	0	0
2	1975-08-01 20:20 UTC	5.8	39.5° N, 121.4° W 6km	US	VIII (3 k)	0	0
3	1978-08-13 22:54 UTC	5.8	34.39° N, 119.64° W 8km	US	VIII (40 k)	0	0
4	1978-10-04 16:42 UTC	5.4	37.39° N, 118.69° W 8km	US	VI (598)	0	0
5	1979-08-06 17:05 UTC	5.7	37.07° N, 121.6° W 8km	US	VIII (152)	0	0
6	1980-01-24 19:00 UTC	5.8	37.71° N, 121.73° W 15km	US	VII (31 k)	1	1
7	1980-01-27 02:33 UTC	5.8	37.74° N, 121.74° W 15km	US	VI (371 k)	0	0
8	1980-05-25 16:33 UTC	6.2	37.53° N, 118.83° W 11km	US	IX (72)	0	0	landslide
9	1980-05-25 16:49 UTC	5.9	37.55° N, 119.02° W 3km	US	VIII (16)	0	0
10	1980-05-25 19:44 UTC	5.9	37.38° N, 118.84° W 4km	US	VII (2)	0	0	landslide
11	1980-05-25 20:35 UTC	5.9	37.44° N, 118.96° W 2km	US	VI (6 k)	0	0
12	1980-05-25 20:59 UTC	5.5	37.59° N, 118.83° W 10km	US	VII (660)	0	0
13	1980-05-26 12:24 UTC	5.6	37.58° N, 118.9° W 2km	US	VII (2 k)	0	0
14	1980-05-26 18:57 UTC	5.7	37.56° N, 118.9° W 6km	US	VII (2 k)	0	0
15	1980-05-27 14:50 UTC	5.9	37.42° N, 118.8° W 1km	US	VIII (3)	0	0
16	1981-09-04 15:50 UTC	5.8	33.9° N, 119.03° W 15km	US	VI (13 k)	0	0
17	1981-09-30 11:53 UTC	5.6	37.55° N, 118.8° W 15km	US	VII (591)	0	0
18	1983-05-02 23:42 UTC	6.3	36.22° N, 120.3° W 10km	US	IX (29)	0	0
19	1983-05-02 23:46 UTC	5.7	36.23° N, 120.29° W 8km	US	VIII (1 k)	0	0
20	1983-07-09 07:40 UTC	5.1	36.17° N, 120.37° W 1km	US	VII (10 k)	0	0
21	1983-07-22 02:39 UTC	5.7	36.2° N, 120.34° W 7km	US	VII (1 k)	0	0
22	1984-04-24 21:15 UTC	6.2	37.31° N, 121.71° W 9km	US	IX (1)	0	0
23	1984-11-23 18:08 UTC	5.8	37.34° N, 118.51° W 15km	US	VIII (8 k)	0	0
24	1984-11-23 19:12 UTC	5.5	37.44° N, 118.64° W 0km	US	VII (381)	0	0
25	1984-11-26 16:21 UTC	5.1	37.29° N, 118.76° W 10km	US	V (17 k)	0	0	landslide
26	1985-08-04 12:01 UTC	6.1	36.14° N, 120.11° W 15km	US	IX (713)	0	0
27	1986-01-26 19:20 UTC	5.4	36.75° N, 121.36° W 6km	US	VII (2 k)	0	0
28	1986-03-31 11:55 UTC	5.6	37.53° N, 121.59° W 6km	US	VII (117)	0	0
29	1986-07-20 14:29 UTC	5.8	37.5° N, 118.45° W 15km	US	VIII (9)	0	0
30	1986-07-21 14:42 UTC	6.2	37.5° N, 118.44° W 10km	US	VIII (375)	0	0
31	1986-07-21 14:51 UTC	5.7	37.5° N, 118.37° W 9km	US	VIII (270)	0	0
32	1986-07-21 22:07 UTC	5.4	37.64° N, 118.49° W 6km	US	VII (15)	0	0
33	1986-07-31 07:22 UTC	5.5	37.46° N, 118.4° W 15km	US	VII (210)	0	0
34	1987-10-01 14:42 UTC	5.9	34.06° N, 118.13° W 14km	US	VIII (20 k)	8	8
35	1987-10-04 10:59 UTC	5.2	34.02° N, 118.14° W 11km	US	VII (453 k)	0	1
36	1988-02-11 15:25 UTC	4.8	34.08° N, 118.05° W 12km	US	VII (11 k)	0	1
37	1988-06-27 18:43 UTC	5.7	37.13° N, 121.88° W 13km	US	VIII (6)	0	0
38	1988-12-03 11:38 UTC	5	34.15° N, 118.13° W 13km	US	VI (1,090 k)	0	0
39	1989-01-19 06:53 UTC	5.2	33.91° N, 118.7° W 9km	US	VI (14 k)	0	0
40	1989-08-08 08:13 UTC	5.4	37.13° N, 121.93° W 15km	US	VII (4 k)	1	1
41	1989-10-18 00:04 UTC	6.9	37.11° N, 121.77° W 11km	US	IX (3 k)	62	63	landslide, tsunami
42	1991-06-28 14:43 UTC	5.6	34.24° N, 118.01° W 11km	US	VII (8 k)	1	1
43	1992-07-11 18:14 UTC	5.7	34.96° N, 118.19° W 15km	US	VIII (568)	0	0
44	1993-05-17 23:20 UTC	6.1	37.15° N, 117.82° W 10km	US	VIII (6)	0	0
45	1994-01-17 12:30 UTC	6.7	34.16° N, 118.58° W 11km	US	IX (181 k)	33	33	landslide, liquefaction
46	1994-01-17 23:33 UTC	5.8	34.27° N, 118.79° W 8km	US	VIII (70 k)	0	0
47	1994-01-18 00:43 UTC	5.5	34.26° N, 118.89° W 17km	US	VII (97 k)	0	0
48	1994-09-12 12:23 UTC	5.9	38.86° N, 119.71° W 5km	US	VIII (14 k)	0	0
49	1995-09-20 23:27 UTC	5.5	35.63° N, 117.73° W 15km	US	VIII (852)	0	0
50	1995-12-28 18:27 UTC	5.5	38.78° N, 119.55° W 5km	US	VII (2 k)	0	0
51	1998-08-12 14:10 UTC	5.2	36.68° N, 121.53° W 9km	US	VII (1 k)	0	0
52	1999-05-15 13:22 UTC	5.5	37.45° N, 118.8° W 1km	US	VII (4)	0	0
53	2000-09-03 08:36 UTC	5	38.38° N, 122.41° W 10km	US	VI (77 k)	0	0
54	2003-12-22 19:15 UTC	6.6	35.62° N, 121.07° W 16km	US	VII (213)	2	2	landslide, liquefaction
55	2004-09-28 17:15 UTC	6	35.75° N, 120.32° W 5km	US	VII (160)	0	0

MMI	City	Population
III	Soledad	28k
III	Ridgemark	3k
III	Hollister	37k
III	Gonzales	9k
III	Chualar	2k
III	Greenfield	13k
II	Salinas	149k
II	King City	11k
II	San Juan Bautista	2k
II	Boronda	1k
II	Prunedale	23k
II	Marina	17k
II	Castroville	8k
II	Gilroy	45k
II	Del Rey Oaks	2k
II	Aromas	3k
II	Pajaro	3k
II	Watsonville	46k
II	Seaside	36k
II	Las Lomas	3k
II	Los Banos	33k
II	Elkhorn	2k
II	Carmel Valley Village	5k
II	Amesti	3k
II	South Dos Palos	2k
II	Interlaken	8k
II	Freedom	6k
II	Dos Palos	5k
II	Carmel-by-the-Sea	4k
II	Morgan Hill	35k
I	San Martin	6k
I	Corralitos	2k
I	Aptos	10k
I	Rio Del Mar	9k
I	Firebaugh	7k
I	Monterey	30k
I	Ben Lomond	3k
I	Felton	1k
I	Gustine	6k
I	Mendota	9k
I	Pacific Grove	15k
I	Boulder Creek	4k
I	Del Monte Forest	4k
I	Campbell	37k
I	Buena Vista	2k
I	Burbank	5k
I	Portola Valley	4k
I	Capitola	10k
I	Soquel	5k
I	Day Valley	4k
I	Lexington Hills	3k
I	Scotts Valley	11k
I	Los Gatos	28k
I	Saratoga	29k
I	Live Oak	18k
I	Cambrian Park	3k
I	Cupertino	51k
I	Opal Cliffs	7k
I	Monte Sereno	3k
I	Alum Rock	14k
I	Atwater	30k
I	Avenal	17k
I	Biola	1k
I	Chowchilla	15k
I	Coalinga	16k
I	East Foothills	8k
I	Huron	7k
I	Kerman	11k
I	Kettleman City	2k
I	Le Grand	2k
I	Livingston	12k
I	Los Altos	27k
I	Los Altos Hills	8k
I	Loyola	4k
I	Madera	51k
I	Madera Acres	9k
I	Merced	73k
I	Mountain View	68k
I	Newman	8k
I	Parksdale	3k
I	Parkwood	2k
I	Planada	5k
I	San Joaquin	4k
I	San Jose	895k
I	Santa Clara	102k
I	Santa Cruz	55k
I	Seven Trees	2k
I	Stanford	13k
I	Sunnyvale	127k
I	Twin Lakes	6k
I	Winton	10k

(k = x1,000)

PAGER content is automatically generated, and only considers losses due to structural damage. Limitations of input data, shaking estimates, and loss models may add uncertainty. PAGER results are generally available within 30 minutes of the earthquake’s occurrence. However, information on the extent of shaking will be uncertain in the minutes and hours following an earthquake and typically improves as additional sensor data and reported intensities are acquired and incorporated into models of the earthquake's source. Users of PAGER estimates should account for uncertainty and always seek the most current PAGER release for any earthquake.