PAGER - M 5.7 - 4.8 mi ESE of Ocotillo, CA

Alert level does not include impacts from earthquake-related hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires or liquefaction.

Earthquake Shaking Alert Level: GREEN

Download Alert PDFWhat's this?Tuesday, June 15th, 2010 at 04:26:58 UTC (21:26:58 local)Location: 32.7° N, 115.9° WDepth: 5kmEvent Id: CI14745580Alert Version: 1Created: 14 weeks, 3 days after earthquake.
Global Location

Alert Information

Green alert for shaking-related fatalities and economic losses. There is a low likelihood of casualties and damage.
Estimated FatalitiesFatality Alert Level: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITY ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITIES (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 (GREEN)
 
90
1 to 9 (YELLOW)
 
9
10 to 99 (YELLOW)0
100 to 999 (ORANGE)0
1 to 10 thousand (RED)0
10 to 100 thousand (RED)0
100 thousand + (RED)0
Estimated Economic LossesEconomic Alert Level: GREEN
ESTIMATED ECONOMIC ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED VALUE IN USD (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 to 1 million (GREEN)
 
90
1 to 10 million (YELLOW)
 
9
10 to 100 million (YELLOW)0
100 million to 1 billion (ORANGE)0
1 to 10 billion (RED)0
10 to 100 billion (RED)0
100 billion + (RED)0

Detailed Information

Estimated Population Exposed to Earthquake Shaking
Estimated Modified Mercalli IntensityIII-IIIIVVVIVIIVIIIIXX
Est. Population Exposure---*256k*3,804k754k9k29000
Perceived ShakingNot FeltWeakLightModerateStrongVery StrongSevereViolentExtreme
Potential Structure DamageResistantnonenonenoneV. LightLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. Heavy
VulnerablenonenonenoneLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. HeavyV. Heavy
*Estimated exposure only includes population within calculated shake map area
Population Exposure
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan
Population Exposure Map

Structure Information Summary

Overall, the population in this region resides in structures that are highly resistant to earthquake shaking, though some vulnerable structures exist.

Historical Earthquakes (with MMI)

Date (UTC)Dist (km)MagMax MMI (#)Shaking Deaths
1981-09-043185.8VI (13k)0
1991-06-282585.6VII (8k)1
1994-01-172956.7IX (181k)33

Recent earthquakes in this area have caused secondary hazards such as landslides and liquefaction that might have contributed to losses.

Selected Cities Exposedfrom GeoNames Database of Cities with 1,000 or more residents.
MMICityPopulation
VSeeley2k
VHoltville5k
VEl Centro38k
VHeber3k
VImperial10k
VBrawley22k
VMexicali597k
IVTijuana1,376k
IVSan Luis Rio Colorado139k
IVChula Vista213k
IVSan Diego1,223k

(k = x1,000)

Historical Events Map
Nearby Events in the EXPO-CAT Earthquake Catalog
#Date/TimeMagLat, Lon, DepthCountryMax MMI (Exposed)DeathsSecondary Effects
ShakingTotal
11973-02-21
14:45 UTC
5.934.06° N, 119.05° W
6km
USVIII (4 k)00
21978-05-05
21:03 UTC
5.532.22° N, 115.32° W
5km
MXVIII (97)00
31978-08-13
22:54 UTC
5.834.39° N, 119.64° W
8km
USVIII (40 k)00
41979-03-15
21:07 UTC
5.534.2° N, 116.53° W
15km
USVII (744)00
51979-10-15
23:17 UTC
6.532.82° N, 115.64° W
9km
USIX (3 k)00
61979-10-16
05:49 UTC
5.633.02° N, 115.57° W
5km
USVIII (611)00
71979-10-16
06:19 UTC
5.132.73° N, 115.76° W
10km
USVII (77)00
81979-10-16
06:58 UTC
5.632.95° N, 115.62° W
10km
USVIII (287)00
91979-10-16
23:16 UTC
5.532.92° N, 115.55° W
4km
USVIII (40)00
101980-02-25
10:47 UTC
5.633.52° N, 116.55° W
6km
USVII (847)00
111980-06-09
03:28 UTC
6.332.27° N, 114.91° W
5km
MXIX (336)11
121981-04-26
12:09 UTC
5.933.12° N, 115.64° W
1km
USVIII (11)00
131981-09-04
15:50 UTC
5.833.9° N, 119.03° W
15km
USVI (13 k)00
141986-07-08
09:20 UTC
633.97° N, 116.78° W
12km
USVIII (8 k)00landslide
151986-07-13
13:47 UTC
5.833.05° N, 117.85° W
2km
USV (9,528 k)01landslide
161987-10-01
14:42 UTC
5.934.06° N, 118.13° W
14km
USVIII (20 k)88
171987-10-04
10:59 UTC
5.234.02° N, 118.14° W
11km
USVII (453 k)01
181987-11-24
01:54 UTC
633.22° N, 115.79° W
15km
USVIII (250)02
191987-11-24
13:15 UTC
6.533.07° N, 115.95° W
2km
USIX (599)00
201988-02-11
15:25 UTC
4.834.08° N, 118.05° W
12km
USVII (11 k)01
211988-12-03
11:38 UTC
534.15° N, 118.13° W
13km
USVI (1,090 k)00
221989-01-19
06:53 UTC
5.233.91° N, 118.7° W
9km
USVI (14 k)00
231990-02-28
23:43 UTC
5.734.14° N, 117.75° W
3km
USVIII (12 k)00
241991-06-28
14:43 UTC
5.634.24° N, 118.01° W
11km
USVII (8 k)11
251992-04-23
04:50 UTC
6.233.87° N, 116.52° W
4km
USVIII (16 k)00
261992-06-28
11:57 UTC
7.334.18° N, 116.53° W
11km
USIX (2 k)11
271992-06-28
15:05 UTC
6.534.29° N, 116.82° W
12km
USIX (2 k)00landslide
281992-06-29
16:01 UTC
5.533.82° N, 116.44° W
15km
USVIII (8 k)00
291992-07-11
18:14 UTC
5.734.96° N, 118.19° W
15km
USVIII (568)00
301992-11-27
16:00 UTC
5.634.23° N, 117.01° W
5km
USVII (4 k)00
311994-01-17
12:30 UTC
6.734.16° N, 118.58° W
11km
USIX (181 k)3333landslide, liquefaction
321994-01-17
23:33 UTC
5.834.27° N, 118.79° W
8km
USVIII (70 k)00
331994-01-18
00:43 UTC
5.534.26° N, 118.89° W
17km
USVII (97 k)00
341995-09-20
23:27 UTC
5.535.63° N, 117.73° W
15km
USVIII (852)00
351999-10-16
09:46 UTC
7.134.52° N, 116.44° W
5km
USIX (17 k)00
361999-10-16
09:59 UTC
5.834.56° N, 116.79° W
9km
USVIII (19)00
371999-10-16
12:57 UTC
5.734.27° N, 116.23° W
12km
USVIII (201)00
382001-12-08
23:36 UTC
5.732.05° N, 114.9° W
9km
MXVIII (72)00
392002-02-22
19:32 UTC
5.532.38° N, 115.19° W
9km
MXVIII (8 k)00
402005-06-16
20:53 UTC
4.933.95° N, 117.05° W
18km
USVI (63 k)00
MMICityPopulation
VSeeley2k
VHoltville5k
VEl Centro38k
VHeber3k
VImperial10k
VBrawley22k
VWestmorland2k
VCalexico36k
VProgreso5k
VMexicali597k
VCalipatria8k
IVPuebla9k
IVNiland1k
IVSalton City1k
IVDelta6k
IVBorrego Springs3k
IVLa Presa35k
IVAlberto Oviedo Mota8k
IVLakeside19k
IVPine Valley2k
IVTecolots5k
IVGuadalupe Victoria18k
IVEl Cajon95k
IVBostonia16k
IVRamona17k
IVTecate58k
IVHermosillo6k
IVBonita13k
IVTijuana1,376k
IVPoway48k
IVEstacion Coahuila8k
IVGadsden1k
IVSan Luis22k
IVSan Luis Rio Colorado139k
IVJulian2k
IVImperial Beach27k
IVLa Mesa54k
IVChula Vista213k
IVSomerton9k
IVLos Algodones5k
IVHarbison Canyon5k
IVNational City62k
IVSan Diego Country Estates11k
IVSantee53k
IVCrest3k
IVWinter Gardens21k
IVJamul8k
IVSpring Valley26k
IVGranite Hills3k
IVEscondido137k
IVLemon Grove25k
IVAlpine15k
IVRainbow2k
IVPrimo Tapia5k
IVRosarito66k
IVRancho San Diego28k
IVEl Sauzal9k
IVSan Diego1,223k
IIIValley Center10k
IIIHidden Meadows4k
IIITemecula85k
IIISan Marcos70k

(k = x1,000)


PAGER content is automatically generated, and only considers losses due to structural damage. Limitations of input data, shaking estimates, and loss models may add uncertainty. PAGER results are generally available within 30 minutes of the earthquake’s occurrence. However, information on the extent of shaking will be uncertain in the minutes and hours following an earthquake and typically improves as additional sensor data and reported intensities are acquired and incorporated into models of the earthquake's source. Users of PAGER estimates should account for uncertainty and always seek the most current PAGER release for any earthquake.