WEBVTT Kind: captions Language: en-US 00:00:00.800 --> 00:00:05.999 Now, last but certainly not least, is Jennifer Santos-Hernandez. 00:00:06.000 --> 00:00:09.680 Jennifer has had a little bit of a – a bit of drama going on in the – 00:00:09.680 --> 00:00:13.040 behind the scenes. She’s had her power cut, and then 00:00:13.040 --> 00:00:15.680 it’s come back on again now. I think, Jennifer, are you – 00:00:15.680 --> 00:00:19.376 are you fully online now again? - Absolutely. [laughs] 00:00:19.376 --> 00:00:21.200 - Great. So I will just … - [inaudible] 00:00:21.200 --> 00:00:25.920 - I will just briefly introduce Jennifer. Jennifer is a research professor 00:00:25.920 --> 00:00:31.118 in sociology in disasters at the Centro de Investigaciones Sociales. 00:00:31.120 --> 00:00:33.360 I hope I did that okay, Jennifer. - [inaudible] 00:00:33.360 --> 00:00:37.920 - For the Center for Social Research at University of Puerto Rico-Río Piedras. 00:00:37.920 --> 00:00:40.101 Was that okay? 00:00:40.103 --> 00:00:44.720 [laughs] Yeah, thank you. [laughs] 00:00:44.720 --> 00:00:50.160 So, Jennifer has – so that center was established in 1945. 00:00:50.160 --> 00:00:53.599 It is the oldest social science research center in Puerto Rico. 00:00:53.600 --> 00:00:58.480 Jennifer is also an alumna of the Disaster Research Center at the 00:00:58.480 --> 00:01:00.880 University of Delaware, where she completed her master’s 00:01:00.880 --> 00:01:06.080 and Ph.D. in sociology. She has – she’s on many committees. 00:01:06.080 --> 00:01:08.559 She’s working incredibly hard right now. 00:01:08.560 --> 00:01:12.960 Just a quick note with Jennifer. When I was deployed to Puerto Rico, 00:01:12.960 --> 00:01:16.640 I knew I didn’t understand the cultural context and I needed to phone a friend, 00:01:16.640 --> 00:01:21.600 and that friend was Jennifer. And Jennifer spent many hours 00:01:21.600 --> 00:01:25.920 with me at the FEMA emergency operations center working through 00:01:25.920 --> 00:01:29.280 tricky communication issues and helping me and the rest of 00:01:29.280 --> 00:01:31.840 the team really understand what needed to be done. 00:01:31.840 --> 00:01:35.840 In fact, she named the southwestern Puerto Rico sequence. 00:01:35.840 --> 00:01:38.880 We have much to thank Jennifer for. And just one final note. 00:01:38.880 --> 00:01:42.480 As a social scientist, even before I met Jennifer, Jennifer is the 00:01:42.480 --> 00:01:46.560 kind of researcher that gets disaster social scientists excited. 00:01:46.560 --> 00:01:50.000 When we see an article coming out from Jennifer, we know it’s going to 00:01:50.000 --> 00:01:53.920 be amazing and great work. She is one of the thought leaders in my field. 00:01:53.920 --> 00:01:56.640 So it is such an honor to be able to have her here today. 00:01:56.655 --> 00:01:58.955 Thank you so much, Jennifer. 00:01:58.982 --> 00:02:02.879 - Thanks to you, Sara. I very much appreciate your introduction. 00:02:02.880 --> 00:02:08.240 So a bit of pretty much how I engaged with Sara and the rest of the team 00:02:08.240 --> 00:02:12.400 and pretty much what I was doing when the earthquake happened. 00:02:12.400 --> 00:02:16.800 As Sara said, I’m a disaster researcher. I work at Centro de Investigaciones 00:02:16.800 --> 00:02:22.399 Sociales at UPR-Río Piedras. And there I pretty much – what I do, 00:02:22.400 --> 00:02:27.520 it’s all research and just generating training opportunities for 00:02:27.520 --> 00:02:32.000 undergraduates and for graduate students in social sciences. 00:02:32.000 --> 00:02:39.199 So, when the 2020 earthquake happened, we have to also think about 00:02:39.200 --> 00:02:43.999 the larger context of Puerto Rico and what has been going on 00:02:44.000 --> 00:02:49.680 over the last 15 years, pretty much. So, when we talk about risk 00:02:49.680 --> 00:02:52.960 communication, and we look at the risk communication literature and 00:02:52.960 --> 00:02:56.880 the different models that are available, one of the things that comes across 00:02:56.880 --> 00:03:01.120 is the complexity of looking at risk communication in Puerto Rico and 00:03:01.120 --> 00:03:05.440 how people make actions in terms of how to protect themselves, 00:03:05.440 --> 00:03:09.920 their property, and others. There are other broader challenges 00:03:09.920 --> 00:03:13.440 that we have to understand. Puerto Rico has been in an economic 00:03:13.440 --> 00:03:20.000 crisis pretty much since 2006. There are historical issues of 00:03:20.000 --> 00:03:24.320 unemployment and underemployment that have – that have become paramount 00:03:24.320 --> 00:03:30.800 in the last few years when pretty much, ever since we began with the last streak 00:03:30.800 --> 00:03:36.000 of hazards that we’ve been dealing in 2017, right before that, 00:03:36.000 --> 00:03:41.200 the discussion was pretty much about the elimination of public services 00:03:41.200 --> 00:03:45.599 and the reduction of work hours for public employees. 00:03:45.600 --> 00:03:50.880 There was – we’ve been dealing with over a decade of a very strong 00:03:50.880 --> 00:03:56.719 population loss, which has exacerbated the issue of aging. 00:03:56.720 --> 00:04:02.080 We have an aging population, but as we lose more people in their 00:04:02.080 --> 00:04:07.440 productive years, that issue becomes more important. 00:04:07.440 --> 00:04:12.480 And we’re particularly talking about not just an issue of age, but an issue 00:04:12.480 --> 00:04:19.920 of access and an issue of isolation that becomes very much a challenge 00:04:19.920 --> 00:04:24.480 in the aftermath of disasters. We’re also talking about 00:04:24.480 --> 00:04:29.200 a context of circular migration. One of the things that we observed 00:04:29.200 --> 00:04:34.079 when we were doing quick-response research after the earthquakes was that 00:04:34.080 --> 00:04:41.360 several people who we talked to at the shelters had just returned to the 00:04:41.360 --> 00:04:47.119 island after pretty much moving to the mainland to work, make money, 00:04:47.120 --> 00:04:52.400 to rebuild their homes. Some of them had the homes that they 00:04:52.400 --> 00:05:01.280 were building at the time also destroyed. We’re also talking about critical 00:05:01.280 --> 00:05:07.359 infrastructure in the context of communities that is also disappearing. 00:05:07.360 --> 00:05:11.279 And that’s particularly related to the closure of schools. 00:05:11.280 --> 00:05:16.480 That process was not necessarily managed taking into consideration 00:05:16.480 --> 00:05:21.760 issues of social vulnerability, issues of poverty, issues of children 00:05:21.760 --> 00:05:26.560 living with grandparents. So many of the schools that are closing 00:05:26.560 --> 00:05:32.160 were also the only government service, or the only government public 00:05:32.160 --> 00:05:36.959 infrastructure, that was available in many of these communities. 00:05:36.960 --> 00:05:43.999 There’s also the other issue of schools that were certified as shelters destroyed. 00:05:44.000 --> 00:05:48.400 That’s precisely the case of Indios in Guayanilla, which is one of the 00:05:48.400 --> 00:05:53.120 communities in which we’re working right now, the school is closed, 00:05:53.120 --> 00:05:57.840 but it was also their shelter, and it was destroyed by the earthquakes. 00:05:57.840 --> 00:06:03.040 So there’s challenges also in terms of access to education. 00:06:03.040 --> 00:06:09.600 In terms of broader public health situations, we’ve lost a number of 00:06:09.600 --> 00:06:14.880 health professionals because of the economic crisis, and although there 00:06:14.880 --> 00:06:20.080 have been incentives to try to retain some of those professionals, access 00:06:20.080 --> 00:06:26.079 to specialists in Puerto Rico can be very limited and very cumbersome. 00:06:26.080 --> 00:06:32.000 There’s also the broader political context of Puerto Rico and of instability. 00:06:32.000 --> 00:06:38.160 There’s dissatisfaction with the performance of the government 00:06:38.160 --> 00:06:42.399 at different levels and how they respond to emergencies. 00:06:42.400 --> 00:06:49.600 We’re right now doing – collecting data as part of a survey, and the performance 00:06:49.600 --> 00:06:55.600 of the emergency management agency is rated at 2.3, and that has been very 00:06:55.600 --> 00:07:00.640 consistent since – there’s many patterns that are changing in the – 00:07:00.640 --> 00:07:05.120 in the database as we obviously add cases, but that is something that, 00:07:05.120 --> 00:07:09.401 from the beginning, seems to be very consistent. 00:07:12.400 --> 00:07:16.160 So, when the hurricane – when the earthquakes happened, 00:07:16.160 --> 00:07:20.960 I was engaged in a – in a broader effort of putting together long-term 00:07:20.960 --> 00:07:24.719 sustainability transition scenarios in San Juan. 00:07:24.720 --> 00:07:31.120 And that was one of the things that was disrupted by the earthquakes. 00:07:31.120 --> 00:07:35.520 As we were pretty much having those discussions is when the aftershock 00:07:35.520 --> 00:07:39.200 forecast came up, and all this information about the possibility 00:07:39.200 --> 00:07:44.719 of a larger earthquake was very much a concern for residents. 00:07:44.720 --> 00:07:48.480 It became very evident that there were spatial issues with how people 00:07:48.480 --> 00:07:52.480 were interpreting the information that was available and how they were 00:07:52.480 --> 00:07:58.400 personalizing the risk that the possibility of a larger earthquake 00:07:58.400 --> 00:08:02.480 posed to themselves. And one of the things that we were 00:08:02.480 --> 00:08:07.440 doing at the time was facilitating meetings in La Perla, which is 00:08:07.440 --> 00:08:10.880 a community in San Juan. And, when we get there for one of the 00:08:10.880 --> 00:08:13.840 meetings, they asked us what we were going to talk about, 00:08:13.840 --> 00:08:17.760 and we pretty much – you know, we were going to discuss the 00:08:17.760 --> 00:08:22.159 sustainability transition scenarios. And residents pretty much asked us 00:08:22.160 --> 00:08:26.960 to shift the topic of the conversation for that night to talk about the earthquakes. 00:08:26.960 --> 00:08:32.000 Because they were concerned about pretty much the construction of their 00:08:32.000 --> 00:08:38.319 homes and the risk that a bigger earthquake would represent for them. 00:08:38.320 --> 00:08:43.840 So we pulled out the visualization that was – had been – that had just 00:08:43.840 --> 00:08:48.080 been published to discuss the aftershock forecast. 00:08:48.080 --> 00:08:53.679 And it became very evident that people didn’t really understand the risk, 00:08:53.680 --> 00:09:01.359 the spatial specificity of the forecast, and what it meant for them. 00:09:01.360 --> 00:09:08.400 There’s also the challenge that COVID has presented to Puerto Rico 00:09:08.400 --> 00:09:12.960 and obviously to the rest of the world, but that it has also made evident 00:09:12.960 --> 00:09:18.800 the issue with risk communication. In terms of COVID, the main – 00:09:18.800 --> 00:09:25.520 one of the main challenges is confirming the risk of transmission 00:09:25.520 --> 00:09:30.240 because one of the things that happens is that, for example, throughout the 00:09:30.240 --> 00:09:37.200 pandemic, we see press conferences where we are told that we have to 00:09:37.200 --> 00:09:41.200 maintain physical distance, wear a mask, wash our hands, stay at home. 00:09:41.200 --> 00:09:48.720 But then there’s these public gatherings that are very large and obviously 00:09:48.720 --> 00:09:53.280 contradict the message that is being informed. 00:09:53.280 --> 00:09:57.200 So, in that context, it became very evident that we really needed to 00:09:57.200 --> 00:10:02.160 think about risk communication and about how we were going to 00:10:02.160 --> 00:10:10.559 do this in the context of an economic crisis, an economic restructuration, 00:10:10.560 --> 00:10:13.839 consecutive hazards, and different hazards. 00:10:13.840 --> 00:10:21.600 So it’s a challenge with how disasters are conceptualized. As the literature 00:10:21.600 --> 00:10:26.959 pretty much points out, disaster research has often focused on events, 00:10:26.960 --> 00:10:32.480 ignoring the temporal dimension. And that has led to pretty much 00:10:32.480 --> 00:10:38.240 undermining the experience of people. And there’s, you know, another 00:10:38.240 --> 00:10:42.800 discussion that we could have in terms of how we define disaster and 00:10:42.800 --> 00:10:48.720 who gets to define what is a disaster. But what we’re seeing pretty much is 00:10:48.720 --> 00:10:54.879 a scenario where people are entangled in multiple stages of the disaster cycle. 00:10:54.880 --> 00:10:59.520 So we really have to think about how we conceptualize these events and the 00:10:59.520 --> 00:11:02.800 challenges that climate change and increasing the frequency 00:11:02.800 --> 00:11:10.480 and intensity of hazards pose. There’s also the broader issue 00:11:10.480 --> 00:11:16.080 with restoration, reconstruction, and recovery and how we define 00:11:16.080 --> 00:11:23.439 and operationalize these terms. Recovery – it takes a very prolonged 00:11:23.440 --> 00:11:27.760 period of time, really talking about a decade, but we are in a context 00:11:27.760 --> 00:11:34.159 in which these hazards are pretty much coming in, or emerging, 00:11:34.160 --> 00:11:37.200 more frequently. So we have to think about 00:11:37.200 --> 00:11:43.119 how we can provide emergency services in a more expedited way. 00:11:43.120 --> 00:11:49.040 And also how they can be more effective in addressing the needs 00:11:49.040 --> 00:11:54.480 of residents. One of the things that we’ve been finding in areas that have 00:11:54.480 --> 00:12:01.440 been severely affected by the recent events is that, for example, 70% of the 00:12:01.440 --> 00:12:09.039 residents apply for disaster assistance, and 30% of them receive assistance. 00:12:09.040 --> 00:12:11.520 So we really have to think about what’s going on there 00:12:11.520 --> 00:12:16.319 and how damage is being assessed. 00:12:16.320 --> 00:12:23.360 And there’s also, lastly, the issue of listening throughout these processes. 00:12:23.360 --> 00:12:27.600 And it was something that pretty much was happening in my project. 00:12:27.600 --> 00:12:32.880 We were doing sustainability transition scenarios, but we were only engaging 00:12:32.880 --> 00:12:35.760 practitioners or representatives from NGOs. 00:12:35.760 --> 00:12:39.520 We didn’t really have participation from residents. 00:12:39.520 --> 00:12:46.000 And that really changed how risk is shaped, how sustainability is defined, 00:12:46.000 --> 00:12:52.559 how transitions are tailored, and who they favor and who they serve. 00:12:52.560 --> 00:12:56.880 So those are things that we’ve been pretty much thinking through, 00:12:56.880 --> 00:13:01.760 and as part of that dilemma, we decided to pretty much 00:13:01.760 --> 00:13:06.480 put together a project that has allowed me to collaborate with 00:13:06.480 --> 00:13:12.559 a few of the folks that are here today. So that’s awesome to share a panel 00:13:12.560 --> 00:13:16.640 with Sara, with Nnenia Campbell from the Natural Hazards Center, 00:13:16.640 --> 00:13:22.080 which is also a colleague with which I have collaborated for many years. 00:13:22.080 --> 00:13:26.720 And it’s an honor to have the opportunity to collaborate 00:13:26.720 --> 00:13:30.399 with her on this project. And with Lorna. 00:13:30.400 --> 00:13:35.280 We began putting together this project around March of last year, and we 00:13:35.280 --> 00:13:40.559 were pretty much trying to find a place to submit that proposal. 00:13:40.560 --> 00:13:46.239 We had a few hurdles, pandemic-related, along the way, 00:13:46.240 --> 00:13:52.720 but we finally got the funding to launch this project last semester. 00:13:52.720 --> 00:13:58.639 And we began collecting data pretty much, like, two weeks ago. 00:13:58.640 --> 00:14:03.440 So it’s a project in which we’re doing in-depth interviews with responders to 00:14:03.440 --> 00:14:08.560 understand risk information sources, how they make decisions, how they 00:14:08.560 --> 00:14:13.520 navigate this context of multiple disasters, their perception of what 00:14:13.520 --> 00:14:19.680 people are doing, how the process of promoting hazard adjustments 00:14:19.680 --> 00:14:23.280 could be enhanced. We’re also doing door-to-door 00:14:23.280 --> 00:14:28.000 surveys in three communities – in La Perla in San Juan because 00:14:28.000 --> 00:14:32.480 they were one of the communities that wrote a support letter 00:14:32.480 --> 00:14:36.800 for this proposal for us. Indios in Guayanilla, which is 00:14:36.800 --> 00:14:41.680 the closest community to the epicenter of the – of the southwest 00:14:41.680 --> 00:14:46.000 Puerto Rico earthquake. And with La Luna, which is also 00:14:46.000 --> 00:14:51.519 in Barrio María Antonia in Guanica, which is one of the areas that was 00:14:51.520 --> 00:14:56.319 more affected in terms of housing damage. 00:14:56.320 --> 00:15:01.200 So that’s pretty much where we are. We have – we are pretty much in 00:15:01.200 --> 00:15:05.040 the process of data collection. And what we seek to do with this 00:15:05.040 --> 00:15:12.959 project is to collaborate with different users and with residents to co-produce 00:15:12.960 --> 00:15:18.240 visualizations and risk communication products that allow us to convey 00:15:18.240 --> 00:15:24.559 multiple risks and possible adjustments. One of the things that we are seeing 00:15:24.560 --> 00:15:30.880 is that there seems to be a concern among government actors when 00:15:30.880 --> 00:15:34.639 they talk about the possibility of an earthquake. 00:15:34.640 --> 00:15:39.520 Their concern, for example, with population loss and the fact 00:15:39.520 --> 00:15:44.880 that the municipalities around the epicenter of the earthquake 00:15:44.880 --> 00:15:50.959 have lost a lot of population. So they don’t want to scare people. 00:15:50.960 --> 00:15:57.279 And, at the same time, there seems to be a disconnection between the science 00:15:57.280 --> 00:16:02.960 and those actors that produce the science and that pretty much can talk 00:16:02.960 --> 00:16:09.680 about the hazard and those that can produce recommendations in terms of 00:16:09.680 --> 00:16:13.680 adjustments and what people can do. And, as we know from the literature, 00:16:13.680 --> 00:16:19.360 it’s not just a matter of knowing the risk that people are facing but also of 00:16:19.360 --> 00:16:24.880 providing them with actions that they can adopt so they – that they feel 00:16:24.880 --> 00:16:31.840 that they can do something about it. So that’s pretty much where I am. 00:16:31.840 --> 00:16:34.160 Thank you very much for the invitation, 00:16:34.160 --> 00:16:38.400 and I am open to discussions now – to questions now.