PAGER - M 4.0 - 1.4 km (0.9 mi) NNW of El Cerrito, CA

Alert level does not include impacts from earthquake-related hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires or liquefaction.

Earthquake Shaking Alert Level: GREEN

Download Alert PDFWhat's this?Monday, March 5th, 2012 at 13:33:20 UTC (05:33:20 local)Location: 37.9° N, 122.3° WDepth: 8kmEvent Id: NC71746766Alert Version: 4Created: 88 weeks, 2 days after earthquake.
Global Location

Alert Information

Green alert for shaking-related fatalities and economic losses. There is a low likelihood of casualties and damage.
Estimated FatalitiesFatality Alert Level: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITY ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITIES (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 (GREEN)
 
76
1 to 9 (YELLOW)
 
24
10 to 99 (YELLOW)0
100 to 999 (ORANGE)0
1 to 10 thousand (RED)0
10 to 100 thousand (RED)0
100 thousand + (RED)0
Estimated Economic LossesEconomic Alert Level: GREEN
ESTIMATED ECONOMIC ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED VALUE IN USD (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 to 1 million (GREEN)
 
65
1 to 10 million (YELLOW)
 
30
10 to 100 million (YELLOW)
 
4
100 million to 1 billion (ORANGE)0
1 to 10 billion (RED)0
10 to 100 billion (RED)0
100 billion + (RED)0

Detailed Information

Estimated Population Exposed to Earthquake Shaking
Estimated Modified Mercalli IntensityIII-IIIIVVVIVIIVIIIIXX
Est. Population Exposure5,352k*3,554k574k271k42k0000
Perceived ShakingNot FeltWeakLightModerateStrongVery StrongSevereViolentExtreme
Potential Structure DamageResistantnonenonenoneV. LightLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. Heavy
VulnerablenonenonenoneLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. HeavyV. Heavy
*Estimated exposure only includes population within calculated shake map area
Population Exposure
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan
Population Exposure Map

Structure Information Summary

Overall, the population in this region resides in structures that are highly resistant to earthquake shaking, though some vulnerable structures exist.

Historical Earthquakes (with MMI)

Date (UTC)Dist (km)MagMax MMI (#)Shaking Deaths
1984-11-263215.1V (17k)0
2003-12-222796.6VII (213)2
1989-10-181036.9IX (3k)62

Recent earthquakes in this area have caused secondary hazards such as landslides and liquefaction that might have contributed to losses.

Selected Cities Exposedfrom GeoNames Database of Cities with 1,000 or more residents.
MMICityPopulation
VIEl Cerrito24k
VIEast Richmond Heights3k
VKensington5k
VRichmond104k
VAlbany19k
VEl Sobrante13k
IVOakland391k
IIISan Francisco805k
ISan Jose946k
ISacramento466k
IStockton292k

(k = x1,000)

Historical Events Map
Nearby Events in the EXPO-CAT Earthquake Catalog
#Date/TimeMagLat, Lon, DepthCountryMax MMI (Exposed)DeathsSecondary Effects
ShakingTotal
11975-08-01
20:20 UTC
5.839.5° N, 121.4° W
6km
USVIII (3 k)00
21978-10-04
16:42 UTC
5.437.39° N, 118.69° W
8km
USVI (598)00
31979-08-06
17:05 UTC
5.737.07° N, 121.6° W
8km
USVIII (152)00
41980-01-24
19:00 UTC
5.837.71° N, 121.73° W
15km
USVII (31 k)11
51980-01-27
02:33 UTC
5.837.74° N, 121.74° W
15km
USVI (371 k)00
61980-05-25
16:33 UTC
6.237.53° N, 118.83° W
11km
USIX (72)00landslide
71980-05-25
16:49 UTC
5.937.55° N, 119.02° W
3km
USVIII (16)00
81980-05-25
19:44 UTC
5.937.38° N, 118.84° W
4km
USVII (2)00landslide
91980-05-25
20:35 UTC
5.937.44° N, 118.96° W
2km
USVI (6 k)00
101980-05-25
20:59 UTC
5.537.59° N, 118.83° W
10km
USVII (660)00
111980-05-26
12:24 UTC
5.637.58° N, 118.9° W
2km
USVII (2 k)00
121980-05-26
18:57 UTC
5.737.56° N, 118.9° W
6km
USVII (2 k)00
131980-05-27
14:50 UTC
5.937.42° N, 118.8° W
1km
USVIII (3)00
141980-11-08
10:27 UTC
7.341.11° N, 124.3° W
17km
USIX (16 k)00
151981-09-30
11:53 UTC
5.637.55° N, 118.8° W
15km
USVII (591)00
161983-05-02
23:42 UTC
6.336.22° N, 120.3° W
10km
USIX (29)00
171983-05-02
23:46 UTC
5.736.23° N, 120.29° W
8km
USVIII (1 k)00
181983-07-09
07:40 UTC
5.136.17° N, 120.37° W
1km
USVII (10 k)00
191983-07-22
02:39 UTC
5.736.2° N, 120.34° W
7km
USVII (1 k)00
201983-08-24
13:36 UTC
6.240.29° N, 124.62° W
24km
USVII (2 k)00
211984-04-24
21:15 UTC
6.237.31° N, 121.71° W
9km
USIX (1)00
221984-11-23
18:08 UTC
5.837.34° N, 118.51° W
15km
USVIII (8 k)00
231984-11-23
19:12 UTC
5.537.44° N, 118.64° W
0km
USVII (381)00
241984-11-26
16:21 UTC
5.137.29° N, 118.76° W
10km
USV (17 k)00landslide
251985-08-04
12:01 UTC
6.136.14° N, 120.11° W
15km
USIX (713)00
261986-01-26
19:20 UTC
5.436.75° N, 121.36° W
6km
USVII (2 k)00
271986-03-31
11:55 UTC
5.637.53° N, 121.59° W
6km
USVII (117)00
281986-07-20
14:29 UTC
5.837.5° N, 118.45° W
15km
USVIII (9)00
291986-07-21
14:42 UTC
6.237.5° N, 118.44° W
10km
USVIII (375)00
301986-07-21
14:51 UTC
5.737.5° N, 118.37° W
9km
USVIII (270)00
311986-07-21
22:07 UTC
5.437.64° N, 118.49° W
6km
USVII (15)00
321986-07-31
07:22 UTC
5.537.46° N, 118.4° W
15km
USVII (210)00
331987-07-31
23:56 UTC
640.39° N, 124.2° W
18km
USVIII (4)00
341988-06-27
18:43 UTC
5.737.13° N, 121.88° W
13km
USVIII (6)00
351989-08-08
08:13 UTC
5.437.13° N, 121.93° W
15km
USVII (4 k)11
361989-10-18
00:04 UTC
6.937.11° N, 121.77° W
11km
USIX (3 k)6263landslide, tsunami
371991-08-17
19:29 UTC
6.140.25° N, 124.11° W
16km
USVIII (255)00
381992-03-08
03:43 UTC
5.440.26° N, 123.97° W
14km
USVII (53)00
391992-04-25
18:06 UTC
7.240.35° N, 124.07° W
19km
USIX (2 k)00landslide, liquefaction, tsunami
401992-04-26
07:41 UTC
6.540.55° N, 124.25° W
31km
USIX (1 k)00
411992-04-26
11:18 UTC
6.640.43° N, 124.41° W
25km
USIX (40)00
421994-09-12
12:23 UTC
5.938.86° N, 119.71° W
5km
USVIII (14 k)00
431994-12-26
14:10 UTC
5.540.71° N, 124.04° W
26km
USVII (85 k)00
441995-12-28
18:27 UTC
5.538.78° N, 119.55° W
5km
USVII (2 k)00
451997-01-22
07:17 UTC
5.740.21° N, 124.29° W
15km
USVII (151)00
461998-08-12
14:10 UTC
5.236.68° N, 121.53° W
9km
USVII (1 k)00
471999-05-15
13:22 UTC
5.537.45° N, 118.8° W
1km
USVII (4)00
482000-09-03
08:36 UTC
538.38° N, 122.41° W
10km
USVI (77 k)00
492003-12-22
19:15 UTC
6.635.62° N, 121.07° W
16km
USVII (213)22landslide, liquefaction
502004-09-28
17:15 UTC
635.75° N, 120.32° W
5km
USVII (160)00
MMICityPopulation
VIEl Cerrito24k
VIEast Richmond Heights3k
VKensington5k
VRichmond104k
VAlbany19k
VEl Sobrante13k
VRollingwood3k
VSan Pablo29k
VNorth Richmond4k
VBayview2k
VBerkeley113k
VPinole18k
VTara Hills5k
IVEmeryville10k
IVRodeo9k
IVMontalvin3k
IVHercules24k
IVOrinda18k
IVOakland391k
IVSausalito7k
IVBenicia27k
IVPiedmont11k
IVVallejo116k
IVCrockett3k
IVBelvedere2k
IVTiburon9k
IIIMoraga16k
IIIStrawberry5k
IIILarkspur12k
IIIMarin City3k
IIISan Francisco805k
IIICorte Madera9k
IIIMill Valley14k
IIIMartinez36k
IIILafayette24k
IIITamalpais-Homestead Valley11k
IIIAlameda74k
IIIWaldon5k
IIIWalnut Creek64k
IIIMountain View2k
IIIRoss2k
IIISan Anselmo12k
IIISaranap5k
IIIPleasant Hill33k
IIIDaly City101k
IIIPacheco4k
IIISanta Venetia4k
IIIVine Hill4k
IIISan Rafael58k
IIIAlamo15k
IIIBroadmoor4k
IIISan Leandro85k
IIIKentfield6k
IIIBrisbane4k
IIIConcord122k
IIIPacifica37k
IIIFairfax7k
IIIColma2k
IIIAmerican Canyon19k
IIISan Lorenzo23k
IIIDanville42k
IISan Bruno41k
IISleepy Hollow2k
IILagunitas-Forest Knolls2k
IISouth San Francisco64k
IILucas Valley-Marinwood6k
IIWoodacre1k
IIAshland22k
IIBolinas2k
IIDiablo1k
IIBurlingame29k
IICherryland15k
IIBay Point22k
IICastro Valley61k
IIPetaluma58k
IIClayton11k
IIMontara3k
IISan Ramon72k
IIMoss Beach3k
IIBlack Point-Green Point1k
IIBay Point21k
IIMillbrae22k
IIFairfield105k
IISuisun28k
IINovato52k
IIBlackhawk9k
IIHillsborough11k
IIHayward144k
IIBodega Bay1k
IIHalf Moon Bay11k
IIRohnert Park41k
IIPenngrove3k
IIGreen Valley2k
IIRio Vista7k
IIEl Granada5k
IITemelec1k
IINapa77k
IISan Mateo97k
IICotati7k
IIPortola Valley4k
IIEl Verano4k
IIFairview10k
IIPittsburg63k
IIPalo Alto64k
IIWoodside5k
IIDublin46k
IIEast Palo Alto28k
IIRedwood Shores11k
IIUnion City70k
IIRedwood City77k
IISan Carlos28k
IIMenlo Park32k
IIPleasanton70k
IIRoseland6k
IIAtherton7k
IINorth Fair Oaks15k
IISebastopol7k
IIHighlands-Baywood Park4k
IIInverness1k
IISonoma11k
IFoster City31k
ILadera1k
IWest Menlo Park4k
IAntioch102k
IEmerald Lake Hills4k
IStanford14k
IBoyes Hot Springs7k
IOakley35k
IFetters Hot Springs-Agua Caliente4k
ISanta Rosa168k
IBoulder Creek5k
IBrookdale2k
IOccidental1k
IVacaville92k
IBelmont26k
IGraton2k
ILos Altos Hills8k
IEldridge1k
ILompico1k
IBrentwood51k
IYountville3k
ILexington Hills2k
ILos Altos29k
ILoyola3k
INewark43k
IKenwood1k
ILivermore81k
IAlum Rock16k
ICupertino58k
IForestville3k
ILos Gatos29k
IKnightsen2k
IMonte Rio1k
ISaratoga30k
IFremont214k
IMonte Sereno3k
IMountain View74k
ISunnyvale140k
IMilpitas67k
IWindsor27k
IEast Foothills8k
IGuerneville5k
IMorgan Hill38k
ISeven Trees2k
IByron1k
ISan Jose946k
ISaint Helena6k
ISanta Clara116k
ILarkfield-Wikiup9k
IBuena Vista2k
IBurbank5k
IHartley3k
IHealdsburg11k
IMiddletown1k
IAllendale2k
IAngwin3k
IAntelope46k
IAugust8k
IBethel Island2k
ICalistoga5k
ICambrian Park3k
ICampbell39k
ICarmichael62k
ICitrus Heights83k
IClay1k
ICollierville2k
ICottonwood4k
ICountry Club9k
IDavis66k
IDeer Park1k
IDiscovery Bay13k
IDixon18k
IDogtown3k
IEl Dorado Hills42k
IElk Grove153k
IElverta5k
IEsparto3k
IFair Oaks31k
IFlorin48k
IFolsom72k
IFoothill Farms33k
IFrench Camp3k
IGalt24k
IGarden Acres11k
IGold River8k
IGranite Bay20k
IHerald1k
IKennedy3k
ILa Riviera11k
ILaguna47k
ILathrop18k
ILincoln Village4k
ILinden2k
ILockeford3k
ILodi62k
IManteca67k
IMorada4k
IMountain House10k
INorth Highlands43k
IOrangevale34k
IParkway15k
IPatterson20k
IRancho Cordova65k
IRancho Murieta5k
IRio Linda15k
IRipon14k
IRosemont23k
IRoseville119k
ISacramento466k
ISalida14k
ISea Ranch1k
IStockton292k
IThornton1k
ITracy83k
IWalnut Grove2k
IWest Sacramento49k
IWilton5k
IWinters7k
IWoodbridge4k
IWoodland55k
IVineyard25k
IArden-Arcade92k
ITaft Mosswood2k

(k = x1,000)


PAGER content is automatically generated, and only considers losses due to structural damage. Limitations of input data, shaking estimates, and loss models may add uncertainty. PAGER results are generally available within 30 minutes of the earthquake’s occurrence. However, information on the extent of shaking will be uncertain in the minutes and hours following an earthquake and typically improves as additional sensor data and reported intensities are acquired and incorporated into models of the earthquake's source. Users of PAGER estimates should account for uncertainty and always seek the most current PAGER release for any earthquake.