PAGER - M 3.9 - 7.9 mi NE of Julian, CA

Alert level does not include impacts from earthquake-related hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires or liquefaction.

Earthquake Shaking Alert Level: GREEN

Download Alert PDFWhat's this?Wednesday, October 6th, 2010 at 17:58:06 UTC (10:58:06 local)Location: 33.1° N, 116.5° WDepth: 4kmEvent Id: CI14854812Alert Version: 1Created: 4 weeks, 1 day after earthquake.
Global Location

Alert Information

Green alert for shaking-related fatalities and economic losses. There is a low likelihood of casualties and damage.
Estimated FatalitiesFatality Alert Level: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITY ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITIES (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 (GREEN)
 
99
1 to 9 (YELLOW)1
10 to 99 (YELLOW)0
100 to 999 (ORANGE)0
1 to 10 thousand (RED)0
10 to 100 thousand (RED)0
100 thousand + (RED)0
Estimated Economic LossesEconomic Alert Level: GREEN
ESTIMATED ECONOMIC ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED VALUE IN USD (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 to 1 million (GREEN)
 
99
1 to 10 million (YELLOW)1
10 to 100 million (YELLOW)0
100 million to 1 billion (ORANGE)0
1 to 10 billion (RED)0
10 to 100 billion (RED)0
100 billion + (RED)0

Detailed Information

Estimated Population Exposed to Earthquake Shaking
Estimated Modified Mercalli IntensityIII-IIIIVVVIVIIVIIIIXX
Est. Population Exposure5,788k*1,943k6k3k00000
Perceived ShakingNot FeltWeakLightModerateStrongVery StrongSevereViolentExtreme
Potential Structure DamageResistantnonenonenoneV. LightLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. Heavy
VulnerablenonenonenoneLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. HeavyV. Heavy
*Estimated exposure only includes population within calculated shake map area
Population Exposure
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan
Population Exposure Map

Structure Information Summary

Overall, the population in this region resides in structures that are highly resistant to earthquake shaking, though some vulnerable structures exist.

Historical Earthquakes (with MMI)

Date (UTC)Dist (km)MagMax MMI (#)Shaking Deaths
1986-07-131275.8V (10m)0
1991-06-281855.6VII (8k)1
1994-01-172236.7IX (181k)33

Recent earthquakes in this area have caused secondary hazards such as landslides and liquefaction that might have contributed to losses.

Selected Cities Exposedfrom GeoNames Database of Cities with 1,000 or more residents.
MMICityPopulation
VBorrego Springs3k
IVJulian2k
IIISan Diego Country Estates11k
IIPine Valley2k
IISalton City1k
IIRamona17k
IChula Vista213k
ITijuana1,376k
ISan Diego1,223k
IMexicali597k
IRiverside298k

(k = x1,000)

Historical Events Map
Nearby Events in the EXPO-CAT Earthquake Catalog
#Date/TimeMagLat, Lon, DepthCountryMax MMI (Exposed)DeathsSecondary Effects
ShakingTotal
11973-02-21
14:45 UTC
5.934.06° N, 119.05° W
6km
USVIII (4 k)00
21978-05-05
21:03 UTC
5.532.22° N, 115.32° W
5km
MXVIII (97)00
31978-08-13
22:54 UTC
5.834.39° N, 119.64° W
8km
USVIII (40 k)00
41979-03-15
21:07 UTC
5.534.2° N, 116.53° W
15km
USVII (744)00
51979-10-15
23:17 UTC
6.532.82° N, 115.64° W
9km
USIX (3 k)00
61979-10-16
05:49 UTC
5.633.02° N, 115.57° W
5km
USVIII (611)00
71979-10-16
06:19 UTC
5.132.73° N, 115.76° W
10km
USVII (77)00
81979-10-16
06:58 UTC
5.632.95° N, 115.62° W
10km
USVIII (287)00
91979-10-16
23:16 UTC
5.532.92° N, 115.55° W
4km
USVIII (40)00
101980-02-25
10:47 UTC
5.633.52° N, 116.55° W
6km
USVII (847)00
111980-06-09
03:28 UTC
6.332.27° N, 114.91° W
5km
MXIX (336)11
121981-04-26
12:09 UTC
5.933.12° N, 115.64° W
1km
USVIII (11)00
131981-09-04
15:50 UTC
5.833.9° N, 119.03° W
15km
USVI (13 k)00
141986-07-08
09:20 UTC
633.97° N, 116.78° W
12km
USVIII (8 k)00landslide
151986-07-13
13:47 UTC
5.833.05° N, 117.85° W
2km
USV (9,528 k)01landslide
161987-10-01
14:42 UTC
5.934.06° N, 118.13° W
14km
USVIII (20 k)88
171987-10-04
10:59 UTC
5.234.02° N, 118.14° W
11km
USVII (453 k)01
181987-11-24
01:54 UTC
633.22° N, 115.79° W
15km
USVIII (250)02
191987-11-24
13:15 UTC
6.533.07° N, 115.95° W
2km
USIX (599)00
201988-02-11
15:25 UTC
4.834.08° N, 118.05° W
12km
USVII (11 k)01
211988-12-03
11:38 UTC
534.15° N, 118.13° W
13km
USVI (1,090 k)00
221989-01-19
06:53 UTC
5.233.91° N, 118.7° W
9km
USVI (14 k)00
231990-02-28
23:43 UTC
5.734.14° N, 117.75° W
3km
USVIII (12 k)00
241991-06-28
14:43 UTC
5.634.24° N, 118.01° W
11km
USVII (8 k)11
251992-04-23
04:50 UTC
6.233.87° N, 116.52° W
4km
USVIII (16 k)00
261992-06-28
11:57 UTC
7.334.18° N, 116.53° W
11km
USIX (2 k)11
271992-06-28
15:05 UTC
6.534.29° N, 116.82° W
12km
USIX (2 k)00landslide
281992-06-29
16:01 UTC
5.533.82° N, 116.44° W
15km
USVIII (8 k)00
291992-07-11
18:14 UTC
5.734.96° N, 118.19° W
15km
USVIII (568)00
301992-11-27
16:00 UTC
5.634.23° N, 117.01° W
5km
USVII (4 k)00
311994-01-17
12:30 UTC
6.734.16° N, 118.58° W
11km
USIX (181 k)3333landslide, liquefaction
321994-01-17
23:33 UTC
5.834.27° N, 118.79° W
8km
USVIII (70 k)00
331994-01-18
00:43 UTC
5.534.26° N, 118.89° W
17km
USVII (97 k)00
341995-09-20
23:27 UTC
5.535.63° N, 117.73° W
15km
USVIII (852)00
351999-10-16
09:46 UTC
7.134.52° N, 116.44° W
5km
USIX (17 k)00
361999-10-16
09:59 UTC
5.834.56° N, 116.79° W
9km
USVIII (19)00
371999-10-16
12:57 UTC
5.734.27° N, 116.23° W
12km
USVIII (201)00
382001-12-08
23:36 UTC
5.732.05° N, 114.9° W
9km
MXVIII (72)00
392002-02-22
19:32 UTC
5.532.38° N, 115.19° W
9km
MXVIII (8 k)00
402005-06-16
20:53 UTC
4.933.95° N, 117.05° W
18km
USVI (63 k)00
MMICityPopulation
VBorrego Springs3k
IVJulian2k
IIISan Diego Country Estates11k
IIPine Valley2k
IISalton City1k
IIRamona17k
IILakeside19k
IIMecca7k
IIAlpine15k
IIGranite Hills3k
IIBostonia16k
IIHarbison Canyon5k
IISantee53k
IICrest3k
IIEl Cajon95k
IILa Quinta38k
IIWinter Gardens21k
IIValley Center10k
IIPalm Desert49k
IIRancho Mirage17k
IIIndian Wells4k
IILa Presa35k
IIEscondido137k
IIThousand Palms6k
IIJamul8k
IIPoway48k
IICoachella31k
IIHidden Meadows4k
IILa Mesa54k
IIRancho San Diego28k
IICathedral City53k
IIBermuda Dunes7k
IIRainbow2k
IILake San Marcos4k
IIIndio66k
IISan Marcos70k
IISpring Valley26k
IIValle Vista12k
IIBonita13k
IIRancho Santa Fe3k
IIEast Hemet14k
IITemecula85k
ITecate58k
IDel Mar4k
IHemet69k
ILemon Grove25k
ISan Jacinto29k
IChula Vista213k
ISeeley2k
IMurrieta89k
IMurrieta Hot Springs4k
INational City62k
ICarlsbad78k
ITijuana1,376k
ICoronado24k
ISan Diego1,223k
ISolana Beach13k
IVista93k
IBonsall5k
IWestmorland2k
IImperial Beach27k
IHomeland4k
IOceanside161k
ISun City20k
IEncinitas58k
IFallbrook34k
ICabazon3k
IImperial10k
IRomoland3k
ISedco Hills3k
IBrawley22k
ICalipatria8k
INuevo5k
IWildomar16k
IEl Centro38k
INiland1k
ILakeland Village6k
IWinchester2k
IBanning30k
ILakeview2k
IPerris46k
IProgreso5k
IRosarito66k
IMexicali597k
IPuebla9k
IBeaumont19k
ICalexico36k
ICanyon Lake12k
ICherry Valley6k
IChino Hills67k
ICorona153k
ICoto De Caza19k
IDana Point36k
IDesert Hot Springs19k
IEl Cerrito5k
IFoothill Ranch12k
IHeber3k
IHoltville5k
IHome Gardens11k
ILaguna Hills31k
ILaguna Niguel66k
ILaguna Woods20k
ILake Elsinore41k
ILake Forest77k
ILas Flores6k
ILos Serranos7k
IMission Viejo96k
IMoreno Valley169k
INorco27k
IPalm Springs43k
IPedley13k
IPortola Hills9k
IQuail Valley2k
IRancho Santa Margarita51k
IRiverside298k
ISan Clemente62k
ISan Juan Capistrano35k
ITrabuco Canyon3k
IWoodcrest9k

(k = x1,000)


PAGER content is automatically generated, and only considers losses due to structural damage. Limitations of input data, shaking estimates, and loss models may add uncertainty. PAGER results are generally available within 30 minutes of the earthquake’s occurrence. However, information on the extent of shaking will be uncertain in the minutes and hours following an earthquake and typically improves as additional sensor data and reported intensities are acquired and incorporated into models of the earthquake's source. Users of PAGER estimates should account for uncertainty and always seek the most current PAGER release for any earthquake.