PAGER - M 3.5 - 15.1 km (9.4 mi) E of Indio, CA
Alert level does not include impacts from earthquake-related hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires or liquefaction.
Earthquake Shaking Alert Level: GREEN
Download Alert PDFWhat's this?Friday, January 6th, 2012 at 16:58:54 UTC (08:58:54 local)Location: 33.7° N, 116.1° WDepth: 4kmEvent Id: CI11050541Alert Version: 4Created: 1 day, 0 hours after earthquake.
Alert Information
Green alert for shaking-related fatalities and economic losses. There is a low likelihood of casualties and damage.
Estimated Fatalities
| ESTIMATED FATALITIES (LEVEL) | Probability (%) |
|---|---|
| 0 (GREEN) | 99 |
| 1 to 9 (YELLOW) | 1 |
| 10 to 99 (YELLOW) | 0 |
| 100 to 999 (ORANGE) | 0 |
| 1 to 10 thousand (RED) | 0 |
| 10 to 100 thousand (RED) | 0 |
| 100 thousand + (RED) | 0 |
Estimated Economic Losses
| ESTIMATED VALUE IN USD (LEVEL) | Probability (%) |
|---|---|
| 0 to 1 million (GREEN) | 99 |
| 1 to 10 million (YELLOW) | 1 |
| 10 to 100 million (YELLOW) | 0 |
| 100 million to 1 billion (ORANGE) | 0 |
| 1 to 10 billion (RED) | 0 |
| 10 to 100 billion (RED) | 0 |
| 100 billion + (RED) | 0 |
Detailed Information
| Estimated Modified Mercalli Intensity | I | II-III | IV | V | VI | VII | VIII | IX | X | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Est. Population Exposure | 2,652k | 134k | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Perceived Shaking | Not Felt | Weak | Light | Moderate | Strong | Very Strong | Severe | Violent | Extreme | |
| Potential Structure Damage | Resistant | none | none | none | V. Light | Light | Moderate | Moderate/Heavy | Heavy | V. Heavy |
| Vulnerable | none | none | none | Light | Moderate | Moderate/Heavy | Heavy | V. Heavy | V. Heavy | |
*Estimated exposure only includes population within calculated shake map area
Population Exposure
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan
Structure Information Summary
Overall, the population in this region resides in structures that are highly resistant to earthquake shaking, though some vulnerable structures exist.
Historical Earthquakes (with MMI)
| Date (UTC) | Dist (km) | Mag | Max MMI (#) | Shaking Deaths |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1986-07-13 | 183 | 5.8 | V (10m) | 0 |
| 1991-06-28 | 189 | 5.6 | VII (8k) | 1 |
| 1994-01-17 | 237 | 6.7 | IX (181k) | 33 |
Recent earthquakes in this area have caused secondary hazards such as landslides and liquefaction that might have contributed to losses.
Selected Cities Exposedfrom GeoNames Database of Cities with 1,000 or more residents.
| MMI | City | Population |
|---|---|---|
| II | Coachella | 31k |
| II | Indio | 66k |
| II | Mecca | 7k |
| II | Salton City | 1k |
| I | Palm Desert | 49k |
| I | La Quinta | 38k |
| I | San Bernardino | 202k |
| I | Moreno Valley | 169k |
| I | Escondido | 137k |
| I | Vista | 93k |
| I | Murrieta | 89k |
(k = x1,000)
| # | Date/Time | Mag | Lat, Lon, Depth | Country | Max MMI (Exposed) | Deaths | Secondary Effects | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaking | Total | |||||||
| 1 | 1973-02-21 14:45 UTC | 5.9 | 34.06° N, 119.05° W 6km | US | VIII (4 k) | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 1978-05-05 21:03 UTC | 5.5 | 32.22° N, 115.32° W 5km | MX | VIII (97) | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 1978-08-13 22:54 UTC | 5.8 | 34.39° N, 119.64° W 8km | US | VIII (40 k) | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 1979-03-15 21:07 UTC | 5.5 | 34.2° N, 116.53° W 15km | US | VII (744) | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 1979-10-15 23:17 UTC | 6.5 | 32.82° N, 115.64° W 9km | US | IX (3 k) | 0 | 0 | |
| 6 | 1979-10-16 05:49 UTC | 5.6 | 33.02° N, 115.57° W 5km | US | VIII (611) | 0 | 0 | |
| 7 | 1979-10-16 06:19 UTC | 5.1 | 32.73° N, 115.76° W 10km | US | VII (77) | 0 | 0 | |
| 8 | 1979-10-16 06:58 UTC | 5.6 | 32.95° N, 115.62° W 10km | US | VIII (287) | 0 | 0 | |
| 9 | 1979-10-16 23:16 UTC | 5.5 | 32.92° N, 115.55° W 4km | US | VIII (40) | 0 | 0 | |
| 10 | 1980-02-25 10:47 UTC | 5.6 | 33.52° N, 116.55° W 6km | US | VII (847) | 0 | 0 | |
| 11 | 1980-06-09 03:28 UTC | 6.3 | 32.27° N, 114.91° W 5km | MX | IX (336) | 1 | 1 | |
| 12 | 1981-04-26 12:09 UTC | 5.9 | 33.12° N, 115.64° W 1km | US | VIII (11) | 0 | 0 | |
| 13 | 1981-09-04 15:50 UTC | 5.8 | 33.9° N, 119.03° W 15km | US | VI (13 k) | 0 | 0 | |
| 14 | 1986-07-08 09:20 UTC | 6 | 33.97° N, 116.78° W 12km | US | VIII (8 k) | 0 | 0 | landslide |
| 15 | 1986-07-13 13:47 UTC | 5.8 | 33.05° N, 117.85° W 2km | US | V (9,528 k) | 0 | 1 | landslide |
| 16 | 1987-10-01 14:42 UTC | 5.9 | 34.06° N, 118.13° W 14km | US | VIII (20 k) | 8 | 8 | |
| 17 | 1987-10-04 10:59 UTC | 5.2 | 34.02° N, 118.14° W 11km | US | VII (453 k) | 0 | 1 | |
| 18 | 1987-11-24 01:54 UTC | 6 | 33.22° N, 115.79° W 15km | US | VIII (250) | 0 | 2 | |
| 19 | 1987-11-24 13:15 UTC | 6.5 | 33.07° N, 115.95° W 2km | US | IX (599) | 0 | 0 | |
| 20 | 1988-02-11 15:25 UTC | 4.8 | 34.08° N, 118.05° W 12km | US | VII (11 k) | 0 | 1 | |
| 21 | 1988-12-03 11:38 UTC | 5 | 34.15° N, 118.13° W 13km | US | VI (1,090 k) | 0 | 0 | |
| 22 | 1989-01-19 06:53 UTC | 5.2 | 33.91° N, 118.7° W 9km | US | VI (14 k) | 0 | 0 | |
| 23 | 1990-02-28 23:43 UTC | 5.7 | 34.14° N, 117.75° W 3km | US | VIII (12 k) | 0 | 0 | |
| 24 | 1991-06-28 14:43 UTC | 5.6 | 34.24° N, 118.01° W 11km | US | VII (8 k) | 1 | 1 | |
| 25 | 1992-04-23 04:50 UTC | 6.2 | 33.87° N, 116.52° W 4km | US | VIII (16 k) | 0 | 0 | |
| 26 | 1992-06-28 11:57 UTC | 7.3 | 34.18° N, 116.53° W 11km | US | IX (2 k) | 1 | 1 | |
| 27 | 1992-06-28 15:05 UTC | 6.5 | 34.29° N, 116.82° W 12km | US | IX (2 k) | 0 | 0 | landslide |
| 28 | 1992-06-29 10:14 UTC | 5.7 | 36.77° N, 116.32° W 11km | US | VIII (127) | 0 | 0 | |
| 29 | 1992-06-29 16:01 UTC | 5.5 | 33.82° N, 116.44° W 15km | US | VIII (8 k) | 0 | 0 | |
| 30 | 1992-07-11 18:14 UTC | 5.7 | 34.96° N, 118.19° W 15km | US | VIII (568) | 0 | 0 | |
| 31 | 1992-11-27 16:00 UTC | 5.6 | 34.23° N, 117.01° W 5km | US | VII (4 k) | 0 | 0 | |
| 32 | 1994-01-17 12:30 UTC | 6.7 | 34.16° N, 118.58° W 11km | US | IX (181 k) | 33 | 33 | landslide, liquefaction |
| 33 | 1994-01-17 23:33 UTC | 5.8 | 34.27° N, 118.79° W 8km | US | VIII (70 k) | 0 | 0 | |
| 34 | 1994-01-18 00:43 UTC | 5.5 | 34.26° N, 118.89° W 17km | US | VII (97 k) | 0 | 0 | |
| 35 | 1995-09-20 23:27 UTC | 5.5 | 35.63° N, 117.73° W 15km | US | VIII (852) | 0 | 0 | |
| 36 | 1999-10-16 09:46 UTC | 7.1 | 34.52° N, 116.44° W 5km | US | IX (17 k) | 0 | 0 | |
| 37 | 1999-10-16 09:59 UTC | 5.8 | 34.56° N, 116.79° W 9km | US | VIII (19) | 0 | 0 | |
| 38 | 1999-10-16 12:57 UTC | 5.7 | 34.27° N, 116.23° W 12km | US | VIII (201) | 0 | 0 | |
| 39 | 2001-12-08 23:36 UTC | 5.7 | 32.05° N, 114.9° W 9km | MX | VIII (72) | 0 | 0 | |
| 40 | 2002-02-22 19:32 UTC | 5.5 | 32.38° N, 115.19° W 9km | MX | VIII (8 k) | 0 | 0 | |
| 41 | 2005-06-16 20:53 UTC | 4.9 | 33.95° N, 117.05° W 18km | US | VI (63 k) | 0 | 0 | |
| MMI | City | Population |
|---|---|---|
| II | Coachella | 31k |
| II | Indio | 66k |
| II | Mecca | 7k |
| II | Salton City | 1k |
| I | Palm Desert | 49k |
| I | La Quinta | 38k |
| I | Indian Wells | 4k |
| I | Rancho Mirage | 17k |
| I | Bermuda Dunes | 7k |
| I | Apple Valley | 64k |
| I | Banning | 30k |
| I | Beaumont | 19k |
| I | Big Bear City | 6k |
| I | Big Bear Lake | 6k |
| I | Bonsall | 5k |
| I | Borrego Springs | 3k |
| I | Brawley | 22k |
| I | Cabazon | 3k |
| I | Calipatria | 8k |
| I | Calimesa | 8k |
| I | Canyon Lake | 12k |
| I | Cathedral City | 53k |
| I | Cherry Valley | 6k |
| I | Crestline | 11k |
| I | Del Mar | 4k |
| I | Desert Hot Springs | 19k |
| I | East Hemet | 14k |
| I | Encinitas | 58k |
| I | Escondido | 137k |
| I | Fallbrook | 34k |
| I | Hemet | 69k |
| I | Hesperia | 74k |
| I | Hidden Meadows | 4k |
| I | Highland | 51k |
| I | Homeland | 4k |
| I | Joshua Tree | 4k |
| I | Julian | 2k |
| I | Lake Arrowhead | 11k |
| I | Lake San Marcos | 4k |
| I | Lakeview | 2k |
| I | Loma Linda | 21k |
| I | Mentone | 9k |
| I | Moreno Valley | 169k |
| I | Morongo Valley | 2k |
| I | Murrieta | 89k |
| I | Murrieta Hot Springs | 4k |
| I | Niland | 1k |
| I | Nuevo | 5k |
| I | Palm Springs | 43k |
| I | Perris | 46k |
| I | Poway | 48k |
| I | Quail Valley | 2k |
| I | Rainbow | 2k |
| I | Ramona | 17k |
| I | Rancho Santa Fe | 3k |
| I | Redlands | 70k |
| I | Romoland | 3k |
| I | Running Springs | 6k |
| I | San Bernardino | 202k |
| I | San Diego Country Estates | 11k |
| I | San Jacinto | 29k |
| I | San Marcos | 70k |
| I | Sedco Hills | 3k |
| I | Solana Beach | 13k |
| I | Sun City | 20k |
| I | Temecula | 85k |
| I | Thousand Palms | 6k |
| I | Twentynine Palms | 23k |
| I | Valle Vista | 12k |
| I | Valley Center | 10k |
| I | Victorville | 84k |
| I | Vista | 93k |
| I | Westmorland | 2k |
| I | Wildomar | 16k |
| I | Winchester | 2k |
| I | Yucaipa | 50k |
| I | Yucca Valley | 19k |
(k = x1,000)
PAGER content is automatically generated, and only considers losses due to structural damage. Limitations of input data, shaking estimates, and loss models may add uncertainty. PAGER results are generally available within 30 minutes of the earthquake’s occurrence. However, information on the extent of shaking will be uncertain in the minutes and hours following an earthquake and typically improves as additional sensor data and reported intensities are acquired and incorporated into models of the earthquake's source. Users of PAGER estimates should account for uncertainty and always seek the most current PAGER release for any earthquake.
