PAGER - M 3.0 - 4.5 km (2.8 mi) N of Hemet, CA
Alert level does not include impacts from earthquake-related hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires or liquefaction.
Earthquake Shaking Alert Level: GREEN
Download Alert PDFWhat's this?Wednesday, October 5th, 2011 at 18:20:07 UTC (11:20:07 local)Location: 33.8° N, 117° WDepth: 15kmEvent Id: CI15059660Alert Version: 3Created: 1 day, 0 hours after earthquake.
Alert Information
Green alert for shaking-related fatalities and economic losses. There is a low likelihood of casualties and damage.
Estimated Fatalities
| ESTIMATED FATALITIES (LEVEL) | Probability (%) |
|---|---|
| 0 (GREEN) | 99 |
| 1 to 9 (YELLOW) | 1 |
| 10 to 99 (YELLOW) | 0 |
| 100 to 999 (ORANGE) | 0 |
| 1 to 10 thousand (RED) | 0 |
| 10 to 100 thousand (RED) | 0 |
| 100 thousand + (RED) | 0 |
Estimated Economic Losses
| ESTIMATED VALUE IN USD (LEVEL) | Probability (%) |
|---|---|
| 0 to 1 million (GREEN) | 99 |
| 1 to 10 million (YELLOW) | 1 |
| 10 to 100 million (YELLOW) | 0 |
| 100 million to 1 billion (ORANGE) | 0 |
| 1 to 10 billion (RED) | 0 |
| 10 to 100 billion (RED) | 0 |
| 100 billion + (RED) | 0 |
Detailed Information
| Estimated Modified Mercalli Intensity | I | II-III | IV | V | VI | VII | VIII | IX | X | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Est. Population Exposure | 11,928k | 166k | 50k | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Perceived Shaking | Not Felt | Weak | Light | Moderate | Strong | Very Strong | Severe | Violent | Extreme | |
| Potential Structure Damage | Resistant | none | none | none | V. Light | Light | Moderate | Moderate/Heavy | Heavy | V. Heavy |
| Vulnerable | none | none | none | Light | Moderate | Moderate/Heavy | Heavy | V. Heavy | V. Heavy | |
*Estimated exposure only includes population within calculated shake map area
Population Exposure
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan
Structure Information Summary
Overall, the population in this region resides in structures that are highly resistant to earthquake shaking, though some vulnerable structures exist.
Historical Earthquakes (with MMI)
| Date (UTC) | Dist (km) | Mag | Max MMI (#) | Shaking Deaths |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1986-07-13 | 116 | 5.8 | V (10m) | 0 |
| 1991-06-28 | 108 | 5.6 | VII (8k) | 1 |
| 1994-01-17 | 154 | 6.7 | IX (181k) | 33 |
Recent earthquakes in this area have caused secondary hazards such as landslides and liquefaction that might have contributed to losses.
Selected Cities Exposedfrom GeoNames Database of Cities with 1,000 or more residents.
| MMI | City | Population |
|---|---|---|
| IV | Hemet | 69k |
| III | San Jacinto | 29k |
| III | East Hemet | 14k |
| III | Valle Vista | 12k |
| III | Winchester | 2k |
| II | Lakeview | 2k |
| I | Long Beach | 483k |
| I | Santa Ana | 343k |
| I | Anaheim | 328k |
| I | Riverside | 298k |
| I | San Bernardino | 202k |
(k = x1,000)
| # | Date/Time | Mag | Lat, Lon, Depth | Country | Max MMI (Exposed) | Deaths | Secondary Effects | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaking | Total | |||||||
| 1 | 1973-02-21 14:45 UTC | 5.9 | 34.06° N, 119.05° W 6km | US | VIII (4 k) | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 1978-05-05 21:03 UTC | 5.5 | 32.22° N, 115.32° W 5km | MX | VIII (97) | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 1978-08-13 22:54 UTC | 5.8 | 34.39° N, 119.64° W 8km | US | VIII (40 k) | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 1979-03-15 21:07 UTC | 5.5 | 34.2° N, 116.53° W 15km | US | VII (744) | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 1979-10-15 23:17 UTC | 6.5 | 32.82° N, 115.64° W 9km | US | IX (3 k) | 0 | 0 | |
| 6 | 1979-10-16 05:49 UTC | 5.6 | 33.02° N, 115.57° W 5km | US | VIII (611) | 0 | 0 | |
| 7 | 1979-10-16 06:19 UTC | 5.1 | 32.73° N, 115.76° W 10km | US | VII (77) | 0 | 0 | |
| 8 | 1979-10-16 06:58 UTC | 5.6 | 32.95° N, 115.62° W 10km | US | VIII (287) | 0 | 0 | |
| 9 | 1979-10-16 23:16 UTC | 5.5 | 32.92° N, 115.55° W 4km | US | VIII (40) | 0 | 0 | |
| 10 | 1980-02-25 10:47 UTC | 5.6 | 33.52° N, 116.55° W 6km | US | VII (847) | 0 | 0 | |
| 11 | 1980-06-09 03:28 UTC | 6.3 | 32.27° N, 114.91° W 5km | MX | IX (336) | 1 | 1 | |
| 12 | 1981-04-26 12:09 UTC | 5.9 | 33.12° N, 115.64° W 1km | US | VIII (11) | 0 | 0 | |
| 13 | 1981-09-04 15:50 UTC | 5.8 | 33.9° N, 119.03° W 15km | US | VI (13 k) | 0 | 0 | |
| 14 | 1985-08-04 12:01 UTC | 6.1 | 36.14° N, 120.11° W 15km | US | IX (713) | 0 | 0 | |
| 15 | 1986-07-08 09:20 UTC | 6 | 33.97° N, 116.78° W 12km | US | VIII (8 k) | 0 | 0 | landslide |
| 16 | 1986-07-13 13:47 UTC | 5.8 | 33.05° N, 117.85° W 2km | US | V (9,528 k) | 0 | 1 | landslide |
| 17 | 1987-10-01 14:42 UTC | 5.9 | 34.06° N, 118.13° W 14km | US | VIII (20 k) | 8 | 8 | |
| 18 | 1987-10-04 10:59 UTC | 5.2 | 34.02° N, 118.14° W 11km | US | VII (453 k) | 0 | 1 | |
| 19 | 1987-11-24 01:54 UTC | 6 | 33.22° N, 115.79° W 15km | US | VIII (250) | 0 | 2 | |
| 20 | 1987-11-24 13:15 UTC | 6.5 | 33.07° N, 115.95° W 2km | US | IX (599) | 0 | 0 | |
| 21 | 1988-02-11 15:25 UTC | 4.8 | 34.08° N, 118.05° W 12km | US | VII (11 k) | 0 | 1 | |
| 22 | 1988-12-03 11:38 UTC | 5 | 34.15° N, 118.13° W 13km | US | VI (1,090 k) | 0 | 0 | |
| 23 | 1989-01-19 06:53 UTC | 5.2 | 33.91° N, 118.7° W 9km | US | VI (14 k) | 0 | 0 | |
| 24 | 1990-02-28 23:43 UTC | 5.7 | 34.14° N, 117.75° W 3km | US | VIII (12 k) | 0 | 0 | |
| 25 | 1991-06-28 14:43 UTC | 5.6 | 34.24° N, 118.01° W 11km | US | VII (8 k) | 1 | 1 | |
| 26 | 1992-04-23 04:50 UTC | 6.2 | 33.87° N, 116.52° W 4km | US | VIII (16 k) | 0 | 0 | |
| 27 | 1992-06-28 11:57 UTC | 7.3 | 34.18° N, 116.53° W 11km | US | IX (2 k) | 1 | 1 | |
| 28 | 1992-06-28 15:05 UTC | 6.5 | 34.29° N, 116.82° W 12km | US | IX (2 k) | 0 | 0 | landslide |
| 29 | 1992-06-29 10:14 UTC | 5.7 | 36.77° N, 116.32° W 11km | US | VIII (127) | 0 | 0 | |
| 30 | 1992-06-29 16:01 UTC | 5.5 | 33.82° N, 116.44° W 15km | US | VIII (8 k) | 0 | 0 | |
| 31 | 1992-07-11 18:14 UTC | 5.7 | 34.96° N, 118.19° W 15km | US | VIII (568) | 0 | 0 | |
| 32 | 1992-11-27 16:00 UTC | 5.6 | 34.23° N, 117.01° W 5km | US | VII (4 k) | 0 | 0 | |
| 33 | 1993-05-17 23:20 UTC | 6.1 | 37.15° N, 117.82° W 10km | US | VIII (6) | 0 | 0 | |
| 34 | 1994-01-17 12:30 UTC | 6.7 | 34.16° N, 118.58° W 11km | US | IX (181 k) | 33 | 33 | landslide, liquefaction |
| 35 | 1994-01-17 23:33 UTC | 5.8 | 34.27° N, 118.79° W 8km | US | VIII (70 k) | 0 | 0 | |
| 36 | 1994-01-18 00:43 UTC | 5.5 | 34.26° N, 118.89° W 17km | US | VII (97 k) | 0 | 0 | |
| 37 | 1995-09-20 23:27 UTC | 5.5 | 35.63° N, 117.73° W 15km | US | VIII (852) | 0 | 0 | |
| 38 | 1999-10-16 09:46 UTC | 7.1 | 34.52° N, 116.44° W 5km | US | IX (17 k) | 0 | 0 | |
| 39 | 1999-10-16 09:59 UTC | 5.8 | 34.56° N, 116.79° W 9km | US | VIII (19) | 0 | 0 | |
| 40 | 1999-10-16 12:57 UTC | 5.7 | 34.27° N, 116.23° W 12km | US | VIII (201) | 0 | 0 | |
| 41 | 2001-12-08 23:36 UTC | 5.7 | 32.05° N, 114.9° W 9km | MX | VIII (72) | 0 | 0 | |
| 42 | 2002-02-22 19:32 UTC | 5.5 | 32.38° N, 115.19° W 9km | MX | VIII (8 k) | 0 | 0 | |
| 43 | 2004-09-28 17:15 UTC | 6 | 35.75° N, 120.32° W 5km | US | VII (160) | 0 | 0 | |
| 44 | 2005-06-16 20:53 UTC | 4.9 | 33.95° N, 117.05° W 18km | US | VI (63 k) | 0 | 0 | |
| MMI | City | Population |
|---|---|---|
| IV | Hemet | 69k |
| III | San Jacinto | 29k |
| III | East Hemet | 14k |
| III | Valle Vista | 12k |
| III | Winchester | 2k |
| II | Lakeview | 2k |
| II | Nuevo | 5k |
| II | Homeland | 4k |
| II | Banning | 30k |
| II | Cabazon | 3k |
| II | Romoland | 3k |
| II | Murrieta | 89k |
| I | Murrieta Hot Springs | 4k |
| I | Sedco Hills | 3k |
| I | Beaumont | 19k |
| I | Wildomar | 16k |
| I | Sun City | 20k |
| I | Canyon Lake | 12k |
| I | Temecula | 85k |
| I | Fallbrook | 34k |
| I | Rainbow | 2k |
| I | Quail Valley | 2k |
| I | Bonsall | 5k |
| I | Perris | 46k |
| I | Acton | 3k |
| I | Adelanto | 18k |
| I | Alhambra | 88k |
| I | Aliso Viejo | 41k |
| I | Altadena | 43k |
| I | Anaheim | 328k |
| I | Apple Valley | 64k |
| I | Arcadia | 57k |
| I | Artesia | 17k |
| I | Avocado Heights | 16k |
| I | Azusa | 48k |
| I | Baldwin Park | 81k |
| I | Bell | 38k |
| I | Bell Gardens | 46k |
| I | Bellflower | 76k |
| I | Belvedere | 2k |
| I | Bermuda Dunes | 7k |
| I | Big Bear City | 6k |
| I | Big Bear Lake | 6k |
| I | Bloomington | 22k |
| I | Borrego Springs | 3k |
| I | Bradbury | 1k |
| I | Brea | 40k |
| I | Buena Park | 79k |
| I | Calimesa | 8k |
| I | Carlsbad | 78k |
| I | Cathedral City | 53k |
| I | Cerritos | 53k |
| I | Charter Oak | 9k |
| I | Cherry Valley | 6k |
| I | Chino | 75k |
| I | Chino Hills | 67k |
| I | Citrus | 11k |
| I | Claremont | 35k |
| I | Coachella | 31k |
| I | Colton | 52k |
| I | Commerce | 14k |
| I | Corona | 153k |
| I | Costa Mesa | 109k |
| I | Coto De Caza | 19k |
| I | Covina | 49k |
| I | Crestline | 11k |
| I | Cudahy | 26k |
| I | Cypress | 47k |
| I | Dana Point | 36k |
| I | Del Mar | 4k |
| I | Desert Hot Springs | 19k |
| I | Desert View Highlands | 2k |
| I | Diamond Bar | 59k |
| I | Downey | 112k |
| I | Duarte | 23k |
| I | East Compton | 10k |
| I | East La Mirada | 10k |
| I | East Los Angeles | 125k |
| I | East Pasadena | 6k |
| I | East San Gabriel | 16k |
| I | El Cerrito | 5k |
| I | El Monte | 125k |
| I | Encinitas | 58k |
| I | Escondido | 137k |
| I | Fontana | 169k |
| I | Foothill Ranch | 12k |
| I | Fountain Valley | 56k |
| I | Fullerton | 135k |
| I | Garden Grove | 167k |
| I | Glen Avon | 16k |
| I | Glendora | 52k |
| I | Grand Terrace | 13k |
| I | Hacienda Heights | 54k |
| I | Hawaiian Gardens | 16k |
| I | Hesperia | 74k |
| I | Hidden Meadows | 4k |
| I | Highgrove | 4k |
| I | Highland | 51k |
| I | Home Gardens | 11k |
| I | Huntington Beach | 196k |
| I | Indian Wells | 4k |
| I | Indio | 66k |
| I | Irvine | 189k |
| I | Irwindale | 2k |
| I | Joshua Tree | 4k |
| I | Julian | 2k |
| I | La Canada Flintridge | 21k |
| I | La Habra | 60k |
| I | La Habra Heights | 6k |
| I | La Mirada | 50k |
| I | La Palma | 16k |
| I | La Puente | 43k |
| I | La Quinta | 38k |
| I | La Verne | 34k |
| I | Laguna Beach | 24k |
| I | Laguna Hills | 31k |
| I | Laguna Niguel | 66k |
| I | Laguna Woods | 20k |
| I | Lake Arrowhead | 11k |
| I | Lake Elsinore | 41k |
| I | Lake Forest | 77k |
| I | Lake Los Angeles | 14k |
| I | Lake San Marcos | 4k |
| I | Lakeland Village | 6k |
| I | Lakewood | 82k |
| I | Las Flores | 6k |
| I | Littlerock | 1k |
| I | Loma Linda | 21k |
| I | Long Beach | 483k |
| I | Los Alamitos | 12k |
| I | Los Serranos | 7k |
| I | Lynwood | 72k |
| I | Mayflower Village | 5k |
| I | Maywood | 29k |
| I | Mecca | 7k |
| I | Mentone | 9k |
| I | Mira Loma | 19k |
| I | Mission Viejo | 96k |
| I | Monrovia | 38k |
| I | Montclair | 36k |
| I | Montebello | 64k |
| I | Monterey Park | 63k |
| I | Moreno Valley | 169k |
| I | Morongo Valley | 2k |
| I | Mountain View Acres | 3k |
| I | Muscoy | 10k |
| I | Newport Beach | 79k |
| I | Norco | 27k |
| I | North El Monte | 4k |
| I | Norwalk | 109k |
| I | Oceanside | 161k |
| I | Ontario | 173k |
| I | Orange | 129k |
| I | Palm Desert | 49k |
| I | Palm Springs | 43k |
| I | Palmdale | 135k |
| I | Paramount | 57k |
| I | Pasadena | 145k |
| I | Pedley | 13k |
| I | Pico Rivera | 66k |
| I | Placentia | 49k |
| I | Pomona | 156k |
| I | Portola Hills | 9k |
| I | Poway | 48k |
| I | Ramona | 17k |
| I | Rancho Cucamonga | 169k |
| I | Rancho Mirage | 17k |
| I | Rancho Santa Fe | 3k |
| I | Rancho Santa Margarita | 51k |
| I | Redlands | 70k |
| I | Rialto | 102k |
| I | Riverside | 298k |
| I | Rosemead | 56k |
| I | Rossmoor | 11k |
| I | Rowland Heights | 52k |
| I | Rubidoux | 32k |
| I | Running Springs | 6k |
| I | Salton City | 1k |
| I | San Antonio Heights | 3k |
| I | San Bernardino | 202k |
| I | San Clemente | 62k |
| I | San Diego Country Estates | 11k |
| I | San Dimas | 36k |
| I | San Gabriel | 42k |
| I | San Joaquin Hills | 3k |
| I | San Juan Capistrano | 35k |
| I | San Marcos | 70k |
| I | San Marino | 13k |
| I | Santa Ana | 343k |
| I | Santa Fe Springs | 16k |
| I | Seal Beach | 24k |
| I | Sierra Madre | 11k |
| I | Signal Hill | 11k |
| I | Solana Beach | 13k |
| I | South El Monte | 22k |
| I | South Gate | 100k |
| I | South Pasadena | 25k |
| I | South San Gabriel | 8k |
| I | South San Jose Hills | 22k |
| I | South Whittier | 59k |
| I | Stanton | 38k |
| I | Sunnyslope | 5k |
| I | Temple City | 38k |
| I | Thousand Palms | 6k |
| I | Trabuco Canyon | 3k |
| I | Tustin | 69k |
| I | North Tustin | 24k |
| I | Twentynine Palms | 23k |
| I | Upland | 74k |
| I | Valinda | 24k |
| I | Valley Center | 10k |
| I | Victorville | 84k |
| I | Villa Park | 6k |
| I | Vincent | 15k |
| I | Vista | 93k |
| I | Walnut | 32k |
| I | West Covina | 110k |
| I | West Puente Valley | 24k |
| I | Westminster | 90k |
| I | Whittier | 86k |
| I | Woodcrest | 9k |
| I | Wrightwood | 4k |
| I | Yorba Linda | 65k |
| I | Yucaipa | 50k |
| I | Yucca Valley | 19k |
(k = x1,000)
PAGER content is automatically generated, and only considers losses due to structural damage. Limitations of input data, shaking estimates, and loss models may add uncertainty. PAGER results are generally available within 30 minutes of the earthquake’s occurrence. However, information on the extent of shaking will be uncertain in the minutes and hours following an earthquake and typically improves as additional sensor data and reported intensities are acquired and incorporated into models of the earthquake's source. Users of PAGER estimates should account for uncertainty and always seek the most current PAGER release for any earthquake.
