WEBVTT Kind: captions Language: en-US 00:00:02.400 --> 00:00:05.840 Well, good morning. Want to take this opportunity, 00:00:05.840 --> 00:00:11.096 as we’re talking about the faults of eastern California, to talk about one that 00:00:11.120 --> 00:00:19.680 roared to life in July 2021 and produced the magnitude 6.0 Antelope Valley 00:00:19.680 --> 00:00:25.884 earthquake that was, you know, widely felt across a lot of northern California. 00:00:27.200 --> 00:00:33.760 So, to review generally the setting, the map on the – on the right here shows 00:00:33.760 --> 00:00:41.440 one year of seismicity in this area leading up to the day of the main shock. 00:00:41.440 --> 00:00:45.680 And you can see that there is no appreciable, you know, 00:00:45.680 --> 00:00:48.480 seismic activity going on in the area of the main shock. 00:00:48.480 --> 00:00:54.240 In fact, most of the – or, most of the earthquake activity seems to be focused 00:00:54.240 --> 00:00:59.896 up near the Walker Lake area, which is along the California-Nevada border. 00:00:59.920 --> 00:01:05.120 And so this event specifically had no appreciable foreshock sequence. 00:01:05.120 --> 00:01:11.200 There were, that day, only two magnitude 2 earthquakes leading up to 00:01:11.200 --> 00:01:16.480 the main shock at 2:49. And immediately, the main shock was 00:01:16.480 --> 00:01:21.760 followed by the largest aftershock, which is a 5.0, just one minute later. 00:01:21.760 --> 00:01:25.200 So, to the locals, it may have even felt like 00:01:25.200 --> 00:01:29.496 one long earthquake because they were so close together. 00:01:29.520 --> 00:01:34.560 The big question a lot of geologists and a lot of us will ask when we, you know, 00:01:34.560 --> 00:01:38.640 get moderate quakes of this size – moderate to strong, you know, 6.0s, 00:01:38.640 --> 00:01:41.440 what are the surface effects of a quake like this. 00:01:41.440 --> 00:01:45.920 And so it’s well-documented that there were earthquake-induced 00:01:45.920 --> 00:01:49.496 rockfalls on Highway 395 from this event. 00:01:49.520 --> 00:01:56.080 You can see here a screen capture clip from a video taken, and you can see that 00:01:56.080 --> 00:02:00.960 the rockfalls here on Highway 395 created a nice slalom course and 00:02:00.960 --> 00:02:07.176 an opportunity for people to get out of their cars and test their strength. 00:02:07.200 --> 00:02:10.880 Usually that doesn’t go well with boulders which are 00:02:10.880 --> 00:02:14.056 much heavier than people anticipate. 00:02:14.080 --> 00:02:18.160 Another thing we look about was, was there any surface rupture from this 00:02:18.160 --> 00:02:21.600 earthquake, and no, there wasn’t any documented surface rupture. 00:02:21.600 --> 00:02:26.240 And that’s maybe not too surprising because magnitude 6.0 is kind of 00:02:26.240 --> 00:02:30.320 on the – on the verge of the edge of where we might expect surface rupture. 00:02:30.320 --> 00:02:35.040 There was no documented liquefaction from this event, and that is, more than 00:02:35.040 --> 00:02:40.616 likely, to be attributed to the – probably the depth of groundwater 00:02:40.640 --> 00:02:45.600 in the Antelope Valley and not necessarily to be attributed to 00:02:45.600 --> 00:02:48.936 the not-strong-enough shaking. 00:02:48.960 --> 00:02:53.200 Surface effects we saw here include ground subsidence about 00:02:53.200 --> 00:02:59.920 10 centimeters, from – based on InSAR data from the Sentinel satellites. 00:02:59.920 --> 00:03:04.720 So we do know that this – it did subside. We did get some ground deformation 00:03:04.720 --> 00:03:09.360 here, but nothing on a more specific, you know, surface rupture 00:03:09.360 --> 00:03:13.016 or liquefaction, much more – more on a regional scale. 00:03:13.040 --> 00:03:18.160 The earthquake itself was felt quite widely across northern California 00:03:18.160 --> 00:03:22.800 and northwestern Nevada. You can see the yellow coloring here – 00:03:22.800 --> 00:03:29.840 yellowish coloring from the ShakeMap showing intensities 5 up to 6 in the 00:03:29.840 --> 00:03:34.240 Walker area, but this area is, you know, fairly sparsely populated, although 00:03:34.240 --> 00:03:40.160 it was felt quite strongly in area cities, like Carson City, South Lake Tahoe, 00:03:40.160 --> 00:03:47.040 and Reno. The shaking did travel all the way across the Sierra into 00:03:47.040 --> 00:03:52.456 Sacramento and into the Bay Area, which got a lot of people’s attention. 00:03:52.480 --> 00:03:56.960 You could see it also followed a fairly predictable decay pattern, 00:03:56.960 --> 00:04:02.240 or drop-off pattern, with density over – or, density compared – 00:04:02.240 --> 00:04:06.936 distance compared to intensity for this quake. 00:04:06.960 --> 00:04:11.680 Now, a lot of us that may, you know, live closer to more active fault regions 00:04:11.680 --> 00:04:15.920 in the state may think that an intensity, you know, 2 or 3 may not be that big 00:04:15.920 --> 00:04:22.960 a deal, but to maybe a state senator in Sacramento feeling an intensity 3, well, 00:04:22.960 --> 00:04:26.560 that, you know, might qualify as one heck of an earthquake to you. 00:04:26.560 --> 00:04:33.120 So it got a lot of people’s attention for being in such a remote area 00:04:33.120 --> 00:04:39.200 of California for this reason. As we’ve been talking, this area this 00:04:39.200 --> 00:04:43.200 earthquake occurred in is within the Basin and Range province of western 00:04:43.200 --> 00:04:47.520 North America, a large zone of tectonic extension initiating 00:04:47.520 --> 00:04:50.240 in the early Miocene. And specifically, it’s a part of 00:04:50.240 --> 00:04:54.240 the Basin and Range that is a transition zone on the western end 00:04:54.240 --> 00:04:58.080 of the Basin and Range, a transition zone between the Sierra Nevada and the 00:04:58.080 --> 00:05:01.840 Basin and Range province, which is characterized – 00:05:01.840 --> 00:05:08.136 is an interestingly complex area of strike-slip and normal faulting together. 00:05:08.160 --> 00:05:11.360 It’s woven in and out. It’s pretty complicated. 00:05:11.360 --> 00:05:16.640 And you’ll see earthquakes with both focal mechanisms, faulting styles. 00:05:16.640 --> 00:05:23.280 And this area accommodates 20% – I’ve seen up to 25% cited for the 00:05:23.280 --> 00:05:26.480 relative plate motion between the Pacific and North American Plates. 00:05:26.480 --> 00:05:30.856 And that comes out to on the order of about 10 millimeters per year. 00:05:30.880 --> 00:05:33.920 Looking at the historic earthquakes that have happened in this area, 00:05:33.920 --> 00:05:38.080 and this is just since instruments have been recording, you can see 00:05:38.080 --> 00:05:43.920 it’s not tremendously robust. There are two 5s-ish earthquakes 00:05:43.920 --> 00:05:48.536 down – in 1962 and 1979, down west of Bridgeport. 00:05:48.560 --> 00:05:53.896 And then you see the Double Spring Flat earthquake, a magnitude 6.1, 00:05:53.920 --> 00:06:00.240 in 1994 just north of Walker Lake on the state border there. 00:06:00.240 --> 00:06:06.536 And then last year’s magnitude 6 2021 quake. 00:06:06.560 --> 00:06:08.800 And here’s an interesting case I just wanted to point out that, 00:06:08.800 --> 00:06:12.320 here’s where the complexity of Walker Lane is really visible 00:06:12.320 --> 00:06:16.320 and can be seen quite well. In the 1994 Double Spring Flat 00:06:16.320 --> 00:06:20.800 earthquake, focal mechanism shows predominantly strike-slip faulting 00:06:20.800 --> 00:06:26.856 in this area of the Walker Lane. And if you look at the magnitude 6 00:06:26.880 --> 00:06:29.760 Antelope Valley earthquake, we can see the focal mechanism gives us 00:06:29.760 --> 00:06:34.160 kind of the opposite, and we have almost exclusively normal faulting 00:06:34.160 --> 00:06:38.056 going on here for this earthquake. So it just gives you an idea of the 00:06:38.080 --> 00:06:42.800 varied and different kinds of earthquakes that we can see in Walker 00:06:42.800 --> 00:06:48.376 Lane and the Antelope Valley most recently giving us an example of that. 00:06:48.400 --> 00:06:52.160 Regionally, we can take a zoom-out, kind of get an idea of where this – 00:06:52.160 --> 00:06:54.880 where this quake specifically – where the magnitude 6 from 00:06:54.880 --> 00:06:59.440 July 2021 falls in the bigger picture. And you can see this, and there’s 00:06:59.440 --> 00:07:05.280 north-south trending normal faults, generally, that are sub-parallel. 00:07:05.280 --> 00:07:09.120 And, if we zoom in a little bit more, we see that this earthquake likely 00:07:09.120 --> 00:07:13.200 occurred on the – what is known as the Slinkard Valley Fault. 00:07:13.200 --> 00:07:17.976 It’s the blue fault trace here in the center of the – of the diagram. 00:07:18.000 --> 00:07:24.560 And the lighter gray fault there is the – is the Antelope Valley Fault Zone, 00:07:24.560 --> 00:07:28.960 which is kind of the more prominent in the area, but, based on mapping 00:07:28.960 --> 00:07:33.360 and looking at things in the subsurface it’s pretty clear the Slinkard Valley 00:07:33.360 --> 00:07:37.840 Fault is the causative fault here. And this Slinkard Valley Fault is 00:07:37.840 --> 00:07:42.320 an east-dipping normal fault that forms a half-graben in the area. 00:07:42.320 --> 00:07:49.176 And that half-graben, as you may have guessed, hosts the Slinkard Valley itself. 00:07:49.200 --> 00:07:52.880 Interestingly, if you look at the seismicity here, and this is 00:07:52.880 --> 00:07:58.936 a west-to-east cross-section looking north – simple cross-section 00:07:58.960 --> 00:08:03.280 of the seismicity that’s happened since July 8th – all the aftershocks. 00:08:03.280 --> 00:08:08.400 You can see the dark cluster there in the center that kind of highlights, 00:08:08.400 --> 00:08:14.720 and you can really – pops out the east-dipping fault zone that is 00:08:14.720 --> 00:08:18.000 the Slinkard Valley Fault and highlights the – there the star 00:08:18.000 --> 00:08:22.880 for the main shock location. But there seems to be some shallower 00:08:22.880 --> 00:08:26.960 features off to the – to the east here that were – that were triggered, 00:08:26.960 --> 00:08:30.880 and they represent secondary structures. And so I’ve kind of highlighted those 00:08:30.880 --> 00:08:36.720 here to, you know, give us a possible idea, just to kind of give us a picture 00:08:36.720 --> 00:08:40.776 of what might be happening. And these might be shallower 00:08:40.800 --> 00:08:45.423 secondary structures that were triggered by the 6.0 main shock 00:08:45.451 --> 00:08:49.280 and may have had some triggered seismicity on it. I don’t know. 00:08:49.280 --> 00:08:53.200 But I think it’s an interesting piece of the puzzle here and might be 00:08:53.200 --> 00:08:57.840 an interesting bit of data to look at and to see what might be going on here, 00:08:57.840 --> 00:09:01.520 and is this the Antelope Valley Fault Zone that’s triggered 00:09:01.520 --> 00:09:05.096 in the shallow subsurface? Could be. 00:09:05.120 --> 00:09:08.800 As far as the faults in this area in the Slinkard Valley and Antelope Valley 00:09:08.800 --> 00:09:14.800 Fault Zone, CGS, as part of its mandate with the state, has a mandate to map 00:09:14.800 --> 00:09:19.680 all active faults – active surface faults in the state which pose a surface 00:09:19.680 --> 00:09:23.360 rupture hazard. And so that’s under the Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault 00:09:23.360 --> 00:09:27.840 Zone Mapping Act of 1972. And this specific area was evaluated 00:09:27.840 --> 00:09:33.280 in 1983 by Bill Bryant with CGS. And, back in these days, you know, 00:09:33.280 --> 00:09:37.280 before planes flew through the air shooting the ground with lasers, 00:09:37.280 --> 00:09:42.960 we had paper topographic maps and stereo-paired aerial photographs. 00:09:42.960 --> 00:09:48.160 And that’s all that was really available for the geologists to evaluate faults. 00:09:48.160 --> 00:09:52.640 And so Bill took a look at this area, and you can see a lot of detailed notes 00:09:52.640 --> 00:09:58.640 here going over the Slinkard Valley Fault on the west, the Antelope Valley 00:09:58.640 --> 00:10:01.520 Fault Zone in the central part, and then specifically the eastern 00:10:01.520 --> 00:10:04.320 Antelope Valley Fault Zone, which is highlighted and noted on the – 00:10:04.320 --> 00:10:05.920 on the east side there, sorry. 00:10:05.920 --> 00:10:13.280 And, for a fault to be zoned under the AP Act, it has to be sufficiently active, 00:10:13.280 --> 00:10:17.360 which is any fault that has had surficial movement in the last 00:10:17.360 --> 00:10:20.240 about 11,000 years. And it has to be well-defined. 00:10:20.240 --> 00:10:23.920 Can be found at the surface, traced, and investigated. 00:10:23.920 --> 00:10:29.280 So we see, you know, detailed notes here – things like possible scarp 00:10:29.280 --> 00:10:33.840 in talus deposits. That was on an aerial photo. 00:10:33.840 --> 00:10:36.400 You’ll see that there was field reconnaissance done, 00:10:36.400 --> 00:10:41.816 and we’ve noted here, alluvial fan surface offset with an angle 00:10:41.840 --> 00:10:44.960 of the scarp of about 32 degrees and a height of 15 feet. 00:10:44.960 --> 00:10:48.560 And things over here like, subtle scarps in older alluvium. 00:10:48.560 --> 00:10:52.640 And so all of this is looked at. All of it is evaluated and weighed 00:10:52.640 --> 00:10:58.480 and to determine, is there a fault that is sufficiently active, well-defined, 00:10:58.480 --> 00:11:02.080 that should be zoned. And ultimately, after all this was 00:11:02.080 --> 00:11:07.760 done in 1983, the final map that came out showed that really only the main 00:11:07.760 --> 00:11:12.640 Antelope Valley Fault Zone was the one that was found to be zone-able 00:11:12.640 --> 00:11:18.640 as an AP fault, not any fault in the Slinkard Valley Fault Zone. 00:11:18.640 --> 00:11:20.960 And nothing in the eastern Antelope Valley Fault Zone. 00:11:20.960 --> 00:11:25.520 And that just means it has no surface rupture potential that was documented 00:11:25.520 --> 00:11:29.360 or determinable at that time with the resources available. 00:11:29.360 --> 00:11:34.480 Now, in the days of Lidar, and now, in the days of SAR imagery and 00:11:34.480 --> 00:11:37.600 things like that, could this be different? We don’t know. 00:11:37.600 --> 00:11:39.760 It could be something that can be looked at again. 00:11:39.760 --> 00:11:43.096 But it’s interesting that the Slinkard Valley Fault was 00:11:43.120 --> 00:11:46.160 clearly the active fault here. It is the causative fault. 00:11:46.160 --> 00:11:50.640 It’s the seismogenic fault. It just doesn’t seem to have ruptured 00:11:50.640 --> 00:11:57.600 the surface in this earthquake or in Holocene time, at least as 00:11:57.600 --> 00:12:02.216 was available in 1983 with the resolution that we had then. 00:12:02.240 --> 00:12:06.720 So thank you, everyone, and good to be here.