PAGER - M 4.8 - 6.7 km (4.1 mi) W of Isla Vista, CA

Alert level does not include impacts from earthquake-related hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires or liquefaction.

Earthquake Shaking Alert Level: GREEN

Download Alert PDFWhat's this?Wednesday, May 29th, 2013 at 14:38:03 UTC (06:38:20 local)Location: 34.4° N, 119.9° WDepth: 8kmEvent Id: CI15350729Alert Version: 1Created: 1 week, 0 days after earthquake.
Global Location

Alert Information

Green alert for shaking-related fatalities and economic losses. There is a low likelihood of casualties and damage.
Estimated FatalitiesFatality Alert Level: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITY ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITIES (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 (GREEN)
 
76
1 to 9 (YELLOW)
 
24
10 to 99 (YELLOW)0
100 to 999 (ORANGE)0
1 to 10 thousand (RED)0
10 to 100 thousand (RED)0
100 thousand + (RED)0
Estimated Economic LossesEconomic Alert Level: GREEN
ESTIMATED ECONOMIC ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED VALUE IN USD (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 to 1 million (GREEN)
 
65
1 to 10 million (YELLOW)
 
30
10 to 100 million (YELLOW)
 
4
100 million to 1 billion (ORANGE)0
1 to 10 billion (RED)0
10 to 100 billion (RED)0
100 billion + (RED)0

Detailed Information

Estimated Population Exposed to Earthquake Shaking
Estimated Modified Mercalli IntensityIII-IIIIVVVIVIIVIIIIXX
Est. Population Exposure---*1,219k*170k64k2k0000
Perceived ShakingNot FeltWeakLightModerateStrongVery StrongSevereViolentExtreme
Potential Structure DamageResistantnonenonenoneV. LightLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. Heavy
VulnerablenonenonenoneLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. HeavyV. Heavy
*Estimated exposure only includes population within calculated shake map area
Population Exposure
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan
Population Exposure Map

Structure Information Summary

Overall, the population in this region resides in structures that are highly resistant to earthquake shaking, though some vulnerable structures exist.

Historical Earthquakes (with MMI)

Date (UTC)Dist (km)MagMax MMI (#)Shaking Deaths
1978-10-043495.4VI (598)0
2003-12-221706.6VII (213)2
1989-10-183436.9IX (3k)62

Recent earthquakes in this area have caused secondary hazards such as landslides and liquefaction that might have contributed to losses.

Selected Cities Exposedfrom GeoNames Database of Cities with 1,000 or more residents.
MMICityPopulation
VIsla Vista23k
VGoleta30k
IVSanta Ynez4k
IVSolvang5k
IVBuellton5k
IVMission Canyon2k
IIISanta Maria100k
IIIOxnard198k
IIIOxnard Shores187k
IISimi Valley124k
IIThousand Oaks127k

(k = x1,000)

Historical Events Map
Nearby Events in the EXPO-CAT Earthquake Catalog
#Date/TimeMagLat, Lon, DepthCountryMax MMI (Exposed)DeathsSecondary Effects
ShakingTotal
11973-02-21
14:45 UTC
5.934.06° N, 119.05° W
6km
USVIII (4 k)00
21978-08-13
22:54 UTC
5.834.39° N, 119.64° W
8km
USVIII (40 k)00
31978-10-04
16:42 UTC
5.437.39° N, 118.69° W
8km
USVI (598)00
41979-03-15
21:07 UTC
5.534.2° N, 116.53° W
15km
USVII (744)00
51979-08-06
17:05 UTC
5.737.07° N, 121.6° W
8km
USVIII (152)00
61980-02-25
10:47 UTC
5.633.52° N, 116.55° W
6km
USVII (847)00
71980-05-25
16:33 UTC
6.237.53° N, 118.83° W
11km
USIX (72)00landslide
81980-05-25
16:49 UTC
5.937.55° N, 119.02° W
3km
USVIII (16)00
91980-05-25
19:44 UTC
5.937.38° N, 118.84° W
4km
USVII (2)00landslide
101980-05-25
20:35 UTC
5.937.44° N, 118.96° W
2km
USVI (6 k)00
111980-05-25
20:59 UTC
5.537.59° N, 118.83° W
10km
USVII (660)00
121980-05-26
12:24 UTC
5.637.58° N, 118.9° W
2km
USVII (2 k)00
131980-05-26
18:57 UTC
5.737.56° N, 118.9° W
6km
USVII (2 k)00
141980-05-27
14:50 UTC
5.937.42° N, 118.8° W
1km
USVIII (3)00
151981-09-04
15:50 UTC
5.833.9° N, 119.03° W
15km
USVI (13 k)00
161981-09-30
11:53 UTC
5.637.55° N, 118.8° W
15km
USVII (591)00
171983-05-02
23:42 UTC
6.336.22° N, 120.3° W
10km
USIX (29)00
181983-05-02
23:46 UTC
5.736.23° N, 120.29° W
8km
USVIII (1 k)00
191983-07-09
07:40 UTC
5.136.17° N, 120.37° W
1km
USVII (10 k)00
201983-07-22
02:39 UTC
5.736.2° N, 120.34° W
7km
USVII (1 k)00
211984-04-24
21:15 UTC
6.237.31° N, 121.71° W
9km
USIX (1)00
221984-11-23
18:08 UTC
5.837.34° N, 118.51° W
15km
USVIII (8 k)00
231984-11-23
19:12 UTC
5.537.44° N, 118.64° W
0km
USVII (381)00
241984-11-26
16:21 UTC
5.137.29° N, 118.76° W
10km
USV (17 k)00landslide
251985-08-04
12:01 UTC
6.136.14° N, 120.11° W
15km
USIX (713)00
261986-01-26
19:20 UTC
5.436.75° N, 121.36° W
6km
USVII (2 k)00
271986-03-31
11:55 UTC
5.637.53° N, 121.59° W
6km
USVII (117)00
281986-07-08
09:20 UTC
633.97° N, 116.78° W
12km
USVIII (8 k)00landslide
291986-07-13
13:47 UTC
5.833.05° N, 117.85° W
2km
USV (9,528 k)01landslide
301986-07-20
14:29 UTC
5.837.5° N, 118.45° W
15km
USVIII (9)00
311986-07-21
14:42 UTC
6.237.5° N, 118.44° W
10km
USVIII (375)00
321986-07-21
14:51 UTC
5.737.5° N, 118.37° W
9km
USVIII (270)00
331986-07-21
22:07 UTC
5.437.64° N, 118.49° W
6km
USVII (15)00
341986-07-31
07:22 UTC
5.537.46° N, 118.4° W
15km
USVII (210)00
351987-10-01
14:42 UTC
5.934.06° N, 118.13° W
14km
USVIII (20 k)88
361987-10-04
10:59 UTC
5.234.02° N, 118.14° W
11km
USVII (453 k)01
371987-11-24
13:15 UTC
6.533.07° N, 115.95° W
2km
USIX (599)00
381988-02-11
15:25 UTC
4.834.08° N, 118.05° W
12km
USVII (11 k)01
391988-06-27
18:43 UTC
5.737.13° N, 121.88° W
13km
USVIII (6)00
401988-12-03
11:38 UTC
534.15° N, 118.13° W
13km
USVI (1,090 k)00
411989-01-19
06:53 UTC
5.233.91° N, 118.7° W
9km
USVI (14 k)00
421989-08-08
08:13 UTC
5.437.13° N, 121.93° W
15km
USVII (4 k)11
431989-10-18
00:04 UTC
6.937.11° N, 121.77° W
11km
USIX (3 k)6263landslide, tsunami
441990-02-28
23:43 UTC
5.734.14° N, 117.75° W
3km
USVIII (12 k)00
451991-06-28
14:43 UTC
5.634.24° N, 118.01° W
11km
USVII (8 k)11
461992-04-23
04:50 UTC
6.233.87° N, 116.52° W
4km
USVIII (16 k)00
471992-06-28
11:57 UTC
7.334.18° N, 116.53° W
11km
USIX (2 k)11
481992-06-28
15:05 UTC
6.534.29° N, 116.82° W
12km
USIX (2 k)00landslide
491992-06-29
16:01 UTC
5.533.82° N, 116.44° W
15km
USVIII (8 k)00
501992-07-11
18:14 UTC
5.734.96° N, 118.19° W
15km
USVIII (568)00
511992-11-27
16:00 UTC
5.634.23° N, 117.01° W
5km
USVII (4 k)00
521993-05-17
23:20 UTC
6.137.15° N, 117.82° W
10km
USVIII (6)00
531994-01-17
12:30 UTC
6.734.16° N, 118.58° W
11km
USIX (181 k)3333landslide, liquefaction
541994-01-17
23:33 UTC
5.834.27° N, 118.79° W
8km
USVIII (70 k)00
551994-01-18
00:43 UTC
5.534.26° N, 118.89° W
17km
USVII (97 k)00
561995-09-20
23:27 UTC
5.535.63° N, 117.73° W
15km
USVIII (852)00
571998-08-12
14:10 UTC
5.236.68° N, 121.53° W
9km
USVII (1 k)00
581999-05-15
13:22 UTC
5.537.45° N, 118.8° W
1km
USVII (4)00
591999-10-16
09:46 UTC
7.134.52° N, 116.44° W
5km
USIX (17 k)00
601999-10-16
09:59 UTC
5.834.56° N, 116.79° W
9km
USVIII (19)00
611999-10-16
12:57 UTC
5.734.27° N, 116.23° W
12km
USVIII (201)00
622003-12-22
19:15 UTC
6.635.62° N, 121.07° W
16km
USVII (213)22landslide, liquefaction
632004-09-28
17:15 UTC
635.75° N, 120.32° W
5km
USVII (160)00
642005-06-16
20:53 UTC
4.933.95° N, 117.05° W
18km
USVI (63 k)00
MMICityPopulation
VIsla Vista23k
VGoleta30k
IVSanta Ynez4k
IVBuellton5k
IVSolvang5k
IVMission Canyon2k
IVSanta Barbara88k
IVLos Olivos1k
IVToro Canyon2k
IVSummerland1k
IVCarpinteria13k
IVMontecito9k
IIILompoc42k
IIISanta Maria100k
IIISouth Taft2k
IIIOrcutt29k
IIIVentura97k
IIILos Alamos2k
IIITaft9k
IIIMission Hills4k
IIIFord City4k
IIIMaricopa1k
IIIVandenberg Village7k
IIIEl Rio7k
IIISaticoy1k
IIITaft Heights2k
IIIOxnard198k
IIIVandenberg Air Force Base3k
IIIPort Hueneme22k
IIIOak View4k
IIINipomo17k
IIIGuadalupe7k
IIIMira Monte7k
IIIPine Mountain Club2k
IIILebec1k
IIIOxnard Shores187k
IIICallender1k
IIICamarillo65k
IIIPine Mountain Club2k
IIIChannel Islands Beach3k
IIIFillmore15k
IIIOceano7k
IIIMeiners Oaks4k
IIIMoorpark34k
IIIArroyo Grande17k
IIIGrover Beach13k
IIIOjai7k
IIISanta Paula29k
IIIFrazier Park3k
IIIPiru2k
IIISanta Susana1k
IIICasa Conejo3k
IISimi Valley124k
IIWeedpatch3k
IIAvila Beach2k
IIArvin19k
IIWestlake Village9k
IIOak Park14k
IIPismo Beach8k
IIMalibu13k
IIThousand Oaks127k
IIMalibu Beach14k
IIAgoura21k
IIAgoura Hills20k

(k = x1,000)


PAGER content is automatically generated, and only considers losses due to structural damage. Limitations of input data, shaking estimates, and loss models may add uncertainty. PAGER results are generally available within 30 minutes of the earthquake’s occurrence. However, information on the extent of shaking will be uncertain in the minutes and hours following an earthquake and typically improves as additional sensor data and reported intensities are acquired and incorporated into models of the earthquake's source. Users of PAGER estimates should account for uncertainty and always seek the most current PAGER release for any earthquake.